Jump to content
View in the app

A better way to browse. Learn more.

Surly Horns

A full-screen app on your home screen with push notifications, badges and more.

To install this app on iOS and iPadOS
  1. Tap the Share icon in Safari
  2. Scroll the menu and tap Add to Home Screen.
  3. Tap Add in the top-right corner.
To install this app on Android
  1. Tap the 3-dot menu (⋮) in the top-right corner of the browser.
  2. Tap Add to Home screen or Install app.
  3. Confirm by tapping Install.
Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... 🤫995🤫 ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business & Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Advertise... Tailgate Donations

Featured Replies

  • Replies 18.1k
  • Views 1.4m
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Most Popular Posts

  • That's why I'm out. There is no end game, IMO. This has to be fixed outside of the market and I got too nervous about what that entails for retail investors. They will always be last on the list, if o

  • Rusty Shackelford
    Rusty Shackelford

  • I'm not a financial advisor. This is not financial advise. I don't work in finance. I do not have a degree in finance. Actually, I have a BA and I'm bad at math past Cal I. I won't apologize for the l

Posted Images

Intraday -15% on Credit Suisse, +20% on Sonos, ill take it

4 hours ago, 52-80 said:

Intraday -15% on Credit Suisse, +20% on Sonos, ill take it

On Fire GIF

14 hours ago, Parliament said:

I sold some TSLA back in December for $190.  lolololol

I sold calls struck at $160, so some shares were taken from me at that price. Never pulled back enough for me to buy back in :(
 

My kids account still holding shares at cost basis of $140 :)

3 minutes ago, HamsterHookah said:

The one thing every knows for sure, is nobody knows anything.

I know, right?

1 hour ago, HamsterHookah said:

The one thing every knows for sure, is nobody knows anything.

The only truth in finance 

On 1/30/2023 at 2:59 PM, Cheeseweasel said:

"And we're back. Never to go below ever again. No siree. Nothing will ever take the market below the 4K mark." - Some regarded poster

it was a good run

Thomas Peterffy said take your gains and run this morning on CNBC.  Sarah Eisen was stunned

So, both sides covered? Funny that

13 hours ago, Lurch said:

So, both sides covered? Funny that

Kramer "If I yell loud enough no one will understand I'm talking out of my ass" move.

Boy the past two weeks have put the hurt on my portfolio.  I thought I was positioned safely but there is nowhere to hide right now except maybe in money market or CDs.  
 

Lots of fun to watch the market realize the Fed is not going to stop the beatings until morale improves.

It is taking all my fortitude not to jump into SPY puts, but I know that if I do it would certainly stop the market slide - but if I don't the slide will continue.
I am cursed

14 minutes ago, Wally Fairway said:

It is taking all my fortitude not to jump into SPY puts, but I know that if I do it would certainly stop the market slide - but if I don't the slide will continue.
I am cursed

Take one for the team, Wally.

Morgan Stanley issuing a warning that S&P could drop 25% in the next few months.  That would get us to the range I suspected a long while back should be the market discovery point (between 2800-3000).    I hope not, but there’s not a lot of things in a bill shift favor at this juncture.   

11 hours ago, Hefeweizen said:

Boy the past two weeks have put the hurt on my portfolio.  I thought I was positioned safely but there is nowhere to hide right now except maybe in money market or CDs.  
 

Lots of fun to watch the market realize the Fed is not going to stop the beatings until morale improves.

It actually kind of sounds like the beatings will not stop until morale implodes.

Edited by Snake Diggity

The thing I'm hanging onto is most "experts" think the 2nd half of the year will be a huge rebound and everything that's been lost in the last year and a half will be made up, and will end up even better. Yea, nobody knows anything for sure, but that's the consensus of everything I've read. 

Those consensus opinions were predicated on the Fed halting rate inceases mid year and possibly even starting to reverse and lower rates late year.  Those consensus expectations were irrationally exuberant.  The Fed *might* stop raising rates by year end, but they aren't lowering them this year.  Maybe not even next year.  Unless something major breaks and forces their hand anyway.

13 hours ago, Wally Fairway said:

It is taking all my fortitude not to jump into SPY puts, but I know that if I do it would certainly stop the market slide - but if I don't the slide will continue.
I am cursed

13 hours ago, Cheeseweasel said:

Take one for the team, Wally.

I sold about 20% of my SPY (long position today), and put into a money market account that earns >4%. 
Do with that what you think is prudent, follow my lead or use the time tested reverse Wally strategy (I've heard it works both ways)

 

1 hour ago, Mo Horn said:

The thing I'm hanging onto is most "experts" think the 2nd half of the year will be a huge rebound and everything that's been lost in the last year and a half will be made up, and will end up even better. Yea, nobody knows anything for sure, but that's the consensus of everything I've read. 

I could live with that.

