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On 10/1/2020 at 9:52 AM, Stella Link said:

And of course, the next two names are Delta Gamma.  Just what you'd expect from 2020....

I'm not gonna worry about climate change until we get to Lambda Lambda Lambda. 

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Delta Gamma?

Well you know it’s going get real crazy and blow a lot of people 

AL262020_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

Supposed to go drop off a bunch of furniture at BIL's house in Baton Rouge Friday afternoon then attend LSU game on Saturday. Let's just say I'll hold off on packing for that trip for the moment.

that cone could fuck up a several college football games.  LSU is at home vs Mizz.  Miss is at home vs Bama. Auburn is at home vs piggy. 

and, not so important but Vanderbilt is playing S Carolina as well.  That 2pm Saturday cone covers all those areas.  -not that the storm is gonna be everywhere- just saying thats some big games that could be impacted/ postponed

9 minutes ago, AUS-97HORN said:

that cone could fuck up a several college football games.  LSU is at home vs Mizz.  Miss is at home vs Bama. Auburn is at home vs piggy. 

and, not so important but Vanderbilt is playing S Carolina as well.  That 2pm Saturday cone covers all those areas.  -not that the storm is gonna be everywhere- just saying thats some big games that could be impacted/ postponed

2020 gives zero fucks about the SEC. 

4 hours ago, Storm the Field said:

AL262020_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

 

I expect Hurricane Delta Burke will become a large storm.

1 hour ago, InkaUtexas said:

2020 gives zero fucks about the SEC. 

Surly gives 0 fucks about the SEC.

1 minute ago, Bevo&Pevo said:

Surly gives 0 fucks about the SEC.

So you are saying we are 2020? Or a Hurricane? And yeah, fuck the SEC. 

I expect Hurricane Delta Burke will become a large storm.

giphy.gif

so with this storm path, is there likelihood that there will be some storm surge on Texas coast? seems like we saw some Texas beach flooding earlier this year even though the storms stayed farther east...

so with this storm path, is there likelihood that there will be some storm surge on Texas coast? seems like we saw some Texas beach flooding earlier this year even though the storms stayed farther east...

Yes, but nothing like we saw a couple of weeks ago. We will be in the west side of the storm so it shouldn’t be too bad.

So, I hadn’t heard of this storm until this morning. But last night, I had a dream that a hurricane blew up in the gulf really fast and ultimately made landfall along the TX-LA border as a category 8.

This motherfucker needs to stay east. We can't handle this in Lake Charles.

We took a beating in Fairhope during Sally, need this one to keep trending West.  4AM advisory had it shift west, but like Sally, we are still in the cone here in Baldwin County. 

19 hours ago, Storm the Field said:

AL262020_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

Supposed to go drop off a bunch of furniture at BIL's house in Baton Rouge Friday afternoon then attend LSU game on Saturday. Let's just say I'll hold off on packing for that trip for the moment.

19 hours ago you posted the 8am Advisory that occurred today, Oct 6 th, at 10:40 EDT (or appx 2.5hours ago), mind blown.

Edited by jdhorn92

So, my son has football game scheduled for Friday night in Beaumont.  Any thoughts of how likely that may be?

if stays on current track, Beaumont is AOK.  The wind field is not that wide and you will be at least 250 miles from center, and on the west side of storm

Edited by jdhorn92

Guess I need to go spend a day packing up my yard and my farm so as to protect Houston like I did last month. 

110°?  Not seeing that, and I doubt it.  However, probably mid-high 90's, not a lot of which is due to the 'cane.  It'll go back to 90° or so on Monday. Yeah gonna be hot but almost metaphysically impossible to crack like 105°.

BTW, latest 100° day ever recorded in Austin is Oct. 2 (1938).

'Cane will be strong going thru Cancun, then weaken as it does, then strengthen again in the Gulf, and finally weaken a bit as drier air filters in just before the Cent. LA coast.  My throw of the dices says a Cat 2.  At least right  now.  Still gonna be a significant hurricane.

We won't see any effects at all (I think) in Austin.  Maybe some showers in Houston/TX coast.  Not much.  IF the steering predictions hold.

Guess I need to go spend a day packing up my yard and my farm so as to protect Houston like I did last month. 

Thanks in advance!
7 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

Delta just hit CAT 4? 

I believe so.

6 minutes ago, phdhorn said:

110°?  Not seeing that, and I doubt it.  However, probably mid-high 90's, not a lot of which is due to the 'cane.  It'll go back to 90° or so on Monday. Yeah gonna be hot but almost metaphysically impossible to crack like 105°.

