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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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Even Nate Silver’s new article is how he doesn’t trust the polls. In his words, roughly half of polls should show a result within 2.5 points of a tied race. It’s 80% this year. So much herding 

1 in 9.5 trillion odds of this happening 

1 in 2.8 million odds on Wisconsin having 33/36 polls showing the race within 2.5 points

1 in 300,000 for PA for 42/47 polls 

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  • I don't post all that often, though don't mistake that for not enjoying this board's discourse, OUsucks/Texags point and laughs, and quality original content on a frequent basis. I haven't felt t

  • Clintonaldo
    Clintonaldo

    Just had an interesting conversation with wife. Her: Hey Wednesday I need you to pick our son up Me: ok but be home by 4 because I am going to Chili’s for some internet friends. Her: You are mee

  • Old Freak Nasty
    Old Freak Nasty

    I am an American Indian, born in rural Pennsylvania while my dad attended Penn State for graduate school in the 70s.  He was accepted by all on campus, but encountered plenty of racism when outside of

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29 minutes ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

There's one about 3 miles from the house.   I'll have moderate difficulty getting the wife to agree, but in the spirit of the solidarity, I'm sure she would happily oblige.    

3 miles? Do you live in Kazakhstan?

14 minutes ago, aggie08 said:

I don't understand why these numbers are different, even slightly.

Harris is obsessed with gender reassignment surgery for everyone, maybe even herself. 

2 minutes ago, Red Five said:

It's possible he realizes he's popular with exactly no one, and thinks it could have the opposite effect. 

THIS.

GWB left office with disapproval pushing 70%. Trump or Biden could only dream of that. To the extent his endorsement would swing anyone, it's at least as likely to help Trump as it is Harris.

It's also very possible he is voting Trump, because he fucks with the whole tax cuts and privatization over everything line of thinking.

6 hours ago, Skipper said:

 Then i get texts from Trump supporters with similar screenshots and links with right leaning data scientist claiming it is all but over for Trump based on early voting demographics.  Trumpers that are closely following this are extremely confident. 

Don’t listen to Trumpanzees.  They are being gaslighted every which way by Fox News and pumped full of disinformation on social media.

Listen to Donald Trump himself.  He will tell you everything you need to know.

His meltdowns on social media the past two days, his raging about how Liz Cheney should be shot, these are not the ramblings of a man who thinks he’s winning.

6 hours ago, Skipper said:

And of course at least most true national people seem to just hedge and think it's going to be close.   

The media wants a horse race, not a blowout.  Everybody tunes out on a blowout.

1 minute ago, gmr548 said:

THIS.

GWB left office with disapproval pushing 70%. Trump or Biden could only dream of that. To the extent his endorsement would swing anyone, it's at least as likely to help Trump as it is Harris.

It's also very possible he is voting Trump, because he fucks with the whole tax cuts and privatization over everything line of thinking.

0% chance he is voting Trump. 

2 minutes ago, quigley said:

I really wish they'd been more upfront about the fact that they're current methods don't allow them to know shit about fuck. It could have lead to improvement of the system and less horserace with blinders on both the horses and the jockeys.

But, American media...

The NYT l-i-t-e-r-a-l-l-y used his polls to drive their political coverage and form the over-arching "story." I don't know if it's an early mea culpa or trying to escape responsibility for his work but everything he's saying is what I've been saying for weeks. Fuck him and fuck the polls. 

3 minutes ago, MissingInAction said:

3 miles? Do you live in Kazakhstan?

funny dancing GIF

Ha ha ha ha:

TL:DR -- we pissed off a lot of Puerto Ricans in some key states and now we're going to lose.

 

 

Take the loss pussy.

4 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

Yeah. I think it is not wanting to break with the party.

 

Mrs WH believes shrub enjoys not being scrutinized for his own transgressions, and, so, will remain silent. I agree with you.
 

Fuck George and Jeb. 

13 minutes ago, immamac said:

Should I call chillis and try to get a national surly deal for Wednesday? Dead serious. 

