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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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24 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Ralston confirming on MSNBC what we suspected -

Clark's mail is backed up, like me after a trip to Fogo de Chao.  Hence why the mail numbers have been very sluggish. 

Fogo was our go-to finals celebration meal several times back in the day. 20 year-old me was not about to spend $30 on lunch and not need to be rolled out of the building 2 hours later.

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  • I don't post all that often, though don't mistake that for not enjoying this board's discourse, OUsucks/Texags point and laughs, and quality original content on a frequent basis. I haven't felt t

  • Clintonaldo
    Clintonaldo

    Just had an interesting conversation with wife. Her: Hey Wednesday I need you to pick our son up Me: ok but be home by 4 because I am going to Chili’s for some internet friends. Her: You are mee

  • Old Freak Nasty
    Old Freak Nasty

    I am an American Indian, born in rural Pennsylvania while my dad attended Penn State for graduate school in the 70s.  He was accepted by all on campus, but encountered plenty of racism when outside of

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3 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Also nobody needs to do a welfare check on me between 10:45 and noon (central time) - I have a nice hour long training session with my phone in a locker and then running to the dispensary and Target to load up for tonight. 

Yo, your HR is just mean, man.

1 minute ago, The Original Greaser Bob said:

Okay, I'll admit it, I don't know the genesis of the chili's talk.

 

In the Augustinian tradition of Chili's there is no beginning to Chili's talk, but rather Chili's created the queso skillet from nothing yet has always been above existence.

All this ignorance about Chili's tells me 

1) you don't live in Austin

2) you don't live in Austin and see it constantly mentioned as THE place to visit when in Austin

3) you live in Austin and are not aware that the specific Chili's we are referring to is at 45th and Lamar

https://www.kxan.com/news/texas/why-is-the-chilis-at-45th-and-north-lamar-famous-online/

Possibly the origin story...

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1 hour ago, BamaATL said:

Early update on polling lines in metro Atlanta is that the wait times are short.  That doesn't mean light either, Dekalb County alone has over 100 polling stations.  As much as I disagree with the Republicans running our elections, I have to give credit where it's due, this has been organized and well operated.  I expect that after tonight, with quick returns, Georgia will become the model of how to run this.  If you are going to be critical, you have to be fair, and they have done a good job with this.  It's not entirely partisan, but Rafspenger has done a good job.  

Florida usually has 90% of their votes tabulated within an hour after closing.  That's the standard ever state should shoot for.

6 minutes ago, G650 said:

I should have brought some Xanax to work today

I used to work for a company that had an on-site clinic and pharmacy in our office. You could literally pick up your desk phone dial the extension and request a walk in visit. Walk down the hall get a script take 20 steps to the pharmacy and be back at your desk with a $5 bottle of Xanax within 30 minutes.

When a private equity group bought the company and sent in the Bobs it seemed like everyone was walking around popping cheap Xanax. I took that as a sign to get another job.

 

2 minutes ago, Bateshorn said:

Yo, your HR is just mean, man.

Personal training.  Not work training.

I'm going to let some guy kick my ass for an hour to blow out the anxiety.

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7 minutes ago, YChang said:

In spirit, I’m gonna pretend all the yummy Taiwanese/Chinese cuisine I’m eating is off the Chili’s menu!

 

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8 minutes ago, Js1 said:

I have a nice hour long training session with my phone in a locker

Porn and masturbation?

This sucks that the game thread isn't opening yet.  Can we at least get one for  Election day updates and shenanigans (it can be locked when polls start to close)?  Or is that just what this thread has become?

49 minutes ago, HenryJames said:

I know a restaurant that won't back you up.

Kokomo’s in Vegas, it will clear you out.

#doubletaperedshit

#bkackbucksnosocks

2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Personal training.  Not work training.

I'm going to let some guy kick my ass for an hour to blow out the anxiety.

There is a lot going on here in this post. 😆

 

 

26 minutes ago, Helobious said:

Remember when republicans thought they were in for a blowout victory in 2022? This thread reminds me of that, in reverse

Well fucking good for this thread.

Oh, lovely.  I just learned that Trump is open to banning vaccines should he win, in addition to RFK Jr's wacko "eliminate fluoridated water".  From Sunday:

Fuck me running

 

41 minutes ago, Js1 said:

I take back anything nice I said about DDHQ - their main guy is on twitter claiming Nevada is 100% going for Trump because "there's not many ballots left to be dropped off in Clark" - when THE guy in Nevada just went on TV and said there's a gigantic backlog of mail in Clark County, waiting to be processed.

Be careful, y'all - people are going to interpret (or misinterpret) data as they see fit today. 

