Jump to content
View in the app

A better way to browse. Learn more.

Surly Horns

A full-screen app on your home screen with push notifications, badges and more.

To install this app on iOS and iPadOS
  1. Tap the Share icon in Safari
  2. Scroll the menu and tap Add to Home Screen.
  3. Tap Add in the top-right corner.
To install this app on Android
  1. Tap the 3-dot menu (⋮) in the top-right corner of the browser.
  2. Tap Add to Home screen or Install app.
  3. Confirm by tapping Install.
Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... 🤫995🤫 ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business & Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Advertise... Tailgate Donations

Featured Replies

They need to square their MO/IN predictions besides "a feeling." Because Donnelly has been up in almost every gold-standard poll and Claire is either tied or ahead (Hawley is like, only led in Republican friendly or Republican internal polls).   There's been huge, record midterm turnout in Lake/Marion in IN which are the Democratic strongholds.

  • Replies 6.5k
  • Views 414.5k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Most Popular Posts

  • Bozo_Casanova
    Bozo_Casanova

    You said it in the only way that matters: you voted for it. 

  • I told my friends at work today to get ready for some excuse destroying reality.   We are no longer going to be able to excuse the behavior of voters in this election as 'being foolish', 'hoping Trump

  • Brisketexan
    Brisketexan

    Fire protection. Police protection. Local road construction and maintenance. Interstate highway construction and maintenance. Airport operation, air traffic control, airline safety

39 minutes ago, Mack Tripper said:

My understanding is that some third party group who doesn't like AOC submitted Crowley's name as their candidate and is distributing fliers with Crowley on them. 

 

Not Sure if Posted, but he literally can't take his name off the ballot unless he moved out of the district and was disqualified.

Just a reminder for all of you degenerates (hi, me too):

Go to bed after the polls close on the West Coast and if/when they call AZ and NV Sen.  Because most of those California/Washington races may not be called for WEEKS due to VBM.  Ballots just have to be postmarked by 11/6.  Could take a while.  We had primary races go for 4-5 weeks before they got called.

Undecided voters broke the dam

 

What's funny about the NYT Upshot polls is that when I've watched them the past two days, almost all of them had 10% undecided voters. How in the fuck are there that many undecided voters right now? I guess I shouldn't be surprised that many people don't go to any lengths to inform themselves of who to vote for.

59 minutes ago, Mack Tripper said:

My understanding is that some third party group who doesn't like AOC submitted Crowley's name as their candidate and is distributing fliers with Crowley on them. 

 

Actually they like AOC and Crowley. They usually just certify the Dem nominee. This year, they decided to nominate Crowley before the Dem primary. That party needs to actually dissolve if it isn't going to have its own nominees. He isnt running, but couldnt get off the ballot without changing residence.

Anyway, he may get a few votes, but it won't be close.   AOC now benefits from straight Dem voters who don't know any candidates names. 

Also, she isnt campaigning now either.  Nor is the irrelevant GOP candidate. If Cuomo wasnt campaigning, you wouldnt even know there is an election here tomorrow. 

Hopefully that Trump make the gospel great again sign is either some really on the nose satire or a Russian campaign. Otherwise we’re living in the Left Behind version of Revelations.

3 minutes ago, Mole said:

Hopefully that Trump make the gospel great again sign is either some really on the nose satire or a Russian campaign. Otherwise we’re living in the Left Behind version of Revelations.

Sigh.  You know the truth.  It involves a shitty miniseries with Kirk Cameron.

15 minutes ago, GSU&UT said:

What's funny about the NYT Upshot polls is that when I've watched them the past two days, almost all of them had 10% undecided voters. How in the fuck are there that many undecided voters right now? I guess I shouldn't be surprised that many people don't go to any lengths to inform themselves of who to vote for.

They don't push them.  But Cohn does usually mention that the vast majority of them seem to favor Democrat control and/or lean towards the D candidate.  It's a matter of them breaking at the last minute, a la every other wave election.

15 minutes ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

ate says/Nates say: prepare for November surprises in some safe looking R districts.

This is the shit I was talking about yesterday.  There are so many districts that don’t get polled because they’re just assumed to go red and there’s no reason to waste the money on it.  

1 minute ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

This is the shit I was talking about yesterday.  There are so many districts that don’t get polled because they’re just assumed to go red and there’s no reason to waste the money on it.  

So what you're saying is....

We def needed 6 more Florida Senate polls the final weekend.

