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7 minutes ago, dieucla98 said:

RAIN! Suck it, Lucy.

I'll take it.  I love being wrong in my pessimism.  Don't think it was a lot, but I'll take it.

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1 hour ago, dieucla98 said:

RAIN! Suck it, Lucy.

Not a drop here in NW Travis.  Sorry, Charlie.

Shit starting to heat up. Just fired up the generator and topped off the gas cans, secured the backyard. We may get lucky here in Fort Walton Beach, FL but it's gonna rain and be windy.

If it hits the bend (Appalachacola) people are fucked, there is nowhere for the water to go as it will just push inward being a horseshoe shape.

Looks like Idalia is going to be our next beastly gulf storm.

Looks like Idalia is going to be our next beastly gulf storm.

Hits around Tampa late Tuesday night, cat 3 at the least, maybe 4.
1 hour ago, Buzzrock said:


Hits around Tampa late Tuesday night, cat 3 at the least, maybe 4.

Thoughts and prayers for the Mons Venus.  

At this point around 60% of Florida homeowners insurance policies are held with the state insurer of last resort. 
 

I’m sure Ron is on top of it and this will all be fine. 

25 minutes ago, Surly Bevo said:

At this point around 60% of Florida homeowners insurance policies are held with the state insurer of last resort. 
 

I’m sure Ron is on top of it and this will all be fine. 

Hurricanes slamming west coast, big bend, jacksonville, ft myers....  me in the SE Florida (with strict building codes/storm standards) and a concrete bunker of a house who hasn't filled a claim in 18yrs when I go to renew, "oh you're in the highest risk area of the state, no lube for you!"

So in the SE we get to subsidize the rest of Florida, and god forbid, if we get hit, it'll wipe out the carriers and we'll be lucky to get shit.

 

I'm soooo salty 

Edited by locodos

Flying into Orlando now supposed to leave from Tampa Wednesday. Not gonna happen now. Hopefully it stays north though and I can get out of Orlando so I don’t have to drive down to FLL to leave

1 minute ago, Zepol87 said:

Flying into Orlando now supposed to leave from Tampa Wednesday. Not gonna happen now. Hopefully it stays north though and I can get out of Orlando so I don’t have to drive down to FLL to leave

Weren't you just in LA for that hurricane? you're bad luck

Just now, tokamak said:

Weren't you just in LA for that hurricane? you're bad luck

Moved to SoCal so yea I was going home when Hillary was there but that was just a little rain in my area nothing bad. This one may suck hard

1 minute ago, Zepol87 said:

Moved to SoCal so yea I was going home when Hillary was there but that was just a little rain in my area nothing bad. This one may suck hard

Only if it misses the world golf villages.  

Idalia is going to get the headlines but Franklin has a shot at achieving Cat 5 this evening - recon enroute as we speak.

Went from a dead quiet hurricane season to some fairly noteworthy storms in a few weeks time.

Franklin.  
Incredible.

 

IMG_2497.jpeg

7 hours ago, Surly Bevo said:

At this point around 60% of Florida homeowners insurance policies are held with the state insurer of last resort. 
 

I’m sure Ron is on top of it and this will all be fine. 

He also ran off all of the immigrant labor.  Hope the rebuild goes well.

31 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

He also ran off all of the immigrant labor.  Hope the rebuild goes well.

Do you have a graph? I am curious if stats back up your claim.

35 minutes ago, Bevo said:

Do you have a graph? I am curious if stats back up your claim.

Google is a good website.

Idalia is just a TS correct? Is it projected to dump massive amounts of rainfall? Because storm surge and wind should be manageable even if it makes cat I before landfall. 

Just now, Sawbonz said:

Idalia is just a TS correct? Is it projected to dump massive amounts of rainfall? Because storm surge and wind should be manageable even if it makes cat I before landfall. 

Cat 3 by landfall I saw

4 minutes ago, Sbbruin said:

Cat 3 by landfall I saw

Most of the models I see predict a strong Cat 1 or modest Cat 2 at landfall. 
 

hard to predict this far out. And water is warm as hell. Either way, it’s going to dump a shit ton of rain. 

Just now, Sbbruin said:

Cat 3 by landfall I saw

I just looked on Wunderground they are projecting cat 3 by 1 am Wednesday. It’s a TS currently so a little over 24 hours to strengthen that much. Damn the Gulf is hot

1 hour ago, Bevo said:

Do you have a graph? I am curious if stats back up your claim.

