May 19, 20214 yr 29 minutes ago, Wally Pryor said: So the low off SE TX sucked the big un toward it? I understand suck pretty well. Just not necessarily when it comes to meteorology. We see systems on weather maps and think of them as solid entities or whatnot. But in real life, they're air pressure gradients. More like blobs. Think of holding a long thin balloon with just a little of it inflated. If you squeeze say on the right, the inflated blob moves left. And vice-versa. Many times that's what happens - one system just pushes the other along. However they also attract each other - go through a revolving door and sometimes you feel the air blow by you. Well lower air pressure can suck other low air pressure towards it because, well, the pressure is low and when they get close enough, the similarities in the air pressure allow one to pull the other in. This low is moving by itself and isn't yet pulled into the coast. But it will be when it moves close enough, and the two will merge (balloon illustration). That coastal low combined with the momentum of the big one will cause them to draw to each other and re-form.
May 19, 20214 yr 9 minutes ago, Lobo said: So you're talking about going from suck to blow? I'm married. What else do you want to know?
May 19, 20214 yr 3 minutes ago, hookemATL said: So...cancel my 2pm tee time for Saturday or nah? You a fast player at a fast course? No. More than 3 hours? Maybe. I have UT graduation (son) at 7, so I'm watching it too.
May 19, 20214 yr 59 minutes ago, phdhorn said: We see systems on weather maps and think of them as solid entities or whatnot. But in real life, they're air pressure gradients. More like blobs. Think of holding a long thin balloon with just a little of it inflated. If you squeeze say on the right, the inflated blob moves left. And vice-versa. Many times that's what happens - one system just pushes the other along. However they also attract each other - go through a revolving door and sometimes you feel the air blow by you. Well lower air pressure can suck other low air pressure towards it because, well, the pressure is low and when they get close enough, the similarities in the air pressure allow one to pull the other in. This low is moving by itself and isn't yet pulled into the coast. But it will be when it moves close enough, and the two will merge (balloon illustration). That coastal low combined with the momentum of the big one will cause them to draw to each other and re-form. Ah. It's what I get for not paying attention at your weather camp. I blame Erika Lopez sitting next to me.
May 19, 20214 yr 1 minute ago, Wally Pryor said: Ah. It's what I get for not paying attention at your weather camp. I blame Erika Lopez sitting next to me. Man, she's just adorable and likeable. I'm a fan.
May 19, 20214 yr I still don't know what any of that means for Derkaville... my lingering question is when can we put this roof on with a safe margin of "not gonna destroy the inside of the house"? I need to get this work moving forward ASAP... the only tiny benefit is that I'm in no different position than any other contractor, we are all locked down due to rain %'s. This screenshot is from Weather Underground (brought to you by the Weather Channel):
May 19, 20214 yr 45 minutes ago, phdhorn said: You a fast player at a fast course? No. More than 3 hours? Maybe. I have UT graduation (son) at 7, so I'm watching it too. Congrats. My forecast calls for that is cool.
May 19, 20214 yr 57 minutes ago, phdhorn said: I'm married. What else do you want to know? That apparently means you live on the Moon, where there is no weather?
May 19, 20214 yr 21 minutes ago, Wally Pryor said: Ah. It's what I get for not paying attention at your weather camp. I blame Erika Lopez sitting next to me. When I was actually studying meteorology (I was actually gonna be one), all the chicks looked like Janet Reno without makeup and when she just got up. I quickly switched into music - where often the boys are as pretty as the girls (ooh, did I just say that?) but the girls were hot - if not psychotic, ice-pick-you-if-you-get-on-their-bad-side nutso. But it was worth it. Nowadays, meteos are pretty good looking (thank you, Weather Channel, despite your hysterics you brought us the hot weather chick).
May 19, 20214 yr 16 minutes ago, ROFL BOX said: That apparently means you live on the Moon, where there is no weather? or the same amount of bj's in 10 years? (JK, missus would kill me if she saw this).
May 19, 20214 yr 3 minutes ago, MissingInAction said: Camping in perdenales falls this weekend. Will my body end up in a tree? only if you keep on with that squirrel fuckin'
May 19, 20214 yr 47 minutes ago, ROFL BOX said: I still don't know what any of that means for Derkaville... my lingering question is when can we put this roof on with a safe margin of "not gonna destroy the inside of the house"? I need to get this work moving forward ASAP... the only tiny benefit is that I'm in no different position than any other contractor, we are all locked down due to rain %'s. This screenshot is from Weather Underground (brought to you by the Weather Channel): I've got an appointment with the Llano river in 10 days. This crap needs to move on out of here.
