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#451

Shut up about the guns. SHUT UP ABOUT THE GUNS

image.jpeg.3a6a532ac25dba320168172037200093.jpeg

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#452

Guns ain't gonna stop 155 mph winds.

image.png.d0db68bdd71ce247e4b9dc3c10a3b27a.png

Looking at the satellite, it's not that impressive to be honest. Feel like normally at that speed these things are monsters with well-formed eyes.

image.png.82f85e8b710e1434c0f82971952f1405.png

 

#453

let's keep the looters and gun talk to the, uh, looters and gun threads that i'm sure exist but don't feel like looking for, k thx

#454
Guns ain't gonna stop 155 mph winds.

image.png.d0db68bdd71ce247e4b9dc3c10a3b27a.png
Looking at the satellite, it's not that impressive to be honest. Feel like normally at that speed these things are monsters with well-formed eyes.

image.png.82f85e8b710e1434c0f82971952f1405.png
 
The eye was very apparent earlier this morning. However, when it goes through an eyewall regeneration the eye looks "closed off".

For a cat 5 ,the size isn't like Michael but each hurricane is different I suppose. Wind vice rain hurricanes.
#455
53 minutes ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

Guns ain't gonna stop 155 mph winds.

image.png.d0db68bdd71ce247e4b9dc3c10a3b27a.png

Looking at the satellite, it's not that impressive to be honest. Feel like normally at that speed these things are monsters with well-formed eyes.

image.png.82f85e8b710e1434c0f82971952f1405.png

 

giphy.gif

#456
1 hour ago, InkaUtexas said:

If you come for my TV, fuck it take it. If you come into my bedroom, then we have an issue. There are other tools in the house if things are that bad, but the shotgun is my go to for simple shit. 

I did not sell weapons, but I have been around a lot and in some interesting places. correct, every location and situation requires adjustment. San Salvador or Kabul? Yep, different weapons. A nice part of a pretty safe Texas town? Nah, don't need an RPK or an M-4. I would love to have an MP-5 though. 

For pigs I preferred an AK over an M-4. 

 

#457
1 hour ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

Guns ain't gonna stop 155 mph winds.
Looking at the satellite, it's not that impressive to be honest. Feel like normally at that speed these things are monsters with well-formed eyes.
 

 

Clearly you haven't been part of a riveting conversation about muzzle velocity. 

#460
On 9/8/2023 at 12:57 PM, FirstTimeCaller said:

Guns ain't gonna stop 155 mph winds.

image.png.d0db68bdd71ce247e4b9dc3c10a3b27a.png

Looking at the satellite, it's not that impressive to be honest. Feel like normally at that speed these things are monsters with well-formed eyes.

image.png.82f85e8b710e1434c0f82971952f1405.png

 

The trade winds and Gulf Stream will.   Things gonna limp to Newfoundland or drift to sea.  

#461
On 9/8/2023 at 2:07 PM, SydneyCarton said:

Clearly you haven't been part of a riveting conversation about muzzle velocity. 

Day Valentine GIF

#463

Oh lord, if it hits the NE, we'll never hear the end of it.

SUPERSTORM LEE!  GREATEST HURRICANE EVER IN ALL OF HISTORY!  SIX FOOT TWENTY!  KILLING FOR FUCKING FUN!

#464
29 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Oh lord, if it hits the NE, we'll never hear the end of it.

SUPERSTORM LEE!  GREATEST HURRICANE EVER IN ALL OF HISTORY!  SIX FOOT TWENTY!  KILLING FOR FUCKING FUN!

ho lee crap this!    Hurricane Tropical depression Sandy:  <Joosey accent> "You don't understand how devastating it was! Youse ain't seen nuffin like this"</Joosey accent>

 

#467
53 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Oh lord, if it hits the NE, we'll never hear the end of it.

SUPERSTORM LEE!  GREATEST HURRICANE EVER IN ALL OF HISTORY!  SIX FOOT TWENTY!  KILLING FOR FUCKING FUN!

 

19 minutes ago, locodos said:

ho lee crap this!    Hurricane Tropical depression Sandy:  <Joosey accent> "You don't understand how devastating it was! Youse ain't seen nuffin like this"</Joosey accent>

 

But THERE WAS WATER IN THE SUBWAYS!!!!!!!!! 

#468
1 hour ago, Grade of D as in David said:

If this hits New England, I call dibs on the rights to the inevitable Marky Mark Bahstan strong movie in a couple of years.

image.jpeg.40109b6699220b22791af72b67a23bd4.jpeg

Perfect Storm 2 - Masshole Boogaloo

#469
2 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

Oh lord, if it hits the NE, we'll never hear the end of it.

SUPERSTORM LEE!  GREATEST HURRICANE EVER IN ALL OF HISTORY!  SIX FOOT TWENTY!  KILLING FOR FUCKING FUN!

Yeah, stupid pussy storm. It only did $70 billion in damage, twice the amount of Ike and three times Rita.

For a place that doesn't get storms like that very often, it's a big deal. 

#471
6 hours ago, locodos said:

Best source IMHO, even though he is a Nole.

It's all about the distance of travel over next couple days.  Your guy above basically matches what Ryan Hall Y'all said in video post earlier.  

If Lee slows in travel distance for awhile, and does a left hook late to the NW, then NH down to Cape Cod area will definitely suffer more damage,  especially if the tides are at the wrong level when it arrives...  

Edited by LTtxfan

#472

Just watched a couple videos... wind shear from west has weakened Lee, so worst case for NE states is most likely off table.

Unless things change significantly, Lee may just continue to north well off East coastline, and only be a Cat 1 at strongest during landfall Saturday night in Maine/Nova Scotia.

