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2021 - Is inflation finally back in the conversation?

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On 8/17/2025 at 2:44 PM, Degenerate Gardner said:

We’ve reached the point in Goodfellas where the once proud proprietor Sonny Bunz’ bar is burned down by the Mob to collect insurance payouts, and we are all Sonny.

And why not? Nobody's gonna pay for it anyway. And as soon as the deliveries are made in the front door, you move the stuff out the back and sell it at a discount. You take a two hundred dollar case of booze and you sell it for a hundred. It doesn't matter. It's all profit. And then finally, when there's nothing left, when you can't borrow another buck from the bank or buy another case of booze, you bust the joint out. You light a match.

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  • Bateshorn
    Bateshorn

    The only thing more predictable than the GOP running up huge deficits on tax cuts and military spending, is each one suddenly becoming horrified by deficit spending 5 mins after a Democrat is sworn in

  • PilotsError
    PilotsError

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On 8/1/2025 at 2:13 PM, ChickenSandwich said:

It is going to take a bit for the consumer to notice after the last four years 

image.thumb.jpeg.5e10977b8127052eb6d6fb2a57a005a9.jpeg
 

I mean, every year is going to be a new record.  Prices don't go back down.

Except for milk at my heb...$1.62/gallon last week.

1 hour ago, WBT said:

Except for milk at my heb...$1.62/gallon last week.

What is that, pig milk?

18 hours ago, tbone_ said:

My grandmother retired sort of early from Sears in 1980. Got a lump sum payout and put it in a 10 year CD at 16%. 

My dad put his mom's small savings into a CD paying somewhere around that amount.  She did alright.

12 hours ago, jimmyjazz said:

What is that, pig milk?

Well that might explain it.

Screenshot_20250819_104141_MyH-E-B.thumb.jpg.1f36b22f4bbb582c5f0a0d1116d8e667.jpg

18 hours ago, jimmyjazz said:

What is that, pig milk?

Milking rats! : r/TheSimpsons

29 minutes ago, troph said:

That’s Poors milk. Surly 1% bitches 

image.thumb.png.09647f6cb482f571d3b0287e2cf178da.png

Pfft. Not even ultra pasteurized. What's the point, even /s

I will die on the hill that anyone with a $8 gallon of milk in their refrigerator should be beaten with a rubber hose.

4 hours ago, Incredulity said:

I will die on the hill that anyone with a $8 gallon of milk in their refrigerator should be beaten with a rubber hose.

And yet you say nothing about  someone owning two $5 half gallons of milk in the refrigerator… this is how a nation ends.

8 dollar milk is for people who don’t drink milk often so they don’t have to throw away after a week.

1 hour ago, StassneyHorn said:

8 dollar milk is for people who don’t drink milk often so they don’t have to throw away after a week.

Living alone, I don’t drink a whole hell of a lot of milk.  That’s why the Fairlife milk with its ultra pasteurized long life winds up being cheaper for me.  A half gallon of standard milk will go bad before I use it all.

Mootopia from HEB for the win. Ultra pasteurized, lower sugar, lower fat, with an end result of a better protein to sugar/fat ratio. Add some omega 3s and I’m good to go. Don’t know the cost, takes us 10 or so days to drink a whole gallon. 

11 hours ago, StassneyHorn said:

8 dollar milk is for people who don’t drink milk often so they don’t have to throw away after a week.

And buy it for status. That shit is nasty 

I have some cows in my back yard.  Whole, organic, raw, safe, good.  #dealwithit

For context: WalMart said on their earnings call this morning that they're seeing “increased sales among upper income customers that wouldn’t usually shop there”

On 8/19/2025 at 9:42 AM, WBT said:

Well that might explain it.

Screenshot_20250819_104141_MyH-E-B.thumb.jpg.1f36b22f4bbb582c5f0a0d1116d8e667.jpg

source.gifImage tagged with funny, napoleon dynamite, jon heder – @welcometoyouredoom  on Tumblrsource.gif

Market oriented stabilizer failing (higher prices should incentivize increases in capital expenditures).  Stagnating economic indicator. 

 

IMG_2041.thumb.jpeg.7a6a14b25ba140363b1f13093a1b7ed4.jpeg

Not good. 

  • 2 weeks later...

so for the first time i can actually remember, at least 10 years...CostCo receipt was a legit shock 😳

i mean we've all spent hundreds more than intended there... but you're not actually surprised at the total. 

no clothes, 1/3 of our normal meat (one big chuck roast and some frozen fish), minimal pharmacy product, everything else was just our standard stuff - produce, coffee, dairy, etc. 

was enough that we went over the receipt ourselves before leaving. wow.

 

So now there is talk that the US would have to pay back all the tariffs that have been collected with money we don’t have. That doesn’t sound great for inflation.

