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1 minute ago, texasdago said:

10 perc... uh, 60!?

Don't worry.  It will go one of two ways:

1 -- it will drop to a 10% chance and fizzle, or

2 -- it will happen, and Brownsville -- and just Brownsville -- will drown.

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15 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Don't worry.  It will go one of two ways:

1 -- it will drop to a 10% chance and fizzle, or

2 -- it will happen, and Brownsville -- and just Brownsville -- will drown.

If it can get into Texas for 150 miles or so, that’d be great 

1 hour ago, Kyrie Eleison said:

lol...

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Here lies Brisket's Dove Season:

Dead Dove Do Not Eat | Unwinnable

There's a line of storms between Boerne and Dripping Springs that's just sitting there not moving. By the time it decides to move east it will dissipate. 

1 hour ago, Brisketexan said:

Don't worry.  It will go one of two ways:

1 -- it will drop to a 10% chance and fizzle, or

2 -- it will happen, and Brownsville -- and just Brownsville -- will drown.

Admittedly the 60% was wrong.

Now up to 70%

1 hour ago, NorthLoop said:

There's a line of storms between Boerne and Dripping Springs that's just sitting there not moving. By the time it decides to move east it will dissipate. 

Hey look I was fucking right. So sick of this. 

There's a line of storms between Boerne and Dripping Springs that's just sitting there not moving. By the time it decides to move east it will dissipate. 

Yeah that one was real close to me but we didn’t get shit. Keep it coming

We ended up getting 3 inches of rain today. That’s 4 inches total accumulation over the last 2 days.

11 minutes ago, Hate said:

We ended up getting 3 inches of rain today. That’s 4 inches total accumulation over the last 2 days.

Is that what your wife said? 

And I think rain is allergic to I35. 

We had to have gotten two inches just now in the past 35 minutes in north austin. That was really heavy rain.

0.9" here. We seem to be the driest spot in Austin proper. I bet that just half a mile north or south they've had double that. Just seems like we keep getting between blobs of red.

Past 48 hours:

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23 hours ago, NorthLoop said:

There's a line of storms between Boerne and Dripping Springs that's just sitting there not moving. By the time it decides to move east it will dissipate. 

Got a nice, unexpected surprise from one of those cells yesterday. One sat over the house for about an hr. and we landed up getting about an 1" 1/2 from it. Topped off the rainwater collection tank.

It’s hot AF with the humidity from the whopping .3” I’ve gotten so far in west lake. I was able to do more outside a week ago without taking a break than I am today. This is a bunch of bullshit 

Was in Brazoria today working on our house were rehabbing. Just absolutely soaked due to the humidity. And the mosquitoes were horrible. If they filmed a naked and afraid in our yard, mfers would have tapped in 10 minutes. 

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The lack of rain would be much more acceptable if local Austin stations would step up their weather game. 

 

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1 hour ago, UT_OB1 said:

Was in Brazoria today working on our house were rehabbing. Just absolutely soaked due to the humidity. And the mosquitoes were horrible. If they filmed a naked and afraid in our yard, mfers would have tapped in 10 minutes. 

Spent the day in the river drinking beer and checking out this years talent for Texas State. Was a nice day. Had a small shower come over us. 

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The humidity was a bitch yesterday. I hit the Town Lake trail around 630am for a run. With the recent rains it felt about 5-10 degrees cooler than most mornings this summer, but I was soaking wet half a mile in.

I'm getting a weird feeling about this thing. The 7-day precip forecast seems to be going lighter and the forecasts I'm seeing seem to keep pushing this out farther and farther. KXAN has a forecast that shows 60/60/40 for Monday-Wednesday. But then they ran the model run of the forecasted rainfall and it showed the bulk coming around Friday in the run. There's only a 30% chance that day.

It wouldn't surprise me if this turns into another Austin special where they forecast 3-5 inches and we get maybe an inch.
 

1 minute ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

I'm getting a weird feeling about this thing. The 7-day precip forecast seems to be going lighter and the forecasts I'm seeing seem to keep pushing this out farther and farther. KXAN has a forecast that shows 60/60/40 for Monday-Wednesday. But then they ran the model run of the forecasted rainfall and it showed the bulk coming around Friday in the run. There's only a 30% chance that day.

It wouldn't surprise me if this turns into another Austin special where they forecast 3-5 inches and we get maybe an inch.
 

Untill proven otherwise, this is what I expect to happen. 

On 8/19/2022 at 12:28 PM, Kyrie Eleison said:

lol...

