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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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#34751
3 hours ago, Mother mopar said:

Florida is not an open carry state, but you no longer need a permit to conceal carry. 

So….what did he do to be arrested?

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#34753
17 minutes ago, Cairn Horn88 said:

Probably a golfer looking for his ball…got shot at and hurried off…he always totes an AR for protection….cause he can.

We know he is evil. Was carrying an AK Supreme. See the scope.

#34754
2 hours ago, Hank Kingsley said:

Trump's a hero because he gets shot at. I like Presidential candidates that aren't shot at. 

 

 

Trump’s gonna have to find an indoor golf course!

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#34755
5 hours ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

 

Trump just sent out a fundraising email to attempt to take advantage of the latest incident at his golf course.

 

 

"FEAR NOT?" So he's a fuckin wizard now?

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#34756
21 minutes ago, Radical Larry said:

I guess we just have to get over it. 

Assassination attempts are just a fact of life 

#34757
6 minutes ago, RDCanecutter said:

"FEAR NOT?" So he's a fuckin wizard now?

Did you not see the post?  Are you asking questions now? If so, you can donate $24, $47, $100, $500, or $1,000.  

#34758
28 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

Hey guys, I was with my son on a Boy Scout project this afternoon that ran late, did I miss anything?

I think the “shooter” just wanted to get Trump to autograph his AR and auction it off so he could donate the $$ to Trump.

#34760
50 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

Hey guys, I was with my son on a Boy Scout project this afternoon that ran late, did I miss anything?

Nope

#34761
24 minutes ago, tx ind said:

Assassination attempts are just a fact of life 

Joke notwithstanding, this is accurate now. 

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#34762

Now is not the time to be arresting would be assassins.  Remember laws against assassination won’t stop a criminal from committing an assassination, so really no point in having or enforcing those laws anyway.   Also guns don’t kill people so why is the citizen being arrested for nothing ??   T&Ps. 

#34764
1 hour ago, Bullneck said:

I mean, a week ago he took a $10 million bribe from the Egyptians and that didn't move the needle at all.

The act took place during the late stages of the 2016 campaign.  It came to light a week or so ago.  Thanks Barr.

#34765
27 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

Nope

I did miss Trump hating on Taylor Swift this morning..that seems to be the big news on the socials.

 

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#34766
Hey guys, I was with my son on a Boy Scout project this afternoon that ran late, did I miss anything?

Atom, it’s Frank Costanza. Mr. Steinbrenner’s here, George is dead, call me back.
#34767
9 minutes ago, Walser said:


Atom, it’s Frank Costanza. Mr. Steinbrenner’s here, George is dead, call me back.

Post of the year!

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#34768
1 hour ago, atomheartbevo said:

Hey guys, I was with my son on a Boy Scout project this afternoon that ran late, did I miss anything?

hqdefault.jpg

#34769
51 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

I did miss Trump hating on Taylor Swift this morning..that seems to be the big news on the socials.

 

Well, he only posted " I HATE TAYLOR SWIFT" so it's open to debate I suppose. 

#34770
13 minutes ago, Gil Bang said:

Well, he only posted " I HATE TAYLOR SWIFT" so it's open to debate I suppose. 

If I had heard the bit about him hating Taylor Swift, and then a few hours later that somebody was arrested at his golf course with a rifle, I wouldn't have ruled out a Swiftie at that moment in time.

#34773
6 hours ago, Chuckie Finster said:


113374691.jpg?quality=100

 

 

 

 

*regarded

#34775
24 minutes ago, tbone_ said:

Still have heard what it was this guy did to warrant being shot at

Given what we know of the Secret Service lately, there is every reason to believe that they shot at their own agents, or they tripped and fell while running with a gun.  We will have to wait to see an official report and actual accounts of the events, but I'd give even money that there is a comical element to the actual shots fired portion of this.  