I recommend the location at 35 and St John's.

We'll be safe there.

  • Popular Post

New Surly membership level: Chilis Aficionado 

3 minutes ago, 4th&Five said:

image.thumb.png.05d382a12d13a879358a4764469ed93b.png

 

That's just a solid look of health and masculinity 

 

 

1 hour ago, Js1 said:

And this. 

Literally, just fucking elect her and then go back to picking Republicans in 2025/2026 and beyond.  For the love of God, you will get another chance in 2028 if she wins.  

That's actually not true, and part of the issue for their leadership, the math moving forward gets much more difficult for Republicans.  Their most bankable base, the elder automatic R voter will be dying in droves between now and then, and they know it.  

4 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

Ha ha ha ha:

TL:DR -- we pissed off a lot of Puerto Ricans in some key states and now we're going to lose.

 

 

Take the loss pussy.

Oh the panic has set in. Tony might be a national hero after this is all over. 

24 minutes ago, Chopper said:

Are you saying the same people who are concerned about private student loans -- which Biden has tried and tried to take off the books only to face opposition at every turn from the GQP -- are the same people who were against Universal Healthcare but also in favor of a much stricter regulatory approach to banking? But also they're NOT 50 to 80 year olds but they're pissed about a financial services law passed 25 years ago. Oh you mentioned the law that stabilized the banking system from collapse, signed into law by SHRUB. And they hate Elizabeth Warren and any consumer protection too. What a bizarre conglomeration of laws those people are theoretically pissed about. Those people definitely seem incredibly confused at the very least. Please tell me what segment of the population is this delusional. Subscribers to a Matthew Yglesias substack? I don't think that's considered a demographic, sir. 

Circa after Obamacare became available 

"Thanks, Obama!"- fellow WWC employee at company meeting responding to the owner discussing that they dropped insurance coverage due to rising costs

"That was before Obama" (happened in 2005)- Me, grateful to have a Blue Cross Blue Shield Silver Plan for 101 dollars a month thru Obamacare

"Oh"- fellow WWC employee whom I can almost guarantee is still voting straight GOP

The notion this guy is blameless for obstinately voting against his own interests is absurd.

 

 

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10 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Even Nate Silver’s new article is how he doesn’t trust the polls. In his words, roughly half of polls should show a result within 2.5 points of a tied race. It’s 80% this year. So much herding 

1 in 9.5 trillion odds of this happening 

1 in 2.8 million odds on Wisconsin having 33/36 polls showing the race within 2.5 points

1 in 300,000 for PA for 42/47 polls 

We're going to win the popular by 5+. We're gonna keep the Senate. We're gonna win the House. Florida is a possible EC pickup.  LFG.

  • Popular Post

 

Edited by Aqua Buddha

21 minutes ago, immamac said:

Should I call chillis and try to get a national surly deal for Wednesday? Dead serious. 

Angry Kevin Costner GIF by Yellowstone

1 hour ago, Jive Turkey said:

Simple Trump thinks the guy is saying "who cares" about Biden.  no dumbass, he's making fun of you for still talking about Joe Biden WHO ISN'T YOUR OPPONENT.

Yeah he was saying who cares about Biden. 

21 minutes ago, immamac said:

Should I call chillis and try to get a national surly deal for Wednesday? Dead serious. 

National deal? There’s one by my office. I haven’t eaten at a chilis in 20-15 years. 

21 minutes ago, immamac said:

Should I call chillis and try to get a national surly deal for Wednesday? Dead serious. 

can you also call my wife and tell her there’s a free beyoncé concert that night in downtown burbank?

1 minute ago, Aqua Buddha said:

giphy.gif

 

17 minutes ago, Horndog said:

In a state decided by 11,000 votes in 2020.

Just runs up the score a bit more in my opinion, I'll have some final math tomorrow with the totals of EV, but my guess right now it's over 100k Harris in Georgia right now.   

