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Featured Replies

He's going to be out 4-6 weeks. 

"not great; not terrible"

He'll be fine. Could have been a lot worse.

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  • henrygandorf
    henrygandorf

    love these articles and comments from the mlb media about marring a world series or how the baseball world will be critical of the astros for this move. get. the. fuck. out. with. that. nonsense.

  • MaybeACoordinator
    MaybeACoordinator

    Going through old pics because of the death of my grandmother / mom and came across this -- 1996, my son's first Astros game.

  • NSIAP, but 10000% of this.  

Posted Images

WBC is awesome.  Shit happens.  Heal up and wreck shit in October.  

Seriously - was there any question this shit was over when Pressly got the ball to end it?

I mean Altuve sucked all playoffs anyway so who fucking cares.

Next man up....come get facefucked MLB

pena to leadoff?
Yep, that's where I'm at.

Pena
Tucker
Bregman
Yordan
Abreu
Brantley
Chas
Dubon
Maldonado
  • Author

Brantley won’t be ready until may / June 

I don’t think Yordan is ready until later in April 

 

It’s almost like we should have signed a good catcher and not punted on that spot. 
Hope it’s Hensley and not Dubon that gets the majority of the AB’s. 
It’s just not a big deal if he’s out the first 2 or 3 months of the season. He’s getting older. He’s played a ton of baseball every year. Him playing 100 games this year won’t be the end of the world. 
It’s a broken bone, it’s not like it’s going to hurt his long term prognosis or athleticism like tearing a ligament. 

Edited by Wulaw Horn

6 hours ago, henrygandorf said:

pena to leadoff?

I'd go with Bregman, unless and until there is an improved approach from Pena. A guy with a sub .300 OBP leading off is less than ideal.

His thumb is a lot better than his hand where they might have had to put a plate in.

Brantley won’t be ready until may / June 
I don’t think Yordan is ready until later in April 
 
Brantley will be ready in early April, no later than April 10th. Yordan could be ready earlier than that, by opening day.
7 minutes ago, Gourmand said:

 

8-10 weeks…of the regular season? Or starting now? I assume the next 8-10 weeks. 

Also, can Profar still play 2B? I know he didn’t at all last year but SD didn’t need him there either. I’ve kinda wanted him since Diaz left. I’d definitely prefer him to Dubon but, yeah, I know.  

 

7 minutes ago, Hank Chinaski said:

8-10 weeks…of the regular season? Or starting now? I assume the next 8-10 weeks. 

I assume starting now

How did that piece of shit Bard make the fucking team? His ERA yesterday was infinity, definitely would have been the reason the USA would have lost if the bats hadn't bailed them out

21 minutes ago, Hank Chinaski said:

Also, can Profar still play 2B? I know he didn’t at all last year but SD didn’t need him there either. I’ve kinda wanted him since Diaz left. I’d definitely prefer him to Dubon but, yeah, I know.  

 

I don't think they want to go that route but will probably use who they have on the 40 man roster. A mix of Hensley and Dubon most likely. 

How did that piece of shit Bard make the fucking team? His ERA yesterday was infinity, definitely would have been the reason the USA would have lost if the bats hadn't bailed them out

Have you seen the rotation for the US?
2 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said:

It’s just not a big deal if he’s out the first 2 or 3 months of the season.

Disagree. Assuming he’s out until around Memorial Day, Altuve is probably about 2 wins better than his replacement in April-May. 2 wins matter when a division winner has to play in the wild card round. You can’t just replace a top-10 offensive player in the game with hot garbage and expect it to not matter. 

Throw in Yordan’s fucked-up hand, McCullers’s unreliability, Brantley’s shoulder/age…plus, Seattle figures to be better, the Angels still have the 2 best players in the sport (and have some upside in their rotation), etc…feels like we’re using up our margin for error right off the bat.

talk me off this ledge, @Wulaw Horn.

7 minutes ago, Hank Chinaski said:

talk me off this ledge, @Wulaw Horn.

He’s more likely to push you off the ledge. 

