March 29, 20241 yr I’ve been out of the running since last Friday basically, but according to the TC app “forecast”, it gives Dendox by far the best chance the win the group at 34%. But maybe that’s not a paid entry. Top chance for a listed-as-paid entry is Durdy at 3.7%. But I’m assuming there are some that didn’t update their bracket name with the $30. Edited March 29, 20241 yr by LonghornSean
March 30, 20241 yr So I now have a 0% chance of winning - but that's because if every game goes right for me then Doomlet wins. Now I have to root for UConn to make the FF and then lose to ALA/Clem... crazier shit has happened I guess.
March 30, 20241 yr 25 minutes ago, kingkoopa6 said: Woah. What are my odds ? never seen a low number for me before. I’m usually ass Nevermind. I’m ass again.
March 30, 20241 yr I've has a severe setback with NC State FATWA against my bracket, and UH bitch-itude, but I've still got a 3% chance of winning. I feel like my ship is about to come in. Seriously, this is going to turn things around.
March 30, 20241 yr 10 hours ago, Welshy said: I've has a severe setback with NC State FATWA against my bracket, and UH bitch-itude, but I've still got a 3% chance of winning. I feel like my ship is about to come in. Seriously, this is going to turn things around. Our picks are the same going forward , but I trail you by 10 pts. If it breaks our way, you’ll finish first and I’ll finish second.
March 31, 20241 yr Hey @BigOrange1, do we know what the payouts are going to be? I'm gonna go ahead and start spending my winnings now since we know Purdue will beat UConn in the final.
March 31, 20241 yr Tight: Group Forecast Welshy's Picks 1 3RANK 760PTS 1400MAX 40.2%TO WIN Hide My Path To Win Best Path to Win These outcomes are key for my bracket to win the group. PUR to reach the National Championship Group Standings Projection The overall likelihood of my finishing position within the group. 40.2% TO WIN 47.9% TOP 3 49.9% TOP 5 HornOnTheBayou 12RANK 730PTS 1370MAX 29.7%TO WIN Hide Best Path To Win Best Path to Win These outcomes are key for this bracket to win the group. PUR to win it all CONN to reach the National Championship Group Standings Projection The overall likelihood of this bracket's finishing position within the group. 29.7% TO WIN 29.7% TOP 3 50.1% TOP 5 TxArch's Picks 1 5RANK 750PTS 1230MAX 20.4%TO WIN Hide Best Path To Win Best Path to Win These outcomes are key for this bracket to win the group. PUR to win it all ALA to reach the National Championship Group Standings Projection The overall likelihood of this bracket's finishing position within the group. 20.4% TO WIN 31.2% TOP 3 61.7% TOP 5 knoxtnhorn$'s Picks 1 2RANK 770PTS 1250MAX 5.7%TO WIN Hide Best Path To Win Best Path to Win These outcomes are key for this bracket to win the group. CONN to win it all NCSU to reach the National Championship Group Standings Projection The overall likelihood of this bracket's finishing position within the group. 5.7% TO WIN 9.7% TOP 3 9.7% TOP 5
April 1, 20241 yr Author 2 hours ago, HornOnTheBayou said: Hey @BigOrange1, do we know what the payouts are going to be? I'm gonna go ahead and start spending my winnings now since we know Purdue will beat UConn in the final. whoops - thought i posted this the other day but i guess i didn't. i show 57 paid entries. payouts to the top 3 finishers should be: 1st - $855 2nd - $513 3rd - $342
April 1, 20241 yr Oh good. That should cover my Zach Eddy jersey (with tailoring, of course). I'm going to cut my hair and do a Gene Keady comb-over for good luck on Saturday.
April 1, 20241 yr If Purdue beats Bama for the ship do i have a shot at 3rd? I'm too lazy to figure it all out.
April 1, 20241 yr 3 minutes ago, Welshy said: 20% chance to win third. So you've got that going for you. Shit I'll take that. How did you figure that out?
April 1, 20241 yr If Purdue wins, HotB wins, TexArch is 2, you're three, but only if Uconn loses in final 4. If UConn wins and Purdue wins, You're out of the mix.
