March 31, 20205 yr As in all crises, the market adjusts, and you have winners and losers in the end. You have current businesses who's business will sore, and other businesses who will crash hard, and die out. Same with industry, not just business-specific. So, in your opinion, who or what are the winners and losers when this is said and done? No politics (plz try), and trying not to get personal (ie - people will die, they're the losers) if that makes sense. Winners Zoom - It's a buzz word now, and it will be how business, school, etc. is conducted from this point forward. Zoom is where it's at right now, so when other players enter the game, they better be ready. At home meal services - We currently are doing Hello Fresh. What are some others? Door Dash, Uber Eats, etc. Losers Brick and mortar Retail - Online shopping is very prevalent already, but I think this increases logistics of parcel services to get items to folks quicker, and folks will ditch retail Cruise Lines What say ye?
March 31, 20205 yr Popular Post The losers are the businesses that responsibly maintained healthy balance sheets with enough cash on hand to survive a revenue interruption, as they'll be spending their own money over the next 2-3 months. The winners are the businesses that irresponsibly pushed every ounce of liquidity out to their investors and executives. They'll be spending taxpayer money over the next 2-3 months.
March 31, 20205 yr Losers: citizens. NY just announced they're releasing hundreds of inmates. One of them was locked up for killing an EMT, according to the NY Post. I imagine many murderers and rapists are either about to be released or already have been, nationwide. We all lose.
March 31, 20205 yr 2 minutes ago, PilotsError said: Losers: citizens. NY just announced they're releasing hundreds of inmates. One of them was locked up for killing an EMT, according to the NY Post. I imagine many murderers and rapists are either about to be released or already have been, nationwide. We all lose. You gonna call the police?
March 31, 20205 yr Companies that enable remote, distributed work. This event has been a catalyst for many industries to move to SaaS based solutions to allow their workforce to continue working. Zoom like the OP is just the headline company but many industry specific tech services are seeing a sales upswing past few weeks.
March 31, 20205 yr Losers-anyone involved in commercial real estate; owners, investors, brokers, insurers. I also don't have a great grasp of how insurance markets work but I presume that a lot of insurers have significant risk exposure to the bond and equities markets and the flight to cash three weeks ago (and ongoing) surely hurts them, irrespective of policy claims (at least on the medical side so those might be bankrupting, as well).
March 31, 20205 yr 6 hours ago, ernest_t_bass said: As in all crises, the market adjusts, and you have winners and losers in the end. You have current businesses who's business will sore, and other businesses who will crash hard, and die out. Same with industry, not just business-specific. So, in your opinion, who or what are the winners and losers when this is said and done? No politics (plz try), and trying not to get personal (ie - people will die, they're the losers) if that makes sense. Winners Zoom - It's a buzz word now, and it will be how business, school, etc. is conducted from this point forward. Zoom is where it's at right now, so when other players enter the game, they better be ready. At home meal services - We currently are doing Hello Fresh. What are some others? Door Dash, Uber Eats, etc. Losers Brick and mortar Retail - Online shopping is very prevalent already, but I think this increases logistics of parcel services to get items to folks quicker, and folks will ditch retail Cruise Lines What say ye? zoom has some very real security issues...also they own the content that is on the screen. not a good option when you dig into those details. it did not make it through the 1st phase of our security review. winners- those with cash on deck losers- those without cash Edited March 31, 20205 yr by riloh05
March 31, 20205 yr Same as it was before, but now with even more disparity Winners: The 1% Losers: everyone else
March 31, 20205 yr One of my customers is a SaaS product for law firms to operate remotely. They are smashing it.
March 31, 20205 yr Online education companies, specifically those that provide online curriculum to school districts. I happen to work for one of the big guns and obviously it's huge for us.
March 31, 20205 yr Losers - All the sales guys that get to keep their hotel/airlines/car rental rewards. Traveling sales could look a lot different after companies see their people can still sell sitting at home. Winners - H-E-B.
March 31, 20205 yr 1 minute ago, kmac30 said: Losers - All the sales guys that get to keep their hotel/airlines/car rental rewards. Traveling sales could look a lot different after companies see their people can still sell sitting at home. Winners - H-E-B. That's the damn truth right there. Outside sales still has its place in some situations, but a lot of executives are about to find out that Inside teams are a preferable option in most scenarios.
March 31, 20205 yr Seems that the virus is doing pretty well. Went from a local unknown to going on a smash world tour in a few months. Biologically, it's a huge success. COVID-19.... Losers: Well, you know....all the sick and dead people. Definitely have to call that a negative.
March 31, 20205 yr Winners: Pets. They're happy because YOU'RE HOME ALL THE TIME. Losers: Pool boys looking to get some. Kinda hard to give Karen the business when her cuck in in the other room.
March 31, 20205 yr 1 minute ago, Parliament said: Winners: Pets. They're happy because YOU'RE HOME ALL THE TIME. And I have seen more people walking their dogs on my street this week than the first two months of the year combined.