Disagree. Assuming he’s out until around Memorial Day, Altuve is probably about 2 wins better than his replacement in April-May. 2 wins matter when a division winner has to play in the wild card round. You can’t just replace a top-10 offensive player in the game with hot garbage and expect it to not matter. 
Throw in Yordan’s fucked-up hand, McCullers’s unreliability, Brantley’s shoulder/age…plus, Seattle figures to be better, the Angels still have the 2 best players in the sport (and have some upside in their rotation), etc…feels like we’re using up our margin for error right off the bat.
talk me off this ledge, [mention=5267]Wulaw Horn[/mention].


Step off the ledge. It’s March 19.

He's back best case mid May and worst case by the end of it.  It's gonna be ok.

Shitty, I don't see why you guys are pretending it's not shitty.  It's not like he will instantly come back ready to go.  Loses 2 months of hits for 3000 also.

Edited by runthebone

6 minutes ago, runthebone said:

Loses 2 months of hits for 3000 also

this is what i am most concerned about 

If we start Opening Day without Altuve, Yordan, and Uncle Mike, yeah I'm going to be a little concerned. I'd rather not start May five games back of the Mariners. 

6 minutes ago, billfromlaketravis said:

If we start Opening Day without Altuve, Yordan, and Uncle Mike, yeah I'm going to be a little concerned. I'd rather not start May five games back of the Mariners. 

"We know it doesn't take him long to get ready," Houston Astros general manager Dana Brown said in regards to Alvarez on March 8. "He's a fierce competitor in the batter's box. It's just a matter of him being completely healthy. Hopefully we're through the storm once he starts back swinging. I think he's had the ample rest he needs."

 

Meanwhile, outfielder Michael Brantley is not expected to be ready until early April -- with the outfielder likely to miss Opening Day, although he'll be back at No. 2 in the lineup in the very near future.

"It's going to be really close, to be there Opening Day or shortly thereafter, a week after, tops," Brown said on March 8. "We don't know where that is. I'm hoping no later than April 10 with him."

  • Author

I’m now very very concerned about going 162 - 0 

1 hour ago, Hank Chinaski said:

Disagree. Assuming he’s out until around Memorial Day, Altuve is probably about 2 wins better than his replacement in April-May. 2 wins matter when a division winner has to play in the wild card round. You can’t just replace a top-10 offensive player in the game with hot garbage and expect it to not matter. 

Throw in Yordan’s fucked-up hand, McCullers’s unreliability, Brantley’s shoulder/age…plus, Seattle figures to be better, the Angels still have the 2 best players in the sport (and have some upside in their rotation), etc…feels like we’re using up our margin for error right off the bat.

talk me off this ledge, @Wulaw Horn.

We are going to hit the over on my 97.5. We will be fine. 

7 minutes ago, Gourmand said:

fuck

 

image.gif.e176c9e5ef65dbea38e4a27372938299.gif

1 minute ago, Wulaw Horn said:

We are going to hit the over on my 97.5. We will be fine. 

My man…that just became significantly less likely. 

1 minute ago, Hank Chinaski said:

image.gif.e176c9e5ef65dbea38e4a27372938299.gif

My man…that just became significantly less likely. 

We were talking about everything going right and winning 115. Everything isn’t going right… that’s ok. I assume he will be back by the all star break?  I said 2-3 months no sweat. If it’s all year I won’t like that. 
We are still going to be really good on the mound. We are nasty in the bullpen. We have, by my count (without Altuve and Brantley), 4 all star level hitters and 2-4 average hitters depending upon how you feel about Meyers and Hensley, with one guy with all star upside. We are fine. 

1 minute ago, Wulaw Horn said:

We were talking about everything going right and winning 115. Everything isn’t going right… that’s ok. I assume he will be back by the all star break?  I said 2-3 months no sweat. If it’s all year I won’t like that. 
We are still going to be really good on the mound. We are nasty in the bullpen. We have, by my count (without Altuve and Brantley), 4 all star level hitters and 2-4 average hitters depending upon how you feel about Meyers and Hensley, with one guy with all star upside. We are fine. 

115? That would be like a 99.9th percentile outcome with everyone healthy all year, which already wasn’t happening (McCullers, Brantley, Yordan) even before Altuve’s thumb. A 50th percentile outcome - with everyone healthy - is probably about 95. 

The o/u on Altuve’s games played is what - 80? That’s 2.5 fewer wins. How about Yordan? 100? Another 2 or so. We’re going to assume the 5 starters aren’t going to miss a start, aren’t going to regress at all? o/u on McCullers IP - 50? So now we’re looking at more like 90  provable wins. (Yes I’m making these numbers up on the spot, but they seem like fair estimates, no?)