57 minutes ago, GSU&UT said:

What's funny about the NYT Upshot polls is that when I've watched them the past two days, almost all of them had 10% undecided voters. How in the fuck are there that many undecided voters right now? I guess I shouldn't be surprised that many people don't go to any lengths to inform themselves of who to vote for.

ken.jpg

58 minutes ago, GSU&UT said:

What's funny about the NYT Upshot polls is that when I've watched them the past two days, almost all of them had 10% undecided voters. How in the fuck are there that many undecided voters right now? I guess I shouldn't be surprised that many people don't go to any lengths to inform themselves of who to vote for.

I bet at least 10% of Americans don't realize tomorrow is election day. 

34 minutes ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

 

Nate says/Nates say: prepare for November surprises in some safe looking R districts.

There is 100% a GOP member of congress out there who has put in minimal reelection effort, thinks they've got it in the bag, and is going to get a very uncomfortable call around 9:00 pm on election night.

13 minutes ago, Hawndoh said:

I bet at least 10% of Americans don't realize tomorrow is election day. 

Well that is an easy bet. Babies don't know shit (which may mean they are better informed than 40% of voters. . .)

25 minutes ago, Bateshorn said:

There is 100% a GOP member of congress out there who has put in minimal reelection effort, thinks they've got it in the bag, and is going to get a very uncomfortable call around 9:00 pm on election night.

Every. Fucking. Cycle.

Love seeing who the Dumbfuck of the Cycle ends up being.  Big ole whoops.

38 minutes ago, Bateshorn said:

There is 100% a GOP member of congress out there who has put in minimal reelection effort, thinks they've got it in the bag, and is going to get a very uncomfortable call around 9:00 pm on election night.

giphy.gif

Edited by happyfunball

1 hour ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

 

Nate says/Nates say: prepare for November surprises in some safe looking R districts.

Watch Abbott lose. 

2 minutes ago, Longhorn_Fan68 said:

Watch Abbott lose. 

Yeah...no.

1 minute ago, sushihorn said:

Overnight RCP moved the WV Senate race from Leans Dem to Tossup.  Just a few days ago it was rated Likely Dem.

Their projection now is 50 R, 43 D and 7 Tossups.  They are moving more in line with actual early voting trends.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/2018_elections_senate_map_race_changes.html

yeah, well, WV and R belong to each other

3 minutes ago, sushihorn said:

Overnight RCP moved the WV Senate race from Leans Dem to Tossup.  Just a few days ago it was rated Likely Dem.

Their projection now is 50 R, 43 D and 7 Tossups.  They are moving more in line with actual early voting trends.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/2018_elections_senate_map_race_changes.html

Anything that falls to 5 points or below automatically moves into "toss-up" by RCP.  RCP is an aggregator, they just average out polls and call it a day.  They aren't moving shit because of anything happening on the ground.  Don't make shit up.  More likely an older poll dropped out and moved the average down to 5.0, causing the automatic movement into toss-up.  538 still has this as Likely D

Edited by Js1

2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Anything that falls to 5 points or below automatically moves into "toss-up" by RCP.  RCP is an aggregator, they just average out polls and call it a day.  They aren't moving shit because of anything happening on the ground.  Don't make shit up.  More likely an older poll dropped out and moved the average down to 5.0, causing the automatic movement into toss-up.  538 still has this as Likely D

I’ll add that theirs about 10 house races the Dems are heavily favored in which are labeled by a RCP as “ toss ups”. Same thing for repubs too. About 10 -15

13 minutes ago, Longhorn_Fan68 said:

Watch Abbott lose. 

It's going to be some longtime incumbent who decided not to campaign.  Or, interestingly enough, something like Mississippi Senate special election.  3 candidates, no party ID, top 2 make the run-off.  Wonky things can happen there.

6 minutes ago, sushihorn said:

Overnight RCP moved the WV Senate race from Leans Dem to Tossup.  Just a few days ago it was rated Likely Dem.

Their projection now is 50 R, 43 D and 7 Tossups.  They are moving more in line with actual early voting trends.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/2018_elections_senate_map_race_changes.html

As much as i don't want to see the WV senate seat flip, part of me would get some joy to see Manchin lose even after he voted for Kavanaugh to appease the repubs in the state. 

10 minutes ago, Mo Horn said:

As much as i don't want to see the WV senate seat flip, part of me would get some joy to see Manchin lose even after he voted for Kavanaugh to appease the repubs in the state. 

I would think that any of McCaskill, Donnelly or Heitkamp would gladly trade places with Manchin right now.

It's no coincidence that the worse democrats (the conservative ones) are the ones struggling.

