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Featured Replies

1 hour ago, Huckleberry said:
Huckleberry - 93.48
HornOnTheBayou - 83.62
Prepuce of Doom - 70.42
Zepol87 - 69.58
ztejas - 69.18
shadow_operative - 64.89
Wulaw Horn - 62.62
BigOrange1 - 62.41

I actually messed up my list a bit. Forgot to re-sort after combining the first four. For example I would have had ASU/Nevada instead of Houston. Oh well, that's what happens when you're sending a list as you're running out the door. Full list of EVs:

 

S Park F You Buddy GIF - S Park F You Buddy F Canada GIFs

1 hour ago, Huckleberry said:
Huckleberry - 93.48
HornOnTheBayou - 83.62
Prepuce of Doom - 70.42
Zepol87 - 69.58
ztejas - 69.18
shadow_operative - 64.89
Wulaw Horn - 62.62
BigOrange1 - 62.41

I actually messed up my list a bit. Forgot to re-sort after combining the first four. For example I would have had ASU/Nevada instead of Houston. Oh well, that's what happens when you're sending a list as you're running out the door. Full list of EVs:

 

How convenient that your numbers have you winning. Well, my numbers predict that I will win and that Sela Ward will come to my house after the championship game to give me a celebratory blow job during One Shining Moment.

  • Author

Reminder- nobody collects money. We all pay the winner $20 after it’s over. Nobody has ever welched in 6 or 7 years so no worries here. 

  • Author
On 3/14/2023 at 12:36 PM, Prepuce of Doom said:

Final draft results. 

20230314_123543.jpg

Bump. Like having it on every page. 

40 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Big O with the first big score of the day. 

And Zepol. Maryland was the last 4-10 seed taken. 

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On 3/14/2023 at 12:19 PM, Wulaw Horn said:

Huck gets Princeton 

Derka gets northern kentucky

big Orange gets Farleigh Dickinson. 
 

Huck got lucky. I’d have taken Princeton if I knew they were available. I thought I HAD to take Asheville. Probably swing the contest. 
and with that gentlemen- we are done! 
 

good drafting. Good luck. Thanks for playing. 

Let’s just say I am highly pissed at myself right now. I blame my kids for me taking them to Sea World and being less than fully locked in. 

  • Author

Tennessee2. Utah St.3. West Virginia4. Connecticut5. Southern Cal6. Creighton7. Providence8. San Diego St.9. Iowa St.10. Arkansas11. St. Mary's12. Auburn13. UCLA14. Illinois15. Kentucky16. Memphis17. North Carolina St.18. Gonzaga19. TCU20. Boise St.21. Michigan St.22. Texas A&M23. Maryland24. Penn St.25. Iowa26. Texas27. Baylor28. Drake29. Indiana30. Florida Atlantic31. Kansas St.32. Mississippi St./Pittsburgh33. Xavier34. Duke35. Oral Roberts36. Arizona37. Kent St.38. Virginia39. Miami (FL)40. Northwestern41. Marquette42. Missouri43. College of Charleston44. Virginia Commonwealth45. Houston46. Furman47. Alabama48. Iona49. Purdue50. Arizona St./Nevada51. Kansas52. Grand Canyon53. UC-Santa Barbara54. Montana St.55. Princeton56. Vermont57. Louisiana-Lafayette58. Colgate59. Kennesaw St.60. Howard61. TAMU-CC/SE Missouri St.62. Northern Kentucky63. UNC-Asheville64. Texas Southern/Fairleigh Dickinson

  • Author

Fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuck. You are welcome Huck. Damn it. Predicted it even. 

24 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Predicted it even. 

I mean he had WVU and Utah St. #2 and #3. Definitely picked the right 15 though. 

I do like the model approach. I thought about doing something similar. 

9 minutes ago, ztejas said:

I mean he had WVU and Utah St. #2 and #3. Definitely picked the right 15 though. 

I do like the model approach. I thought about doing something similar. 

I think @Huckleberry had USC with his third pick. @HornOnTheBayoupicked Utah State with his first pick. 

@Zepol87 and I also fucked up by passing on Princeton. 

 

Edited by Prepuce of Doom

4 minutes ago, Prepuce of Doom said:

I think @Huckleberry had USC with his third pick. @HornOnTheBayoupicked Utah State with his first pick. 

@Zepol87 and I also fucked up by passing on Princeton. 

 

Yeah I'm talking about his rankings that Wulaw posted.

  • Author
7 minutes ago, ztejas said:

Yeah I'm talking about his rankings that Wulaw posted.

Yeah those are Hucks rankings. I’m just pissed bc I wanted Princeton and thought they were off the board when I picked and they fell to him and the second they did I knew this was happening. 

  • Author

Not as bad as the other day when I bet Thunder money line against Sunday in a 3 team FAVORITE when I meant to bet Phoenix. I’m getting half senile in my old age. 

Wait Princeton won? 

Life is super busy but that's awesome. Hoping for a final four run. Ha. 

Edited by Huckleberry

I've lost 4 and Big Orange has lost 3. 

Derka, Wulaw, and Ztejas have only lost 1.

Huckleberry and Derka have pulled out to early points leads while the rest of us are eating varying amounts of shit. 

