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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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Top Posters In This Topic

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  • I don't post all that often, though don't mistake that for not enjoying this board's discourse, OUsucks/Texags point and laughs, and quality original content on a frequent basis. I haven't felt t

  • Clintonaldo
    Clintonaldo

    Just had an interesting conversation with wife. Her: Hey Wednesday I need you to pick our son up Me: ok but be home by 4 because I am going to Chili’s for some internet friends. Her: You are mee

  • Old Freak Nasty
    Old Freak Nasty

    I am an American Indian, born in rural Pennsylvania while my dad attended Penn State for graduate school in the 70s.  He was accepted by all on campus, but encountered plenty of racism when outside of

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8 minutes ago, 'stache said:

I know it's been discussed before, but I truly hope its a landslide and that fat piece of shit dies within the following months. The parties will be fucking epic.

You going to carry Ygifs torch and go on a wild bender?

4 minutes ago, Helobious said:

And he’s had Trump winning this thing the whole way. But don’t let the Chili’s delusion mob know that.

Well fucking good for him.

4 minutes ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

MAGA gonna claim she's obviously trailing bigly and she's desperate for votes or something

The polls have a problem picking up some subtleties. For instance, it might be harder to pick up the large number of new voters, of which African-American and women voters make up a large percentage, and thus miss that those folks are signing up due to their enthusiasm for Project 2025 and JD Vance. 

I also know that Ann Salzer did not ask likely voters how they felt about pet squirrels.  It is that type of clearly partisan modeling - I call it data manipulation - that prevents the upcoming Trump red wave from being accurately reported. 

 

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5 minutes ago, Helobious said:

And he’s had Trump winning this thing the whole way

One day you will tire of being wrong

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2 minutes ago, G650 said:

One day you will tire of being wrong

Day World GIF

28 minutes ago, Gil Bang said:

Junior's in fine shape today

 

 Junior just mad because he was too much of a nobody to get invited to Diddy’s freak offs and his Dad’s stories about the 13 year olds on the island make him jealous.

Edited by Dnaguy

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8 minutes ago, Helobious said:

And he’s had Trump winning this thing the whole way. But don’t let the Chili’s delusion mob know that.

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11 minutes ago, Helobious said:

And he’s had Trump winning this thing the whole way. But don’t let the Chili’s delusion mob know that.


I’ll explain it to you like you are 5. When the blue line is above the red line it means that Harris was winning in his model. Notice how the red line is not above the blue line “the whole way”

 

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Fuck ...

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1 minute ago, Chopper said:

Fuck ...

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This, for all the assholes who smugly claim elections don't really effect them because they don't earn enough, aren't brown, or female.  Fuck you.

1 hour ago, SizzleChest said:

At the end of the Bulwark interview with her (posted yesterday on this thread), she has a really good descripton for how that fact pattern evolved.  Her poll was not wrong as much it was "early".

Oh cool, yesterday.  I'll look that up. 

*Only has to go back 150 pages*

Why has everyone not put @Helobious on ignore? He adds nothing to any conversation. He is a troll that isn't even funny. Just a loser.

Donald Trump Losers GIF by GIPHY News

12 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

Well fucking good for him.

He’s got it as a complete coin flip with plenty of “lead” changes. 
 

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So by ahead Helo means he barely has a 50% chance. Ok then.

31 minutes ago, 'stache said:

I know it's been discussed before, but I truly hope its a landslide and that fat piece of shit dies within the following months. The parties will be fucking epic.

Hope he chokes on a hamburder, while the fry cooks are looking for their prophylactic.  I mean they had just used it in the aisle between the griddle and condiment station, where could it have possibly rolled off to?   

Edited by Mdhorn

Finally catch up with the thread, only to find out Immamac never secured the surly national 10% off coopin at Chili's. What a bunch of bullshit 

 

8 minutes ago, HOOKEM4 said:

Why has everyone not put @Helobious on ignore? He adds nothing to any conversation. He is a troll that isn't even funny. Just a loser.

