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  • Post-mortem: I hope people in ATX and immediate realize how freaking lucky we've been.  The severe prediction map was spot on!  The storms started blowing up just west of Austin, giving most of us

  • jimmyjazz
    jimmyjazz

    I'm struggling to reboot my meteorology expertise after 5 years of focusing on election law, virology, economics, international relations and military tactics.

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    Hey mother fucker I wish every year was 2005.  

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16 minutes ago, gsoda3 said:

So.. where's the rain?

I'm blaming the fireworks down at UT tonight.

Well my reverse jinxing worked, we got 1.4 inches with hail, and it's a sweet 68 degrees behind it. 

Medina lake should get a nice bump. It might get back up to 25% full now.

Worst outcome you here in Cedar Park so far…lots of thunder but rain eludes so far.  If it wakes my kids up I’ll be pissed

Edited by Homercles

18 minutes ago, Homercles said:

Worst outcome you here in Cedar Park so far…lots of thunder but rain eludes so far.  If it wakes my kids up I’ll be pissed

You need to make it rain here or I will be really disappointed in you. 

4 minutes ago, Longhorn_Fan68 said:

Also hail

donde?

went out on the porch to check out the light show and the arrival of  the rain. the porch faces west. Shit was coming in sideways for a  bit. 

On 5/18/2022 at 6:56 PM, phdhorn said:

We're going to get a good amount of rain. Yes, yes we are. No, we are. Yes, we are.

What partt of this didn't YOU PEOPLE understand?? Huh?

(Although I stayed overnight in Lockhart after my kid's wedding.  Didn't seem to rain much here. I think forcefield parked it here. But apparently Bee Cave got lots of rain... As always).

Staying in Lockhart is... unique. Best Western, baby!

Haven't gone to the weather videotape the past 2 days due to wedding prep, so haven't followed the updates.  But 2 days ago models were VERY aggressive with tons of rain starting Monday but especially midweek.  I'll follow up today as it might be an extreme (I.e. flooding) scenario.  I'll be back evening

 

 

Ubering back to the hotel downtown from UT graduation last night at the height of the storm.  Fun ride. 

We got smoked in Hewitt last night.  Had some quarter sized hail that took out one of my jalapeño plants.  Luckily I have 8 more, and didn’t lose any tomatoes 

  • Author

Whatever we got in Brentwood, I slept through it and it wasn’t much, because it still looks pretty dry outside my house.

2 hours ago, South Austin said:

Whatever we got in Brentwood, I slept through it and it wasn’t much, because it still looks pretty dry outside my house.

The LCRA map this morning was strange. Based on what I saw at my place, I thought the whole city was inundated. Turns out Bull Creek was about the bullseye, a little south or north was almost nothing. 

 

2 hours ago, South Austin said:

Whatever we got in Brentwood, I slept through it and it wasn’t much, because it still looks pretty dry outside my house.

really?? that's too bad...i'm in Wooten and we got absolutely drenched for a couple hours. glorious! 😊

We ended up with a little over 2.5 inches of rain last night in The Woodlands. It’s awesome outside right now.

3 hours ago, Grasshopper said:

Just outside of Dripping Springs = 0.0" as expected.

 

On 5/22/2022 at 12:21 AM, UTexasFight said:

Forcefield over Louisiana tonight

 

C3F1AD67-205E-4554-BE04-10F4F17206C3.jpeg

That's a first

As for Saturday night, someone may have sneezed over our house but for the most part crap for rain

  • Author

I'm supposed to go on an early morning run tomorrow, so that means it'll definitely rain.

image.png.9fe3065c5eced5720e7be3ab835e1994.png

Have no idea what Wunderground uses for their "model" but tomorrow looks like the better chance (78751). 

Edit - weather.gov seems to agree

image.png.f494b75670bca196a69fa8eef7250ee6.png

Quote

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 232 PM CDT Mon May 23 2022 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-241945- Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera- Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde- Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala- Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit- 232 PM CDT Mon May 23 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas.. .

DAY ONE...This Afternoon And Tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will impact portions of the Rio Grande late this afternoon and move east through portions of the remainder of South Central Texas this evening through the overnight. A few storms could become strong to severe, with gusty winds and large hail possible. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. Pockets of locally heavy rainfall occurring quickly are also possible, which could lead to minor urban or small stream flooding.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. A complex of storms is likely to impact South Central Texas late Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning. Some storms could become severe, producing large hail and damaging wind gusts. There is also a low chance for an isolated tornado or two. The complex of storms is likely to bring pockets of locally heavy rainfall Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, which could lead to localized flash flooding of urban areas and small streams.

 

Edited by Blotto

Well it was a harrowing moment for my folks between Lometa and San Saba earlier. Somebody else here has a property just a couple miles from us on the river, but I’m blanking on the name. That tornado that Yeomans thought he saw on the radar was damn near on top of em. Fortunately no damage that they could spot from the house, but line of sight is pretty limited in 3 directions. Solid soaking though which is a godsend!

56 minutes ago, Hate said:

6a33559a691624b13e04bf7e29703380.png

And tracking towards Tceh (but still 40 miles away)

Another view:

(Parents should be horsewhipped for spelling it with a 'Kh'...)

No rain tonight. Too much shit disrupting gulf inflow south and east of us. 
 

Tomorrow last chance. What a shitty event this has been.

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