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image.png.e7be05e8deb13efe2b031cc66e160065.png

Hopefully South Texas and that San Antonio water shed get hit hard this week …

 

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Edited by tx 3 putt

1 hour ago, South Austin said:

The humidity was a bitch yesterday. I hit the Town Lake trail around 630am for a run. With the recent rains it felt about 5-10 degrees cooler than most mornings this summer, but I was soaking wet half a mile in.

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More rain in 77057.  Almost an inch in the last 24 hours.  

4th straight day with significant showers in Houston. 3.5 inches in the past 96 hours. 40% or better rain chances through Labor Day weekend according to the 15-day forecast. We may actually make up the 8 inch rainfall deficit we accumulated over June and July.

NWS has a busted weather forecast for DFW. They placed nearly all counties in North Texas under a Flash Flood Watch on Saturday. Not a drop of rain in the DFW area. TV weather forecasters threw all their chips into the pot with dire rain predictions Saturday night into Sunday morning. Not a drop.

Yep. Everything between DFW and Oklahoma is getting rain, but DFW hasn't had anything.

NWS has a busted weather forecast for DFW. They placed nearly all counties in North Texas under a Flash Flood Watch on Saturday. Not a drop of rain in the DFW area. TV weather forecasters threw all their chips into the pot with dire rain predictions Saturday night into Sunday morning. Not a drop.

It’s coming.

So there are distant storms moving directly towards us from due west, and there are distant storms moving directly towards us from due south. I’ll just assume both lines will interact with each other and everything ends up northeast of us. This has been a real pleasure and exactly as expected.

10 hours ago, CHEF DIESEL said:

NWS has a busted weather forecast for DFW. They placed nearly all counties in North Texas under a Flash Flood Watch on Saturday. Not a drop of rain in the DFW area. TV weather forecasters threw all their chips into the pot with dire rain predictions Saturday night into Sunday morning. Not a drop.

Update?

DFW airport with 7+ inches in last 24 hours.  Another few hours of heavy stuff left.  That’s quite a bit 

9 hours ago, texasdago said:

Update?

Not to mention I always thought this was primarily a Sunday/Monday event in DFW.   Hell if anything it was downplayed.  Think the forecast was something like 4 inches with some spots 6+.  Well, a shit load of the metroplex is already at 6+.  That Euro model the TV guys generally thought was too aggressive and unlikely ended up being about right.

Edited by Skipper

22 hours ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

I'm getting a weird feeling about this thing. The 7-day precip forecast seems to be going lighter and the forecasts I'm seeing seem to keep pushing this out farther and farther. KXAN has a forecast that shows 60/60/40 for Monday-Wednesday. But then they ran the model run of the forecasted rainfall and it showed the bulk coming around Friday in the run. There's only a 30% chance that day.

It wouldn't surprise me if this turns into another Austin special where they forecast 3-5 inches and we get maybe an inch.
 

I gave my girl an Austin Special last weekend. 

1 hour ago, TexPx said:


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495683325af5146201ebf43d1320bfde.jpg

 

1 hour ago, Wally Pryor said:

Not so much.

These posts back to back are the epitome of Surly. 

 

1 hour ago, TexPx said:


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495683325af5146201ebf43d1320bfde.jpg

They never actually explain the logistics of "turn around don't drown" because how exactly does that work on the freeway where it seems to always pond up

21 hours ago, CHEF DIESEL said:

NWS has a busted weather forecast for DFW. They placed nearly all counties in North Texas under a Flash Flood Watch on Saturday. Not a drop of rain in the DFW area. TV weather forecasters threw all their chips into the pot with dire rain predictions Saturday night into Sunday morning. Not a drop.

 

10 hours ago, texasdago said:

Update?

NWS has a busted weather forecast for DFW Austin. They placed nearly all counties in North Central Texas under a Flash Flood Watch on Saturday. Not a drop of rain in the DFW Austin area. TV weather forecasters threw all their chips into the pot with dire rain predictions Saturday night into Sunday morning. Not a drop.

 

Let's see if we can make this statement work twice.

21 minutes ago, Pescado_Rojo said:

I gave my girl an Austin Special last weekend. 

We're getting worked up like a #6 here right by Love Field. Our rain gauge goes up to 5 inches and crested sometime during the night. Our swimming pool is about to start overflowing -- this has never happened in six years in this house. We are well up over 7 inches by this point and it's still coming down pretty hard.

8 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

They never actually explain the logistics of "turn around don't drown" because how exactly does that work on the freeway where it seems to always pond up

I think the logistics are the same. Whenever there is a substantial amount of water on the road, you should turn around.

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