March 24, 20214 yr Wouldn’t be surprised if Lance gets a bigger number than people expect. He’s a low mileage arm who is almost always effective when he’s not hurt. He’s only 27. Pretty easy to project him to be worth as much over the next 5 seasons as he was over the last 5 (10.8 fWAR) which would make something like $70M/5yrs pretty reasonable. Look at a guy like Charlie Morton who was plagued by injuries early in his career but ended up staying healthy and tweaking his repertoire and being a borderline ace.
March 24, 20214 yr 8 hours ago, tx 3 putt said: im curious to see the #'s talked about Yeah when I say I would let him walk, I was meaning if the # is something like this 70M/5 thrown out above
March 24, 20214 yr Author 53 minutes ago, Snake Diggity said: Wouldn’t be surprised if Lance gets a bigger number than people expect. He’s a low mileage arm who is almost always effective when he’s not hurt. He’s only 27. Pretty easy to project him to be worth as much over the next 5 seasons as he was over the last 5 (10.8 fWAR) which would make something like $70M/5yrs pretty reasonable. Look at a guy like Charlie Morton who was plagued by injuries early in his career but ended up staying healthy and tweaking his repertoire and being a borderline ace. 5/70 is way less annually than I said I’d be willing to do at 3/54. I guess I’d probably do that as 14 per isn’t a big salary and as you pointed out, Lance- if heathy- is a borderline ace. hell- to get value out of that all you really need is 2 of the 5 seasons him being healthy and him pitching some in the other 3. Would that be irritating? Yes. But the money would match the production I’d be willing to bet.
March 24, 20214 yr 21 minutes ago, Js1 said: 5/85 allegedly With the $6.5M for 2021, that puts his AAV at $15.25M. Doesn’t that put them over the cap this year? If so, that will fuck them on the potential compensatory draft picks from Verlander,Greinke and , maybe, Correa qualifying offers. Edited March 24, 20214 yr by TonyTexas
March 24, 20214 yr 4 minutes ago, TonyTexas said: With the $6.5M for 2021, that puts his AAV at $15.25M. Doesn’t that put us over the cap? I wouldn't think so with JV and Greinke coming off the books after this season...but I could be wrong.
March 24, 20214 yr 5 minutes ago, TonyTexas said: With the $6.5M for 2021, that puts his AAV at $15.25M. Doesn’t that put them over the cap? If so, that will fuck them on the potential compensatory draft picks from Verlander and Greinke qualifying offers. Pretty sure extensions for pending free agents can be structured as either replacing the existing contract or separate, starting after the current year. So I think for AAV purposes this deal won’t start until 2022.
March 24, 20214 yr 6 minutes ago, TonyTexas said: With the $6.5M for 2021, that puts his AAV at $15.25M. Doesn’t that put them over the cap? If so, that will fuck them on the potential compensatory draft picks from Verlander and Greinke qualifying offers. Shirley not, I doubt Click would be that stupid.
March 24, 20214 yr 23 minutes ago, Gourmand said: $85M is steep, but only about $10M over what I would have been willing to go. Click has access to more info on his health and pitch data so I trust this’ll be a good deal for the Astros. He’s pretty consistently posted #3 starter value (even if that value came in spurts), so $17M/yr for a #3 isnt a bad deal, and if he stays totally healthy they get a #2 SP for #3 cost.
March 24, 20214 yr The way Berman phrased his tweet, McCuller's extension starts in 2022. So no more money this year. Hopefully with the few weeks left they can get a Correa extension done as well. Locking up Bregman, Correa, and McCullers through their 20's is very important.
March 24, 20214 yr 4 minutes ago, Gourmand said: LESSSSGOOOOOO JIMMMY C do correa and get houston out of this fucking sports funk. i can smell it from west hollywood.
March 24, 20214 yr 20 minutes ago, Hank Chinaski said: I wouldn't think so with JV and Greinke coming off the books after this season...but I could be wrong. That would affect the 2022 payroll not 2021 which is what is relevant for the 2022 compensatory draft picks. If the extension doesn’t affect McCuller’s 2021 AAV then they should be alright. That’s what I’m not sure of
March 24, 20214 yr 15 minutes ago, henrygandorf said: do correa and get houston out of this fucking sports funk. i can smell it from west hollywood. I had enchiladas last night
March 24, 20214 yr Glad we resigned LMC, let's wrap up CC, find Framberlamps one of those winter soldier arms and we're in business
March 24, 20214 yr 37 minutes ago, TonyTexas said: With the $6.5M for 2021, that puts his AAV at $15.25M. Doesn’t that put them over the cap this year? If so, that will fuck them on the potential compensatory draft picks from Verlander,Greinke and , maybe, Correa qualifying offers.
March 24, 20214 yr Author I said 3/54 and a couple people said too much too high. Looks like I just about nailed the AAV- but they went 2 years more than I would have. I'm not going to dance in the streets on this deal as I think it was a little high, for giving him 2 more years, but I'm glad he's signed and 17 million isn't going to break the bank if he can be a solid 2. We need a certified stud ace for 30 million then if Lance is our #2 at 17 million with the young arms we have right now (I'm talking 2022) we should have a really really good rotation at around $55,000,000.00. Which means you build out the bullpen for 25 million and that leaves you 120 million for fielders. C- 8; 1b- 6; 2b-25; 3b-14; LF-16; CF-1; RF-1; DH-1 75 million plus Correa. Absolutely no reason we can't give Correa a 10 year 250 million dollar deal. None at all. Go get Syndegard for 30 million or something like that as your ace and go to war with that. As long as we have Tucker, Alvarez and 2 or 3 above average starting pitchers making dick we can spend with anyone in the extension/FA market.