Honestly, that's sad, because prior to recent events, the Secret Service has had a pretty good reputation for the last 40 years or so of being on top of their shit.  Between this and the clown show in Pennsylvania, to say that their reputation has taken a hit would be a bit of an understatement.  These are people known for rightfully taking their jobs extremely seriously, and this has to be extremely embarrassing to them all.  

#34777

So, in the week of Trumpworld, we have had:

Monday and Tuesday, the eating the dogs and eating the cats shit gets going thanks to JD Vance.

Tuesday, DJT getting his ass handed to him in a debate and Taylor Swift endorsing Kamala/Walz.

Wednesday, DJT bringing 9/11 Truther Loomer to the 9/11 memorial in NYC and getting told off by a mad New Yorker while there (picked up the CSPAN mic). The world was reminded of DJT calling into a local NYC station and talking about how his building was the tallest in Lower Manhattan after the World Trade Center fell. Further, the world was also reminded how he claimed to help, etc.. but he never did. Basically, reminded that DJT is a shitty person.

Thursday, the rumors start that Loomer is in a relationship with DJT.

Weekend, we have JD Vance admitting he made all the shit in Springfield, OH up admid increasing threats of violence and refuses to apologize for it. Donald Trump Jr. is caught out with someone that isn't bass mouth Gillfoyle (once a cheater, always a cheater) in Floriday, DJT says he hates Taylor Swift, and then there is an alleged assassination attempt.

 

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#34778
Just now, PenelopeWitherspoon said:

So, in the week of Trumpworld, we have had:

Monday and Tuesday, the eating the dogs and eating the cats shit gets going thanks to JD Vance.

Tuesday, DJT getting his ass handed to him in a debate and Taylor Swift endorsing Kamala/Walz.

Wednesday, DJT bringing 9/11 Truther Loomer to the 9/11 memorial in NYC and getting told off by a mad New Yorker while there (picked up the CSPAN mic). The world was reminded of DJT calling into a local NYC station and talking about how his building was the tallest in Lower Manhattan after the World Trade Center fell. Further, the world was also reminded how he claimed to help, etc.. but he never did. Basically, reminded that DJT is a shitty person.

Thursday, the rumors start that Loomer is in a relationship with DJT.

Weekend, we have JD Vance admitting he made all the shit in Springfield, OH up admid increasing threats of violence and refuses to apologize for it. Donald Trump Jr. is caught out with someone that isn't bass mouth Gillfoyle (once a cheater, always a cheater) in Floriday, DJT says he hates Taylor Swift, and then there is an alleged assassination attempt.

 

The above is happening in Trumpworld.  Meanwhile, Harris/Walz are speaking to packed houses in swing states (hoping they come to some non swing states as well as I think the momentum they have will help down ballot), picking up endorsements left and right (Taylor Swift, Stevie Nicks, Mel Brooks, Dick Cheney, Liz Cheney, 17 former Reagan officials (including Pete Souza), NALC,Travis Kelce, Martha Stewart, Linda Ronstadt, 230 former staffers of Bush 43 and 41 and McCain and Romney, George Clooney, Oprah, Mark Hamill, Jeff Bridges, the Obamas, the Clintons, Bill Nye, a shitload of other celebrities, and of course Joe Biden), and people are registering to vote and volunteering in record numbers. 

One campaign is a message of moving forward, and making sure this country works for everyone.  The other is a bunch of lies and complaints about how awful this country is. I do not understand how anyone can vote for anyone other than Harris at this point.

#34779
10 hours ago, Hawndoh said:

He was probably waiting for Trump to reach a particular green or something but was discovered first.

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#34780

If Trump wasn't such a cheating son of a bitch at golf, the woods would have been the perfect place to wait. 

Edited by Thrawn

#34782
2 hours ago, PenelopeWitherspoon said:

So, in the week of Trumpworld, we have had:

Monday and Tuesday, the eating the dogs and eating the cats shit gets going thanks to JD Vance.

Tuesday, DJT getting his ass handed to him in a debate and Taylor Swift endorsing Kamala/Walz.

