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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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#48951
16 minutes ago, TexEx15 said:

Finally someone willing to say I’m not perfect and I make mistakes. 
 

Kamala Harris: I will always listen to you even if you don't vote for me, I will always tell you the truth, even if it is difficult to hear. I will work every day to build consensus and reach compromise to get things done.

 

Really feels like a speech to pull disaffected republicans. 

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#48952
5 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:
we now have estimates for key states AZ: Trump 51/Harris 47 GA: Trump 51/Harris 46 MI: Harris 51/Trump 46 NV: Harris 51/Trump 47 NC: Trump 50/Harris 48 PA: Harris 49/Trump 48 TX: Trump 51/Harris 47 WI: Harris 50/Trump 47 Full results here: https://t.co/3XAQoQvWbX https://t.co/iNkVQseW04

 

AZ and TX absolutely do not have the same split

#48953
1 minute ago, Sawbonz said:

To be fair to him, she controls 100% of the pussy in the household 

I mean I wouldn’t say 100%. I’ve seen him post about Jake Majors and Hayden Connor. 

#48954
5 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:
we now have estimates for key states AZ: Trump 51/Harris 47 GA: Trump 51/Harris 46 MI: Harris 51/Trump 46 NV: Harris 51/Trump 47 NC: Trump 50/Harris 48 PA: Harris 49/Trump 48 TX: Trump 51/Harris 47 WI: Harris 50/Trump 47 Full results here: https://t.co/3XAQoQvWbX https://t.co/iNkVQseW04

 

Texas 51/47 mixed in with the rest of that? Wtf. 

#48955
1 minute ago, heso said:

Really feels like a speech to pull disaffected republicans. 

It’s for all of us homie 

#48956
1 minute ago, immamac said:

Texas 51/47 mixed in with the rest of that? Wtf. 

It would appear that Texas is more competitive than Georgia.  Well ok then.  

#48957
2 hours ago, SubliminalHorn said:

I wouldn’t be able to. My husband and I talked about this, we don’t think the marriage would survive if one of us was a hard core MAGAt

Perfect example of how to make it ‘work’ 🤣

image.thumb.jpeg.be10e773c3b62efe1ca14836b5c3917b.jpeg

#48958
1 hour ago, Dnaguy said:

Does no one else think of these things when they look at her?

 

She's a vocal Trump supporter and whores herself and whatever reputation she has to a cause that's malign and toxic.

Somehow labia never come into contemplation of her. It seems to be the "her" part of the equation that inflames you the most.

My own dark thoughts ,which, I believe, can easily rival whatever you have going on in there, just don't seem appropriate for an open forum. The denominator should be a little higher, don't you think?

#48959
oh I’m not confident in any of this. the lv model is trained on past several elections so it should reflect the education polarization and what’s happened in midterms 🤷‍♂️

Good commentary that would explain some things

#48961

Polls are a mess right now. 

 

Edited by Pods

#48962
1 minute ago, Bozo_Casanova said:
oh I’m not confident in any of this. the lv model is trained on past several elections so it should reflect the education polarization and what’s happened in midterms 🤷‍♂️

Good commentary that would explain some things

Ok, elaborate 

#48963
3 minutes ago, RomaVicta said:

She's a vocal Trump supporter and whores herself and whatever reputation she has to a cause that's malign and toxic.

Somehow labia never come into contemplation of her. It seems to be the "her" part of the equation that inflames you the most.

My own dark thoughts ,which, I believe, can easily rival whatever you have going on in there, just don't seem appropriate for an open forum. The denominator should be a little higher, don't you think?

Nah.

I think about labias quite a bit. 
To not think of hers would be exclusive.

I am an inclusive labiast.

🤷‍♂️

 

#48964
20 minutes ago, immamac said:

Watching this speech on 20-25 minute delay. This is extremely competent and polished. 

The crowd is fucking enormous. 

Holy shit! At first, you're like, damn! and then at the end you are like GOT DAMN!!!!!! 🔥🔥pic.twitter.com/KFgujVcgB4

I believe there is a whole separate crowd over closer to the Washington Monument that is not included in this shot. But I’m not familiar with the area so if anyone can speak to that please chime in. 

#48965
25 minutes ago, Shaddie said:

It seems you have not heard of FSD. Turn your CT into a taxi and have it making money while you sleep. 
 