March 24, 20214 yr 6 minutes ago, UTPhil2006 said: Heyman has me blocked but look's like he's saying the offer to Correa is 6/120
March 24, 20214 yr Fuck Heyman. Anything he writes about the Astros should be taken with a healthy dose of skepticism.
March 24, 20214 yr The Astros obviously want to see him play this season. If he gets angry about it, so be it. It's the smart thing to do.
March 24, 20214 yr With some 12-13 year deals getting done recently, why would they think Correa would go for contract that short? Someone’s going to sign him for 10.
March 24, 20214 yr There is definitely a number where it is no longer worth it to sign Correa. I have supreme confidence that Click will say no to far less than that number, and that makes me ragey.
March 24, 20214 yr 14 minutes ago, Guadaloopy said: With some 12-13 year deals getting done recently, why would they think Correa would go for contract that short? Someone’s going to sign him for 10. I think they are sending some signals. Not sure that someone is going to be Houston.
March 24, 20214 yr Author 5 minutes ago, Horny Bull said: There is definitely a number where it is no longer worth it to sign Correa. I have supreme confidence that Click will say no to far less than that number, and that makes me ragey. Yep. 6/120 is a slap in the face. especially when you consider that 6 years is the absolute peak of his prime- when you would figure him to be a 4-9 WAR type of player. if that's true and you want to pay him 20 million a year you better be willing to extend that contract out to his age 48 year. Even at 25 million a year that's a pretty massive discount for what his prime is likely to be, and if I'm him and the AAV is 25 million I'm asking for 13 years and maybe being willing to accept 10 or 11 (at an absolute minimum) and even then probably only if you put in an opt out clause. Look at the dipshit Bauer. He just got what- 40 million a year? 42 million a year? b/c he was willing to take a 2 year deal? Yeah
March 24, 20214 yr Everyone should mentally prepare themselves for Carlos Correa to be playing for someone else next season.
March 24, 20214 yr 1 minute ago, David Dennison said: Everyone should mentally prepare themselves for Carlos Correa to be playing for someone else next season. I’ve been there, I’m just not happy about it.
March 24, 20214 yr Inauspicious debut for Odorizzi. .2 IP, 3 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 2 HR Edited March 24, 20214 yr by TonyTexas
March 24, 20214 yr 2 minutes ago, TonyTexas said: Inauspicious debut for Odorizzi. .2 IP, 3 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 2 HR Don’t worry. Pitching is always ahead of hitting in Spring Training. Oh… wait
March 24, 20214 yr 13 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said: Yep. 6/120 is a slap in the face. especially when you consider that 6 years is the absolute peak of his prime- when you would figure him to be a 4-9 WAR type of player. if that's true and you want to pay him 20 million a year you better be willing to extend that contract out to his age 48 year. Even at 25 million a year that's a pretty massive discount for what his prime is likely to be, and if I'm him and the AAV is 25 million I'm asking for 13 years and maybe being willing to accept 10 or 11 (at an absolute minimum) and even then probably only if you put in an opt out clause. Look at the dipshit Bauer. He just got what- 40 million a year? 42 million a year? b/c he was willing to take a 2 year deal? Yeah pretty much all of this. if you want to let the offer leak, the offer better be 10-250. then if correa says no, it's on him for wanting some nonsensical 13 year $390mm deal. he shouldn't be insisting on a franchise-crippling type of deal, but this is the opposite of that, and leaves him in no-man's land when the contract is over. if you can do 6-120 then you can do 10-200. if you can do 10-200, then you can do 10-250. when the numbers get that big, who the f cares. we're gonna let him walk without an immediate impact replacement.
March 24, 20214 yr Inauspicious debut for Odorizzi. .2 IP, 3 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 2 HR4er? Try 7 with 4 homers
March 24, 20214 yr If they sign Lance while letting Springer and Correa walk, they can go fuck themselves.
March 25, 20214 yr in what looks to be ~opening day lineup, we have stormed back from 8 runs down to lead 10-8. my body is ready. in related news, odorizzi's era crashed my scoretracker app.
March 25, 20214 yr 2 hours ago, kevwun said: If they sign Lance while letting Springer and Correa walk, they can go fuck themselves. I don't think you're going to like how this ends
March 25, 20214 yr 3 hours ago, TonyTexas said: Inauspicious debut for Odorizzi. .2 IP, 3 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 2 HR Only walked one!
March 25, 20214 yr 4 hours ago, Scraps said: 5 hours ago, TonyTexas said: Inauspicious debut for Odorizzi. .2 IP, 3 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 2 HR 4er? Try 7 with 4 homers Hey, but Garcia came in and slammed the door with 4 shutout innings including an immaculate inning in his first inning of work https://www.instagram.com/p/CM0oVrUAoO3/?igshid=185qmhp8yhgtc avila kieboom robles if you’re keeping score at home Edited March 25, 20214 yr by UTexasFight
March 25, 20214 yr Minor league training camp firing up in cc https://www.milb.com/corpus-christi/news/astros-alternate-site-returns-to-whataburger-field?fbclid=IwAR3_s1Ug-Ba54CulQwRPAj8PZTapWH2Y-ITH5uqYrC-8LhK8-bPEGp5spgM
March 25, 20214 yr Altuve hit a homer in the first today. Yordan got a chance to wake up his bat with the bases loaded and one out. Angel Hernandez rung him up on a 3-2 pitch on the outer half of the plate.
March 25, 20214 yr 12 minutes ago, Gourmand said: Urquidy looking like a badass. perfecto so far through 4. make that 5 perfect innings and a well hit double for Correa. sign him Click.
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.