However, my guess is that the Supreme Court will rule in favor of Trump because cloak room. Is there a way for the ruling to be that Trump can’t unilaterally decide tariffs moving forward but we don’t have to come up with 500 billion dollars to pay back? 

57 minutes ago, Larry T. Spider said:

So now there is talk that the US would have to pay back all the tariffs that have been collected with money we don’t have. That doesn’t sound great for inflation.

However, my guess is that the Supreme Court will rule in favor of Trump because cloak room. Is there a way for the ruling to be that Trump can’t unilaterally decide tariffs moving forward but we don’t have to come up with 500 billion dollars to pay back? 

Yeah see, usually we have checks and balances to avoid this sort of fuck up. Ya know, where the body with the power of the purse approves new taxes and expenditures? Eh idk that's just some cloak room shit I guess.

5 hours ago, mchookem said:

so for the first time i can actually remember, at least 10 years...CostCo receipt was a legit shock 😳

i mean we've all spent hundreds more than intended there... but you're not actually surprised at the total. 

no clothes, 1/3 of our normal meat (one big chuck roast and some frozen fish), minimal pharmacy product, everything else was just our standard stuff - produce, coffee, dairy, etc. 

was enough that we went over the receipt ourselves before leaving. wow.

 

I remember the long lost days of going in there, and being like "yeah, I know when I walk through this door I am out at least $150".

LOL.

Edited by Anastasis

1 hour ago, Larry T. Spider said:

So now there is talk that the US would have to pay back all the tariffs that have been collected with money we don’t have. That doesn’t sound great for inflation.

However, my guess is that the Supreme Court will rule in favor of Trump because cloak room. Is there a way for the ruling to be that Trump can’t unilaterally decide tariffs moving forward but we don’t have to come up with 500 billion dollars to pay back? 

Ain't no one paying back shit to anybody about anything. haha.  

How do we even know they are collecting the shit correctly?

12 hours ago, mchookem said:

so for the first time i can actually remember, at least 10 years...CostCo receipt was a legit shock 😳

i mean we've all spent hundreds more than intended there... but you're not actually surprised at the total. 

no clothes, 1/3 of our normal meat (one big chuck roast and some frozen fish), minimal pharmacy product, everything else was just our standard stuff - produce, coffee, dairy, etc. 

was enough that we went over the receipt ourselves before leaving. wow.

 

 

it’s one banana, what could it cost, ten dollars? 

 

7 hours ago, tbone_ said:

How do we even know they are collecting the shit correctly?

They use the IRS model...

1 hour ago, UTPhil2006 said:

75 bps cut on the table?

I don’t see how that’s good for mortgage rates.  

7 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

CPI comes in a little warm while jobless claims tick up. Dual mandate pressures weighing on the Fed.

50 bps or we riot. 75 bps or we politely yell

37 minutes ago, UTPhil2006 said:

50 bps or we riot. 75 bps or we politely yell

Man I am sorry to say but you are setting yourself up for disappointment.

45 minutes ago, Snake Diggity said:

Man I am sorry to say but you are setting yourself up for disappointment.

Ha I know. I've been also telling myself the Astros are gonna close the season 17-0. And I'm also a NYG fan but at least I'm realistic there. 

Rates are coming down. Fuck the Fed, just look at what the rates are. 10 Year is about to go under 4%. NLT May, Trump gets the keys to the kingdom and drives rates to zero. Don't get caught holding the bag. Yes the Fed only controls short rates but the long rates get pulled down right along with the rest of the curve. That'll be $5.

We’re going to get negative growth and inflation and we’re going to like it.  My prediction is by 2028 we’re going to see double digit interest rates to control inflation, but maybe it is a little later.  Inflation heading to 15 percent or so in two years.

11 hours ago, Hefeweizen said:

We’re going to get negative growth and inflation and we’re going to like it.  My prediction is by 2028 we’re going to see double digit interest rates to control inflation, but maybe it is a little later.  Inflation heading to 15 percent or so in two years.

And best way to profit is?

Gold is likely the best store of value or Bitcoin if you believe that particular vehicle works.  I personally moved a big portion of my equity positions to overseas ETFs.  The world is going to suffer from the US catching a cold but I really see the debt problem we have causing long term decline in the dollar.  I think that’s the hidden part of the inflation in prices.

12 hours ago, Hefeweizen said:

Gold is likely the best store of value or Bitcoin if you believe that particular vehicle works.  I personally moved a big portion of my equity positions to overseas ETFs.  The world is going to suffer from the US catching a cold but I really see the debt problem we have causing long term decline in the dollar.  I think that’s the hidden part of the inflation in prices.

Yes but I have a minor quibble with your scenario. Whomever is in charge will be obligated to engage in yield curve control, which they are not doing now. They have to limit federal interest expense or we will absolutely have hyperinflation.

Edited by Thetexashammer

  • 3 weeks later...

It's all fake news.  Capitalism is the best and you commies need to just pay more for your food.

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