12 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

Ha ha ha ha:

 

image.png

 

Puerto Rico Rage GIF by Luis Ricardo

Edited by TexasHooch

  • Popular Post
6 minutes ago, wildcat09 said:

We're going to win the popular by 5+. We're gonna keep the Senate. We're gonna win the House. Florida is a possible EC pickup.  LFG.

clap please GIF

 

28 minutes ago, immamac said:

Should I call chillis and try to get a national surly deal for Wednesday? Dead serious. 

Can we also get Tony Hinchcliffe booked as guest of honor for next tailgate?

  • Popular Post

Remember when Elon was wanting to fight Zuckerberg?  Now, we get this:

 

 

 

 

55 minutes ago, Chopper said:

Are you saying the same people who are concerned about private student loans -- which Biden has tried and tried to take off the books only to face opposition at every turn from the GQP -- are the same people who were against Universal Healthcare but also in favor of a much stricter regulatory approach to banking? But also they're NOT 50 to 80 year olds but they're pissed about a financial services law passed 25 years ago. Oh you mentioned the law that stabilized the banking system from collapse, signed into law by SHRUB. And they hate Elizabeth Warren and any consumer protection too. What a bizarre conglomeration of laws those people are theoretically pissed about. Those people definitely seem incredibly confused at the very least. Please tell me what segment of the population is this delusional. Subscribers to a Matthew Yglesias substack? I don't think that's considered a demographic, sir. 

No offense, but I can only assume you’re being willfully obtuse here.

4 minutes ago, Al Bundy's Napoleon Hand said:

Circa after Obamacare became available 

"Thanks, Obama!"- fellow WWC employee at company meeting responding to the owner discussing that they dropped insurance coverage due to rising costs

"That was before Obama" (happened in 2005)- Me, grateful to have a Blue Cross Blue Shield Silver Plan for 101 dollars a month thru Obamacare

"Oh"- fellow WWC employee whom I can almost guarantee is still voting straight GOP

The notion this guy is blameless for obstinately voting against his own interests is absurd.

Heck I'm not even talking about Obamacare. Obamacare was a compromise because the single payer plan that Clinton tried to pass went down in flames due to insurance companies, the AMA (doctors) and Republicans. Everyone knew it was imperfect but the key facets - portability (not tied to your job), no lifetime maximum (so you have actual insurance in case of a catastrophe) and to prohibit insurers from canceling individuals if they became too expensive -- are the reasons it was crafted the way it was. Imperfect but necessary. Can you imagine where we'd be if your healthcare were still tied to your job? And if insurance companies could just cancel you if they didn't want to pay for your care any longer? Talk about cancel culture - we actually had that. 

9 hours ago, BamaATL said:

Let her know that she isn't alone, my wife, who did 2 tours in Iraq has never felt the need to carry as a civilian.  However, should shit go south Tuesday, she is adamant about carrying from now on, while we finalize where we will be moving to out of the country (I don't really want to leave, but hey life is an adventure, so ok).  She is also adamant about laying low for a couple of weeks post election because at least a few nutjobs will do something (I think she's absolutely right on that).  

I very rarely carry a gun on my person when I’m not out in the woods, but with all the nut bags around here I’ll be packing for a few weeks no matter who wins. 

31 minutes ago, immamac said:

Should I call chillis and try to get a national surly deal for Wednesday? Dead serious. 

Limit you to no more than three Shirley Temples… 

IMG_8013.jpeg.51d050c14f0e00dde94d25a1cf847735.jpeg

 

18 minutes ago, Chopper said:

The NYT l-i-t-e-r-a-l-l-y used his polls to drive their political coverage and form the over-arching "story." I don't know if it's an early mea culpa or trying to escape responsibility for his work but everything he's saying is what I've been saying for weeks. Fuck him and fuck the polls. 

psst... you and I agree. We're among many critical of polling.

29 minutes ago, immamac said:

Should I call chillis and try to get a national surly deal for Wednesday? Dead serious. 