Wednesday, DJT bringing 9/11 Truther Loomer to the 9/11 memorial in NYC and getting told off by a mad New Yorker while there (picked up the CSPAN mic). The world was reminded of DJT calling into a local NYC station and talking about how his building was the tallest in Lower Manhattan after the World Trade Center fell. Further, the world was also reminded how he claimed to help, etc.. but he never did. Basically, reminded that DJT is a shitty person.

Thursday, the rumors start that Loomer is in a relationship with DJT.

Weekend, we have JD Vance admitting he made all the shit in Springfield, OH up admid increasing threats of violence and refuses to apologize for it. Donald Trump Jr. is caught out with someone that isn't bass mouth Gillfoyle (once a cheater, always a cheater) in Floriday, DJT says he hates Taylor Swift, and then there is an alleged assassination attempt.

I heard that Don Jr. and Guilfoyle had already split up. Was that not the case?

#34783

This number just keeps going up. Now almost a 1 in 4 chance that Harris wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College.https://t.co/vsGVG189Sa

Alternate Translation: Kamala wins the vast majority of scenarios where she wins the popular vote, which means my model showing Trump as the favorite contains a significant number of Trump winning the popular vote scenarios. Seems likely.
#34785

Tomorrow is Harris' turn with the National Association of Black Journalists.  Another off-the-cuff interview that's not with our for-profit, MAGA-sympathizing media

MEDIA ADVISORY

What: The National Association of Black Journalists (NABJ) will host an in-person conversation with Vice President Kamala Harris. This event will feature an interview between Vice President Harris and NABJ member journalists. It will take place in Philadelphia—a city deeply tied to NABJ’s legacy.

When: Tuesday, September 17, 2024, 2:30 p.m. EDT

Where: WHYY, Downtown Philadelphia

Who: The event will be attended by NABJ professional and student members and 100 journalism and communications students from local HBCUs will be invited. It is not a campaign event and is not open to the public.

Details:

•PolitiFact will provide real-time fact-checking of the conversation via the #NABJFactCheck social media hashtag and through a live feed on the NABJ website.

•The event will be livestreamed for those unable to attend in person on WHYY’s platforms and NABJ’s YouTube and Facebook pages.

•Registration will not be available onsite. This will be an intimate setting. Seating is limited. Members and students interested in attending must RSVP by September 16 to attend. Details regarding in-person access will be provided via NABJ’s member email system and shared with local universities.

#34786
1 hour ago, Chuckie Finster said:

 

This number just keeps going up. Now almost a 1 in 4 chance that Harris wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College.https://t.co/vsGVG189Sa


Alternate Translation: Kamala wins the vast majority of scenarios where she wins the popular vote, which means my model showing Trump as the favorite contains a significant number of Trump winning the popular vote scenarios. Seems likely.

Not to state the obvious, but Trump with a 37% chance of winning the popular vote is insane. Seriously, if your model spits that out, rethink everything you're doing. 

#34787
1 minute ago, Red Five said:

Not to state the obvious, but Trump with a 37% chance of winning the popular vote is insane. Seriously, if your model spits that out, rethink everything you're doing. 

Yeah, that’s pretty fucking stupid. A Republican has won the NPV just once since 1988 (Bush in 2004). Trump, becoming less popular by the day, is suddenly going to have a 40% chance to win the popular vote?

Sure Jan GIF

#34788

538 - Harris 60/40

Also love how something called Atlas released a poll showing Trump up nationally 3-4 and Silver says it has a huge weight on his model. Of course it does. A poll could come out today showing Harris up 7 or 8 and he’d ensure it has little impact. 

#34789
5 minutes ago, Js1 said:

538 - Harris 60/40

Also love how something called Atlas released a poll showing Trump up nationally 3-4 and Silver says it has a huge weight on his model. Of course it does. A poll could come out today showing Harris up 7 or 8 and he’d ensure it has little impact. 

Silver is getting paid by Thiel for all this, but once Harris wins nobody will ever have to care about him again.

#34790
30 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

Silver is getting paid by Thiel for all this, but once Harris wins nobody will ever have to care about him again.

