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THE College Football Playoff Rankings Thread [MICH,WASH,TEX,ALA]

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Does the committee watch the championship games together? I imagine them all rooting against Florida State tonight so they don't have to be the bad guys.

4 minutes ago, fellside said:

Does the committee watch the championship games together? I imagine them all rooting against Florida State tonight so they don't have to be the bad guys.

On top of that, nobody wants to see FSU get raped by the 1 seed. 

5 minutes ago, fellside said:

Does the committee watch the championship games together? I imagine them all rooting against Florida State tonight so they don't have to be the bad guys.

Yes, pretty sure they’re all watching together 

4 minutes ago, fellside said:

Does the committee watch the championship games together? I imagine them all rooting against Florida State tonight so they don't have to be the bad guys.

Yes. They were talked about (and shown) quite often during our game earlier.

1 minute ago, Pancho said:

In between naps and tapioca 

Hey now, that sounds like my Saturdays 

This is how I see it.  There's nothing to talk about if FSU loses.  Assume FSU wins later today.

Pretty sure Dinich said there is

protocol that allows the committee to take into account whether a key player's absence from the team would make the team uncompetitive in the post-season. 

1) If Georgia wins, that protocol is our only hope, imo.  Will the committee invoke that protocol to put Texas in over undefeated FSU?  Maybe.  

2) If Alabama wins, we could get the fourth spot over bama based on head-to-head but we also have a second way in -  The committee could invoke that protocol to kick out FSU and put in the SEC champ + the team that beat the SEC champ.   As Texas fans, we might be comfortable with 1), but TBH 2) seems like an easier sell for the committee and more in line with the talk from all the talking heads.  (it's like a 2-for-1 you get to put in the SEC champ plus a second team (UT) that is clearly better than FSU)

Here's another way to look at it.  Assuming FSU and GA both win, does 1a) make the committee uncomfortable enough to keep undefeated FSU out to go to 1b) to make a space for TX?

1a)      MICH

WASH

FSU 

GA

 

1b)      MICH

WASH

TEXAS 

GA

 

OTOH, if Bama wins, they have three options

2a)     MICH 

WASH

FSU

TEX

 

2b)    MICH

WASH

FSU 

BAMA

 

2c)     MICH

WASH

BAMA

TEXAS

 

Assuming FSU wins.  

If GA wins, what's the %age they go from 1a) to 1b)?  I think it's slim. 

If BAMA wins, I think our odds of 2a) + 2c) are better than 1b). 

 

13 minutes ago, David Dennison said:

One thing I'm sure about: if we get in, we can absolutely win the national championship.

My kid and I were just having this discussion. Having watched last night and the games today, none of these teams look any scarier than we do, and maybe not even as scary, really. And I've already seen enough from FSU to know they're overrated.

If bama wins, I think we are in regardless of what FSU does. Bama can’t jump us, Georgia losing late without a conference championship can’t stay ahead of us.

If FSU wins it will be Wash, FSU, UT and Bama

Just now, UTexasFight said:

Depends on worthy’s ankle 

our lines will keep us in any game 

X-rays negative and almost an entire month until the NY6/CFP semifinals 

Just now, Js1 said:

X-rays negative and almost an entire month until the NY6/CFP semifinals 

I mean, at least thats what Sark wants the committee to think.

1 minute ago, Mileslong said:

If bama wins, I think knee are in regardless of what FSU does. Bama can’t jump us, Georgia losing late without a conference championship can’t stay ahead of us.

If FSU wins it will be Wash, FSU, UT and Bama

Michigan still exists my guy

26 minutes ago, Dbeasy said:

Early in this thread I advocated that there was a tiny chance Texas got in over an undefeated FSU.  But as many point out, that was the wrong comparison. Texas would be the 3 seed so they would put Bama in over FSU. That definitely could happen. 

Yep, I have been pounding this drum all day. ESPN has been preparing for this moment. 