NE states may just get 50-60 mph winds along coastal areas (except for Maine) as the western side of Lee skirts by their coastlines...

 

 

Edited by LTtxfan

#473

Hot off the press... Rip current risks down thru Florida

Hurricane Lee PM Update from the NHC in Miami, FL (September 14, 2023)

Streamed 57 minutes ago

#474

Fun to watch some local folks in Maine...

 

Colder waters of NE should continue to really weaken Lee.  Looks like U.S. folks are gonna dodge a bullet with this storm...

 

#475
On 9/13/2023 at 5:00 PM, FirstTimeCaller said:

Yeah, stupid pussy storm. It only did $70 billion in damage, twice the amount of Ike and three times Rita.

For a place that doesn't get storms like that very often, it's a big deal. 

“You shut down for a little ice storm hoy hoy hoy.”  Fuck them.

#476
6 minutes ago, UT_OB1 said:

“You shut down for a little ice storm hoy hoy hoy.”  Fuck them.

Yeah well, you have to understand their ignorance. They're complately unframiliar with a difficult to fathom concept like an electrical grid with no protections against the cold, and a state government with zero interest in protecting it's electrical grid. 

#477
3 hours ago, SydneyCarton said:

Yeah well, you have to understand their ignorance. They're complately unframiliar with a difficult to fathom concept like an electrical grid with no protections against the cold, and a state government with zero interest in protecting it's electrical grid. 

You have to understand I have in laws from PA to NY, and I have been hearing this for 15+ years. So fuck em. 

#478

I'm in Bar Harbor right now. Some locals have boarded up shops, others are saying they get worse nor'easters all the time. The wind has picked up, and it sounds like rain could cause some flooding.

There was talk of streaking behind the weather channel guy.

#480

3 NFL games may get heavy rain...

Tropical Storm Ophelia is forecast to develop on Friday. The maximum sustained winds are expected to be in the 50-60 mph range at landfall, but I suppose there's an outside shot of a hurricane.Heavy rain and coastal surge is the primary threat.

 

#482
Feels like it’s been a fish season. 1 landfall?

Two, right?? We had one hit Texas early in the season, iirc. It may have only been a tropical storm.
  • 1 month later...
#486
Quote

This special advisory is being issued to update the current and
forecast intensity of Otis. Satellite images show that the very
rapid intensification observed earlier today has continued, and the
latest data support an initial intensity of 125 kt. The intensity
forecast peak is updated to 140 kt, category 5 strength, since the
environment isn't forecast to change much before landfall, and there
are no signs of this explosive intensification stopping. This is
an extremely dangerous situation, and all preparations for Otis
should be rushed to completion.

Not often you see a category 5 forecast from the NHC

#489
54 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

Not often you see a category 5 forecast from the NHC

At 10am they thought it was going to be a Cat 1 at landfall. By 4pm they realized the models, and they, we're way off. Expected to be a Cat 4 at landfall. By 7pm, they released a special advisory stating they were still to low on their forecast.

Forecast models are having a hard time guessing strengths of hurricanes that are candidates for rapid intensification. The models have never seen this kind of RI before. The NHC is going to have to learn a lot from this hurricane season.

#491
2 minutes ago, boknowstecmo said:

At 10am they thought it was going to be a Cat 1 at landfall. By 4pm they realized the models, and they, we're way off. Expected to be a Cat 4 at landfall. By 7pm, they released a special advisory stating they were still to low on their forecast.

Forecast models are having a hard time guessing strengths of hurricanes that are candidates for rapid intensification. The models have never seen this kind of RI before. The NHC is going to have to learn a lot from this hurricane season.

Sigh... a tough one to predict. Even the RI probabilities for #Otis yesterday did not show much of an RI risk.Highest was a 10.5% of a 40 kt increase in 24h from @UWCIMSS AI-RI, though better than the 0% from the SHIPS-RII guidance. 🫤https://t.co/tL0YOzy2kA https://t.co/LePiTsT4hm

Models were unusable. 

#492

Lots of people are going to be in a lot of trouble. Hope Otis curls west as soon as possible and does not hug the coast. 

#493

Cat 5

In a shocking turn of events, Hurricane #Otis in the Eastern Pacific has unexpectedly, explosively intensified from a tropical storm to a Category 4 hurricane in just 12 hours.Even worse, the storm is expected to make a catastrophic landfall tonight as a Category 5 hurricane…

 

#494
This is not just a rare & dangerous event for October, but anytime of year in #Acapulco, which has not been directly impacted by a major hurricane like #Otis in the EPAC best-track record (back to 1949). The last hurricane to affect the area directly was a 75 kt TC in 1951.
#tropicswx:This is a certainly a somber sight. What was originally thought was gonna be a weak TS that’s gonna stall is now a likely to be Category 5 at landfall in #Mexico. Not even Patricia ‘15 was able to manage that. #Otis got serious too quick & now the Acapulco, #Guerrero…


 

#497

Damn they are about to get fucked up. I have a coworker that lives in Colima and we flew him and his family to Dallas but he is freaking out about his family that is still there

#498
18 minutes ago, Zepol87 said:

Damn they are about to get fucked up. I have a coworker that lives in Colima and we flew him and his family to Dallas but he is freaking out about his family that is still there

They have like 12 hours to get to safety or get prepared for a category 5. All kinds of pants shitting is ongoing 

#500

And where do you go? Those close by mountains are going to be raging floods. 

Hurricane Mitch was a bitch with internal flooding. People ran into the mountains and then the mountains turned into rivers. 

Feel bad for that region. Cartels yesterday, a CAT 5 today. 

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