Some Chili’s will be experiencing Winner Wednesday while others will experience Wipe Your Tears Wednesday. 

26 minutes ago, G650 said:

I'm not sure what a Tobias is, but there's a lot more of the people I'm referring to than Cleeti in this country.

Tobias = rich kid.

Are you saying that Trump doesn't have strong support from poor White people?

6 minutes ago, Horn Dog said:

Can we also get Tony Hinchcliffe booked as guest of honor for next tailgate?

Only if for the appearance fee he agrees to sit in a dunking booth. But nobody tell him it's for the symbolism.

image.thumb.png.f20df2860bad295bd985cb0cf66eb77d.png

6 minutes ago, Brian Fantana said:

 

Trump better watch it, gets any sort of actual sun combined with that spray tan and he's gonna slide far enough down this handy dandy scale that even his most devout GQP followers won't vote for him anymore....

image.thumb.png.6336186283ce51b74d4bc5f300c4d818.png

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2 minutes ago, BevoAbyss said:

This for all the Bush-loving conservatives in here, especially the Texans:

I have a question for you in the aftermath of Trump proposing a firing squad for Liz Cheney -- the daughter of his VP?

Where is W on this?

What isn't he denouncing Trump, right now. 

What's he waiting on? 

Where's your Texas hero? 

Half this thread (if not more) voted for Bush, but I don’t think a single one would stand up for him now. Most have realized they were duped by their upbringing and environment (although some still cling to some silly notion of fiscal conservatism or libertarianism). 

4 hours ago, Gatorubet said:

this genius says that minority votes in Georgia are down

There may be something weird going on in ATL / Athens specifically regarding GOTV. Anecdotally, fewer Black people doing canvassing than in past years.  Maybe simply because Warnock isn't on the ballot like 2022, but I've heard it.

  • Popular Post

I am going to hide at the ranch for 5 days. I can't quit this thread but I need to quit MSM. Waiting on the boar I named turnip to walk out so I can get rid of his ass.20241101_183521.thumb.jpg.39c7a07cecaaa8cbba34c5d86af90cfb.jpg

8 minutes ago, BevoAbyss said:

This for all the Bush-loving conservatives in here, especially the Texans:

I have a question for you in the aftermath of Trump proposing a firing squad for Liz Cheney -- the daughter of his VP?

Where is W on this?

What isn't he denouncing Trump, right now. 

What's he waiting on? 

Where's your Texas hero? 

Just wondering...

The Dixie chicks were wrong about Bush. He’s from Connecticut. Michael Bolton is the one who should be embarrassed.

  • Author
1 hour ago, aggie08 said:

So we're all going to our local Chili's on Wednesday in solidarity if the election goes our way, correct?

If I see any of you, I'll knowingly nod.

 

50 minutes ago, Dr. Teeth said:

the dark knight rises so many feels oh god GIF

 

41 minutes ago, Red Five said:

Don't forget Aubrey Plaza too. 

 

40 minutes ago, Dahobbs said:

Please work out a deal with Aubrey Plaza while you're at it. Thanks!

image.gif.66a93d3bba28660669143b727b5c2bf5.gif

1 minute ago, quigley said:

Tobias = rich kid.

Are you saying that Trump doesn't have strong support from poor White people?

He does from some. I spend my days with poor white dudes among others, they aren't universally, or even majority, Trumpy.

Upper middle suburban white dudes who like F250s, or have construction companies, or work in finance or plenty of other cross sections are like 99% Trump true believers and there are millions of them.

 

Hell I posted the dude with the Trump Train Fountain speedboat in here, that's like the median Trump acolyte.

 

How many of you guys know anyone that was at the J6 riot? I talk to one almost every day in a professional capacity. Owns a small excavation and grading company, been raking it in past few years. Literally 100% opposite of people who have been left behind supposedly in this economy.

Just now, G650 said:

Upper middle suburban white dudes who like F250s, or have construction companies, or work in finance or plenty of other cross sections are like 99% Trump true believers and there are millions of them.

Aggy

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