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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]

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NYT has Trump with 56% chance in NC so what's out must not be favorable for Biden

18 minutes ago, Anastasis said:

Suggestions for who to turn into for the coverage?

Brazzers

1 minute ago, BradInATX said:

Trump gonna take NC too.

if this happens, it's all over 

1 minute ago, BradInATX said:

Trump gonna take NC too. Yikes. I need to up my drinking pace

Um, that is not anywhere close to being the case yet.

Just now, Continental Op said:

Brazzers

Fitlump may be on onlyfans

Just now, cactusflinthead said:

MJ is up by about 6 with 45% per Dallas News 

Urban areas....she's gonna get crushed in Cruzville.

Times 63% Trump NC

Yeah the Times needle was bullshit in 2016. No reason to panic based on it yet.

1 minute ago, immamac said:

NYT is trash. Their polls are way off from turnout stop posting NYT shit.  

NYT is only rating NC, GA, and FL specifically because they report the method of vote: in person early/election day and mail. The only reason they are doing those three is because it can be done accurately, unlike elsewhere.

Not liking the way things are trending so far, but with the mail-in drama, this is likely gonna drag on for awhile. Looking like more booze, then fajitas, then getting stoned to the bejeezus-belt later tonight, and probably eating every ice cream sammich in my freezer.  I have already carved out 15 minutes tomorrow to shame myself. 

1 minute ago, longhornmatt said:

Btw, King’s and some of the analysts are progressively starting to speak in more downtrodden tones.  Maybe it’s fatigue, buts reminding me of 2016 when the non-Fox people started to realize the math looked more concerning for the Democrats than expected.

Yep. These states move together a lot of the time and Florida is going to end up about 3-4% right of the polls.

That could be trouble in Pennsylvania, Arizona, etc.

Thought GA might be a little closer

NYT needle was the first thing that told me Trump was gonna win in 2016. I will never forgive them for that, but it stands out on a night like tonight.

I seem to recall the NYT needle being the wake up call in 2016...but I dunno.  

1 minute ago, BradInATX said:

Yep. These states move together a lot of the time and Florida is going to end up about 3-4% right of the polls.

That could be trouble in Pennsylvania, Arizona, etc.

Good lord, this is so wrong.

Just now, Surly Bevo said:

I seem to recall the NYT needle being the wake up call in 2016...but I dunno.  

It was.

1 minute ago, BradInATX said:

Yep. These states move together a lot of the time and Florida is going to end up about 3-4% right of the polls.

That could be trouble in Pennsylvania, Arizona, etc.

The places Biden is overperforming in FL actually bode fairly well for a state like PA, I would think.

there will gains in Texas almost across the board from 2016, but it wont be enough..

Biden doing 5 or 6 points better than Hillary ain't gonna do it.

Just now, gmr548 said:

The places Biden is overperforming in FL actually bode fairly well for a state like PA, I would think.

Less Cubans 

1 minute ago, Blotto said:

Not liking the way things are trending so far, but with the mail-in drama, this is likely gonna drag on for awhile. Looking like more booze, then fajitas, then getting stoned to the bejeezus-belt later tonight, and probably eating every ice cream sammich in my freezer.  I have already carved out 15 minutes tomorrow to shame myself. 

And another 75 minutes on the toilet. 

Fuck!  Let’s Go!! 

1 minute ago, David Dennison said:

Good lord, this is so wrong.

Get off my nuts, dumb fuck. It's exactly what happened in 2016. Literally every analyst who covered it mentioned that one of the biggest flaws in the polling was that they treated states too independently. Piss off.

Edited by BradInATX

The last decade of Texas football should have prepared you.
The last decades of OSU football have prepared me.
2 minutes ago, RexWilson said:

Thought GA might be a little closer

The big metros haven't really reported yet. 

1 minute ago, BradInATX said:

It was.

Yea thought so, and while past performance is no indicator of future results it is a bit concerning....again.

Collin for Trump so he's gonna win the state. 

john king: if biden flips ohio, trump has no path to reelection.  if biden flips NC, trump has almost no chance of reelection. 

 

2 minutes ago, Surly Bevo said:

Yea thought so, and while past performance is no indicator of future results it is a bit concerning....again.

We're probably looking at three states running several points right of the polling averages. 

Let's hope the cushion in the Rust Belt is enough. 

97 percent of the total votes reported in NC are early votes. That is why the probability is leaning Trump.

Just now, Pato del Muerto said:

NC is 2/3 reporting and Joe is up around 275k

Early vote. 

Just now, elfenix said:

john king: if biden flips ohio, trump has no path to reelection.  if biden flips NC, trump has almost no chance of reelection. 

 

How true is this statement?

Just now, cactusflinthead said:

 

here comes the fix!

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