This might be a little out of date with the recent ranking changes
2020 Running back carousel
- There are 8 RBs rated .98 or higher
- There are 13 RBs rated .95 or higher
- There are 28 RBs rated .90 or higher
- One .98 is committed- Jase McClellan to OU
- One more .95 is committed- Don Chaney Jr to Miami
- Two more .90s are committed- Darvon Hubbard to Ohio St, Roydell Williams to Bama
Assuming that Texas is basically all in on Zach Evans, that he waits until late to decide, and that it'll be between Texas, Bama, Georgia, LSU, A&M, OU and Clemson, it'll be interesting to see how those schools start filling up. It's very difficult to land two elite RBs in the same class; since 2010, there have only been two classes that have had two .98 RBs in the same class. So per historical data, the odds of you landing one elite RB goes up without a second one already in the class; so while schools that land one of these .98s aren't necessarily eliminated, their jobs get much tougher to land Evans. Whenever one of these schools lands a top RB prospect, our odds of landing Evans inherently goes up. Additionally, whenever two of the seven schools mentioned get eliminated based on getting left out of an official visit, the other schools should get a percentage bump.
It appears that there's a decent chance that Texas' RB2 will be Ty Jordan, who shouldn't be threatening in the least to Evans, and Texas can sell taking just one RB the past two years, something most of these schools won't be able to sell.
RB options for Evans contenders (.95+ are RB1)
Bama
RB1: Evans, Milton, Lloyd, Bowman
RB2: Roydell Williams (committed)
Georgia
RB1: Evans, Milton, Lloyd, Bowman, Bigsby
RB2:
LSU
RB1: Evans, Milton
RB2: Clayton
A&M
RB1: Evans, McGowan
RB2: Adams II
OU
RB1: Jase McClellan (committed), Seth McGowan, Robinson
RB2:
Clemson
RB1: Evans, Bowman, Knighton
RB2:
I have a lot of holes in the list above, but what would help is for Bama/Georgia to beat out Maryland for Lloyd, and Bama/Georgia/LSU to land Milton instead of someone like Ohio State or USC, and for Clemson to land Knighton (it appears that they'll land him).
TLDR: there's a ton of supply of RB1s this cycle, and Evans only has so many schools he's considering, so if we weather the storm while other schools start taking RBs, our odds should continue to go up.