March 31, 20205 yr 7 hours ago, ernest_t_bass said: Winners Zoom - It's a buzz word now, and it will be how business, school, etc. is conducted from this point forward. Zoom is where it's at right now, so when other players enter the game, they better be ready. At home meal services - We currently are doing Hello Fresh. What are some others? Door Dash, Uber Eats, etc. Losers Brick and mortar Retail - Online shopping is very prevalent already, but I think this increases logistics of parcel services to get items to folks quicker, and folks will ditch retail I'm honestly kind of excited to see how the world returns to "normal" after this, and what changes that we've made during this time become the new "normal." (I swear that I'm not a person who normally says things like that, either.) Edited March 31, 20205 yr by Beau Vine
March 31, 20205 yr 7 hours ago, BradInATX said: The losers are the businesses that responsibly maintained healthy balance sheets with enough cash on hand to survive a revenue interruption, as they'll be spending their own money over the next 2-3 months. The winners are the businesses that irresponsibly pushed every ounce of liquidity out to their investors and executives. They'll be spending taxpayer money over the next 2-3 months. A lot of businesses that will receive a bailout could have easily gotten by for 2-3 months. My employer has already said 6 months of very little to no revenue would be no problem. If that's all it was, full payroll could continue with cash on hand. But they're expecting this loss of revenue to last long beyond the end of the virus. Unemployment is about to skyrocket, emergency funds will be emptied across the nation, spending will drop, and the revenues of all kinds of businesses will suffer along with that long after the virus moves on. That's not an excuse for the out of control executive salaries, stock buybacks, etc... I'm as opposed to that as anyone. But it's kind of short-sighted to say a company with 6 months of expenses in savings didn't a healthy balance sheet. Plenty of business were prepared for a bad 6 months or beyond but are still going to need help.
March 31, 20205 yr 7 minutes ago, Parliament said: Winners: Pets. They're happy because YOU'RE HOME ALL THE TIME. Losers: Pool boys looking to get some. Kinda hard to give Karen the business when her cuck in in the other room. Poor Hamm can't give Karen Key Largo the business any longer? I thought Jimbo liked that?
March 31, 20205 yr 5 minutes ago, Poe It Up said: My future hand and wrist specialist is the winner here. My wife is now working from home, so that evens things out.
March 31, 20205 yr The losers? Uh...the dead people. It’s hard to be a winner if you’re dead. I guess Jesus might qualify /Norm McDonald.
March 31, 20205 yr 30 minutes ago, Your Mom said: A lot of businesses that will receive a bailout could have easily gotten by for 2-3 months. My employer has already said 6 months of very little to no revenue would be no problem. If that's all it was, full payroll could continue with cash on hand. But they're expecting this loss of revenue to last long beyond the end of the virus. Unemployment is about to skyrocket, emergency funds will be emptied across the nation, spending will drop, and the revenues of all kinds of businesses will suffer along with that long after the virus moves on. That's not an excuse for the out of control executive salaries, stock buybacks, etc... I'm as opposed to that as anyone. But it's kind of short-sighted to say a company with 6 months of expenses in savings didn't a healthy balance sheet. Plenty of business were prepared for a bad 6 months or beyond but are still going to need help. No argument from me there. But are we sure that your employer qualifies?
March 31, 20205 yr Without a doubt. And to clarify, my employer is one guilty of excessive executive compensation and stock buybacks. I'm just saying you can be guilty of that and still have a healthy balance sheet and have what every businessman in America thought was enough cash on hand before this. Edited March 31, 20205 yr by Your Mom
March 31, 20205 yr Supermarkets seem to be doing well. Home Depot seems pretty crowded. I bet cheap beer sales are good. Amazon is probably doing well. Most retailers, car manufacturers, really most manufacturing, gas suppliers, elective medical are all losers.
March 31, 20205 yr I think new industries will pop up from this, it will be interesting to see. I think companies like wework could see a resurgence when smaller firms realize they dont need to pay lease for office space when they can rent out a one time room for conf calls. In my line of work in the military, we've seen a metric ton of relaxed requirements, statues, and regs waived. I hope that after all this they see the delegation of authority and requirements that it becomes business as usual instead of going back to the old slow way. I think and hope that Americans learn a ton from this. what matters and doesnt matter, consumerism and consumption. Maybe the small mom and pops suffer now but they see a renaissance when everyone's back, i hope that educators and teachers get the love they deserve after these parents finish the school year for them. Hopefully some manufacturing comes back home . these are all hopes and dreams because after all this is american, americans are what have you done for me lately entitled lazy shits that likely wont learn any lessons from this, see spring break
March 31, 20205 yr Winners: young children , people who love emails in place of face to face meetings.Losers: working parents, and side chicks.
March 31, 20205 yr I have the last few days thinking about the thousands of high school and college students across the country who had blown off stuff recently and were headed towards an exam/test/project due date they were totally unprepared for.