May 19, 20214 yr 1 minute ago, texasdago said: I've got an appointment with the Llano river in 10 days. This crap needs to move on out of here. What, you don't like Class V rapids or sumthin'?t
May 19, 20214 yr Hasn't stopped raining down here in Corpus since 5AM. Some areas at a foot of rain including mine I would guess by the amount of standing water. So much for the drought, but hoping for a dry hot summer so the Gulf stays quiet. Edited May 19, 20214 yr by Nueces River Rat
May 19, 20214 yr Rain = can't do the roof work we need to do. Rain = the cost of "horse quality" hay is around 45 days away from lower prices (currently $ 90 / round bale vs. 4 months ago @ $ 70 / round).
May 19, 20214 yr 3 hours ago, NorthLoop said: Had a ridiculous rolling thunder at about 4am that shook the house and woke everybody up. Lasted a good 20-30 seconds. Checked the radar, and there was nothing within 100 miles of me (though I could see lightning flashes in the window). What causes that? Sound reverb due to cloud cover and fog? Or was Godzilla emerging from the Guadalupe? I'm not saying this is the cause of what you experienced, but there is a phenomenon called "temperature inversion" that leads to sound waves refracting back down towards the earth, as opposed to bending upwards to the heavens. When a temperature inversion sets up (basically, the air gets warmer as one goes upward), sound can "travel" very long distances at ground level. It most often happens at night and with heavy cloud cover. Hey to Dr. Blackstock, who taught me a shit-ton about acoustics that my increasingly feeble brain has begun to forget.
May 19, 20214 yr Here's a weather question for y'all. There have been spectacular storm pics out of west Texas / panhandle this past week. Why are the storms up there easier to see / photograph? It seems like they are smaller stand alone storms that blow up?
May 19, 20214 yr 16 minutes ago, TXLNGHRN10 said: Here's a weather question for y'all. There have been spectacular storm pics out of west Texas / panhandle this past week. Why are the storms up there easier to see / photograph? It seems like they are smaller stand alone storms that blow up? Because there is nothing in the way.
May 19, 20214 yr 31 minutes ago, TXLNGHRN10 said: Here's a weather question for y'all. There have been spectacular storm pics out of west Texas / panhandle this past week. Why are the storms up there easier to see / photograph? It seems like they are smaller stand alone storms that blow up? 14 minutes ago, Dahobbs said: Because there is nothing in the way. Very true, I would venture to guess a couple of other points: 1) there were a shit load of storm chasers up there taking pictures with high quality cameras and 2) I think that the generally drier air makes for greater contrasts between the thunderheads and the clear skies surrounding them.
May 19, 20214 yr 38 minutes ago, TXLNGHRN10 said: Here's a weather question for y'all. There have been spectacular storm pics out of west Texas / panhandle this past week. Why are the storms up there easier to see / photograph? It seems like they are smaller stand alone storms that blow up? All of these amazing pics you keep seeing on twitter have absolutely had their color photoshopped. They're still great pics, but yeah it didn't really look like that.
May 19, 20214 yr 53 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said: I'm not saying this is the cause of what you experienced, but there is a phenomenon called "temperature inversion" that leads to sound waves refracting back down towards the earth, as opposed to bending upwards to the heavens. When a temperature inversion sets up (basically, the air gets warmer as one goes upward), sound can "travel" very long distances at ground level. It most often happens at night and with heavy cloud cover. Hey to Dr. Blackstock, who taught me a shit-ton about acoustics that my increasingly feeble brain has begun to forget. That would make sense as it was pretty cool outside last night. As I type this right now I'm hearing loud rolling thunder and the closest yellow to me (NB) on the radar is down by Karnes City.
May 19, 20214 yr 6 minutes ago, SubliminalHorn said: These storms are crazy!!! 🙄 Austin weather people are so dramatic Don't you live in LA? If these storms hit there they would have names and would be national news.
May 19, 20214 yr 1 minute ago, Orange&White said: Don't you live in LA? If these storms hit there they would have names and would be national news. Yep. Was in LA when the remnants of a tropical system actually came ashore and kicked off some real-deal SOCAL thunderstorms.....it was round-the-clock coverage, with stories about people experiencing - GASP - roof leaks, because the rain was heavy! It was a regular spring rain event to us. In LA, it was the weather story of the year.
May 19, 20214 yr have you heard what jim rome said about the first drop hitting the first windshield in socal?
May 19, 20214 yr I'd say these past few weeks have had some impressive storms in regards to intensity and now rainfall even for Texas standards.
May 19, 20214 yr 11 minutes ago, Orange&White said: Don't you live in LA? If these storms hit there they would have names and would be national news. Fuck no I don’t live in LA
May 19, 20214 yr 25 minutes ago, Bevo Num1 said: I'd say these past few weeks have had some impressive storms in regards to intensity and now rainfall even for Texas standards. Not if you live in Georgetown. I bet we have not had an inch all week.
May 19, 20214 yr Looks like a good time to go fishing in the Gulf. Just kidding. Glad to see our fair state and our neighbors are keeping the storm chasers busy.
