September 13, 20214 yr Why even have school then. StupidProbably if they go till noon, it is counted as a full day.
September 13, 20214 yr School closures starting around Houston CCISD closed tomorrow. G-town at noon.
September 13, 20214 yr The latest Space City Weather update: https://spacecityweather.com/upgrading-to-a-stage-3-flood-alert-as-we-watch-forecast-trends-with-nicholas/
September 13, 20214 yr Yeah, I have a feeling the 'ol rain shield of dominance will keep the rain away from Austin. Space City Weather posted this a few minutes ago: As we note on the SCW Flood Scale page, a stage 3 event: Our third stage is probably the most difficult stage to define. These are storms that may be quite memorable for parts of the Houston area but not for the entire area. These are basically larger, more damaging versions of Stage 2 events. You could expect perhaps hundreds of homes flooding in multiple neighborhoods during Stage 3 events. In this situation, we believe we have enough evidence in model data to support a decent risk for a stage 3 event somewhere in our area or region.
September 13, 20214 yr Popular Post Every time a hurricane or storm appears in gulf: austonians - oh no!!!! We gonna get hammered! Pack up the succulents and stock up on topo houstonians - ………….. (storm clearly isnt going to make it to centex and is usually headed to somewhere between matagorda and beaumont) austonians - aw shucks, we aint gonna get shit. I hope i can get an inch to water my lawn. Its so dry here houstonians - …………
September 13, 20214 yr 2 minutes ago, GreenspointTexas said: Every time a hurricane or storm appears in gulf: austonians - oh no!!!! We gonna get hammered! Pack up the succulents and stock up on topo houstonians - ………….. (storm clearly isnt going to make it to centex and is usually headed to somewhere between matagorda and beaumont) austonians - aw shucks, we aint gonna get shit. I hope i can get an inch to water my lawn. Its so dry here houstonians - ………… On the bright side, I have enough topo to get me through the rest of the year. not sure when I’m going to get around to moving the succulents back outside… pretty busy week shaping up
September 13, 20214 yr It's not good when the dots for 48, 72, and 96 hours are pretty close together.
September 13, 20214 yr 14 minutes ago, Lobwedgephil said: Austonian? Never heard that before. The building speaks for itself... even though it doesn't have a lawn. http://theaustonian.com/
September 13, 20214 yr 28 minutes ago, Lobwedgephil said: Austonian? Never heard that before. My buddy has a place there.
September 13, 20214 yr 39 minutes ago, TejanoAtUT said: Yeah, I have a feeling the 'ol rain shield of dominance will keep the rain away from Austin. So let me ask, yesterday morning did you think we were going to beat Arkansas?
September 13, 20214 yr 52 minutes ago, Lobwedgephil said: Austonian? Never heard that before. It wasn’t the beginning, but about when Austin turned fully ghey as fuck…..
September 13, 20214 yr 9 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said: So of course, KXAN needs the clicks/eyeballs. Well I just saw this at storm2k. I don't know the acronyms, but this is the 18Z EPS Ensemble Run. Image may or may not load. These runs seem a little further west. https://i.imgur.com/VSpEaAZ.gif Edited September 13, 20214 yr by miguelito
September 13, 20214 yr Weather nerds just started freaking out. Apparently a new center just formed 200 miles northeast of where the NHC modeled their cone off of, which will change the track / intensity. The feeling is the NHC will release a special advisory soon. Edited September 13, 20214 yr by Xian
September 13, 20214 yr 12 minutes ago, Xian said: Weather nerds just started freaking out. Apparently a new center just formed 200 miles northeast of where the NHC modeled their cone off of, which will change the track / intensity. The feeling is the NHC will release a special advisory soon. And it’s out… Tropical Storm Nicholas Special Advisory Number 4NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL1420211130 PM CDT Sun Sep 12 2021...NICHOLAS RE-FORMS TO THE NORTH AND STRENGTHENS...SUMMARY OF 1130 PM CDT...0430 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...24.8N 96.3WABOUT 115 MI...190 KM NE OF LA PESCA MEXICOABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDEMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHE
September 13, 20214 yr 17 minutes ago, Xian said: Weather nerds just started freaking out. Apparently a new center just formed 200 miles northeast of where the NHC modeled their cone off of, which will change the track / intensity. The feeling is the NHC will release a special advisory soon. Live behind the scenes look at head weather nerd:
September 13, 20214 yr I’m curious how much of the cone will change now? Haven’t seen any new updates on it yet. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
September 13, 20214 yr I’m curious how much of the cone will change now? Haven’t seen any new updates on it yet. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
September 13, 20214 yr Noticed this thing has picked up speed from 2mph to 12mph.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
September 13, 20214 yr Can someone post the latest Euro rain model? Looks like it settled down from Noah’s Ark to streets get wet.
September 13, 20214 yr 14 minutes ago, Bert Orange said: Can someone post the latest Euro rain model? Looks like it settled down from Noah’s Ark to streets get wet. Here ya go. Heavy rain in west Houston. Biblical rain in lufkin and north central Louisiana (not as bad as earlier models though). This will change again the main thing to keep is mind is that someone is going to get a fuck ton of rain Edited September 13, 20214 yr by Xian
September 13, 20214 yr Lindner on ABC13 said “yall asses need to be in ya damn house after work and STAY THERE fucking idiots.” (Paraphrasing.)
