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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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#52401
1 minute ago, kevwun said:

I don’t want to hope but those are 2 for 1 votes so they really hurt Trump.

700k goes away real quick like that, real quick.  

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#52403
Just now, Royalfan5 said:

If Iowa goes Harris, don’t be shocked if NE-1 and NE-2 go blue

NE-02 is going blue by 8+ points already 

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#52407

I have 3 first time voters in my family this year and all are staunch Kamala supporters.  I hope that they see this work out for all of us.  

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#52408

To add to my previous post it will be annoying if a chunk of seniors finally turn on Trump just because of their personal financial interests (SS and Medicare) but I'll take it. I really appreciated the old Iowa guy quoted as saying that J6 was why he'll never vote for Trump and will actually vote for a Democrat to keep him out of office. At least that's a principled but not only self-interested reason. 

Edited by Huckleberry

#52409
2 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

Obama had Iowa in 08

Won FL, OH, IA in 08 and 12 

#52410
Three options here:1. Selzer is right and Harris wins in a massive landslide 2. This poll is just a bad poll (it happens, but it happens to Selzer less than others)3. Harris isn’t really winning IA but the poll is capturing late stage momentum that bodes well for WI,MI,PA https://t.co/NXdjAD2Jjx

 

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#52411
2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

NE-02 is going blue by 8+ points already 

Look I’ve lived here all my life and never remember what district I’m in so I have to name them both

#52412
1 hour ago, Pancho said:

Elon is a fucking idiot

I’m not a puppet Elon.. I’m a daughter of two immigrant parents that had to work their ass off to provide for me! I’m a product of welfare, I’m a product of section 8, I’m a product of poverty and I’m a product of what happens when the system is set up against you….But you don’t… https://t.co/BBYQ2O0KYJ

 

No empathy says the, checks notes, highly autistic sociopath.

#52413
10 minutes ago, G650 said:

Nice, the Navy 44s. Built so tough when they hit a concrete pier, the pier breaks.

 

I've sailed them a couple times for Lloyd Phoenix

Some sort of race.  The CGA ran away with it.  I yelled “Go Coast Guard, Go Maine” as we cruised by after the finish, which got me a few fist pumps from the boat and my host admonished me for talking to a competitor boat. 
 

Like I said: I didn’t eat shit through 4 Maine winters to not give some love to any school from Vacationland. 
 

Except Colby. Fuck those guys. 

Edited by Bateshorn

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#52414
Even it being off by 10 would be bad news for him, lol.

Also, shot:

Iowa GOP chair hints Selzer will show Trump beating Harris by at least 8 points? https://t.co/yK2TaTOUIP

Chaser:

President Trump was never down 4 points in Iowa like the @DMRegister & @jaselzer claimed in September. This shows his real lead. The Left loves a Selzer poll because it allows them to live their delusional world. https://t.co/LMkhTEmE2T

 

#52415
2 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

To add to my previous post it will be annoying if a chunk of seniors finally turn on Trump just because of their personal financial interests (SS and Medicare) but I'll take it. I really appreciated the old Iowa guy quoted as saying that J6 was why he'll never vote for Trump and will actually vote for a Democrat to keep him out of office. At least that's a principle but not only self-interested reason. 

I agree but this election, whatever reason they need to use to vote Dem is fine. 

#52416
1 minute ago, Born to Run said:

No empathy says the, checks notes, highly autistic sociopath.

On behalf of the campaign of a narcissist. 

#52418
Just now, Bateshorn said:

Some sort of race.  The CGA ran away with it.  I yelled “Go Coast Guard, Go Maine” as we cruised by after the finish, which got me a few fist pumps from the boat and my host admonished me for talking to a competitor boat. 
 

Like I said: I didn’t eat shit through 4 Maine winters to not give some love to any school from Vacationland a little love. 
 

Except Colby. Fuck those guys. 

You know why you hav eto be over 6' tall to be in the coast guard?

Spoiler

So you can walk back to shore when your boat sinks...

 

#52419
To add to my previous post it will be annoying if a chunk of seniors finally turn on Trump just because of their personal financial interests (SS and Medicare) but I'll take it. I really appreciated the old Iowa guy quoted as saying that J6 was why he'll never vote for Trump and will actually vote for a Democrat to keep him out of office. At least that's a principle but not only self-interested reason. 

My 93 year old father hated Trump after 2020. He’s a die hard Regan republican. He wasn’t going to vote, which was a win as far as I was concerned. The SS and Medicare and treatment of veterans (he is one) made him vote for Harris while still complaining about how bad Democrats are. I just let him talk. I think there are a whole lot of olds that want that SS money.
#52421
4 minutes ago, Born to Run said:

No empathy says the, checks notes, highly autistic sociopath.

Guy who shit on his kid because they are trans. 

#52423
Just now, chainsaw said:

If we know this today, the campaign has known this for about a week. Explains a lot.

Probably. But she knows better than to even entertain going to Iowa. Keep the focus on the Big 7 and if an Iowa or Ohio or TX or FL or Alaska surprisingly falls your way, great! 

#52424
4 minutes ago, Js1 said:

I agree but this election, whatever reason they need to use to vote Dem is fine. 

Treat these folks like Uncle Lewis in Christmas Vacation. 

#52425
1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Probably. But she knows better than to even entertain going to Iowa. Keep the focus on the Big 7 and if an Iowa or Ohio or TX or FL or Alaska surprisingly falls your way, great! 