However we need to consult @Guadaloopy on this since he is the expert.  

IMG_2155.gif.9d72d2a0abffd014ec839f5f4da63ff0.gif

#48966
Just now, TexEx15 said:
Holy shit! At first, you're like, damn! and then at the end you are like GOT DAMN!!!!!! 🔥🔥pic.twitter.com/KFgujVcgB4

I believe there is a whole separate crowd over closer to the Washington Monument that is not included in this shot. But I’m not familiar with the area so if anyone can speak to that please chime in. 

Yeah they had a spillover crowd 

#48967
6 minutes ago, SubliminalHorn said:

Ok, elaborate 

I think he’s he’s saying that their definition of “likely voter” includes the high turnout by tylically low propensity, low education voters who came out for him in 2016 and 2020, and the fact that in those same elections the higher propensity and education voters are thought to have supported Biden and Clinton.

#48968
16 minutes ago, Sawbonz said:

AZ and TX absolutely do not have the same split

And NV is not going to be a bigger Harris win than PA/WI/MI

but that would be 276 and Trump +4 in TX means Cruz lost 

#48969
4 minutes ago, TexEx15 said:
Holy shit! At first, you're like, damn! and then at the end you are like GOT DAMN!!!!!! 🔥🔥pic.twitter.com/KFgujVcgB4

I believe there is a whole separate crowd over closer to the Washington Monument that is not included in this shot. But I’m not familiar with the area so if anyone can speak to that please chime in. 

Many people are saying it was the largest crowd ever in that spot. Larger than MLK’s crowd.

#48970

But did folks leave early? People are saying that’s the real sign of a beautiful rally, a really tremendous rally. 

#48971
2 minutes ago, tx ind said:

Many people are saying it was the largest crowd ever in that spot. Larger than MLK’s crowd.

 

did you see the crowd when trump worked at mcd’s ?

#48973

im ready this election to happen

then the real fun starts ! someone start the post election chaos endless lawsuits over throw the govt no i really won thread !!!!

#48975
27 minutes ago, immamac said:

Texas 51/47 mixed in with the rest of that? Wtf. 

And?  Last time was 52.1/46.5.  Other than the Perot elections, Trump has the two lowest R presidential vote shares in Texas since Carter won it in 76.

Edited by WBT

  • Popular Post
#48976

What a disgrace that this thing is even close.

 

Vice President Harris: “I’ve lived the promise of America and I see the promise of America in all of you”Trump: “We are a giant garbage can”

 

#48977
Tonight, the sitting Democratic President of the United States just called Trump supporters “garbage.”After two failed assassination attempts against Trump followed by the DNC state run media lecturing republicans to “tone down the rhetoric,” Joe Biden calls tens of millions of…

 

#48978
1 minute ago, Stros121 said:
Tonight, the sitting Democratic President of the United States just called Trump supporters “garbage.”After two failed assassination attempts against Trump followed by the DNC state run media lecturing republicans to “tone down the rhetoric,” Joe Biden calls tens of millions of…

 

He must have read your post history.

#48979
1 minute ago, Stros121 said:
Tonight, the sitting Democratic President of the United States just called Trump supporters “garbage.”After two failed assassination attempts against Trump followed by the DNC state run media lecturing republicans to “tone down the rhetoric,” Joe Biden calls tens of millions of…

 

This has nothing to do with the election you stillborn troll.

#48980
43 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:
we now have estimates for key states AZ: Trump 51/Harris 47 GA: Trump 51/Harris 46 MI: Harris 51/Trump 46 NV: Harris 51/Trump 47 NC: Trump 50/Harris 48 PA: Harris 49/Trump 48 TX: Trump 51/Harris 47 WI: Harris 50/Trump 47 Full results here: https://t.co/3XAQoQvWbX https://t.co/iNkVQseW04

 

Is this good?

#48981
Just now, David Dennison said:

Is this good?

It’s 276. But a lot of people have already written off Nevada lol

#48982
49 minutes ago, BurntOrange&White said:

My wife doesn’t discuss politics publicly, like she doesn’t post or repost the shit that generally gets circulated. She’s pro choice and she hates Ted Cruz. She also hates how politicians in Texas treat education and hates the idea of vouchers, she’s a public school teacher. Together we don’t really discuss politics to each other unless we happen to see something on the news. I personally think she’s more liberal than she realizes but I just let her be. Not going to let politics affect our marriage because we’re both happy. I just have an understanding under Trumps project 2025 she’s essentially my commodity(joke). 