May 19, 20214 yr 11 minutes ago, Orange&White said: Don't you live in LA? If these storms hit there they would have names and would be national news. Fuck no I don’t live in LA
May 19, 20214 yr 1 hour ago, SubliminalHorn said: Fuck no I don’t live in LA 1 minute ago, SubliminalHorn said: Fuck no I don’t live in LA Rare double post separated by an hour.
May 19, 20214 yr 1 minute ago, bolverk said: Rare double post separated by an hour. True, but @ the same time don't most Shaggers long for the rare "DP" event?
May 19, 20214 yr 5 minutes ago, ROFL BOX said: True, but @ the same time don't most Shaggers long for the rare "DP" event?
May 19, 20214 yr 58 minutes ago, bolverk said: Rare double post separated by an hour. I wanted to make it clear
May 22, 20214 yr 29 minutes ago, Machinator said: Chances that we get baseball at the Disch tomorrow? @phdhorn Tomorrow looks like spotted rain. Only thing that will hold up baseball is there is still a decent chance for lightning in the area. And WVU has a hard stop tomorrow night around 10/11pm to get outta dodge. Weird thing though is Women's Softball announced their broadcast window against Texas State in the regional winner's bracket. For 1:00pm. On the LHN. And WVU @ TEX is slated for that same channel at 2:30pm.
May 22, 20214 yr 9 hours ago, Machinator said: Chances that we get baseball at the Disch tomorrow? @phdhorn They'll get it in IMHO - tropical style rains come and go - but it might take awhile.
May 22, 20214 yr Just now, phdhorn said: They'll get it in IMHO - tropical style rains come and go - but it might take awhile. But the mosquitoes are staying. 🥺
May 22, 20214 yr 1 minute ago, Nicole44 said: But the mosquitoes are staying. 🥺 Next week will be into the low 90's and dry. They won't stay long.
May 22, 20214 yr Update: While I'm here, might as well throw in. Pretty interesting last few days. That big low that was going to have us pair animals up by twos or sevens (yes, sevens, it's in Genesis (7:2), after missing us pretty much to the east, was going to move down to the coast and merge. However, the coastal low that formed got pretty strong and kind of zapped the other low (which was just W of DFW) and it fizzled out completely. A little unusual. Anyway as you've seen, the low developed some extra-tropical characteristics but came in before it could ramp up. Consequently not only does it have little wind, but not all that much rain as semitropical systems go. Nevertheless, it's pulling in a lot of moisture from the Gulf) and is tracking up 37. Eventually it'll park out west, maybe somewhere in Mexico SW of Laredo or whatnot. But now Austin will be on the NE side of it - usually the rainiest. However, the triggering mechanisms for this system are fairly week and it'll fizzle out too within about 2-3 days. But while it's out there, it'll act tropical - that is, brief periods of various intensities of rain, mostly 5-10 minute showers through today and tomorrow. Not enough to wipe out everything, but definitely put a dent in it. And one update - Sunday now looks to be a little rainier than Saturday, although both should provide at least a few rounds of showers for most of CenTex. If you have plans outdoors today, you'll get wet, but not enough to go home(?). I think the rains will taper off after sunset before getting going again Sunday. The biggest risk of course for an event-cancelling rain is daytime heating, about 3-6 p.m. But I still think 90% of what you might do outdoors today is doable, if not completely dry. We'll see. Next week we finally say goodbye to this wonderfully cool May and begin our march into the low 90's. Where it goes from there say first week of June - will the summer start frying now, or like the past few years, wait until mid-July to radiate us - will have to be determined. tl;dr: Saturday brief periods of mostly moderate but 1-2 heavy showers through about dinner, not a washout but a wet day. Sunday more of the same, even a little more possibly. Monday → near-normal temps, which are of course 90°+. Remember this month fondly, you're gonna need it.
May 22, 20214 yr Right now we're under a nice band of rain, but the storm will move NW and I think later today the rain will taper off a bit. Hope so, I got a graduate to cheer on tonight in DKR!Edit: I'll also tell you this - this thing is packing a little more punch than expected. Some nice 20-25 mph gusts in the band outside my crib right now - about 120 miles from the storm center. Also reminds me of some of the talk we've had in the past on this - if this storm moved into where it is now, and was like a Rita (which was headed for this exact same path until it made a hard right off the coast), these winds would be 90-100 mph right now. Austin is anything but hurricane-proof. Edited May 22, 20214 yr by phdhorn
May 22, 20214 yr 3 minutes ago, South Austin said: If it rains during Memorial Day Weekend, we’re all holding phd responsible. This is supposed to be one of the few in the last 20 years or so that no rain at all is forecast. Yeah, right. But it's looking like it. If you hold me responsible, I'll take it. Because any rain after May 15 is great.
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