20230316_232003.jpg

Edited by Prepuce of Doom

A complete lack of surprise. I knew they were top 5 in my ratings and a 4 seed so I figured they'd be up there. 

Yeah but I had zero time this year to look at anything or adjust. I figured I'd end up with Tennessee and Marquette on this board because of that. Ha.

After the first day only (not including today's early games):

Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 29, 101.76
shadow_operative, 21, 89.03
BigOrange1, 13, 56.71
Wulaw Horn, 9, 83.70
ztejas, 9, 77.16
Zepol87, 8, 67.48
Prepuce of Doom, 7, 49.19
HornOnTheBayou, 2, 59.17

Through today's three finals

Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 29, 86.32
shadow_operative, 21, 88.70
Wulaw Horn, 16, 89.52
BigOrange1, 13, 55.51
ztejas, 12, 78.30
Prepuce of Doom, 10, 51.44
Zepol87, 8, 67.37
HornOnTheBayou, 2, 54.95

I really need VCU to pull this off, not looking good.

  • Author

I put a lot of capital on Iona. Had them in my top 8 for seeded draft. Took probably 2 rounds too early here. Need this or I’m done in all likelihood. 

lmao i had no idea i even had fair dick in this contest until clicking on this thread.  still don't think i'll win unless furman/fair dick wins another and/or kentucky/indiana make a deep run.

Live update with 2 first round games still in progress

Poster, Current Score, EV
shadow_operative, 35, 125.16
BigOrange1, 35, 68.26
Huckleberry, 29, 80.88
HornOnTheBayou, 19, 60.96
ztejas, 16, 76.67
Wulaw Horn, 19, 70.76
Prepuce of Doom, 15, 53.19
Zepol87, 13, 44.81

Edited by Huckleberry

Big O with two of the three biggest upsets in the tournament and the points lead (39) but only has 4 teams left. 

Derka (35; 6 teams left, including his top 5 picks) and Huck (29, four teams, ranging from a 1 to a 15 seed) are closest behind, with Ztejas still in contention (only 22 points now, but has 5 teams left, all in his top 6 picks). 

The rest of us suck butts. 

 

20230318_001047.jpg

Through end of first round

 

Poster, Current Score, EV
BigOrange1, 39, 74.84
shadow_operative, 35, 125.08
Huckleberry, 29, 80.62
ztejas, 22, 75.00
Wulaw Horn, 19, 70.69
HornOnTheBayou, 19, 63.22
Prepuce of Doom, 15, 44.42
Zepol87, 13, 44.36
  • Author

If Princeton and FDU get got in this round like I strongly suspect they will this will be by far the lowest scoring contest and lowest scoring winner we’ve ever had. 

1 hour ago, shadow_operative said:

ive got duke and huck has tennessee. i'm so torn right now. 

Was your choice of dook (your first pick, no less) an emotional hedge against them beating Tennessee? 

22 minutes ago, Prepuce of Doom said:

Was your choice of dook (your first pick, no less) an emotional hedge against them beating Tennessee? 

that and penn state as well. 

  • Author
3 minutes ago, ztejas said:

Another 30 for Huck.

God dammit.

I have Mizzou. This probably eliminates me. I love it. Go Princeton. 

Update through Saturday

Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 69, 108.59
shadow_operative, 47, 102.14
BigOrange1, 39, 64.61
ztejas, 38, 89.73
HornOnTheBayou, 23, 67.42
Wulaw Horn, 23, 53.75
Prepuce of Doom, 15, 37.06
Zepol87, 13, 28.35

C'mon TCU you fuckin bunch of bitches. I like my chances if I can get four teams in the SS. 

I of course expect all of them to lose in the SS. 

Live update:

Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 69, 108.24
shadow_operative, 65, 105.16
ztejas, 52, 103.11
Wulaw Horn, 43, 79.89
BigOrange1, 39, 48.00
HornOnTheBayou, 35, 76.45
Prepuce of Doom, 15, 15.00
Zepol87, 13, 21.82
8 minutes ago, Zepol87 said:

Lol damn I'm terrible at this

For at least for the next hour and a half, you have one more team alive than I do! 

Well, I'm cooked. May the best man win my $20. 

20230319_232948.thumb.jpg.d4a572006d44ce50fc1c067687ea5ca2.jpg

Big Orange and I are both out of teams. Zepol is mathematically eliminated - tops out at 73 if Gonzaga wins it all, and can't pass Derka at 75.

Everyone else seems to be in some degree of contention just eyeballing it. 

Through second round:

Poster, Current Score, EV
shadow_operative, 75, 113.91
Huckleberry, 69, 110.14
ztejas, 52, 93.13
Wulaw Horn, 43, 79.89
BigOrange1, 39, 39.00
HornOnTheBayou, 35, 75.06
Zepol87, 19, 27.87
Prepuce of Doom, 15, 15.00

Sweet 16 analysis coming later

Edited by Huckleberry

Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)
Huckleberry - 34.72% (10,580)
shadow_operative - 29.65% (13,387)
ztejas - 13.26% (3,944)
HornOnTheBayou - 11.82% (1,985)
Wulaw Horn - 8.67% (2,627)
Tie - 1.87% (245)
BigOrange1 - 0.00% (0)
Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0)
Zepol87 - 0.00% (0)

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