I meant more about Trump's bizarre decisions

#52426
Just now, chainsaw said:

I meant more about Trump's bizarre decisions

Oh he’s been insane enough for me to believe the campaign internally has awful numbers 

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#52427
2 minutes ago, Goofyboy said:

My 93 year old father hated Trump after 2020. He’s a die hard Regan republican.

This is the first presidential election since the Insurrection. Trump lost a shitload of Regan Republicans that day and it’s going to show on Tuesday.

#52428
19 minutes ago, honolulu horn said:

Yeah the most surprising thing about that Selzer poll is the seniors breaking for Kamala. They know what's up. 

They don't want Elmo taking away their social security.  Also of note, old women favor Harris at a far bigger clip than old dudes support dotard.  We all know women outlive dudes so there should be more old women voting than old dudes.  Run up the score with the grandmas.

#52430
11 minutes ago, Pancho said:
Three options here:1. Selzer is right and Harris wins in a massive landslide 2. This poll is just a bad poll (it happens, but it happens to Selzer less than others)3. Harris isn’t really winning IA but the poll is capturing late stage momentum that bodes well for WI,MI,PA https://t.co/NXdjAD2Jjx

 

3, but with a dash of 1 IMO.

#52431
1 minute ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

They don't want Elmo taking away their social security.  Also of note, old women favor Harris at a far bigger clip than old dudes support dotard.  We all know women outlive dudes so there should be more old women voting than old dudes.  Run up the score with the grandmas.

Old women remember having to have a man sign for their banking account as recently as 1974.  Fucking crazy.  They may not be totally pro choice, but they remember being 100% chattel.

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#52432

oh hey guys, here's the "unskewed" version

2024 Iowa GE - Selzer (Des Moines Register), 10/28-10/31, 808LVFairweighted™ Poll:🔴 Trump 50% (+6)🔵 Harris 44%PollFair Weighting: R+10Selzer Weighting: R+2Original Poll:Harris 47% (+3)Trump 44%#IowaElection2024 #FairPolling #IAPolitics #IA2024Elections…

 

#52433
1 hour ago, TexEx15 said:
IOWA POLL by Des Moines/Selzer🔵 Kamala Harris 47%🔴 Donald Trump 44%

 

“Maybe WE’LL win Iowa by 3 to 5 points.”

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#52434

FYI… Harris joins Rudolph during cold open maybe?

BREAKING: Air Force Two took off from Charlotte, North Carolina for Detroit but was diverted to New York City. Harris aides informed the press pool mid-air that @KamalaHarris was headed to New York and not Detroit.They wouldn’t share what the Vice President is doing in New…

 

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#52435

Meanwhile, on Texags:

FrioAg 00
 
AG
 
 
The more I look at this, the more it looks like a "damn the torpedos" type of Hail Mary from someone looking to impact the outcome

And if smart (if unwise) pollsters are doing that, maybe this is a good sign
 
#52436
2 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

oh hey guys, here's the "unskewed" version

2024 Iowa GE - Selzer (Des Moines Register), 10/28-10/31, 808LVFairweighted™ Poll:🔴 Trump 50% (+6)🔵 Harris 44%PollFair Weighting: R+10Selzer Weighting: R+2Original Poll:Harris 47% (+3)Trump 44%#IowaElection2024 #FairPolling #IAPolitics #IA2024Elections…

 

Gonna need our statsmen to define Fairweighted(tm) for me here

#52437
1 minute ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Meanwhile, on Texags:

FrioAg 00
 
AG
 
 
The more I look at this, the more it looks like a "damn the torpedos" type of Hail Mary from someone looking to impact the outcome

And if smart (if unwise) pollsters are doing that, maybe this is a good sign
 

I’m getting shades of 2020 Dems (including me) who blew off her final poll, called it an outlier, etc 

#52438
2 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

oh hey guys, here's the "unskewed" version

What does that mean? 

#52439
1 minute ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Meanwhile, on Texags:

FrioAg 00
 
AG
 
 
The more I look at this, the more it looks like a "damn the torpedos" type of Hail Mary from someone looking to impact the outcome

And if smart (if unwise) pollsters are doing that, maybe this is a good sign
 

Trump didn't lose the poll, he just ran out of Real Americans

#52440
1 minute ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Meanwhile, on Texags:

FrioAg 00
 
AG
 
 
The more I look at this, the more it looks like a "damn the torpedos" type of Hail Mary from someone looking to impact the outcome

And if smart (if unwise) pollsters are doing that, maybe this is a good sign
 

Yes. A pollster with a reputation based on being nonbiased is throwing that away because she believes she can alter the election.

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#52442
1 hour ago, TexEx15 said:
IOWA POLL by Des Moines/Selzer🔵 Kamala Harris 47%🔴 Donald Trump 44%

 

KermitShootingUP.gif.63279248e62f792d7efac350a77f0186.gif

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#52443
2 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

What does that mean? 

Well, once upon a time there was a boy who swam for Texas…

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#52445
3 minutes ago, locodos said:

Old women remember having to have a man sign for their banking account as recently as 1974.  Fucking crazy.  They may not be totally pro choice, but they remember being 100% chattel.

My mom convinced my Grandpa he was signing something else when he was signing her FAFSA in 1973 because he wasn’t sure women needed further education. (Ironically my Grandma was a college grad) He relented when she could point to her full ride after she sent it in. Not a chance in hell she’d ever vote for Trump 

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#52448
1 minute ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

The dotard had an 18 point lead in Iowa back in June.  What a choke job.

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