September 13, 20214 yr Got .75 inches last night. Probably looking at another foot or so over the next 36 hours. We need rain but not a foot 😂
September 13, 20214 yr 18 hours ago, Xian said: Latest Euro run might raise some eyebrows. never seen sixty one fucking inches of rainfall projected from storm before….. would beat the Harvey record, I believe. edit: No one freak out it’s still early. I would just start preparing Sometimes models get a little crazy. Kind of like when they detect heavy hail, their rain totals get into the 100's. Significant new info: - Storm tracks continue to push a bit east (yawn, surprise, whatever). Less likely Austin will get much. One reason is that the center of Nicholas reorganized and re-formed about 150 m. NE of where it was. - Storm will not slow down somewhere in Sabine area or whatever, now forecast to keep moving, and in fact speed up. - This means yeah there will definitely be some flooding along Centex coast, but probably not catastrophic. My guess is ATX will get a few areas with 2"-3" (if they're in a tropical downpour or two) but most of us, not a whole lot, maybe half inch. Back if/when this changes.Edit: However, one thing I don't like about the new scenario is that Nicholas is forecast to be a little farther out in the Gulf, for longer. Although models are still keeping it as a strong TS, I'm worried it could strengthen to a hurricane - this happened with the last 3 storms in the Gulf (exceeded model forecast) due to the very warm Gulf water (84° at least) around the Western Gulf coast. If this happens and Nicholas slows down, flooding could be bad in a given area. But hoping that everyone will get by with maybe 7-8 inches at the worst down there on the coast. We'll see. At least the new info puts it out of the region by later tomorrow evening. Edited September 13, 20214 yr by phdhorn
September 13, 20214 yr Latest NHC has Houston getting < 10 inches this week. Isolated areas with up to 15. We can work with that.
September 13, 20214 yr So, wife just left to go to a work thing in Galveston this morning for a couple days. I am a bit concerned.
September 13, 20214 yr 1 minute ago, Moby Ric said: So, wife just left to go to a work thing in Galveston this morning for a couple days. I am a bit concerned. Afraid she won’t be able to take Nicholas’ length or girth?
September 13, 20214 yr 10 minutes ago, Moby Ric said: So, wife just left to go to a work thing in Galveston this morning for a couple days. I am a bit concerned. It’s fine down here now. Shouldn’t get bad till these evening And only then I’m only worried about street flooding
September 13, 20214 yr I still have a twinge of PTSD when we lived in Houston and Imelda snuck up one day. What did that thing move? 4 mph maybe?
September 13, 20214 yr 1 hour ago, Moby Ric said: So, wife just left to go to a work thing in Galveston this morning for a couple days. I am a bit concerned. Just make sure she writes her social security number on her forearm with a Magic Marker in case she gets washed out to sea.
September 13, 20214 yr 30 minutes ago, Stella Link said: Just make sure she writes her social security number on her forearm with a Magic Marker in case she gets washed out to sea. Sharpie is a better choice.
September 13, 20214 yr Wind picking up in Kemah…. Gonna need to head home soon to clear the last part of the yard/porch. Debating what to do with the furniture on the upper veranda. It’s heavy stuff thats a bitch to get through the F2C windows.
September 13, 20214 yr left work around 10:00 and drove through that 1st wave. rained like a cow pissin' on a flat rock. and windy. got to Sargent and it was calm, but palm leaves strewn everywhere. power was off but back on now.
September 13, 20214 yr 56 minutes ago, Xian said: Wind picking up in Kemah…. Gonna need to head home soon to clear the last part of the yard/porch. Debating what to do with the furniture on the upper veranda. It’s heavy stuff thats a bitch to get through the F2C windows. Sounds like you would have a staff to help you, maybe the grounds crew, pull the kitchen staff if need be, should be good.
September 13, 20214 yr I went to HEB early this morning and got stuff for potato soup and some other stuff for chili. I've also gone to Spec's and gotten gas for the generator. We are forecast to be in what ever is left of the eyewall soon after it makes landfall, so we might get some pretty good wind gusts. I'm prepared if we lose power for a day or two, which is what I would expect the worst to be with this storm. Edited September 13, 20214 yr by Hate
September 13, 20214 yr We just logged .1 inches in San Antonio. Winds gusting up to 10 mph. Neighbor has some sticks in his yard that definitely weren’t there before. I’ll continue to check in here so that y’all know I’m okay. Edited September 13, 20214 yr by StruggleBus
September 13, 20214 yr 3 minutes ago, StruggleBus said: We just logged .1 inches in San Antonio. Winds gusting up to 10 mph. Neighbor has some sticks in his yard that definitely weren’t there before. I’ll continue to check in here so that y’all know I’m okay. Stay strong and keep hunkered down. Now is the time to keep calm.
September 13, 20214 yr When I lived in Galveston, this is how I judged the severity of a storm. If they stop trash collection, I should probably think about buying some floaties
September 13, 20214 yr 1 minute ago, Dewey said: When I lived in Galveston, this is how I judged the severity of a storm. If they stop trash collection, I should probably think about buying some floaties Good point. Galveston has the best trash pickup I’ve ever seen. They are always on time and will grab ANYTHING on your standard pickup day.
September 13, 20214 yr Popular Post 7 minutes ago, Xian said: They are always on time and will grab ANYTHING on your standard pickup day. too bad Robert Durst didn't know that.
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