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Anybody wanna bet at the line between "heavy rain" and "light sprinkle" gets adjusted about 100 miles north in the coming days?

Also don't get the discrepancy between the 5 day precip forecast and the 7-day. The 7-day is way wetter, but the rain chances I'm seeing are relatively low for days 6/7.

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There are some models saying another front is coming early next week.

The Euro weather model calls for that system to go into NE Mexico and then head north into Texas before getting "stuck" kind of like Harvey a few years ago.  Please little baby Jesus, let this verify.

file.php?id=19537&mode=view

4 hours ago, Hate said:

Just for the record, I wanted to point out that South Austin doomed us all with the first post of 2022.  Things are trending wetter though...like his mom.

p168i.gif?1660751978

On South Austin's mom, thanks for making it rain.

17 minutes ago, Hate said:

The Euro weather model calls for that system to go into NE Mexico and then head north into Texas before getting "stuck" kind of like Harvey a few years ago.  Please little baby Jesus, let this verify.

file.php?id=19537&mode=view

Nice.... But can these folks label cities? I hate trying to pick my county! 

Here is another look at it.

ecmwf_apcpn_us_64.png

And here is the American model (GFS).  It's less aggressive with the rainfall totals, but it does show some relief.

gfs_apcpn_us_40.png

I am torn.

See, the drought, this timeline, and life in general tell me that AIN'T NO  FUCKING WAY THIS DROUGHT BREAKS.  We will end up wandering the wastelands fighting to the death over water like Mad Max, except there's no hottie Charlize around.

ALTERNATIVELY.....that's right before dove season opens, and with the drought crushing any food plot we might have, the fact that we have stock tanks that the dove love to hit for water is our draw for birds.  Some of the only reliable water around, they flock to them.  But if it drops 10 inches of rain.....every divot in the ground for miles will hold easy drinking water, and the birds will scatter.

If there's a way to fuck me over twice, and both ruin dove opener AND keep the drought going, I'm confident nature will find it.

The Euro models tend to run laps around the GFS.  

I have no doubt this will be the exception though

3 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

I am torn.

See, the drought, this timeline, and life in general tell me that AIN'T NO  FUCKING WAY THIS DROUGHT BREAKS.  We will end up wandering the wastelands fighting to the death over water like Mad Max, except there's no hottie Charlize around.

ALTERNATIVELY.....that's right before dove season opens, and with the drought crushing any food plot we might have, the fact that we have stock tanks that the dove love to hit for water is our draw for birds.  Some of the only reliable water around, they flock to them.  But if it drops 10 inches of rain.....every divot in the ground for miles will hold easy drinking water, and the birds will scatter.

If there's a way to fuck me over twice, and both ruin dove opener AND keep the drought going, I'm confident nature will find it.

My personal cloud – wanderwithmelissa

 

4 minutes ago, Chet Steadman said:

The Euro models tend to run laps around the GFS.  

I have no doubt this will be the exception though

Euro was solid up until a few years ago, GFS has been the one lately. 

15 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

I am torn.

See, the drought, this timeline, and life in general tell me that AIN'T NO  FUCKING WAY THIS DROUGHT BREAKS.  We will end up wandering the wastelands fighting to the death over water like Mad Max, except there's no hottie Charlize around.

ALTERNATIVELY.....that's right before dove season opens, and with the drought crushing any food plot we might have, the fact that we have stock tanks that the dove love to hit for water is our draw for birds.  Some of the only reliable water around, they flock to them.  But if it drops 10 inches of rain.....every divot in the ground for miles will hold easy drinking water, and the birds will scatter.

If there's a way to fuck me over twice, and both ruin dove opener AND keep the drought going, I'm confident nature will find it.

Oh man, ruining dove season. I don't know what we'd ever do.

1 minute ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

Oh man, ruining dove season. I don't know what we'd ever do.

It's fall.  I'd like SOMETHING to look forward to, and I don't think the football team is gonna help me there.  Throw me a bone, man.

Just now, Brisketexan said:

It's fall.  I'd like SOMETHING to look forward to, and I don't think the football team is gonna help me there.  Throw me a bone, man.

Umm, rain? 

3 minutes ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

Umm, rain? 

image.jpeg.cc9576ca99cd954416b98323ceae1930.jpeg

 

2 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

It's fall.  I'd like SOMETHING to look forward to, and I don't think the football team is gonna help me there.  Throw me a bone, man.

Throw YOU a bone?!?!  I'm about to lose my mind with my foundation drying out and my doors not closing.  I'm ready for it to implode like in Poltergeist.  

1 hour ago, Brisketexan said:

It's fall.  I'd like SOMETHING to look forward to, and I don't think the football team is gonna help me there.  Throw me a bone, man.

Pumpkin spiced latte?

22 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

Throw YOU a bone?!?!  I'm about to lose my mind with my foundation drying out and my doors not closing.  I'm ready for it to implode like in Poltergeist.  

Blah blah blah, house schmouse, won't someone think of ME?

18 minutes ago, texasdago said:

Pumpkin spiced latte?

I will fight you.  I have never worn yoga pants in my life.

1 hour ago, texasdago said:

Pumpkin spiced latte?

image.gif.6f9bcc4b48c64c5c2e8bfcc0c3791a82.gif

4 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

I am torn.

See, the drought, this timeline, and life in general tell me that AIN'T NO  FUCKING WAY THIS DROUGHT BREAKS.  We will end up wandering the wastelands fighting to the death over water like Mad Max, except there's no hottie Charlize around.