Lot of hot takes for pre-noon turnouts, which are traditionally more GOP-leaning.  Don't fall into the Wasserman's dooming about 12pm turnouts that turned around pretty quickly by the end of the day

 

(ended up being a 10k, 3.5% loss, versus Dave dooming it would be a blowout) 

Hell, Wasserman last night was basically calling a Trump win and assuming a big polling error in his favor.

5 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Personal training.  Not work training.

I'm going to let some guy kick my ass for an hour to blow out the anxiety.

Normally I'd post the Joker "very poor choice of words" gif, but since we all know your sexual preferences, I'm going to say congrats on paying for your sex. 

13 minutes ago, The Original Greaser Bob said:

Okay, I'll admit it, I don't know the genesis of the chili's talk.

 

jus roll

3 minutes ago, Js1 said:

 

 

Isn't D always stronger on ED? Shouldn't that be the given versus a "possibility?"

1 minute ago, jimmyjazz said:

Oh, lovely.  I just learned that Trump is open to banning vaccines should he win, in addition to RFK Jr's wacko "eliminate fluoridated water".  From Sunday:

Fuck me running

 

Along with all junk food.

12 minutes ago, RDCanecutter said:

You made the right choice to invest it whether the market goes up, down, or sideways. If you'd kept that money in cash you know you'd sober up to a whopping rent check from the marina for your new fleet of jet-skis.

Nah, if GOLL is going to blow a fortune on something aquatic, it’s going to be something like one of those gorgeous mahogany speedboats you see on Lake Como. Which might actually be a worse investment than jet skis

Just now, Pescado_Rojo said:

Nah, if GOLL is going to blow a fortune on something aquatic, it’s going to be something like one of those gorgeous mahogany speedboats you see on Lake Como

Riva Aquarama. Single sexiest boat ever made.

59 minutes ago, Ghost of LL said:

So yesterday I closed on the sale of a house.  Very long story--was supposed to be Mrs.LL's dream house, but interest rates happened and the timing and shit and now it just makes more sense to renovate the current house.  So today, I have quite a lot of money sitting in cash in my brokerage account.

Here's the thing--Wall Street doesn't understand shit about politics.  Mrs.LL was in finance for a long time, and ever since we've been together, I've always been shocked by how little Wall Street understands politics.  So much of their business is dictated by what happens in Washington, but they understand fuck-all about it.  And right now, Wall Street is expecting 1) a Trump win (and the inflationary and recessionary dangers that come with that) and 2) a period of uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the election as happened in 2020.

Based on everything we know, I strongly expect neither of those things.  And I think the market is going to react very favorably to 1) No Trump, and 2) certainty (irrespective of who wins) when the race is called shortly after midnight CST.  So fuck your prediction thread--I'm putting my money where my mouth is.  When the market goes up 5% tomorrow on the strength of a definitive Kamala win, the first round at Chili's is on me.

Why Wall Street?  Just put it all on Harris to win. YOLO!!!!!1

19 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Philly is popping off today as we approach 10:30am on the east coast.

Estimated day of turnout: 262,883

Estimated total turnout so far: 441,085 out of 2020's 749,000

This seems good, but not great.

16 minutes ago, Born to Run said:

When you want to pee out your butthole; come on down to Chiles!

Chiles should sharts?

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hopium from a poll (not pole) worker

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1 minute ago, SydneyCarton said:

Isn't D always stronger on ED? Shouldn't that be the given versus a "possibility?"

 

Just now, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

I cannot decipher this.  What "is real"? The data?  Some prediction?

Explanation:

Democratic turnout increases through the day usually, so for the Democrats to already be running with GOP is a good sign potentially.

1 minute ago, SydneyCarton said:

Isn't D always stronger on ED? Shouldn't that be the given versus a "possibility?"

The big thing is whether the GOP did truly eat into their E-Day votes this time around.  And it looks quite possible, which is likely why Ralston predicts Harris wins the state. 

The dooming over AZ is something to behold - yes, the GOP has a massive edge, but this is the state of McCain Republicans.  And indies are 700k early votes.

2 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

Along with all junk food.

Ha, no.

Under Trump every restaurant will be a McDonalds.

18 minutes ago, YChang said:

In spirit, I’m gonna pretend all the yummy Taiwanese/Chinese cuisine I’m eating is off the Chili’s menu!

You eating at Coco's or something? 

1 hour ago, LTbear said:

Obviously Pronghorn would be here ASAP 

He'll be asleep until midnight. 

1 minute ago, F250 said:

Ha, no.

Under Trump every restaurant will be a McDonalds.

Well that was what RFK Jr said.

But Trump is doing none of those things.

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Alberta is the most plugged in from The Atlantic with the Trump campaign, so...