1 hour ago, Bateshorn said:

There is 100% a GOP member of congress out there who has put in minimal reelection effort, thinks they've got it in the bag, and is going to get a very uncomfortable call around 9:00 pm on election night.

I was reading about the Steve King race in Iowa.  A local newspaper editor was quoted as saying that he couldn't believe how lazy King was being with this election cycle.  The editor felt that King could out-debate and out-campaign his opponent but he was phoning it in this cycle.    And that was even before the events over the past 2 weeks.    

When you take your constituency for granted, then some of your supporters may take it for granted that you will win.  And they won't bother to show up to the polls.

3 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

I was reading about the Steve King race in Iowa.  A local newspaper editor was quoted as saying that he couldn't believe how lazy King was being with this election cycle.  The editor felt that King could out-debate and out-campaign his opponent but he was phoning it in this cycle.    And that was even before the events over the past 2 weeks.    

When you take your constituency for granted, then some of your supporters may take it for granted that you will win.  And they won't bother to show up to the polls.

He finally went up on the air - WITH AN AD FROM 2014! 

Just now, Js1 said:

He finally went up on the air - WITH AN AD FROM 2014! 

It'll work.  He'll fight to protect you from OBAMA....because Obama is....you know....

It's Iowa.  It'll work.  He'll win.

I was reading about the Steve King race in Iowa.  A local newspaper editor was quoted as saying that he couldn't believe how lazy King was being with this election cycle.  The editor felt that King could out-debate and out-campaign his opponent but he was phoning it in this cycle.    And that was even before the events over the past 2 weeks.    
When you take your constituency for granted, then some of your supporters may take it for granted that you will win.  And they won't bother to show up to the polls.

Too tired to campaign when he stays out late at klan rallies three or four times a week.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk

So, all these illegals are going to flood the polling places tomorrow in Georgia, with valid voter registrations?  Meaning Kemp didn't do his job to reject these for being undocument immigrant noncitizens?  And they should trust him to then do a bang-up job of governor?

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

He finally went up on the air - WITH AN AD FROM 2014! 

Don't let CRAZY SAM RAYBURN take the house!  Vote KING and the GOLD STANDARD!

1 minute ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

Don't let CRAZY SAM RAYBURN take the house!  Vote KING and the GOLD STANDARD!

Right on  except he'd be better off backing Free Silver in Iowa.

1 hour ago, Dahobbs said:

Babies don't know shit

That's one of two things babies actually know.

Just now, Mole said:

That's one of two things babies actually know.

They display a stunningly higher grasp of policy, decency and humanity than POTUS.

7 hours ago, BrickHorn said:

Bullshit.  Leaders are supposed to lead.  That’s no longer the GOP way.  Rather than lead the country toward a brighter future, the GOP has resigned itself to indulging the worst paranoid fantasies of its moron base.  The GOP is now the enabler, helping its friends find a vein for a shot of ignorance and vitriol.  That shit might feel good now.  But no nation has ever been made better off by the kind of divisive, idiotic shit the GOP currently peddles to its rage-junkie base.  It will rot this great nation, and the GOP’s choice to enable rather than lead will be to blame.  

tl;dr: be a man and take responsibility for the bullshit your party condones.

What about BLM, Antifta etc?  Who is fucking leading from the left?  Obama?  He is too busy flailing his arms and talking about himself to lead.

Just now, NameWithHeld said:

What about BLM, Antifta etc?  Who is fucking leading from the left?  Obama?  He is too busy flailing his arms and talking about himself to lead.

What about BLM and Antifa?

what a monumentally shitty poster. 

  • Popular Post
4 minutes ago, NameWithHeld said:

He is too busy flailing his arms and talking about himself to lead.

tenor.gif?itemid=5149771

6 hours ago, cactusflinthead said:

Full list

 

The Crystal Ball is going to roll off, hit the floor and shatter biggly.

4 minutes ago, Gil Bang said:

what a monumentally shitty poster. 

This new version of Swam sucks 

What about BLM, Antifta etc?  Who is fucking leading from the left?  Obama?  He is too busy flailing his arms and talking about himself to lead.

Poorly conceived and executed "BuT oBaMa!1!1!1" Needs improvement. 3/10.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

This new version of Swam sucks 

Yeah I liked the old one better too. 

Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... 🤫995🤫 ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business & Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Advertise... Tailgate Donations

Configure browser push notifications

Chrome (Android)
  1. Tap the lock icon next to the address bar.
  2. Tap Permissions → Notifications.
  3. Adjust your preference.
Chrome (Desktop)
  1. Click the padlock icon in the address bar.
  2. Select Site settings.
  3. Find Notifications and adjust your preference.