Everything posted by berlinerbaer
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2020 Dems: New Hampshire (thank god, a normal primary)
I was assuming that he won the nomination because the point of my first post was to make an argument in favor of his electability vs. Trump.
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2020 Dems: New Hampshire (thank god, a normal primary)
What If he wins the nom? Do you plan on staying home? If not, then they would be working towards your desired outcome, regardless of how personal their loyalties lie.
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2020 Dems: New Hampshire (thank god, a normal primary)
Truth. Those guys may be assholes, but they'd be our assholes. They are the only group of supporters who could go up against the forthcoming Russian troll/bot army online.
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2020 Dems: New Hampshire (thank god, a normal primary)
Oh come on. Mayor Pete said it himself. Who cares what the Rs think? If a moderate wins the nomination, they'll call him/her a socialist. If a progressive wins, ditto. They screamed socialism from the rooftops in 2018 and it didn't change that election from being a good one for the Ds. The boy who cried wolf, yada yada... Obama won Iowa in 2008. Hillary won Iowa (barely) in 2016. New Hampshire is less predictive for the Ds but has been nails for the Rs.
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2020 Dems: Iowa (how it works and what to look for)
You still may if they decide to re-canvass.
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Wrong
I thought Hillary was the safe choice in 2016. Whoops.
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The GQP: Trumpist Death Cult
Quite a few things have pissed me off over the last 4 years or so. But this is hilarious.
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2020 Democratic Nominee
Bernie beat Hillary there by over 20 points in 2016. Lots of bros in New Hampshire.
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2020 Dems: Iowa (how it works and what to look for)
The state of Iowa and the caucus process itself is tailor made for Pete. No close seconds... he needs to place first at the end of counting or he's in some real trouble going forward. It's all uphill from here. For opposite reasons, Biden's demise is being greatly exaggerated. He should still be the favorite to win the nomination. Unfortunately for him, this result doesn't make him look good as the eventual nominee. A fourth place finish in IA shouldn't give anyone confidence that he can win back the Midwest/Rust Belt. I don't buy arguments that this was a disappointing night for Bernie. The progressive vote is being split between him and Warren, and he should do even better than Liz in states that aren't so white. I expect him to win once the vote is fully counted. Only haters can see any downside in placing first against this crowded a field. As for Liz, I was disappointed at first but I'm coming around to thinking the night was a decent showing for her. She should get a bump from the last third left to count. Klob, Yang, and the others who campaigned in Iowa should drop out. It's a four person race, with Bloomberg replacing Pete by Super Tuesday.
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2020 Dems: Iowa (how it works and what to look for)
FTFY
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Andrew Yang for prez...
Yang might pardon Trump if elected https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/02/pardon-trump-andrew-yang-2020-110331
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Andrew Yang for prez...
Yang might pardon Trump if elected https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/02/pardon-trump-andrew-yang-2020-110331
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China Sucks
Something worth pointing out, as much of the hand-wringing on this page over immigration is from folks who lean left: most newly arriving Chinese are conservative. Unlike in past decades, few are political or economic refugees. They tend to have money, which they gained in a society with rampant nepotism and inequality. They'll naturally gravitate to similar entities, i.e. Trump and the GOP. That said, keep bringing them in. Their kids will grow up to be just as liberal as most other Asian-Americans.
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Texas 2020 general election
Beto won in 9 districts that ended up electing a Republican state representative in 2018. 1) That was a lot of ticket splitting. 2) Goddamn Ted Cruz is unpopular. I mean, holy shit. I can't fathom he actually runs for reelection in 2024. White House or bust for him, I think. 3) It's going to be hard to claw away the 10 seats needed to win the State House, if Beto only managed to win in 9 of them. I'm trying not to get my hopes up.
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House district 28 special election today (1/28)
In a heavily Dem-leaning election nationally, Zerwas won reelection here in 2018 by almost nine points. This is not a purple district. For 2020, focus your attention further south to the 26th district: open seat that the GOP won by only 5 in 2018.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
I envy the man who can just eat the cost of his plane ticket like it's nothing.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
- Texas 2020 general election
also applicable- Texas 2020 general election
The Rs historically have been masters at the long game, but some of their recent actions look more like desperation to me. The recent laser-focus on the judiciary, a real bulwark against a liberalizing government and population, suggests the power brokers are aware that they are in electoral trouble long-term and looking for ways to maintain control after they've left office. Please, God, let that be true.- 2020 Democratic Nominee
Then it goes to a brokered convention. What happens then if the progressives, collectively, have the majority? When do the superdelegates swoop in?- CFB coaching carousel
So beating Ole Miss got them to 6-6 and a bowl, which only temporarily extended Moorhead? Is that the connection? Or did one rival replacing a coach prompt the other to do the same?- CFB coaching carousel
I can't keep up. Who did Leach replace at Miss St? I'm looking to validate that tweet in my mind.- Sagarin Rankings of the Last 20 National champions
Total no-brainer to put that '02 tOSU team at #20- Redbox Bowl: Illinois vs Cal... Fox
Hey, I'm still getting used to Garbers being good. This was the best game of his career.- Redbox Bowl: Illinois vs Cal... Fox
I like Garbers but I'd take Patterson over him in a heartbeat. - Texas 2020 general election
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