September 6, 20214 yr Iowa also played a pretty good IU team while ISU played a pretty good FCS team. Not completely apples to apples but I see your point. It just always seems ISU chokes in this game.That’s not far from the truth, I was very surprised to see that isu has never been fav in recent memory. Vegas has been within the hook two of last 3 mtgs and the other was a Iowa clinching TD with 4 min left. Not saying isu is a lock but this has all the makings of proof Vegas gives no fucks about ‘even money’ on both sides that’s always thrown around. They’re in the biz of making the most money possible.
September 7, 20214 yr Author 1 minute ago, Hook1997 said: Way to go Surly consensus pick! I was starting to get nervous in the 4th but I was silly to doubt the collective wisdom in this thread.
September 7, 20214 yr My stone cold lock of next week is Texas -6 or minus -6.5. I think we cover all games leading up to OU then we will have to see what it’s at. Everyone is understanding this team right now and we will get back to the days of coving spreads vs bad teams. I also just gave a aggie guy I know double the spread at -12 for a $100…. Cause he wouldn’t stop taking shit. He said we had a 50/50 chance of beating Ark I said well that a even line then put your money where your mouth is, he wouldn’t obviously. His excuse was I only bet on aggy, I said if you feel confident at all even have the balls to bet me doubling the line atleast and he finally caved. Edited September 7, 20214 yr by Hook1997
September 7, 20214 yr Way too much unknown to jump on Texas this early as a stone cold lock. Texas still isn’t good enough to overcome multiple mistakes and this one is on the road.
September 7, 20214 yr Author I actually do like us a lot at -6.5 but my new personal rule is that I don't touch UT or A&M games anymore. I am a mental midget and my reasoning is so easily clouded by my obvious bias.
September 7, 20214 yr 12 hours ago, Hook1997 said: My stone cold lock of next week is Texas -6 or minus -6.5. I think we cover all games leading up to OU then we will have to see what it’s at. Everyone is understanding this team right now and we will get back to the days of coving spreads vs bad teams. I also just gave a aggie guy I know double the spread at -12 for a $100…. Cause he wouldn’t stop taking shit. He said we had a 50/50 chance of beating Ark I said well that a even line then put your money where your mouth is, he wouldn’t obviously. His excuse was I only bet on aggy, I said if you feel confident at all even have the balls to bet me doubling the line atleast and he finally caved. my stone-cold lock of the week last week should have been Bijan Robinson over 2.5 receptions, but I only noticed it about 5 minutes before kickoff, as I rarely even look at cfb player props. Sadly, I didn’t have much available in the online account at the time, so I couldn’t really pound it. I think he grabbed his 3rd in the second qtr, so it wasn’t a sweat, but surprisingly Bijan only ended up with 4 on the day. I'll be looking for it this week if they offer the same wager, as I think sark's gonna continue to look for ways to get him the ball in open field.
September 7, 20214 yr I really don’t like us this week at all. Our oline was pretty much dogshit vs lala (we played behind the chains way too much) and I tend to believe a hostile atmosphere’s biggest impact is on a visitors oline… communication, extra juice for d line, and generally speeding things up. This is not even mentioning none of our qb’s playing away yet or that the scheme is still new. Arky O has a few players, and our LB will be tested by a bigass running qb and very quick RB. Not saying we lose, but ark+ would be my play.
September 9, 20214 yr Author Aight, will see how long my luck can last. Actually feel really solid about these which is why I probably go 0-4. Coastal Carolina -25 v Kansas NC State -2.5 @ Mississippi State Liberty v Troy O61.5 Army v Western Kentucky U52
September 9, 20214 yr May put down something on NC State that is an interesting one. Coastal Carolina is that that good? That's a ton of points
September 9, 20214 yr 19 hours ago, closetohumping said: When do Bear and Steve's picks come out? You gonna do the opposite of what they say?
September 9, 20214 yr Author 27 minutes ago, Zeus said: May put down something on NC State that is an interesting one. Coastal Carolina is that that good? That's a ton of points They beat Kansas in Kansas by 15 points last year in their opener after being a 5 win team in 2019. They return something like 20 starters and reached another level by the end of the season. I think they’re solid and I think Kansas is that bad.
September 10, 20214 yr I'm on CCU big tonight. They're going to beat Kansas by 30+. Also on Army big tomorrow. Playing at home on 9/11 anniversary, Army will cover.
