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Featured Replies

  • 1 month later...

I'm rusty, and don't have a sub to KenPom -- what are the numbers following the scores (66, etc.)?

1 hour ago, jimmyjazz said:

I'm rusty, and don't have a sub to KenPom -- what are the numbers following the scores (66, etc.)?

How many times the team gets a turn with South Austin’s mom - more if you win, less if you lose. 

On 11/8/2022 at 9:57 AM, jimmyjazz said:

I'm rusty, and don't have a sub to KenPom -- what are the numbers following the scores (66, etc.)?

Looking at expected results those numbers appear to be the out right win probability.   

On 11/8/2022 at 11:57 AM, jimmyjazz said:

I'm rusty, and don't have a sub to KenPom -- what are the numbers following the scores (66, etc.)?

 

26 minutes ago, SDG said:

Looking at expected results those numbers appear to be the out right win probability.   

I believe that's expected possessions in the game (or actual possessions for completed games) but also don't have a subscription. 

Edited by Huckleberry

1 minute ago, Huckleberry said:

 

I believe that's expected possessions in the game but also don't have a subscription. 

It's definitely not expected win probability.

5 minutes ago, shadow_operative said:

22E117B8-1AEF-450D-95DE-E6892EE87943.thumb.jpeg.6e380bd9e7eee203bb691060d6769d25.jpeg

9E1F6095-B93E-4A50-B9D7-FAB20972AB50.thumb.jpeg.716c0e22812eaabdde347855eaae1c4d.jpeg

A9D77414-F055-44C6-B3B8-9277FF7F02BA.thumb.jpeg.1a9170d80daafb7879de0fc5d8658774.jpeg

 

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Damn, looks like we need to work on protecting the ball and then our #6 offense can stop lagging so far behind the #1 defense. 

Gotta say that I'm surprised that ISU is 5-0 with wins over the Tarheels and Nova, and yet they can't crack the top 40 on kenpom (42nd).

 

  • Author

ha. we almost posted simultaneously. while we've dropped in both the AdjD and AdjO rankings, we've extended our lead in AdjEM. the gap between Texas and #2 has widened. also:

 

D4CE9E70-20AF-4EB9-A266-5A91AED5E842.jpeg

Am I imagining things or did Houston go up a spot after the disaster of a game they had today

  • Author
2 hours ago, Brian Fantana said:

Am I imagining things or did Houston go up a spot after the disaster of a game they had today

their AdjEM dropped from 28.72 to 27.61, so they took a hit. they stayed at no.2 though.

  • Author

Major Cities:

Marfa, Kermit, Van Horn, Sierra Blanca, Alpine, Farewell, Canyon, Lipscomb, Canadian

Non Major City: College Station

www.mapsofworld.com from the top rope!

Edited by shadow_operative

  • Author

B9B81533-4513-4B12-93DE-7A8671A42C33.jpeg.c34ebbcf03e902cbb557b12e91a462b4.jpeg

avg possession length 15.5 seconds, the 25th fastest team in the country. that's why Chris Beard came to Texas- because Carr, Morris, Hunter, and Mitchell aren't going to go Lubbock, Texas to play basketball. and then for Beard to have them playing his usual brand of elite defense while running with this tempo- what a job he's doing. 

Baylor's win over Gonzaga seemingly dropped us below Houston . . . and Baylor dropped, too.  Lulz.  Early season weirdness in computer rankings:

image.png.384d24e829db7e30023e9664cdf31f01.png

  • Author

yeah, U of H is currently 0.05 points ahead of us in AdjEM. i could see us going back and forth for a while, unless a win vs Illinois pushes us well ahead of them. 

Baylor's win over Gonzaga seemingly dropped us below Houston . . . and Baylor dropped, too.  Lulz.  Early season weirdness in computer rankings:
image.png.384d24e829db7e30023e9664cdf31f01.png

df291d4f1ebefcacdb1f72d9140c1d02.jpg

We have wins over #10 and #14 and that gets trumped by UH's blowouts of a bunch of stiffs?

Edited by TrashMaster G

  • Author
54 minutes ago, TrashMaster G said:

We have wins over #10 and #14 and that gets trumped by UH's blowouts of a bunch of stiffs?

the ranking is just your Adjusted EM, or the difference in your AdjO score and your AdjD score, so at the end of the day you W/L results have little to do with your rating. 

edit: for example, we would still be ahead of U of H if Baylor McWhatshisface had simply missed one or two of those ridiculous shots in the final minute. once we get to february and all of the big boys have had a month of conference play, that's when the rankings become a lot more meaningful. 

Edited by shadow_operative

Rankings and ratings are merely conversational fodder at this stage. Don't get too worked up over them one way or the other. Seeding will take care of itself if this team stays healthy and continues to improve.

On that note, the cohesiveness is what surprises me most of all. Mitchell, Hunter and Rice have mixed in like they've been playing with their teammates for years, not months.

It's also apparent that everyone worked on their shooting in the offseason. Our 'Horns might not be lighting it up from outside, but their jumpers and moves inside the arc seem more polished.

The lockdown defense we all expected, but this offense is a revelation. These guys are fun to watch.

  • Author

shooting clearly has to go up. if/when it does we will be a very dangerous team. we've still been pretty damn good despite being poor from both the line and BTA. 

5 hours ago, shadow_operative said:

shooting clearly has to go up. if/when it does we will be a very dangerous team. we've still been pretty damn good despite being poor from both the line and BTA. 

I don't remember any fans identifying that as a potential issue before the season. Maybe you can recall someone. 

1 hour ago, SL Xpress said:

I don't remember any fans identifying that as a potential issue before the season. Maybe you can recall someone. 

Nobody of any importance.

12 minutes ago, Herpa Derpa said:

Nobody of any importance.

We're all important, Herpa Derpa. Each and every one of us. Don't let any personal insults I throw your way make you think any differently. 

This team takes a lot of bad 3s. With Arterio and Carr being the biggest offenders and Bishop and Disu chipping in for whatever reason. It's as much of an issue if not a bigger issue than the actual shooting ability. The two players that actually exhibit good shot selection from BTA - SJabari and Tyrese - are both shooting above 36%. I would say Brock does as well and he's 4/13 on the year which is about what you'd hope to get from him.

Meanwhile Timmy, Disu, Bishop and Terio are a cool 8/45 on the season. I actually think Carr - adjusted for shot quality - has been better than expected but he's at .325 on the year. 

The FT shooting is a bigger issue - especially at the end of games with the 1&1 rule  - but it centers around 3 guys in Timmy, Bishop and Mitchell. Outside of those 3 Texas is at 78%. Tyrese is an absolute non-issue in that dept. despite an untimely miss last night. I think Carr can be a bit better than .731 going forward. I expect Mitchell and Bishop to be terrible all season. Timmy is the one that needs to pick it up - sub .500 isn't going to cut it - he's .730 on his career. 

Saw we dropped to 4. 

What a fucking program. They're the LSU of hoops. 

This is the best 4 game stretch of anyone in the country. 

Screenshot_20221208-012804_Chrome.thumb.jpg.2733373b18cb1b1eb9118170512140dd.jpg

Edited by ztejas

  • Author

lowest ever AdjD:

2013 Louisville- 84.8

2015 Kentucky- 84.4

2009 Memphis- 84.2

2019 TTU- 84.1

tbats every team that's ever finished under 85 in AdjD going back to 2002.

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