ALTERNATIVELY.....that's right before dove season opens, and with the drought crushing any food plot we might have, the fact that we have stock tanks that the dove love to hit for water is our draw for birds.  Some of the only reliable water around, they flock to them.  But if it drops 10 inches of rain.....every divot in the ground for miles will hold easy drinking water, and the birds will scatter.

If there's a way to fuck me over twice, and both ruin dove opener AND keep the drought going, I'm confident nature will find it.


ill bet $100 it rains the day before the dove season opens 

Cross-posted in 3 threads:

The weather pattern has absolutely begun to change.  As in seasonal.  We might get heat/dry back, but this ain't no 1 day reprieve.  This is a huge shift.  It doesn't mean the  end of summer, but it might be very difficult to return to it like it's been.

Rain for most of us starting tomorrow, good daily chances for at least next 7 days if not longer.
Temps are gonna go down a good bit somewhere low-mid 90's most days.  We might not even hit 90 Friday and somewhere within a few days after.
The "Gulf thing" (tropics) will help enhance rain chances and moderate temps, even if it doesn't spin up.  This one will affect CenTex more than the thing yesterday.

Yes, Virginia, summer as we've known it is over, at least for now and waaay into next week.  We'll see what September has to say about it.

RonPaulitshappening.gif?

It's REALLY gonna hurt, when the Force Field sheds this thing.

  • Author
11 minutes ago, utee94 said:

It's REALLY gonna hurt, when the Force Field sheds this thing.

“Pain don’t hurt.” – Dalton

13 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

I will fight you.  I have never worn yoga pants in my life.

So, you're saying there's still a chance.....

46 minutes ago, utee94 said:

It's REALLY gonna hurt, when the Force Field sheds this thing.

This Summer has broken me. The FF doesn't even phase me anymore. If the temp drops 3 degrees, I look up to the sky and say "thank you sir may I have another". 

I still plan to show up at Jimmy Clay at four this afternoon and play my scheduled round.

 

16 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

I am torn.

See, the drought, this timeline, and life in general tell me that AIN'T NO  FUCKING WAY THIS DROUGHT BREAKS.  We will end up wandering the wastelands fighting to the death over water like Mad Max, except there's no hottie Charlize around.

ALTERNATIVELY.....that's right before dove season opens, and with the drought crushing any food plot we might have, the fact that we have stock tanks that the dove love to hit for water is our draw for birds.  Some of the only reliable water around, they flock to them.  But if it drops 10 inches of rain.....every divot in the ground for miles will hold easy drinking water, and the birds will scatter.

If there's a way to fuck me over twice, and both ruin dove opener AND keep the drought going, I'm confident nature will find it.

Dove season is proper fucked, yet again.  Looking like my '20/21/22 hunts' combined first day may equal an actual 1 day limit.  Last year, I fired my shotgun 12 times in 4 hunts.  Pretty sure 4 of those were at dragonflies.  

1 hour ago, Trey3216 said:

Dove season is proper fucked, yet again.  Looking like my '20/21/22 hunts' combined first day may equal an actual 1 day limit.  Last year, I fired my shotgun 12 times in 4 hunts.  Pretty sure 4 of those were at dragonflies.  

Yeah I have a trip planned to Brownsville on Labor Day weekend to hunt, so I'm sure that tropical disturbance down in the Yucatan is going to mess that up.  Supposedly there are tons of birds down there right now.

Gonna get hot today because the front is coming in 3-4 or after.  One more.

2 hours ago, Orange&White said:

I still plan to show up at Jimmy Clay at four this afternoon and play my scheduled round.

Joe Biden GIF by GIPHY News

Sure felt weird going out and prepping the yard for heavy rain when there isn't a cloud in the sky.

13 minutes ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

Sure felt weird going out and prepping the yard for heavy rain when there isn't a cloud in the sky.

So basically you just fucked all of us

11 hours ago, phdhorn said:

Cross-posted in 3 threads:

The weather pattern has absolutely begun to change.  As in seasonal.  We might get heat/dry back, but this ain't no 1 day reprieve.  This is a huge shift.  It doesn't mean the  end of summer, but it might be very difficult to return to it like it's been.

Rain for most of us starting tomorrow, good daily chances for at least next 7 days if not longer.
Temps are gonna go down a good bit somewhere low-mid 90's most days.  We might not even hit 90 Friday and somewhere within a few days after.
The "Gulf thing" (tropics) will help enhance rain chances and moderate temps, even if it doesn't spin up.  This one will affect CenTex more than the thing yesterday.

Yes, Virginia, summer as we've known it is over, at least for now and waaay into next week.  We'll see what September has to say about it.

cbf93c8b397c5ec7f8ad572fbbc6207857141526

1 minute ago, NorthLoop said:

So basically you just fucked all of us

No, that happened long before anything I did. 

I also haven't washed the truck and didn't run the sprinkler in anticipation. Muahahhahaahahahhaahhhahah

That's it. I'm headed to the carwash and getting the expensive one. 

10 minutes ago, NorthLoop said:

That's it. I'm headed to the carwash and getting the expensive one. 

I am getting the most expensive detail I can get and then driving around the block before dropping it off for a second one. 

19 minutes ago, NorthLoop said:

That's it. I'm headed to the carwash and getting the expensive one. 

 

7 minutes ago, HOOKEM4 said:

I am getting the most expensive detail I can get and then driving around the block before dropping it off for a second one. 

giphy.gif&f=1&nofb=1

Supposed to be here (Austin around 3/4 but sure looks like that ain't going to be the case. It's still north of Dallas right now.

7 minutes ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

Supposed to be here (Austin around 3/4 but sure looks like that ain't going to be the case. It's still north of Dallas right now.

Impatiently Waiting GIFs | Tenor

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