Everything posted by VolenteHawk
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"Bucket List Barbecue in Every State"
Huge pet peeve of mine among idiots..."how can you get great sushi in __________?" You could hypothetically get the best sushi in the US in Lincoln or Des Moines. Being landlocked doesn't mean shit.
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"Bucket List Barbecue in Every State"
And now that I've gone through them, being historic is apparently worth points in the BBQ cradles...so Arthur Bryants wins Missouri for the same reason City Market wins Texas, even though neither one is the best.
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"Bucket List Barbecue in Every State"
Joe's suffers in these things, because the most famous thing on the menu is a gawddamn sandwich with cheese and an onion ring on it.
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Trivial Things That Make You Surly
That's a good one. I've seen some Big 12 fans do it with the West Virginia final four from a few years back.
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Fire Shaka Smart
Self left him a shitload of talent. After those kids left, he was under .500 in Big Ten play and only got out of the round of 64 once (and lost in the 2nd round). With his own recruits, he's actually very similar to Shaka but doesn't recruit at a high enough talent level for guys to leave early, and he's a pretty good developer of players...so when an experienced core comes together, he can get seasons like these every few years. Edit: I think Weber is a good coach that struggles to recruit, I think Shaka in an okay coach in a league with such good coaching that that gets you exposed.
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FBI vs. NCAA Coaches
Pre cell phone. And if I’m being honest, she was just okay...it is Omaha afterall. But it was warm and wet.
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FBI vs. NCAA Coaches
For serious, everybody that’s getting 5 stars in caught up in this. It’s just a matter of what they can prove on who. That will separate hand slaps from lowering the boom.
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Dan Jenkins RIP
Dead Solid Perfect and Money Whipped... is how I was introduced to Jenkins. Great stuff. RIP.
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FBI vs. NCAA Coaches
Creighton (lightly) recruited me in the mid 90s. They were giving out cash and all I got was a freshman jersey chaser at a party?
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2018-19 Big 12 Basketball Thread
KU historically has the Big 12 title and their NCAA seed locked up before KC. It’s usually an exercise in not getting hurt and getting ready for the real tournament. The Champions Classic, holiday tournaments (especially Maui), the conference tournament, and the Final Four are parties for KU fans. The 1/2 round site and regional are usually uneasy stress fests, because we’re favored with nothing but downside. Those aren’t much fun at all until we’ve gotten through. And it goes back way further than 2012. For a stretch, Roy’s NCAA success was better in years when we got beat. Many of our fans actually thought there was something to that. Under Self it’s pretty random, but it’s just not a meaningful tournament. Once we make the finals I root for us, because there is no reason not to by then...but I’d rather we lose before that and stay healthy. And it’s institutional, there are no Big 12 tournament banners in Allen.
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2018-19 Big 12 Basketball Thread
Meh, when you're playing Kansas or Iowa State it's a road game. The couple good looks UT has had in the finals were all legitimately great KU teams...you put '08 Texas in any other year and they're probably champs.
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2018-19 Big 12 Basketball Thread
If winning it paves a Tulsa - KC path (that we can't exploit anyway) then it has some meaning...otherwise, the Phillips 66 Invitational remains simply a very good reason to party.
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Wives and the Stupid Shit They Say/Do
If she’s made it this far in life with that attitude, she must be an absolute monster in the sack.
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Universal Remotes for elaborate home theater setup
The Harmony Elite supports different IR for the same devices, DTV is the one that stopped doing it once all their hardware supported RF.
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Wives and the Stupid Shit They Say/Do
Nah, she’s just making sure she’s not too far gone in case she needs to find the next him.
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Universal Remotes for elaborate home theater setup
I use the Harmony Elite in my game room. It does not do RF to the devices (only from remote to hub), so the 4th DirecTV box could be problematic...it has 2 IR blaster ports, which would max out IR control without two of them stomping on each other. My room is 3 TVs and 3 DTV boxes, and it works for me (13 devices total). The remote itself is great and works with everything flawlessly. Setup took an hour or two, and that’s mostly getting power settings right to leave shit on when you change activities and get the DTV box IR blaster control correct, everything else works pretty much out of the box. Edit: You’re right about the independent IR control, DTV killed that. That’s how I’d prefer to control mine, but the proper menus from online articles don’t exist anymore in the setup. There is apparently an RF extender for the remote/hub that I have that would allow independent RF control, but I have not tried it.
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Steak
You like Chili’s...you’ll be fine.
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2018-19 Big 12 Basketball Thread
"It's basketball, it's all we have" kicked me right in the dick.
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2019 Poker run gooder or die thread
I like the flop call given the stereotype read. The only thing I'd be really afraid of is a set, and you correctly point out that there's almost no way he has that with the flop CR. I would have just jammed the turn, I think, but that's shitty bet sizing by him.
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Historical results data
Home favorites win (outright) at a higher rate, because home teams tend to be bigger favorites...not because they're at home. For best odds of winning, it's considerably more important to be the favorite than the home team. Season to date, home teams win 67.5% of the time, favorites win 74.5% of the time, and home favorites win 77.1% of the time. ATS those same numbers are 49.9%, 50%, and 50.1%. Those ATS numbers demonstrate the efficiency of the betting market and assure us that venue is priced extremely accurately. You could use vegasinsder.com and work backwards over time to find favorites in the 8-10 range to test your intuition on home/road splits, but I suspect you won't find any variance...just trusting the efficiency of the point spread. I don't think your strategy is necessarily a bad one, five 85% favorites will all win 44% of the time...so 1.5:1 is positive EV, I just don't think it's venue based, because I don't think there is a glaring home/road inefficiency in the market. That is intuitive to me, because step 1 in handicapping is "where is the game being played?".
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Historical results data
I don't know of any site that has exactly what you're looking for without writing some software. However, home/away is already baked into the spread...so what you found is likely very close to the number that you want. I don't know how many such games have existed this year, but over a big enough sample...8 point home favorites will win at the same rate as 8 point road favorites. The link below is obviously aggregate data, notice in the ATS numbers below every split is within ~0.1% of being perfectly efficient. https://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncb/trends/league/season.html
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2018-19 Big 12 Basketball Thread
Not having a high level team in the conference does drag it down, but it might mostly be the perception of it. K-State was leading the Big 12 (even though they're about the 4th best team in the conference) and just got waxed on national television. That's just a bad look. JHawk is definitely projecting, though. The conference as a whole is down a little bit, but it's not drastic. Kansas and West Virginia are way down, but Iowa State is way better, Texas Tech is marginally better and a legit top 10 team, and K-State is better...that's 3 of the top 4.
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Wives and the Stupid Shit They Say/Do
This happens at my house, too. Wife’s company is based in Chicago, so we do a lot of Monday night to Friday morning on our own. I don’t lift a finger except pointing out the time. Always goes smoothly. The day she’s back...chaos.
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2018-19 Big 12 Basketball Thread
Yeah, a couple of the years the streak extended Kansas wasn’t necessarily the best team. But you generally have to be a game better to cover the home game that you’re gonna drop that they’re not.
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Unpopular Opinions Thread
Meh. You’re not wrong.