Michigan still exists my guy

You’re right totally forgot about them. It would still be us over Bama or Georgia
9 minutes ago, wood said:

My kid and I were just having this discussion. Having watched last night and the games today, none of these teams look any scarier than we do, and maybe not even as scary, really. And I've already seen enough from FSU to know they're overrated.

If it's a deal where we play Washington in the semis, and then Michigan in the finals? Yeah we can win that. 

1 minute ago, Hank_Hill said:

Michigan still exists my guy

In fact I've been told it's only them, against the world.

1. Michigan 2. Washington 3. Texas 4. Alabama. Sounds like a good time. 

Just now, Topper13 said:

1. Michigan 2. Washington 3. Texas 4. Alabama. Sounds like a good time. 

I would take that 

2 minutes ago, Topper13 said:

1. Michigan 2. Washington 3. Texas 4. Alabama. Sounds like a good time. 

Nobody would really care that FSU got left out after a couple days of pretend outrage. 

46 minutes ago, fellside said:

I'm hoping for 1. Washington 2. Michigan 3 Texas 4. Alabama

college gameday sport GIF

ask yourself this right now: do you want Georgia to complete the comeback and win?  or do you want Bama to hang on for the win?  gimme Bama hanging on.

because if Georgia wins, then we really need Louisville to beat FSU to feel safe.  an FSU win with a Georgia win makes us iffy.

if Bama wins, then we still have a really good path to the playoff even if FSU wins.  and we'd be a guaranteed lock if FSU also loses.

 

50 minutes ago, fellside said:

I'm hoping for 1. Washington 2. Michigan 3 Texas 4. Alabama

Interesting. That would mean Michigan beats Iowa in five OTs or something. 

41 minutes ago, The Ace of Aces said:

I have zero faith they don’t put Georgia and Alabama both in the CFP if Alabama wins this game. Zero. Zilch. None. 

The SEC would absolutely fuck us this year, and every year thereafter if it comes down to Alabama and Georgia.

6 minutes ago, The_Great_Hornsby said:

Nobody would really care that FSU got left out after a couple days of pretend outrage. 

Yeah they would, and even though the ACC will have 31 teams next year and some clout, the flip side is that with 12 teams in the playoffs next year, the CFP committee can shrug their shoulders and say ”won’t happen again”.

Undefeated FSU doesn’t get left out though, unless it’s like a single digit game that goes into multiple overtimes.

 

1 minute ago, Jive Turkey said:

ask yourself this right now: do you want Georgia to complete the comeback and win?  or do you want Bama to hang on for the win?  gimme Bama hanging on.

because if Georgia wins, then we really need Louisville to beat FSU to feel safe.  an FSU win with a Georgia win makes us iffy.

if Bama wins, then we still have a really good path to the playoff even if FSU wins.  and we'd be a guaranteed lock if FSU also loses.

 

I don't think there's any benefit for Texas in a Georgia win. 

6 minutes ago, Red Five said:

I don't think there's any benefit for Texas in a Georgia win. 

There isn't. 

17 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

The lack of lumbar support in those chairs can only help us since we played early. Those old fucks will be cranky as hell by supper time.

Yeah they're not putting in Bama and FSU and leaving Texas out. This feels for the first time like we're in no matter what else happens (assuming of course Bama holds on).

59 minutes ago, The Ace of Aces said:

I have zero faith they don’t put Georgia and Alabama both in the CFP if Alabama wins this game. Zero. Zilch. None. 

I'm a sunshine pumping snowflake, but damn, how miserable your fandom must be.  

7 minutes ago, Red Five said:

Yeah they're not putting in Bama and FSU and leaving Texas out. This feels for the first time like we're in no matter what else happens (assuming of course Bama holds on).

There are two locks, Michigan (with a win) and SEC 

That leaves two spots for Texas, Washington, FSU, and I guess UGA 

10 minutes ago, Red Five said:

Yeah they're not putting in Bama and FSU and leaving Texas out. This feels for the first time like we're in no matter what else happens (assuming of course Bama holds on).

I think ESPN has a real time calculator on all these scenarios. They were using it on Greenburg's show Friday.

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