Everything posted by Hefeweizen
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2025 Thread of the Rains
I'm sorry I don't have anything to add except how awful I feel about all of this. One thing that is clear, though - our statistical models are chasing climate change and unfortunately appear to not be equipped to catch up. We're using what is called Atlas 14 (NOAA's newest prediction model for precipitation) and it falls way short of the rainfall totals we're seeing in localized areas. Is it possible that these events are way outside the normal probabilities of exceedance? Yes, it's possible. It's not statistically likely given the frequency of exceedance, though. As I was telling a licensed engineer who was revising a (500 year!) floodplain the other day, you're just weighing the odds of a larger event against the cost of increasing fill/conveyance. It's ultimately not going to matter if the design storm is inadequate; the fault will lie entirely on whoever is promulgating a maximum exceedance event as less than its actual volume. Engineers can only do so much with the data provided, and climate change is making it so the backwards looking statistical models are just not adequate in a lot of cases.
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Jimmy Swaggart has passed
Oh no, anyways.
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2025 Wimbledon Championships
The amount of seeds eliminated is shocking. This just goes to show no one knows how to play on grass. Serve is king and Gauff hits like half her first serves.
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Cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, etc.)
There is one valuable utility to these coins and it is bypassing currency exchanges which are useless. My brother gets paid in USD and converts to real using BTC and pays next to nothing for it. I totally see the utility there. As a store of value, fuck off. But to move quickly from different currencies, hell yes.
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Elon Musk: Nazi traitor piece of shit [Confirmed]
Fuck I’m going to root for Elmo now? What the ever loving fuck is going here?
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Tariff wars, they have began
Realize that most of these guys have just now understood the US is like an elephant that just snorted coke. You probably just want to get out of the way for a while until the elephant crashes or finds something else to fuck up. You aren’t winning a head to head battle. So worst case, you fold, take a loss, and bide your time. They don’t have have much of a choice.
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Texas -- a failed state
Rick Perry was just a typical grifter politician. I remember 30 years ago him coming into my old bosses office to talk about the manor airport site. He was just a dumb guy who was pretty likable and political. Nothing like the evil criminals we like to put in office these days.
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Firefighters ambushed by gunman while responding to brush fire in Idaho
Pretty much a bunch of pussies whining about the level of discourse while Rome is fucking burning. Get your miniature violins out.
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Rental cars (or lack thereof)
I knew Avis and Budget were the same, but not Enterprise and their sisters. It's interesting because their service is superior to all the other brands. My company uses Enterprise exclusively because of our experience with them.
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Tuition payment strategies
Same at UC system schools. Just pay via echeck without fee. In the case of UC it's still like a 50 cent fee but for a 15k payment whatever. There isn't a way to game tuition payments that I found to work to be honest. I tried all the different alternatives.
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Firefighters ambushed by gunman while responding to brush fire in Idaho
No doubt. Instead of a 401k at birth, everyone should be issued an AR-15 as soon as they are able to pull the trigger.
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2021 - Is inflation finally back in the conversation?
I'll be honest in that in my retirement calculations SS doesn't even factor. I am expecting our debt payments to get so bad that the government slashes benefits. FWIW I'm early fifties and financially ready to retire but nervous wife, kids with big post college expenses (post grad education) and extreme guilt about leaving the team I built over 25 years. The US is coming to a reckoning soon. I'm not a doomsday cultist but our debt service expense is the most rapidly growing expense of the federal government and I think we're on the precipice of the doom spiral of debt.
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Elon Musk: Nazi traitor piece of shit [Confirmed]
They don’t fucking care, Elmo. Your EV subsidies are gone and your car company is going to need to shed a lot of shareholder value soon.
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2021 - Is inflation finally back in the conversation?
Lol wake me up the first time defense spending is cut. Fucking bullshit, like we always expect from your new names.
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Getting old sucks
Yeah I got progressives which don't do much for distance in terms of adjustment, but pretty strong on reading, and they are awesome for wearing all the time. No way I could do contacts.
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Rental cars (or lack thereof)
Yeah that's going to be a no from me dawg. They can fuck themselves with a rusty butter knife before I agree to that. Uber/Lyft etc. By the way Enterprise is usually the better bet anyway,
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2021 - Is inflation finally back in the conversation?
Tariffs are back on the menu boys, time to eat!
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2021 - Is inflation finally back in the conversation?
GDP revised to -0.5 percent first quarter and almost certainly similar second quarter. Market approaching ATH? What could possibly go wrong right now?
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Bomb Bomb Bomb, Bomb Bomb Iran.
Big burly flyers with tears in their eyes told him to rebuild Fordo. It was the best nucular facility ever.
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Israel vs everyone war thread
I’m in my cups tonight so I changed my avatar. Sorry Slava Ukraine. Time for some sweet action with furniture.
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Israel vs everyone war thread
- Israel vs everyone war thread
Holy shit my takeaway from this little kerfuffle is that if you bought Soviet or Chinese air defense equipment you’ve been put on notice you’re fucked. This is a huge boon to western manufacturers of air defense and especially to anti missile defense. Crazy how easily Israel established air superiority and that there is basically nothing Iran can do except asymmetric responses at this point.- 2021 - Is inflation finally back in the conversation?
Plus posting a 2018 tweet. Can this troll just go away again?- Israel vs everyone war thread
Not quoting twitter, in fact, wish I could just not see them, but how soon will there be verification that Fordow is actually damaged/destroyed by this? Thank you for your attention to this matter!- 2021 - Is inflation finally back in the conversation?
More like a box of hammers. - Israel vs everyone war thread
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