March 31, 20205 yr 1 hour ago, StruggleBus said: One of my customers is a SaaS product for law firms to operate remotely. They are smashing it. My ex-girlfriend has serious webmaster skills, a PHD and is the leading a major university's remote learning division right now. She says that headhunters are breaking down her door. Kinda wish we'd stayed together. 🙂
March 31, 20205 yr At some point during this calamity the Oracle will make a moveSent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk
March 31, 20205 yr winners to me it will be institutions that needed to digitally transform but just couldn't. government, utilities, infra. hard times now but this will force their hand and they arent in threat of getting shut down. huge opp too for the various supply chains that could assist them there. losers - very clearly retail, restaurants and bars. Just fucking crushed now and I just can't see even a sizable chunk coming back anytime soon. I think even in a year if we can get 50% of that somehow back that would be a massive victory. and then all the arms here - commercial real estate for example, catering, food, logistics, etc What is most interesting to me is the consideration of overheated housing costs. Its a global phenomenon for over a decade now. Its just sitting out there and still growing and its eventually nonsensical and not sustainable. not sure, but it surely needs a good rogering to get levels back to normal. sure fucking glad i sold my house last year.
March 31, 20205 yr 37 minutes ago, Sgt Hulk said: I think new industries will pop up from this, it will be interesting to see. I think companies like wework could see a resurgence when smaller firms realize they dont need to pay lease for office space when they can rent out a one time room for conf calls. In my line of work in the military, we've seen a metric ton of relaxed requirements, statues, and regs waived. I hope that after all this they see the delegation of authority and requirements that it becomes business as usual instead of going back to the old slow way. I think and hope that Americans learn a ton from this. what matters and doesnt matter, consumerism and consumption. Maybe the small mom and pops suffer now but they see a renaissance when everyone's back, i hope that educators and teachers get the love they deserve after these parents finish the school year for them. Hopefully some manufacturing comes back home . these are all hopes and dreams because after all this is american, americans are what have you done for me lately entitled lazy shits that likely wont learn any lessons from this, see spring break I am considering expanding my company's consulting into management consulting around just facilitating remote work. not just tech, but people, process, and complete org optimization. huge opp IMO. not sure to what extent its done now so just trying to do a little research. Edited March 31, 20205 yr by staboner
March 31, 20205 yr There will be a flurry of M&A back half off 2020 if financial markets settle down. Companies with strong balance sheets will go on a buying spree.
March 31, 20205 yr Winners: Recurring revenue (subscription) businesses grocery grocery delivery amazon zoom cloud services/saas young people pharma Losers: old people unhealthy people religious people retail small businesses (especially restaurants) sports and live entertainment
April 1, 20205 yr 1 hour ago, Incredulity said: I have the last few days thinking about the thousands of high school and college students across the country who had blown off stuff recently and were headed towards an exam/test/project due date they were totally unprepared for. Or teachers that were supposed to get their observations completed the week after spring break. I know one ...
April 1, 20205 yr 1 hour ago, UTPhil2006 said: Winners: People who refi Losers: People who don't I'm already below 3.9, where's my participation trophy.
April 1, 20205 yr Sonicwall (firewall hardware) sells licenses for 35 dollars per user for offsite login. I'm going with they are loving life.
April 1, 20205 yr That's the damn truth right there. Outside sales still has its place in some situations, but a lot of executives are about to find out that Inside teams are a preferable option in most scenarios. You shut your whore mouth... I really enjoy my outside sales job.In all honesty there will be a lasting change to the way business is done. I hope that I can make some smart moves and count myself among the winners. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
April 1, 20205 yr 32 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said: Losers: Escorts So I’ve been told..... Winner: Camgirls
April 1, 20205 yr 4 hours ago, JesusSweatDuck said: Amazon will be more dominant after this than before Actually, I think this is the sea-change event that sees direct-to-consumer ("D2C") eCommerce explode beyond any capability Bezos has to exploit economies of scale. UPS and FedEx are better plays in my opinion. For software, I'm buying Shopify (TSE:SHOP). There are 2 other big players: - WooCommerce, a WordPress extension, both privately owned by Automattic, which is valued at $3B. - Magento, owned by Adobe The 3 together own 50% of the top 1 million websites. Of the 3, Shopify is the only true multi-tenant SaaS and it's a matter of time before someone buys them for a jabillion. I'm not a market wizard and would welcome advice on how much to buy and when from someone that has the chart voodoo: https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-1-d&q=tsx+shopify There are some new players emerging. Benihoff has a native-flex offering but I don't know much about it. Austin's own BigCommerce (600 employees) is garnering respect but is unfortunately private so no way for the public to cash in. They too are going to get bought.
April 1, 20205 yr 11 hours ago, ernest_t_bass said: At home meal services - We currently are doing Hello Fresh. What are some others? Short term yes on this one but think nyc was a pilot market for these types of companies and after a few months, almost everyone cancels. They're not bad, and do help novice cooks but humans are either too lazy or too smart; they either just go back to eating out or get into cooking/realize it's cheaper to do your own shopping. Maybe fear of infection keeps them afloat longer but in the long run no one uses them forever, least not anyone I know.
April 1, 20205 yr 4 hours ago, riloh05 said: zoom has some very real security issues...also they own the content that is on the screen. not a good option when you dig into those details. it did not make it through the 1st phase of our security review. winners- those with cash on deck losers- those without cash good call on Zoom security and IP ownership. same with Facetime. we're moving from Skype to Teams for the video quality.
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