March 30, 20214 yr First two MLB bets of the year (probably a couple more coming)... Orioles UNDER 63.5 -115 Marlins UNDER 71.5 +100
March 30, 20214 yr 8 hours ago, VolenteHawk said: First two MLB bets of the year (probably a couple more coming)... Orioles UNDER 63.5 -115 Marlins UNDER 71.5 +100 I'm on O's under, Twins over.
March 31, 20214 yr 15 hours ago, closetohumping said: I'm on O's under, Twins over. Also like the Twins so just grabbed them. Adding a couple more... Twins OVER 88.5 -115 Blue Jays OVER 86.5 -115 Reds UNDER 81.5 -110 That should do it for team win totals for me. I don't see much value at all in the futures market...for basically everything I lean toward, I can get a better price by shopping hot/cold streaks in season, I think.
March 31, 20214 yr It might be obvious, but on MLB season win totals...always check the rules of your sports books. It's even more important in a Covid world. My books vary from 162 games for action to 50 games for action (with the bet in that case being win percentage and not games), so my unders are bet at a book with 160 games required. If you're right on the Orioles, for example, and they suck...the likelihood of them missing a game is actually reasonably high. So, I'd rather have under 63.5 -115 at a 160 game book than under 63.5 +100 at a 162 game book. My overs are both on teams that should be relatively good, so the difference matters less, as they're much less likely to have games that aren't made up...so on those I picked strictly based on price.
April 2, 20214 yr I didn't like anything on a full slate yesterday, but I have two plays today... Angels -112 Giants +104 If you haven't followed the MLB thread in years past, my plays are laying a unit on dogs and laying to win a unit on favorites.
April 4, 20214 yr I often listen to AM radio out here in California. There's actually a station devoted to sports gambling and two others devoted to sports. One of the all sports stations always has a three hour early morning weekend gambling show hosted by two of the biggest guidos in the world. And of course, their picks are horrible. However, I was listening to another show and one of the cappers, a legit one, not some mouth breather, said he knew of someone who allegedly paid off his mortgage betting first five innings unders.
April 5, 20214 yr Not much value at -150, but I like Rangers TT O3.5 against Matz. Guy got shelled all season last year. Edited April 5, 20214 yr by brojangles2
April 7, 20214 yr On 4/4/2021 at 5:37 PM, closetohumping said: I often listen to AM radio out here in California. There's actually a station devoted to sports gambling and two others devoted to sports. One of the all sports stations always has a three hour early morning weekend gambling show hosted by two of the biggest guidos in the world. And of course, their picks are horrible. However, I was listening to another show and one of the cappers, a legit one, not some mouth breather, said he knew of someone who allegedly paid off his mortgage betting first five innings unders. Technically guys that reliably pick losers are just as valuable as sharp guys. 🙂
April 13, 20214 yr Red Sox game canceled yesterday, buying it again....new price +130 Orioles -130 (game 1 of the DH, John Means SP) Indians +100
April 14, 20214 yr My book fucked up and made the Red Sox cancellation action. I'd dispute it if I lost, but that's a double banger. 🙂 I'll only count the +130 for grading purposes, because they really should have canceled, and had I noticed I wouldn't have re-bet it obviously. Brewers -155 Giants +100
April 15, 20214 yr Hopefully nobody got it, so it's just me losing 4-0 before the good guys got to bat. 🙂
April 20, 20214 yr This one is getting beat up from the overnight but you can still find a dog number at a couple of spots... Brewers +106
April 30, 20214 yr Yankees with Cole on the mound are -370 against the Tigers. That is as high of a MLB money line as I can recall.
May 1, 20214 yr 21 hours ago, Dr Fear said: Yankees with Cole on the mound are -370 against the Tigers. That is as high of a MLB money line as I can recall. The Astros were north of -400 a couple times in a late, late Tigers series a couple years ago...losing one of them. But -370 is the highest I can recall at a point of the season when everybody is still trying. https://www.covers.com/mlb/the-biggest-favorite-in-mlb-history-burned-bettors-and-made-a-mint-for-vegas-bookies
May 5, 20214 yr I'm starting to do ok with first five unders, which is really out of character for me. I will post here if I find any.
May 7, 20214 yr White Sox -143 before it goes up Other stuff I'm gonna let the numbers settle out and wait.
May 11, 20214 yr Are your normal bets for any action as opposed to listed pitchers only? Thanks for the picks.
May 11, 20214 yr 2 hours ago, Here for Zed said: Are your normal bets for any action as opposed to listed pitchers only? That's a good question. Prior to last year, it was all listed pitchers, last year was all action, now it's a mix based on books rules/defaults and which of my outs have the best price. I usually care so little that I'll just take the best number, BUT all of my books as of a few days ago are again offering listed pitchers even if the default is action...so I should probably choose a lane. I called it out specifically here, because Ohtani is somewhat unique in his likelihood to get scratched and if they replace him with a AAAA emergency I'm 30 or 40 cents on the wrong side.
May 11, 20214 yr I was just curious because I followed a couple of plays that were cancelled because of a pitching change. 1 win and 1 loss so it evened out.
May 12, 20214 yr 21 hours ago, Here for Zed said: I was just curious because I followed a couple of plays that were cancelled because of a pitching change. 1 win and 1 loss so it evened out. Ah, gotcha. Yeah, two of my outs are action by default and the other is listed pitchers, so if I care I have to make sure I'm checking the right boxes.
May 14, 20214 yr Angels +115 Athletics -105 I also lean Brewers but it seems my gambling super power is making them lose as medium favorites...think I might have them slightly overrated.
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