Hello there.
So here's the deal: although I'll be posting much less frequently than before, I want to stop in here to say that I'll try to continue (er, pick back up) posting in here or a few weather threads. Why? Because this is the cold and flu (har dee har) season, and because it's the height of severe weather season in Texas. However, as this spring has been exceptionally great (as in no severe weather and a very mild, more wet than dry pattern), there's been little need. And, this has been a terrific winter-to-spring IMHO.. warm, rather wet, and mild - that is very few days way down below normal or way up above it (today's getting close). Hell, we had an overnight Austin freeze in December, then didn't see one again until late February - and only one more. I'll take that every time. Add to that I think at times I help people with this, and if I don't I allow them to laugh or give them a target of hate rather than their wife or pet Chihuahua. Anyway, like everyone, I make mistakes at times, in this case in weather crapshooting, but if I can help one person avoid a hardship through this I'm happy. Yeah that last sentence was barfingly clicheish but true.
The rest of "the stuff" involving myself I'm just gonna leave be, perhaps another time, maybe at some point I'll offer a PM of the past half year. But not now.
Moving on...
Since it's been so mild the past few months, does that mean a blistering summer? I'll work on that in the other thread.
But the answer is no.
At least one doesn't happen because of the other, although of course it might happen. Spring trends DO NOT portend similar summers, period.
So when it gets to be 100 again every day for 5 months, you can look back on this and laugh.
Anyhoo - I will mostly chime in with "significant" weather happenings. A chance of a nice shower or two isn't "significant". Nor is a spot of rain after a hot spell. I'm talking stuff that's worth noting because it's really a big deal or dangerous.
As for today, this is a "life shits on me more than anyone else" day. That's because what's forecast to be severe today is unlikely but minimally possible. But if it hits, in a very narrow pocket, it could be really shitty, as in huge hail (tennis balls). Now big hail like that rarely lasts long and is very pinpoint, but still... if it falls on you, your life will absolutely suck (glad I readjusted my homeowner's to the minimal coverage to get much more hail reimbursement for the roof the other day!).
My guess is almost no one here will see that hail. But a tiny pocket might. The rest of us might see a nasty brief little storm. Better chances the more southeast of ATX you are. But even since yesterday some of the models have said the moisture conditions aloft have sorta swung to less severe chances. Still, if it happens, it'll start firing up about now W or SW of us, then move over us. Somewhat unusually, this severe possibility area is small - and Austin city is directly in the center of it. Still, not worrying. There's a warm cap above us and the crap has to break through that to get nasty, and it's a tough job. So the deal today is I wouldn't worry much but keep your good car in the garage unless you want to paint it later with TItleist or Top-Flite advertising.
Tomorrow looks even less of a chance again unless you're E or S of the ATX area. Then it gets pretty chilly for most of a week again. LOVE this weather right now!
More if/when severe is an issue this week, but I doubt it.
Love, Frankie the Yanker.