Oh how I wish that last part were true. 

Edited by Hugo Stiglitz

#34791
6 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

Oh how I wish that last part were true. 

yeah, man.  The real money in politics these days is bald faced huckster-ism, unfortunately.

happy season 4 GIF

#34792
41 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Yeah, that’s pretty fucking stupid. A Republican has won the NPV just once since 1988 (Bush in 2004). Trump, becoming less popular by the day, is suddenly going to have a 40% chance to win the popular vote?

Sure Jan GIF

I'm not sure how the numbers would work out, but wouldn't any statistical model give Trump a significant chance at PV victory?  The raw numbers for the 2020 election was 51.8 to 46.8 percent.  Texas was almost a flip of that result, 52.06 to 46.48 percent.  I'd believe the soundness of a model that formulated Harris had a 40% chance of winning Texas, even if I also know that there's no chance in hell of it happening.  Same for the general.  It's not like the polls or actual results are indicating a 20 point pummeling (they should, but alas).

#34793
"FEAR NOT?" So he's a fuckin wizard now?

Well, a grand wizard, but it’s just an honorary title.
#34795
7 minutes ago, BurntOrange&White said:

I've updated my model. An upset happens in Florida.

 

image.png.b1891e5f0c4c758b8de298edddeab234.png

Ohio?

#34797
3 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

Ohio?

Yeah….

Texas is more likely than Ohio. The Haitian thing isn’t going to move the needle within the state with those brain dead yokels 

#34798
Post-debate NEVADA poll by Trafalgar 🟦 Harris: 45.3% (+1.8)🟥 Trump: 43.5%🟪 Other: 7.8%——TrendsAug. 8 - 🔴 Trump +3.4 (with RFK Jr)Sep. 13 - 🔵 Harris +1.8——Senate🟦 Rosen (inc): 48.2% (+7.8)🟥 Brown: 40.4% 🟪 Other: 7.2%——#279 (0.7/3.0) | 9/11-13 | 1,079 LV |…

5 point shift left 

 

Post-debate ARIZONA poll by Trafalgar 🟥 Trump: 47.1% (+1.6)🟦 Harris: 45.5%🟪 Other: 2.9%——TrendsAug. 8 - 🔴 Trump +1.2 (with RFK Jr)Sep. 13 - 🔴 Trump +1.6——AZ Senate🟦 Gallego: 47.2% (+4.2)🟥 Lake: 43.0% 🟪 Other: 4.4%——#279 (0.7/3.0) | 9/11-12 | 1,088 LV |…


0.4 shift right 

#34799
1 minute ago, Js1 said:
Post-debate NEVADA poll by Trafalgar 🟦 Harris: 45.3% (+1.8)🟥 Trump: 43.5%🟪 Other: 7.8%——TrendsAug. 8 - 🔴 Trump +3.4 (with RFK Jr)Sep. 13 - 🔵 Harris +1.8——Senate🟦 Rosen (inc): 48.2% (+7.8)🟥 Brown: 40.4% 🟪 Other: 7.2%——#279 (0.7/3.0) | 9/11-13 | 1,079 LV |…

5 point shift left 

 

Post-debate ARIZONA poll by Trafalgar 🟥 Trump: 47.1% (+1.6)🟦 Harris: 45.5%🟪 Other: 2.9%——TrendsAug. 8 - 🔴 Trump +1.2 (with RFK Jr)Sep. 13 - 🔴 Trump +1.6——AZ Senate🟦 Gallego: 47.2% (+4.2)🟥 Lake: 43.0% 🟪 Other: 4.4%——#279 (0.7/3.0) | 9/11-12 | 1,088 LV |…


0.4 shift right 

There's fuckery afoot in Arizona. Maybe there's truth to the rumor about Charlie Kirk bussing "volunteers" into AZ who registered to vote.

#34800
13 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

There's fuckery afoot in Arizona. Maybe there's truth to the rumor about Charlie Kirk bussing "volunteers" into AZ who registered to vote.

No

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