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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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  • I don't post all that often, though don't mistake that for not enjoying this board's discourse, OUsucks/Texags point and laughs, and quality original content on a frequent basis. I haven't felt t

  • Clintonaldo
    Clintonaldo

    Just had an interesting conversation with wife. Her: Hey Wednesday I need you to pick our son up Me: ok but be home by 4 because I am going to Chili’s for some internet friends. Her: You are mee

  • Old Freak Nasty
    Old Freak Nasty

    I am an American Indian, born in rural Pennsylvania while my dad attended Penn State for graduate school in the 70s.  He was accepted by all on campus, but encountered plenty of racism when outside of

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#54452
8 minutes ago, 'stache said:

I know it's been discussed before, but I truly hope its a landslide and that fat piece of shit dies within the following months. The parties will be fucking epic.

You going to carry Ygifs torch and go on a wild bender?

#54453
4 minutes ago, Helobious said:

And he’s had Trump winning this thing the whole way. But don’t let the Chili’s delusion mob know that.

Well fucking good for him.

#54454
4 minutes ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

MAGA gonna claim she's obviously trailing bigly and she's desperate for votes or something

The polls have a problem picking up some subtleties. For instance, it might be harder to pick up the large number of new voters, of which African-American and women voters make up a large percentage, and thus miss that those folks are signing up due to their enthusiasm for Project 2025 and JD Vance. 

I also know that Ann Salzer did not ask likely voters how they felt about pet squirrels.  It is that type of clearly partisan modeling - I call it data manipulation - that prevents the upcoming Trump red wave from being accurately reported. 

 

  • Popular Post
#54455
5 minutes ago, Helobious said:

And he’s had Trump winning this thing the whole way

One day you will tire of being wrong

  • Popular Post
#54456
2 minutes ago, G650 said:

One day you will tire of being wrong

Day World GIF

#54457
28 minutes ago, Gil Bang said:

Junior's in fine shape today

Junior is tripping tonight. He says Diddy was only arrested so Harris can blackmail all the celebrities who went to his parties, and that’s the only reason why so many celebrities have endorsed her.

 

 Junior just mad because he was too much of a nobody to get invited to Diddy’s freak offs and his Dad’s stories about the 13 year olds on the island make him jealous.

Edited by Dnaguy

  • Popular Post
#54458
8 minutes ago, Helobious said:

And he’s had Trump winning this thing the whole way. But don’t let the Chili’s delusion mob know that.

IMG_3666.jpeg.72bd7f078ff2a9b9f069cfb18c71cbe4.jpeg

  • Popular Post
#54459
11 minutes ago, Helobious said:

And he’s had Trump winning this thing the whole way. But don’t let the Chili’s delusion mob know that.


I’ll explain it to you like you are 5. When the blue line is above the red line it means that Harris was winning in his model. Notice how the red line is not above the blue line “the whole way”

 

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#54461
1 minute ago, Chopper said:

Fuck ...

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This, for all the assholes who smugly claim elections don't really effect them because they don't earn enough, aren't brown, or female.  Fuck you.

#54462
1 hour ago, SizzleChest said:

At the end of the Bulwark interview with her (posted yesterday on this thread), she has a really good descripton for how that fact pattern evolved.  Her poll was not wrong as much it was "early".

Oh cool, yesterday.  I'll look that up. 

*Only has to go back 150 pages*

#54468
31 minutes ago, 'stache said:

I know it's been discussed before, but I truly hope its a landslide and that fat piece of shit dies within the following months. The parties will be fucking epic.

Hope he chokes on a hamburder, while the fry cooks are looking for their prophylactic.  I mean they had just used it in the aisle between the griddle and condiment station, where could it have possibly rolled off to?   

Edited by Mdhorn

#54469

Finally catch up with the thread, only to find out Immamac never secured the surly national 10% off coopin at Chili's. What a bunch of bullshit 

 

#54470
8 minutes ago, HOOKEM4 said:

Why has everyone not put @Helobious on ignore? He adds nothing to any conversation. He is a troll that isn't even funny. Just a loser.

Donald Trump Losers GIF by GIPHY News

I did my part!  A long time ago.