September 11, 20214 yr Joey Galloway: michigan -6.5 notre dame 16.5 the public: ohio st -14.5 iowa +4.5 both went 0-2 last week
September 11, 20214 yr Early games. Ten +4 Ok St -12 Org +14.5 Western Kentucky Army over 52, guy I went to high school’s kid is WK QB and transferred from Houston Baptist his stats have been unreal and Army will run all over them. ECU +3 let’s go! Edited September 11, 20214 yr by Hook1997
September 11, 20214 yr i wanted to bet tennessee, but saw they were missing 4 key players. i really don't like anything early on. trying to find something.
September 11, 20214 yr On 9/8/2021 at 8:10 PM, bluto said: Our game, under 56 locked in Agree on the under in our game. Don't see how Ark gets to their expected point total of 25. Edited September 11, 20214 yr by pacman
September 11, 20214 yr On 9/7/2021 at 1:05 PM, Blotto said: my stone-cold lock of the week last week should have been Bijan Robinson over 2.5 receptions, but I only noticed it about 5 minutes before kickoff, as I rarely even look at cfb player props. Sadly, I didn’t have much available in the online account at the time, so I couldn’t really pound it. I think he grabbed his 3rd in the second qtr, so it wasn’t a sweat, but surprisingly Bijan only ended up with 4 on the day. I'll be looking for it this week if they offer the same wager, as I think sark's gonna continue to look for ways to get him the ball in open field. Fuuuuuuuuck....-145 odds. Guess I'll see if they adjust it closer to gametime
September 12, 20214 yr I’ll take my medicine on Iowa state… eff Casey Thompson’s running ability though costing me the under.
September 12, 20214 yr Went ahead and took Ole Miss/Lou U75.5. Already locked in some week 2 bets: -Iowa + 3.5 v. ISU -Colo +17 v. aggy -Horns -6Added Iowa ML late so 3-1 this week, 6-1 for the season. Sent from my SM-G781U using Tapatalk
September 13, 20214 yr Author On 9/8/2021 at 8:21 PM, 40acredropout said: Aight, will see how long my luck can last. Actually feel really solid about these which is why I probably go 0-4. Coastal Carolina -25 v Kansas Covered By 2 NC State -2.5 @ Mississippi State Lost by 16.5 Liberty v Troy O61.5 Lost by 27.5 Army v Western Kentucky U52 Lost by 21 LATE ADD- U56.5 Tennessee v. Pitt Lost by 18.5 I returned to earth this week lol. Coastal just squeaked by and then I got obliterated on my other picks. That puts me at 12-5 and up 45% on the year but I'm going into Week 3 reminded that I don't know shit.
September 13, 20214 yr 7 minutes ago, 40acredropout said: I returned to earth this week lol. Coastal just squeaked by and then I got obliterated on my other picks. That puts me at 12-5 and up 45% on the year but I'm going into Week 3 reminded that I don't know shit. Does betting on these obscure games make it where ya want to watch them? I try to watch a lot of ball but those games were not on the must see list lol
September 13, 20214 yr Author 1 minute ago, Zeus said: Does betting on these obscure games make it where ya want to watch them? I try to watch a lot of ball but those games were not on the must see list lol Definitely. Some of my favorite CFB moments in last few years have been non-marquee to obscure weeknight games I bet (see Tulsa hail mary against Tulane or 2018 Egg Bowl). It's not by design but upside is it often working out to where I have something I'm interested in watching all day.