25 minutes ago, Wally Fairway said:

follow my lead or use the time tested reverse Wally strategy (I've heard it works both ways)

50% of the time, it works every time.

11 hours ago, Mo Horn said:

The thing I'm hanging onto is most "experts" think the 2nd half of the year will be a huge rebound and everything that's been lost in the last year and a half will be made up, and will end up even better. Yea, nobody knows anything for sure, but that's the consensus of everything I've read. 

I want what they’re having! Have a link to anyone that breaks down how we get from here to there? 
 

5 minutes ago, B00M said:

I want what they’re having! Have a link to anyone that breaks down how we get from here to there? 
 

1. Raise interest rates

2. Contract growth

3. ?????

4. Profit

What is going on in the oil market? Seems rangebound between $70-$80, but swinging 3-4% every day.

I'd ask in the oil barons thread, but a certain poster dominates that thread and is a beating to try to interact with.

push and pull between expected demand destruction from global recession and supply constraints due to underinvestment of production over the last decade.  If no demand destruction get ready to have your tits ripped off by higher oil prices

19 minutes ago, babysdaddy said:

get ready to have your tits ripped off by higher oil prices

excited the waterboy GIF

For the record, the day zerohedge has a positive outlook on the economy/market/bonds/etc I will view that as a sign to sell everything, gather my go bags, load the guns, ammo and dog and head for my secret survival shelter.

Zero Hedge has correctly guessed right on 1 of their last 3456271  predictions

ZH publishes a lot of 3rd party content and while I understand your point about their editorial bias, the article I shared was authored by a Bloomberg macro strategist, not one of the Tylers.

Bloomberg....Pish Posh!

 

 

 

 

 

 

I don't really know much about Bloombergs biases.  

1 hour ago, bernorange said:

ZH publishes a lot of 3rd party content and while I understand your point about their editorial bias, the article I shared was authored by a Bloomberg macro strategist, not one of the Tylers.

DM,ZH

3 hours ago, StassneyHorn said:

Zero Hedge has correctly guessed right on 1 of their last 3456271  predictions

more like they have predicted 3456271 of the last 2 crashes/collapses

13 hours ago, bernorange said:

Seeing @Wally Fairway haranguing anyone for underwhelming market prognostication prowess is awesome.

You are not wrong - however I miss without bias both overestimating market as the rise and fall, ZH seems to be a perma-gloom&doom predictor.
I read them alot back when they were all over the pending Greece bond default, bankruptcy and contagion collapse of Euro based economy.

My employer announced our 2022 financial results and they were very good.  Better even than the raised-guidance we put out in August.

Our stock price fell 4% in reply.  They also announced our cola is gonna be delayed "a few months."  Not cool, Guys 

20 minutes ago, Parliament said:

My employer announced our 2022 financial results and they were very good.  Better even than the raised-guidance we put out in August.

Our stock price fell 4% in reply.  They also announced our cola is gonna be delayed "a few months."  Not cool, Guys 

2022 was a hundred years ago. What are you doing next quarter? That's all that matters to Wall Street.

28 minutes ago, Parliament said:

My employer announced our 2022 financial results and they were very good.  Better even than the raised-guidance we put out in August.

Our stock price fell 4% in reply.  They also announced our cola is gonna be delayed "a few months."  Not cool, Guys 

You mean the farva is delayed 

1 hour ago, Parliament said:

My employer announced our 2022 financial results and they were very good.  Better even than the raised-guidance we put out in August.

Our stock price fell 4% in reply.  They also announced our cola is gonna be delayed "a few months."  Not cool, Guys 

BOHICA

2 hours ago, Parliament said:

My employer announced our 2022 financial results and they were very good.  Better even than the raised-guidance we put out in August.

Our stock price fell 4% in reply.  They also announced our cola is gonna be delayed "a few months."  Not cool, Guys 

So you work for Goldman Sachs, huh.

Quote

 

At Goldman Sachs’s second-ever investor day yesterday, the Wall Street bank conceded that one of its big bets wasn’t panning out. David Solomon, the firm’s C.E.O., said it would scale back its consumer-banking efforts.

But investors didn’t appear impressed by the long-anticipated announcement. Goldman’s shares dropped nearly 4 percent yesterday.

 

 

Edited by HamsterHookah

The whole foray into the consumer business was always weird to me, from paying a boatload to Apple for the credit card to the GreenSky acquisition to years ago even with Marcus. What do I know, I think having a DJ CEO is pretty cool, though.

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...
Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... 🤫995🤫 ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business & Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Advertise... Tailgate Donations

Configure browser push notifications

Chrome (Android)
  1. Tap the lock icon next to the address bar.
  2. Tap Permissions → Notifications.
  3. Adjust your preference.
Chrome (Desktop)
  1. Click the padlock icon in the address bar.
  2. Select Site settings.
  3. Find Notifications and adjust your preference.