April 1, 20241 yr 7 minutes ago, NorthLoop said: Shit I'll take that. How did you figure that out? I'm a Polymath. Also, https://fantasy.espn.com/games/tournament-challenge-bracket-2024/group?id=4ef44d69-7c75-4eb8-9708-5f7b3faeb74f
April 1, 20241 yr You can dive into a lot of the analytics. Also, I'm drunk and don't feel like going to bed.
April 1, 20241 yr 5 minutes ago, Welshy said: If Purdue wins, HotB wins, TexArch is 2, you're three, but only if Uconn loses in final 4. If UConn wins and Purdue wins, You're out of the mix. Ok that's how I had it figured as well. Roll Tide then!
April 1, 20241 yr 15 hours ago, BigOrange1 said: whoops - thought i posted this the other day but i guess i didn't. i show 57 paid entries. payouts to the top 3 finishers should be: 1st - $855 2nd - $513 3rd - $342 Is there any payout for dead last? Like getting their money back? Somehow, with my second bracket, I did the exact opposite of winning.
April 1, 20241 yr Author 1 hour ago, closetojumping said: Is there any payout for dead last? Like getting their money back? Somehow, with my second bracket, I did the exact opposite of winning. that's not a bad idea since people can't update their picks once the contest begins. i think we should implement a refund for the last place finisher next year.
April 1, 20241 yr 1 hour ago, BigOrange1 said: that's not a bad idea since people can't update their picks once the contest begins. i think we should implement a refund for the last place finisher next year. I like it. This year's 2025 loser of "The closetojumping Honorary Last Place Finish Award" is again ... closetojumping.
April 2, 20241 yr Yep I’m down. So next year when my pick can’t make it past the first weekend again, not all hope is lost
April 3, 20241 yr 8 hours ago, kingkoopa6 said: Still in the running for top 3 💪🏼 You’re going to finish third. Welshy’s Picks 1 will win it and I’ll finish second.
April 3, 20241 yr Got skullfucked all tournament, but my NC pick was UConn vs Purdue, with UConn winning it all. So I at least nailed those parts
April 7, 20241 yr So Uconn wins: 1. Welshy's Pics 1 2. Harrison Stafford 3. King Koopa If Purdue wins: 1. HornontheBayou 2. Welshy's Pics 2 3. Carl Spackler
April 8, 20241 yr On 4/6/2024 at 10:15 PM, Welshy said: So Uconn wins: 1. Welshy's Pics 1 2. Harrison Stafford 3. King Koopa If Purdue wins: 1. HornontheBayou 2. Welshy's Pics 2 3. Carl Spackler lol @ my dad. he’s in the top 5, he nailed the title game participants, and even if he picks the winner he’s already eliminated from cashing out. that’s march madness.
April 8, 20241 yr Author just want to give all of the soon to be winners a heads up that i have started the process of transfering all of the entry fees over from the various places they were sent. i will be in new orleans for work today - thursday (heading to the airport in a matter of minutes) so i am planning on sending payouts on friday of this week.
April 8, 20241 yr Well Alabama fucked me, but I still did pretty good considering I watched practically zero cbb this year. Good luck to those of yall still in it!
April 8, 20241 yr 3 hours ago, BigOrange1 said: just want to give all of the soon to be winners a heads up that i have started the process of transfering all of the entry fees over from the various places they were sent. i will be in new orleans for work today - thursday (heading to the airport in a matter of minutes) so i am planning on sending payouts on friday of this week. In all seriousness, much appreciated. No rush on my end.
April 9, 20241 yr So I watch almost no CBB, I submitted only one bracket, and I still finished in 10th place out of 78. Who’s the “village idiot” again?
April 9, 20241 yr On 4/2/2024 at 9:21 PM, Harrison Stafford said: You’re going to finish third. Welshy’s Picks 1 will win it and I’ll finish second. @BigOrange1 Ka-Ching. $513 big ones. No rush on my end also re: the dinero. Make it easy on yourself.
April 9, 20241 yr 1 hour ago, Helobious said: So I watch almost no CBB, I submitted only one bracket, and I still finished in 10th place out of 78. Who’s the “village idiot” again? You?
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