I’ve got several projects going on in Miami area. It’s down for sure, very far from non-existent. 

1 hour ago, Bevo said:

Do you have a graph? I am curious if stats back up your claim.

Don’t have a graph but yes I have family and friends that left. Some were in construction others in the fields but they left and are doing pretty well in North Carolina now 

6 hours ago, dieucla98 said:

Idalia is going to get the headlines but Franklin has a shot at achieving Cat 5 this evening - recon enroute as we speak.

Went from a dead quiet hurricane season to some fairly noteworthy storms in a few weeks time.

That’s how late August in the gulf/south Atlantic works 

1 hour ago, Sawbonz said:

Is it projected to dump massive amounts of rainfall?

It's projected to drive even more insurance companies out of the state.

4 hours ago, Rip76 said:

Franklin.  
Incredible.

 

IMG_2497.jpeg

So what part of North America is gonna get rogered by that thing?

2 hours ago, Parliament said:

So what part of North America is gonna get rogered by that thing?

Since that would bring rain, I’m going to predict that it won’t be Central Texas.

7 hours ago, Parliament said:

So what part of North America is gonna get rogered by that thing?

 

I think closest landfall is Bermuda.

1 hour ago, ClubWhatever said:

This stuff better not mess up any football

Or people's lives, homes, property, or livelihoods. But especially not any football games.

12 hours ago, UTexasFight said:

That’s how late August in the gulf/south Atlantic works 

Except this year you have "OMG look at those number" water temps that are making experts pretty freaked out. 

Going to need more of these...

SNL's 10 Best Ad Parodies, as Selected by Some of Advertising's Top  Creatives

So what part of North America is gonna get rogered by that thing?

No part.

0954f647b74b60f734879a5a7facc247.jpg
3 hours ago, ClubWhatever said:

This stuff better not mess up any football

It will. Friends that live just north of Tampa are hearing all kinds of crazy warnings about the storm surge.

22 minutes ago, texasdago said:

Except this year you have "OMG look at those number" water temps that are making experts pretty freaked out. 

Going to need more of these...

SNL's 10 Best Ad Parodies, as Selected by Some of Advertising's Top  Creatives

Interesting thought, I watched a youtube vid a national weather service guy does as a hobby about long term forecasting.  According to him, given that we have a La Nina in the Pacific, that historically causes or contributes to polar vortexes combined with the extraordinarily hot conditions in the Atlantic, the possibility exists for something amazing to happen.  In theory, hurricane season in the Atlantic could be longer than usual, which in turn could allow for a hurricane to collide with a polar vortex, turning a hurricane into a blizzard event.  He did state he felt that there was only a 5 to 10% chance of something like this happening, but man would that be fucking wild?  The Oops I Crapped my Pants product line might do quite well in such a scenario.  

4 hours ago, Rudiger said:

image.png.a22ce2f96e600a6f97d0e47d3978e529.png

Sidenote, but the scene in Arrested Development where Franklin gets bleached in the washing machine and GOB uses a proper, English accent to say "You've ruined the act, GOB" is arguably the most laugh out loud bit in the entire series.

Interesting thought, I watched a youtube vid a national weather service guy does as a hobby about long term forecasting.  According to him, given that we have a La Nina in the Pacific, that historically causes or contributes to polar vortexes combined with the extraordinarily hot conditions in the Atlantic, the possibility exists for something amazing to happen.  In theory, hurricane season in the Atlantic could be longer than usual, which in turn could allow for a hurricane to collide with a polar vortex, turning a hurricane into a blizzard event.  He did state he felt that there was only a 5 to 10% chance of something like this happening, but man would that be fucking wild?  The Oops I Crapped my Pants product line might do quite well in such a scenario.  

I kind of want to see that happen.
4 minutes ago, Hate said:


I kind of want to see that happen.

...over Crested Butte a few days before I get there.

4 minutes ago, Hate said:


I kind of want to see that happen.

Yeah, I'm with you assuming you could exclude all the death, destruction and financial ruin that would come with it.  That having been said, the die is potentially cast, and chaos from nature is fascinating.  Nature can be a very humbling thing.  