Each of these injuries decreases the odds and brings the probable W total down. The season outlook is much worse than it was 24 hours ago - I think that’s unarguable. Can they still win the West? Sure. Is it significantly less likely? Absolutely. 

 

I'm patiently waiting for Dusty to put Dubon in the lead-off spot on Opening Day. 

I'll be here for the surly reaction. 

How many minor league starts does Hensley have at second? 

Edited by billfromlaketravis

Well, at least we’ll always have the pride and memory of watching Altuve play for his beloved country. I’ll refrain from calling it a shithole again here. 

  • Author

I think you put in Dubon / chas / hennsley in the lead off spot, and leave the rest of the line up in tact (as much as possible) 

but it doesn’t matter much, we’re going to see a lot of different line ups 

it hurts losing the captain but bottom line, you’re going out there to defend our title and every one on this roster is expected to perform. Trading deadline could be interesting 

Edited by tx 3 putt

1 minute ago, tx 3 putt said:

I think you put in Dubon / chas / hennsley in the lead off spot, and leave the rest of the line up in tact (as much as possible) 

I mean, if you want to intentionally reduce the odds of scoring runs, sure, they’re great leadoff options. It is completely irrational to give these guys the most ABs on the team. 

If you want to increase the odds of scoring runs, which I’d assume would be the goal in every single game, go with someone more likely to reach base.

9 minutes ago, Hank Chinaski said:

115? That would be like a 99.9th percentile outcome with everyone healthy all year, which already wasn’t happening (McCullers, Brantley, Yordan) even before Altuve’s thumb. A 50th percentile outcome - with everyone healthy - is probably about 95. 

The o/u on Altuve’s games played is what - 80? That’s 2.5 fewer wins. How about Yordan? 100? Another 2 or so. We’re going to assume the 5 starters aren’t going to miss a start, aren’t going to regress at all? o/u on McCullers IP - 50? So now we’re looking at more like 90  provable wins. (Yes I’m making these numbers up on the spot, but they seem like fair estimates, no?)

Each of these injuries decreases the odds and brings the probable W total down. The season outlook is much worse than it was 24 hours ago - I think that’s unarguable. Can they still win the West? Sure. Is it significantly less likely? Absolutely. 

 

I don’t think those are fair estimates-they seem overwhelmingly negative. There’s no reason to expect Alvarez to be limited to 100 games, for instance.

I don’t think those are fair estimates-they seem overwhelmingly negative. There’s no reason to expect Alvarez to be limited to 100 games, for instance.
Agreed, Yordan will be ready opening day and Dana Brown seems unconcerned about his status, no reason to throw out wildly pessimistic scenarios where he misses 62 games.

Wtf.
19 minutes ago, Hank Chinaski said:

115? That would be like a 99.9th percentile outcome with everyone healthy all year, which already wasn’t happening (McCullers, Brantley, Yordan) even before Altuve’s thumb. A 50th percentile outcome - with everyone healthy - is probably about 95. 

The o/u on Altuve’s games played is what - 80? That’s 2.5 fewer wins. How about Yordan? 100? Another 2 or so. We’re going to assume the 5 starters aren’t going to miss a start, aren’t going to regress at all? o/u on McCullers IP - 50? So now we’re looking at more like 90  provable wins. (Yes I’m making these numbers up on the spot, but they seem like fair estimates, no?)

Each of these injuries decreases the odds and brings the probable W total down. The season outlook is much worse than it was 24 hours ago - I think that’s unarguable. Can they still win the West? Sure. Is it significantly less likely? Absolutely. 

 

We won 108 last year. Odo was significantly involved for a while. Yuli was awful at 1B I bet Altuves replacement does better. Our DH was abysmal, we had 3 boat anchors for the last half of the year. Peña was a rookie and clueless for large stretches (he didn’t get a 99 OPS+ by being solid and consistent) and maldy and Castro combined to be the worst of the worst at the catcher spot. 
we substituted JV for Brown on a 108 team win for all practical purposes. 

30 minutes ago, Hank Chinaski said:

The o/u on Altuve’s games played is what - 80?

Bryce Harper had thumb surgery to repair a broken thumb and missed two months last year.

Deep breaths, man. Altuve isn't missing half the season. 

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