Um. Sorry man. I can’t square this with someone who votes for Trump. It’s illogical. Hopefully I’m misunderstanding. 

  • Popular Post
#48983
6 minutes ago, Stros121 said:
Tonight, the sitting Democratic President of the United States just called Trump supporters “garbage.”After two failed assassination attempts against Trump followed by the DNC state run media lecturing republicans to “tone down the rhetoric,” Joe Biden calls tens of millions of…

 

no-lies-detected-lie-detector.gif

#48984
2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

It’s 276. But a lot of people have already written off Nevada lol

So this election is going to come down to MI, WI, and PA?

#48985
5 minutes ago, Stros121 said:
Tonight, the sitting Democratic President of the United States just called Trump supporters “garbage.”After two failed assassination attempts against Trump followed by the DNC state run media lecturing republicans to “tone down the rhetoric,” Joe Biden calls tens of millions of…

 

Do you believe there is "DNC state run media"?

Maybe, just maybe, Trump should stop being a piece of shit.

#48986
7 minutes ago, Stros121 said:
Tonight, the sitting Democratic President of the United States just called Trump supporters “garbage.”After two failed assassination attempts against Trump followed by the DNC state run media lecturing republicans to “tone down the rhetoric,” Joe Biden calls tens of millions of…

 

Sounds about right. Although I usually just call them pieces of shit. But garbage works too, depending on the company 

#48987
26 minutes ago, Guadaloopy said:

IMG_2155.gif.9d72d2a0abffd014ec839f5f4da63ff0.gif

You know we’re just having some fun at your expense. I like it you can take a joke.  

 

 

 

#48988
1 minute ago, David Dennison said:

So this election is going to come down to MI, WI, and PA?

Blue wall

#48989
Just now, David Dennison said:

So this election is going to come down to MI, WI, and PA?

No, they have Georgia way off, and I think North Carolina as well.  

#48990
52 minutes ago, Dbeasy said:

This thread moves with breathtaking speed. There’s no way to keep up. 

It feels like this:

image.gif.3d28f8c72bf3c4b2d3e69b78bf956afd.gif

#48991
1 minute ago, BamaATL said:

No, they have Georgia way off, and I think North Carolina as well.  

I want to believe.

How are they getting it so wrong, though? Like, how exactly are their methods failing?

#48992
47 minutes ago, BamaATL said:

It would appear that Texas is more competitive than Georgia.  Well ok then.  

That should make you question all of those poll numbers. 

#48994
Just now, chainsaw said:

I want to believe.

How are they getting it so wrong, though? Like, how exactly are their methods failing?

Same problem as all of them, oversampling and weighting of Republican voters, in particular as it relates to indys.  It used to be that you could approximate indy's to percentages of each party.  When they missed 2016, it was an under weighting of Indy to Republican, they didn't just adjust, they overcompensated for that miss ever since, which is why in part, even reputable polling ever since has been light against Democratic turnout.  Given that party registration is down relative to population just about everywhere (and more so over time), this over weighting becomes ever more wild as time goes by.  

  • Popular Post
#48995
17 minutes ago, Stros121 said:
Tonight, the sitting Democratic President of the United States just called Trump supporters “garbage.”After two failed assassination attempts against Trump followed by the DNC state run media lecturing republicans to “tone down the rhetoric,” Joe Biden calls tens of millions of…

 

To be clear, he was personally calling you garbage. 

Edited by Dahobbs

#48997
6 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

I want to believe.

How are they getting it so wrong, though? Like, how exactly are their methods failing?

The problem is guessing how the percentages break down in terms of less R v. D, but Trump v. Harris.

#48998

Am I missing an assassination attempt or are we calling any person open carrying an attempt?

42 minutes ago, Dnaguy said:

Nah.

I think about labias quite a bit. 
To not think of hers would be exclusive.

I am an inclusive labiast.

🤷‍♂️

 

Are you allowed in Arby’s? 

#49000
21 minutes ago, Stros121 said:
Tonight, the sitting Democratic President of the United States just called Trump supporters “garbage.”After two failed assassination attempts against Trump followed by the DNC state run media lecturing republicans to “tone down the rhetoric,” Joe Biden calls tens of millions of…

 

Cry harder

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