September 14, 20214 yr Early Week 3 and I only have these so far but will look to add more:Mich St +6.5 vs. Miami (This is just a Manny _iaz fade)Purdue +7 vs. ND (ND has looked like trash and their win against FSU is pretty much meaningless now)Lines that intrigue me but I haven't touched:Neb +22 vs. OUsux VT +3 vs. WVUUF +15.5 vs. BamaSCe +30.5 vs. UGAAub +6 vs. PSUOSU -26.5 vs. Tulsa Thoughts?Sent from my SM-G781U using Tapatalk
September 15, 20214 yr The books will obviously adjust, but through two weeks here are the biggest over and under achievers vs the line according to espn Worst underachievement vs. closing line through two weeks, 2021 Navy: 53 points Ohio: 52.5 Georgia State: 51.5 Georgia Southern: 47.5 Washington: 43 Iowa State: 36.5 Louisiana: 34.5 Oklahoma State: 32.5 Vanderbilt: 31.5 Rice, Washington State: 31 Colorado State, UConn, Northwestern: 30.5 Greatest overachievement vs. closing line through two weeks, 2021: Rutgers: 40 points Iowa: 38.5 Utah State: 37.5 Georgia: 36 Army: 32.5 Michigan: 31 Marshall, Virginia: 30
September 15, 20214 yr Author 19 hours ago, Assman said: Mich St +6.5 vs. Miami (This is just a Manny _iaz fade) Neb +22 vs. OUsux These are circled on my "looks interesting at first glance" list but I actually ended up on other side as you. I can't argue with logic of a _iaz fade but I actually like Canes here (as someone who watched neither of their games this year). MSU seems very mediocre to me and their win against NW doesn't impress as that team lost about everything from last year (which admittedly they also beat that squad to be fair). Alabama was Alabama and App State actually had 10 starters back from what was a top 20 defense by most metrics. I think Miami offense looks more like what it looked like last year and has no trouble scoring and I don't really believe MSU can keep up (a bottom 20 offense last year by most metrics). It does seem like a lot of points when you look at OU v Tulane game but I expect OU offense to finally be clicking and I have absolutely zero confidence in an Aaron Martinez led offense. I really just think Nebraska is dog shit, which maybe is adequately baked in at 22 but I could see this being a beat down.
September 16, 20214 yr I don't see Nebraska hanging around whatsoever with ousux, nor do I see Bama having any issues covering their number. I am not betting on ousux bc I refuse to enjoy any benefit from their success, but I am laying the points with Bama and I doubt it is ever even close.
September 16, 20214 yr Author Yep, I got my card for the week. Looks like multiple differences of opinion within the thread this week. Liberty - 27 v Old Dominion Wake Forest -6 v Florida State Alabama -15.5 @ Florida OU -22 v Nebraska Miami -6.5 v Michigan State UCF -7 @ Louisville (I actually regret placing this one) Didn't realized until I placed my bets that I didn't pick a single dog. I'm probably succumbing to some simpleton gambling fallacy but whatever, let it rip. Edited September 16, 20214 yr by 40acredropout
September 16, 20214 yr Did a three team 6 point teaser for tonight and tomorrow. Ohio +24.5 Louisville +12.5 Maryland -1 Oh and on Alabama A&M -4 straight. Edited September 16, 20214 yr by Hook1997
September 17, 20214 yr 3 hours ago, TornACL said: I like the under tonight in Ohio ULaLa. Feels like a 30-14 kind of game. Billy Napier can get fucked.
September 17, 20214 yr Now that AZ had legal sports betting what’s the best onshore option? I use mybookie right now but their cost seem a little high.
September 17, 20214 yr Maryland -7 Feel pretty good about this one after reading up a bit. Illinois got handled pretty easily by Virginia last week, and I think they will get slapped around again this week by Maryland. The Terrapins only allowed 24 points to West Virginia and they have a much better offense than the Illini do. Maryland scored 30 points on WVU also, and again, a better defense than Illinois. The Illini defense currently ranks 227th in passing defense, 158th in rushing defense, and 182nd in points allowed. That’s awful.
September 17, 20214 yr I’m new to sports betting. Just got a my bookie account last year. Using betonline and mybookie this season. My bets this week Sparty +185 VA +8 Marshall -10 kansas +17.5 Edited September 18, 20214 yr by drifter379
September 18, 20214 yr UCF just hosed my teaser with Maryland. Wow. They make the best play of the game and just need 3 but throw the pick 6. My god.
September 18, 20214 yr went with nebraska tt over 20.5 and a mich st +13, va tech +8 tease for the early slate.
September 18, 20214 yr Here's my crazy parlay for the day, 25:1. Counting on ND being trash again. Looking good so far with Mich St since Diaz is a disaster. Michigan State +6½-110MICHIGAN STATE vs MIAMI FLORIDAGame Date: Sep 18, 2021 - 12:00 pm Oklahoma -22-115NEBRASKA vs OKLAHOMAGame Date: Sep 18, 2021 - 12:00 pm Texas A&M -28½EvNEW MEXICO vs TEXAS A&MGame Date: Sep 18, 2021 - 12:00 pm Colorado -2-110MINNESOTA vs COLORADOGame Date: Sep 18, 2021 - 01:00 pm Purdue +7-105PURDUE vs NOTRE DAMEGame Date: Sep 18, 2021 - 02:30 pm
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.