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  • Kyrie Eleison
    Kyrie Eleison

    hustle never sleeps...  

  • Ogie Ogilthorpe
    Ogie Ogilthorpe

    Still no power but we have internet. First generator died. Friend gave me their generator since they have power back so house is powered but no ac (too much draw on generator).     a few of our

  • Update. We evacuated this morning. The good news is that if we get past the 3 am high tide the house will survive as will the wine.  We are now safe in Miami.    The bad news is that friends ac

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A weak tropical storm sounds pretty good right about now

28 minutes ago, WBT said:

A weak tropical storm sounds pretty good right about now

It'll be great......if you're down in Torreon.

My family used to get the best goddamned tortas from a guy with a cart near a Pemex station in Torreon.

Lake Falcon desperately needs the rain.  Last week's little bitch ass weather maker that went in around Corpus gave Laredo a couple of days of good rain.  Meanwhile, Zapata got hardly anything.

A weak tropical storm sounds pretty good right about now

Exactly

Maybe it's just me but I've never seen these "just 20%" tropical systems ever not develop.

  • Author

This is the GFS (American model) that shows a major hurricane making landfall in South Texas over labor day weekend.  The GFS is not a great model for tropical storms and it is 10 days out, but there are more than a few other models that see "something" forming in the GOM sometime next week.  The EURO doesn't show anything, but the last couple of years it hasn't been good sniffing these storms out.  It's still pretty good once a storm does form so it is something to keep an eye on. 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_44.png

Edited by Hate

The Labor Day storm models have been changing landfall locations from SW Louisiana to south Texas over the last several runs. Pretty consistent with at least a disturbance and some one may get some rain

4 hours ago, GreenspointTexas said:

Yeah, lookin like Houston gettin a storm in less than a week.

I bought some hurricane supplies yesterday !

1 hour ago, tx 3 putt said:

I bought some hurricane supplies yesterday !

Toilet paper and beer? I kid.

What did you get. We had a good thread going with some smart people talking about emergency supplies. This is FEMA's list. I would take this as a minimum. One thing I added to mine is a camping pellet stove. No matter what, they work. I also make some additional components like water proof fire starting kits. 

https://www.fema.gov/press-release/20210318/how-build-kit-emergencies

I have water and dry goods / foods. Having a gas stove helps. Need some instant coffee 

21 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

I have water and dry goods / foods. Having a gas stove helps. Need some instant coffee 

if you have gas get a stove top percolator and a few bricks of Cafe Bustello. Cheap solution, better coffee, and lasts for a long time. 

 

 

2 minutes ago, Grade of D as in David said:

There is no mention of booze in that FEMA doc. 

Depends how you read it. I have it under the medicine category 

6 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

The Whole Foods brand instant coffee is very good 

aight

23 hours ago, CleverNickname said:

We can only pray...

Just what we need!  Something to give them an excuse to jack up gas prices back to $4.00

I'm sure it's nothing.

Just now, FirstTimeCaller said:

I'm sure it's nothing.

Not one drop.

Nothing to see here...move along

Edited by Nonbryan

36 minutes ago, Steel Shank said:

I wonder what all this means?

Something something cheese hinge. 

10 minutes ago, NorthLoop said:

Something something cheese hinge. 

That's what I was kinda thinking, but I didn't want to come across as being "single minded".

image.jpeg.248babd9b6561843e2700d99784aff3e.jpeg

@Judge Roybeanbag

Edited by Steel Shank

dammit, now I want a grilled cheese and tomato soup. Where the hell is @Hate to give us cool maps we can wish upon? 

  • Author

There isn’t much to report at the moment. I don’t think much is expected as far as impact to Texas with any of these storms. The latest Euro shows we all get some rain this week.

dbb63c42f66286a9a530b1e9ad777b07.jpg

On 8/28/2022 at 8:21 AM, Hate said:

There isn’t much to report at the moment. I don’t think much is expected as far as impact to Texas with any of these storms. The latest Euro shows we all get some rain this week.

dbb63c42f66286a9a530b1e9ad777b07.jpg

Honestly…… the last few years I haven’t paid much attention, but we really need a light hurricane season with the combination of inflation, high gas prices, and most people on surly wanting the dems to do well in November.

 

  • 2 weeks later...
On 9/5/2022 at 6:59 PM, boknowstecmo said:

Hurricane Kay in the Pacific is fucking huge.

 

 

Screenshot_20220905-185552.png

image.gif.4a77da960ed618f1041548d98338f2d1.gif

1 hour ago, Orange&White said:

You guys remember all of the fun times we've had discussing the accuracy of the ... <checks notes> .....CMC Model?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem

image.thumb.jpeg.16722da49a7c829479b93283a814f25d.jpeg

Yeah but run it from about Sept 20 (smashing Key West) to the very end, and you will see it hitting the forcefield and seemingly heading for Tampico or Vera Cruz

  • Author

file.php?id=19617&t=1

2 minutes ago, Hate said:

file.php?id=19617&t=1

Did it miss any islands?

  • Author

The models are split right now on where this goes.  If it strengthens at all, it should turn north and then out into the open Atlantic as a fish storm.  If it continues west and gets shredded by the mountains of PR, DR, and Haiti, then it could re-emerge in the gulf and form again.  It's way too early to know for sure. although most of the pros I follow think this is a fish storm.

13 minutes ago, Hate said:

file.php?id=19617&t=1

This only make sense because I just booked 10 days in Puerto Rico last night.

5 hours ago, Hate said:

The models are split right now on where this goes.  If it strengthens at all, it should turn north and then out into the open Atlantic as a fish storm.  If it continues west and gets shredded by the mountains of PR, DR, and Haiti, then it could re-emerge in the gulf and form again.  It's way too early to know for sure. although most of the pros I follow think this is a fish storm.

Bitch is going to curve north like a good Dominican curveball (or evening of drinking rum) and flood England. FEMA and CNN will still call for emergency preparedness in El Paso. 

Hope I am wrong, but..... 

12 hours ago, InkaUtexas said:

Bitch is going to curve north like a good Dominican curveball (or evening of drinking rum) and flood England. FEMA and CNN will still call for emergency preparedness in El Paso. 

Hope I am wrong, but..... 

Any idea on whether or not they will have the Queen in the ground by then?  Man, them Poms are dragging this shit out.,

Puerto Rico getting bombed right now. Up to 20 inches in some places already. 

Power is out all across PR.

 

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