Donald Trump Losers GIF by GIPHY News

I did my part!  A long time ago.

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Sadly, Helo is doing what is needed in this thread. I'd be horrified if the reverse was happening. 

21 hours ago, threesheets said:

Well I'm about to lose my shit. Just checked the Collin County spreadsheet for last Sunday and none of the three people in my household that voted that day are on it.

Not sure if you resolved this yet, but just checked mine for Collin County also.  I’m 99% sure I voted on the 24th and didn’t see my name, but when I checked the 25th I was there.  So maybe a day lag or maybe I can’t remember what I did two weeks ago. 

12 hours ago, speed817 said:

She thought she got him lol

I hated her most of all

I’m watching V for Vendetta tonight, a day early this year. Need the inspiration, just in case. 

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Atlas modeled a 77% (!!) white electorate in their national poll (Trump +1), which hasn’t been the case in 20 years lol 

2020 was 67% 

2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Atlas modeled a 77% (!!) white electorate in their national poll (Trump +1), which hasn’t been the case in 20 years lol 

2020 was 67% 


throw it on the pyre

53 minutes ago, WBT said:

He's not.  He's also still the best aggregator/modeler.

But does he know shit about fuck?

2 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Lulz

 

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is this the trashy cunt that ran against AOC?

2 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Lulz

 

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White women are the only reliable voter block??? Sure Jan.

Edited by Hank_Hill

3 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Lulz

 

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Tell me you know you're going to lose without saying you know you're going to lose.

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1 hour ago, Texaus said:

Not feeling very good since, but I usually eat lean meats and vegetables, so shock to the system. 

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God damn. Being 5 hours behind this shit tomorrow is going to be a blessing/curse. I’m going to be so fucking lit. 

8 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Atlas modeled a 77% (!!) white electorate in their national poll (Trump +1), which hasn’t been the case in 20 years lol 

2020 was 67% 

they obviously didn't like the result when they used 67% so they had to go all the way to 77% to get trump to +1.

what happened to just asking 1500 people in a certain state who they're voting for? if you do enough of these, the numbers work themselves out.

 

15 minutes ago, The Dog said:

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Troy and Abed voting Bluuuuuuuuuueeee!

1 hour ago, CooterBrown said:

I don't even like Jason Isbell but fuck it, I like Jason Isbell.

I like that he's comfortable enough with his not-insubstantial wealth (soon cut in half) to tell the haters to fuck off.

1 minute ago, henrygandorf said:

they obviously didn't like the result when they used 67% so they had to go all the way to 77% to get trump to +1.

what happened to just asking 1500 people in a certain state who they're voting for? if you do enough of these, the numbers work themselves out.

 

They don't like the results when they do that, either.

Just now, SizzleChest said:

Guy who shot Bin-laden.👀

 

Yeah. We already saw he wants sex with underage boys.

 

Ah. A “Democratic consultant friend” who is totally cool with passing devastating on-the-ground canvassing news to the opposition for “top secret” publication. 
 

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8 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Lulz

 

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with all the practice they get lying to people i guess i just assumed they'd be better at it.

2 minutes ago, SizzleChest said:

Guy who shot Bin-laden.👀

 

Does he know what concubine means???

3 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

what happened to just asking 1500 people in a certain state who they're voting for? if you do enough of these, the numbers work themselves out.

It's essentially the Selzer model in Iowa.  Perfect?  No.  Needs a little massaging to correct for small samples?  Yes.  Reasonably accurate?  Yes.

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Second PA update today:

D-R 412k

D-R + 70-30 indie: 497k

3 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

Yeah. We already saw he wants sex with underage boys.

 

Too many fucking pages.

1 minute ago, Stilicho said:

Ah. A “Democratic consultant friend” who is totally cool with passing devastating on-the-ground canvassing news to the opposition for “top secret” publication. 
 

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The night before an election. "Hey I have some news that might devastate my party, but go ahead and spread it around the internet."

And Liberals have all given up on the Democrats and love Trump now...except liberal white women for some reason. 

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