#54473
21 hours ago, threesheets said:

Well I'm about to lose my shit. Just checked the Collin County spreadsheet for last Sunday and none of the three people in my household that voted that day are on it.

Not sure if you resolved this yet, but just checked mine for Collin County also.  I’m 99% sure I voted on the 24th and didn’t see my name, but when I checked the 25th I was there.  So maybe a day lag or maybe I can’t remember what I did two weeks ago. 

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#54476

Atlas modeled a 77% (!!) white electorate in their national poll (Trump +1), which hasn’t been the case in 20 years lol 

2020 was 67% 

#54477
2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Atlas modeled a 77% (!!) white electorate in their national poll (Trump +1), which hasn’t been the case in 20 years lol 

2020 was 67% 


throw it on the pyre

#54481
2 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Lulz

 

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White women are the only reliable voter block??? Sure Jan.

Edited by Hank_Hill

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#54484

 

Walz: After about 48 hours, we win this thing, we have President Harris. We won't ever have to talk about this guy again. Never. So, if you are on the pollercoaster, get off the pollercoaster. And do something proactive on this. If you want to get rid of the anxiety, go vote.

 

#54485
1 hour ago, Texaus said:

Not feeling very good since, but I usually eat lean meats and vegetables, so shock to the system. 

il_fullxfull.4760874772_sb0y.jpg

#54486

God damn. Being 5 hours behind this shit tomorrow is going to be a blessing/curse. I’m going to be so fucking lit. 

#54487
8 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Atlas modeled a 77% (!!) white electorate in their national poll (Trump +1), which hasn’t been the case in 20 years lol 

2020 was 67% 

they obviously didn't like the result when they used 67% so they had to go all the way to 77% to get trump to +1.

what happened to just asking 1500 people in a certain state who they're voting for? if you do enough of these, the numbers work themselves out.

 

#54488

Guy who shot Bin-laden.👀

You’re not men. You’re boys. If there was no social media, you would be my concubines. https://t.co/EUwCiB4o1b

 

#54490
1 hour ago, CooterBrown said:

I don't even like Jason Isbell but fuck it, I like Jason Isbell.

I like that he's comfortable enough with his not-insubstantial wealth (soon cut in half) to tell the haters to fuck off.

#54492
1 minute ago, henrygandorf said:

they obviously didn't like the result when they used 67% so they had to go all the way to 77% to get trump to +1.

what happened to just asking 1500 people in a certain state who they're voting for? if you do enough of these, the numbers work themselves out.

 

They don't like the results when they do that, either.

#54493
Just now, SizzleChest said:

Guy who shot Bin-laden.👀

You’re not men. You’re boys. If there was no social media, you would be my concubines. https://t.co/EUwCiB4o1b

 

Yeah. We already saw he wants sex with underage boys.

 

#54494

Ah. A “Democratic consultant friend” who is totally cool with passing devastating on-the-ground canvassing news to the opposition for “top secret” publication. 
 

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#54495
8 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Lulz

 

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IMG_0299.jpeg

with all the practice they get lying to people i guess i just assumed they'd be better at it.

#54496
2 minutes ago, SizzleChest said:

Guy who shot Bin-laden.👀

You’re not men. You’re boys. If there was no social media, you would be my concubines. https://t.co/EUwCiB4o1b

 

Does he know what concubine means???

#54497
3 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

what happened to just asking 1500 people in a certain state who they're voting for? if you do enough of these, the numbers work themselves out.

It's essentially the Selzer model in Iowa.  Perfect?  No.  Needs a little massaging to correct for small samples?  Yes.  Reasonably accurate?  Yes.

  • Popular Post
#54498

Second PA update today:

D-R 412k

D-R + 70-30 indie: 497k

#54500
1 minute ago, Stilicho said:

Ah. A “Democratic consultant friend” who is totally cool with passing devastating on-the-ground canvassing news to the opposition for “top secret” publication. 
 

image.jpeg.c7d2a086054e0c5e27de62688919aec3.jpeg

The night before an election. "Hey I have some news that might devastate my party, but go ahead and spread it around the internet."

And Liberals have all given up on the Democrats and love Trump now...except liberal white women for some reason. 

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