 

Good morning and happy Election Day. The closest I'll come to a prediction: Eight years ago, I wrote about the conflict between my brain and my gut. Everything I knew (state data, demographic trends, etc) pointed to a Clinton victory. Yet everything I saw (hidden support, intensity of opposition toward Clinton) suggested Trump would win. Today feels eerily similar—with the roles reversed. Everything I know (high floor, erosion within the Dem coalition, good environment) points to a Trump victory. Yet everything I see (hidden support, intensity of opposition toward Trump) suggests Harris will win. My brain has told me, since springtime, that Trump is the favorite. That didn't change when Harris took over the ticket; I told audiences throughout September and part of October that I thought he'd win. But my gut—especially over these last two weeks—keeps saying Harris, and maybe even Harris by a comfortable margin. Bottom line: a massacre in the suburbs would realign the electorate more than any shift among urban non-whites. Trump may well improve in Detroit, but if he loses Oakland County by 20 points it ain't gonna matter.

2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

The big thing is whether the GOP did truly eat into their E-Day votes this time around.  And it looks quite possible, which is likely why Ralston predicts Harris wins the state. 

The dooming over AZ is something to behold - yes, the GOP has a massive edge, but this is the state of McCain Republicans.  And indies are 700k early votes.

I haven't seen anyone dooming over AZ. But I'm dooming over fucking everything, so what the fuck is the story with AZ?

21 minutes ago, DFWTexEx said:

Good Morning America pretty much calling it for Trump.    I don't mean to be watching.  It's just in the background.

Based off what? 

Just now, SydneyCarton said:

I haven't seen anyone dooming over AZ. But I'm dooming over fucking everything, so what the fuck is the story with AZ?

i was there last weekend as went through an obviously trump town.  i saw one political yard sign:  Wu Tang is for the Children.

Just now, SydneyCarton said:

I haven't seen anyone dooming over AZ. But I'm dooming over fucking everything, so what the fuck is the story with AZ?

Then you haven't been on the 538 megathread today on reddit lol

GOP is +300k or so on Dems in the early vote, but there's 700k indie votes sitting there.  

GOP is bigly outvoting Dems in Maricopa this morning, but jesus christ, it's 9am there.  The old people have been awake for 5 hours already.

Nsiap 

 

3 minutes ago, Js1 said:

The big thing is whether the GOP did truly eat into their E-Day votes this time around.  And it looks quite possible, which is likely why Ralston predicts Harris wins the state. 

The dooming over AZ is something to behold - yes, the GOP has a massive edge, but this is the state of McCain Republicans.  And indies are 700k early votes.

The largest political constituency in Arizona is Independents. They just surpassed registered republicans last year. My brother is one of them, and he loathes trump. There are a lot of sensible mavericks in Arizona which is why McCain was so beloved. 

7 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Isn't D always stronger on ED? Shouldn't that be the given versus a "possibility?"

I believe D tends to be a bit flaccid on ED, unless there's something blue involved.

From my fave nerd:

 

 

4 minutes ago, speed817 said:

You eating at Coco's or something? 

In Taipei currently so looking forward to celebratory breakfast 

Just now, dcbc said:

I believe D tends to be a bit flaccid on ED, unless there's something blue involved.

Episode 1 Applause GIF by Friends

Just now, UrbanAchiever said:

The largest political constituency in Arizona is Independents. They just surpassed registered republicans last year. My brother is one of them, and he loathes trump. There are a lot of sensible mavericks in Arizona which is why McCain was so beloved. 

Yeah, I am not dooming over Arizona

Indies are bigger than in Nevada, and they're likely mostly young, POCs or former McCain Republicans.  She is going to get a lot of crossover support from McCain Republicans who are still registered with the GOP. 

2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Then you haven't been on the 538 megathread today on reddit lol

GOP is +300k or so on Dems in the early vote, but there's 700k indie votes sitting there.  

GOP is bigly outvoting Dems in Maricopa this morning, but jesus christ, it's 9am there.  The old people have been awake for 5 hours already.

Yeah, I don't do reddit. 

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

From my fave nerd:

 

 

He's a fellow Chelsea FC supporter. We shot the shit a few times on Twitter back in the day. Good dude.

10 minutes ago, G650 said:

Riva Aquarama. Single sexiest boat ever made.

Have you seen the YouTube vids of the one they restored with the original lambo engines? Fucking art.

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1 hour ago, BurntOrange&White said:

Current Map(Pending 5pm dump)

image.thumb.png.e08c62772a9d6d343610f0f541fbf108.png

Lfg 

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1 hour ago, elfenix said:

people ask me why i don't move to the woodlands (where i work).

grew up there and visit every so often. you can taste it in the air with the humidity 

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