BTW, latest 100° day ever recorded in Austin is Oct. 2 (1938).

'Cane will be strong going thru Cancun, then weaken as it does, then strengthen again in the Gulf, and finally weaken a bit as drier air filters in just before the Cent. LA coast.  My throw of the dices says a Cat 2.  At least right  now.  Still gonna be a significant hurricane.

We won't see any effects at all (I think) in Austin.  Maybe some showers in Houston/TX coast.  Not much.  IF the steering predictions hold.

 

 

So should I leave Lafayette ?

So we were scheduled to take down the plywood Friday.    Just called to push it back another  week. Second time I’ve had to push it back this year.  Fucking 2020  

Edited by Xian

Latest spaghetti models have it coming ashore just east of Marsh Island then heading straight through the Atchafalaya Basin about halfway between Lafayette and BR.

Edited by Storm the Field

20 hours ago, Storm the Field said:

AL262020_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

Supposed to go drop off a bunch of furniture at BIL's house in Baton Rouge Friday afternoon then attend LSU game on Saturday. Let's just say I'll hold off on packing for that trip for the moment.

Username totally does NOT check out. 

2 hours ago, SquishMitten said:

So, I hadn’t heard of this storm until this morning. But last night, I had a dream that a hurricane blew up in the gulf really fast and ultimately made landfall along the TX-LA border as a category 8.

Hurricane Jeannie?

1 minute ago, clapclapclap said:

Euro is in Make You Sweat mode:

9-km-ECMWF-Global-00z-12z-3-Hourly-Gulf-

Good lord, I will probably flee Galveston if this ends up being true. No way am I betting my family on that sharp a turn 

Hurricane Delta Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL262020
1120 AM EDT Tue Oct 06 2020

...RECENTLY RECEIVED DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT 
INDICATE THAT DELTA HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED INTO A CATEGORY 4 
HURRICANE

Good lord, I will probably flee Galveston if this ends up being true. No way am I betting my family on that sharp a turn 

That is a little close for comfort, but what I’ve read before is that the GFS leans west on strong hurricanes. I guess we will see.
57 minutes ago, clapclapclap said:

Euro is in Make You Sweat mode:

9-km-ECMWF-Global-00z-12z-3-Hourly-Gulf-

I wonder what spawned that thing?

Is Bob Knepper hiding out in the Carribean?

18 minutes ago, Hate said:


That is a little close for comfort, but what I’ve read before is that the GFS leans west on strong hurricanes. I guess we will see.

That's the EURO model, which has been sending everything west of where it ends up this year. GFS is the American model which has been nails this season. 

8 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

That's the EURO model, which has been sending everything west of where it ends up this year. GFS is the American model which has been nails this season. 

Last year EURO models were spot on.  This year GFS has been better.  But none of them forecast 140 by now, not even the HWRF, which loves extremes.

Tiny eye just accelerating and building.  Scary stuff if you're in the Yucatan. 

Also don't like that spacecityweather went from "We don't care LOL" to "This is potentially concerning" in 24 hours.

That's the EURO model, which has been sending everything west of where it ends up this year. GFS is the American model which has been nails this season. 

Yeah, typo on my part. Obviously I was referring to the Euro model that was in the post I quoted.

Only thing I have see west of Beaumont so far is a single GFS ensemble member. They just don't make it to Texas in October. 

We should be fine, but it's going to be pretty close for comfort. 

Edited by crimsonlonghorn

1 hour ago, clapclapclap said:

Euro is in Make You Sweat mode:

9-km-ECMWF-Global-00z-12z-3-Hourly-Gulf-

How do you neg a gif?

 

36 minutes ago, Jiggy-Z said:

I wonder what spawned that thing?

Is Bob Knepper hiding out in the Carribean?

OK, between this and the delta burke reference another poster made I'm suddenly feeling old.

4 hours ago, Wally Pryor said:

Cat 4 into Cancun?   Damn.

yep. That sucks. Daughter ( no pics) that lives there and has never been through a hurricane, is freaking out just a bit. 

2 minutes ago, BillyGoatHill said:

yep. That sucks. Daughter ( no pics) that lives there and has never been through a hurricane, is freaking out just a bit. 

she's surviving the cartels and mexican water. this will be a cake walk.

41 minutes ago, justhookit said:

How do you neg a gif?

 

This is what the Rage+1 reaction is for. Gives the poster pos rep for sharing the resource while expressing your hatred for its contents.

11 minutes ago, crash_davis said:

she's surviving the cartels and mexican water. this will be a cake walk.

Ha! Thanks. just got off the phone with her and she got a kick out of your comment.

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