Everything posted by berlinerbaer
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Was that tweet from earlier today about the "found" Democratic votes in Nevada legit? I haven't heard it reported elsewhere.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Bruh- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Just got back from doing my part. Fuck Trump!- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
That shrinking Dem reg advantage got a massive shot in the arm back in July, and those new registrants are going to vote bigly for Kamala.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Mad lib time! I find it weirdly __________ that Democrats might lock up PA before most Texans have a chance to even cast a ballot. amusing, fascinating, infuriating- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Agreed. I cringed when she gave a shout-out to Dick at that rally. Nobody likes Dick Cheney and all Democrats HATE him. Unforced error.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Umm…- 2024 Random Games thread
How the hell did we lose to FSU?- 2024 Random Games thread
Don't care, had Game DEI- 2024 Senate Elections
Some candidates are just good at raising money on their own. I don't know how easy those funds can be transferred to other campaigns and wouldn't assume big numbers in some places mean the national party is hanging some candidates out to dry. Gallego comes to mind. He's ahead like +10 in the polls and doesn't need $35M, but people are still opening their wallets for him.- 2024 Random Games thread
The Pac had rules against placing the visitors next to the students. The ACC does not. I'll know the university is taking football seriously if the students are coached into turning this into home field advantage instead of just moving the away team, which I fully expect.- RFK Jr. off the chain and off his rocker
That poll is 100% bullshit. It's hard enough nowadays to poll enough voters for any candidate to get a MOE of 2%. That would require hundreds if not > 1000 respondents. There is no way they got that many RFK voters to respond. This has to be a crosstab of a general election poll with like 50 RFK voters, in which case the MOE is greater than 20%.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
That's about one volunteer for every 200 - 300 voters in the LV metro area. That's A LOT of phone calls and door knocks between now and November.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
No question Obama's was bigger, but his movement grew in spite of, or probably because of its independence from the Democratic party. This did not help the party post-ACA. Harris and Walz are not outsiders or newcomers to the Democratic party. The groundswell of support they are attracting should help the party going forward. Although it doesn't feel as unique and powerful as Obama '08 felt to me, this campaign and the administration that should come in 2025 will likely be far more consequential than Obama's. Harris also didn't have to win a grueling primary to get the nomination, unlike Obama having to go through Hillary. '08 seemed fun at the time but it really left some real damage in the party, if we are being honest with ourselves.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Should have just swung for the fences with Kamablablah or Kamablablablah- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Then they need to quit being pussies and endorse her.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Harris is rightly using the Lankford bill to hammer Republicans on the campaign. It's your own fault that you don't understand politics enough to realize that isn't predictive of her future administration's policy. That bill is dead and buried and will never get voted on. The next immigration bill drafed under a Harris administration will be to the left of that one, maybe only slightly, because the Republicans will have lost all leverage.- InkaUtexas' Thread of Olympic Soccer Doom
France fucking around and probably should be down a goal at half. Guinea has had two goals taken off the board after VAR offsides calls. Questionable.- Republican Convention - "mill-e-wah-que"
Someone walk through the electoral strategy of choosing JD Vance as running mate, because I don't get it. He's from Ohio. Trump is already going to win Ohio. Ask Wolverine fans if Ohio = Michigan. He's a nutbag. Does Trump not already have the nutbag vote locked up? Actually, he was a nutbag never Trumper with a shitty book who became a nutbag MAGA. That doesn't equate to appeal with moderates or indies. Mike Pence was a great choice in 2016. This isn't as bad as choosing Vivek, but there is no net benefit to this pick unless I'm missing something.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
This was true before the debate.- I Belize we need this topic....
I was walking the Lamanai ruins earlier this week and the mosquitoes were otherworldly until we applied the DEET. Just be prepared.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
The polls have been bad for Biden all year compared to 2020. Have the polls shifted much since the debate?- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
It’s Harris as plan B and there is no plan C. She’s the veep and situations like this are what veeps are for, no? She’s been on the ticket and in the cabinet for 4 years already and she’ll have access to all the campaign cash accrued to date. I doubt the party could unite behind anyone else in four months without some group in the D tent getting their feelings hurt. The base will get behind Harris if only because of succession, and reassuring the base is step 1. Worry about indies later.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
There is no silver bullet that will take down Trump. It wasn’t Jan 6, it wasn’t getting impeached twice, it wasn’t losing in 2020, and it wasn’t 34 felony convictions. It sure as hell wouldn’t have been a good debate performance by Biden. Thankfully, I believe the flip side is also true in this single case. A bad debate performance won’t sink Biden. He’ll be good enough in September that this won’t matter. - 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
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