33 minutes ago, BamaATL said:

Interesting thought, I watched a youtube vid a national weather service guy does as a hobby about long term forecasting.  According to him, given that we have a La Nina in the Pacific, that historically causes or contributes to polar vortexes combined with the extraordinarily hot conditions in the Atlantic, the possibility exists for something amazing to happen.  In theory, hurricane season in the Atlantic could be longer than usual, which in turn could allow for a hurricane to collide with a polar vortex, turning a hurricane into a blizzard event.  He did state he felt that there was only a 5 to 10% chance of something like this happening, but man would that be fucking wild?  The Oops I Crapped my Pants product line might do quite well in such a scenario.  

Except....we're in an El Nino, not a La Nina.

2 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Except....we're in an El Nino, not a La Nina.

It is entirely possible, if not probable (to a certainty of 100%), that I go the two confused as I was doing from memory.  However, I did go find the video, for those interested.

 

 

1 hour ago, BamaATL said:

Interesting thought, I watched a youtube vid a national weather service guy does as a hobby about long term forecasting.  According to him, given that we have a La Nina in the Pacific, that historically causes or contributes to polar vortexes combined with the extraordinarily hot conditions in the Atlantic, the possibility exists for something amazing to happen.  In theory, hurricane season in the Atlantic could be longer than usual, which in turn could allow for a hurricane to collide with a polar vortex, turning a hurricane into a blizzard event.  He did state he felt that there was only a 5 to 10% chance of something like this happening, but man would that be fucking wild?  The Oops I Crapped my Pants product line might do quite well in such a scenario.  

In for Blizzacane.


 

(or Hurrizard.  Whichever you prefer.)

35 minutes ago, miguelito said:

 

Love Frankie but damn that screencap

 

sponge.JPG

1 hour ago, BamaATL said:

Interesting thought, I watched a youtube vid a national weather service guy does as a hobby about long term forecasting.  According to him, given that we have a La Nina in the Pacific, that historically causes or contributes to polar vortexes combined with the extraordinarily hot conditions in the Atlantic, the possibility exists for something amazing to happen.  In theory, hurricane season in the Atlantic could be longer than usual, which in turn could allow for a hurricane to collide with a polar vortex, turning a hurricane into a blizzard event.  He did state he felt that there was only a 5 to 10% chance of something like this happening, but man would that be fucking wild?  The Oops I Crapped my Pants product line might do quite well in such a scenario.  

I'd buy tickets to that event.

1 hour ago, BamaATL said:

It is entirely possible, if not probable (to a certainty of 100%), that I go the two confused as I was doing from memory.  However, I did go find the video, for those interested.

 

 

Just watched his most recent video (5 days ago). "Area of interest" in the Yucatan is now Idalia and his maps tracked it almost on its exact path. 

On 8/28/2023 at 1:00 PM, Surly Bevo said:

At this point around 60% of Florida homeowners insurance policies are held with the state insurer of last resort. 
 

I’m sure Ron is on top of it and this will all be fine. 

 

On 8/28/2023 at 1:25 PM, locodos said:

Hurricanes slamming west coast, big bend, jacksonville, ft myers....  me in the SE Florida (with strict building codes/storm standards) and a concrete bunker of a house who hasn't filled a claim in 18yrs when I go to renew, "oh you're in the highest risk area of the state, no lube for you!"

So in the SE we get to subsidize the rest of Florida, and god forbid, if we get hit, it'll wipe out the carriers and we'll be lucky to get shit.

 

I'm soooo salty 

 

17 hours ago, Aqua Buddha said:

He also ran off all of the immigrant labor.  Hope the rebuild goes well.

 

14 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

It's projected to drive even more insurance companies out of the state.

Fuck Florida.

2 hours ago, BamaATL said:

Interesting thought, I watched a youtube vid a national weather service guy does as a hobby about long term forecasting.  According to him, given that we have a La Nina in the Pacific, that historically causes or contributes to polar vortexes combined with the extraordinarily hot conditions in the Atlantic, the possibility exists for something amazing to happen.  In theory, hurricane season in the Atlantic could be longer than usual, which in turn could allow for a hurricane to collide with a polar vortex, turning a hurricane into a blizzard event.  He did state he felt that there was only a 5 to 10% chance of something like this happening, but man would that be fucking wild?  The Oops I Crapped my Pants product line might do quite well in such a scenario.  

The Perfect Storm GIF - The Perfect Storm Perfect Storm - Discover & Share  GIFs

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