March 29, 20241 yr The 8 ties with a cumulative 0.15% chance of happening are all HOTB and Wulaw tying for the win.
March 29, 20241 yr Not that it wasn't obvious but my hopes of winning are pretty much dependent on Smart choking tonight. One more time, Shaka, you can do it.
March 30, 20241 yr I ❤️ you, Shaka. I think that may bump me up to 50% or so. I'll check based on results so far in just a bit.
March 30, 20241 yr Poster, Current Score, EV Wulaw Horn, 80, 107.81 Huckleberry, 97, 107.30 BigOrange1, 57, 65.05 Prepuce of Doom, 39, 58.10 HornOnTheBayou, 42, 53.27 joeycovers, 30, 49.32 srr50, 38, 38.00 shadow_operative, 0, 0.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 45.23% (270) Wulaw Horn - 39.11% (182) Prepuce of Doom - 10.41% (32) HornOnTheBayou - 3.65% (20) BigOrange1 - 1.61% (8) Tie - 0.00% (0) joeycovers - 0.00% (0) shadow_operative - 0.00% (0) srr50 - 0.00% (0) The above include a Purdue win Edited March 30, 20241 yr by Huckleberry
March 30, 20241 yr Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 97, 111.59 Wulaw Horn, 80, 108.23 HornOnTheBayou, 54, 75.52 Prepuce of Doom, 39, 58.36 BigOrange1, 57, 57.00 joeycovers, 36, 49.08 srr50, 38, 38.00 shadow_operative, 0, 0.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 44.88% (66) Wulaw Horn - 33.98% (44) HornOnTheBayou - 10.74% (10) Prepuce of Doom - 10.41% (8) BigOrange1 - 0.00% (0) Tie - 0.00% (0) joeycovers - 0.00% (0) shadow_operative - 0.00% (0) srr50 - 0.00% (0) BigOrange1 eliminated
March 30, 20241 yr Author 2 hours ago, Huckleberry said: Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 97, 111.59 Wulaw Horn, 80, 108.23 HornOnTheBayou, 54, 75.52 Prepuce of Doom, 39, 58.36 BigOrange1, 57, 57.00 joeycovers, 36, 49.08 srr50, 38, 38.00 shadow_operative, 0, 0.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 44.88% (66) Wulaw Horn - 33.98% (44) HornOnTheBayou - 10.74% (10) Prepuce of Doom - 10.41% (8) BigOrange1 - 0.00% (0) Tie - 0.00% (0) joeycovers - 0.00% (0) shadow_operative - 0.00% (0) srr50 - 0.00% (0) BigOrange1 eliminated So basically if UConn wins it all while Clemson and NCState both lose you ace me out by 2 fucking points. Brutal. Edited March 30, 20241 yr by Wulaw Horn
March 31, 20241 yr After UConn win Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 97, 111.54 Wulaw Horn, 84, 102.29 HornOnTheBayou, 54, 75.30 Prepuce of Doom, 39, 57.59 BigOrange1, 57, 57.00 joeycovers, 36, 48.91 srr50, 38, 38.00 shadow_operative, 0, 0.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 54.15% (38) Wulaw Horn - 24.91% (16) HornOnTheBayou - 11.40% (6) Prepuce of Doom - 9.54% (4) BigOrange1 - 0.00% (0) Tie - 0.00% (0) joeycovers - 0.00% (0) shadow_operative - 0.00% (0) srr50 - 0.00% (0)
March 31, 20241 yr Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 97, 111.52 Wulaw Horn, 84, 88.84 HornOnTheBayou, 54, 75.22 Prepuce of Doom, 55, 68.39 BigOrange1, 57, 57.00 joeycovers, 36, 48.85 srr50, 38, 38.00 shadow_operative, 0, 0.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 71.88% (24) HornOnTheBayou - 13.04% (4) Prepuce of Doom - 15.08% (4) Wulaw Horn - 0.00% (0) BigOrange1 - 0.00% (0) joeycovers - 0.00% (0) shadow_operative - 0.00% (0) srr50 - 0.00% (0) Tie - 0.00% (0)
March 31, 20241 yr Basically if Duke or Alabama win it all then HOTB or PoD, respectively, win it except for the scenario where Alabama wins it all after NC State beats Duke then I still win.
March 31, 20241 yr Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 97, 110.89 Wulaw Horn, 84, 88.75 HornOnTheBayou, 54, 74.38 Prepuce of Doom, 55, 68.16 BigOrange1, 57, 57.00 joeycovers, 40, 45.60 srr50, 38, 38.00 shadow_operative, 0, 0.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 73.67% (12) Prepuce of Doom - 14.47% (2) HornOnTheBayou - 11.86% (2) Wulaw Horn - 0.00% (0) BigOrange1 - 0.00% (0) joeycovers - 0.00% (0) shadow_operative - 0.00% (0) srr50 - 0.00% (0) Tie - 0.00% (0) Edited March 31, 20241 yr by Huckleberry
March 31, 20241 yr 2 hours ago, Huckleberry said: Basically if Duke or Alabama win it all then HOTB or PoD, respectively, win it except for the scenario where Alabama wins it all after NC State beats Duke then I still win. I don't care for how you've made me root for dook.
March 31, 20241 yr Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 141, 152.09 Wulaw Horn, 84, 88.77 Prepuce of Doom, 55, 68.22 BigOrange1, 57, 57.00 HornOnTheBayou, 54, 54.00 joeycovers, 40, 46.92 srr50, 38, 38.00 shadow_operative, 0, 0.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 100.00% (8) Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0) HornOnTheBayou - 0.00% (0) Wulaw Horn - 0.00% (0) BigOrange1 - 0.00% (0) joeycovers - 0.00% (0) shadow_operative - 0.00% (0) srr50 - 0.00% (0) Tie - 0.00% (0) Will PM venmo info Edited March 31, 20241 yr by Huckleberry
April 1, 20241 yr Author Closest I’ve even come to winning. One fucking Shaka win and I’d have taken it down. alas man (dumb one) beaten by machine again. where was NC State ranked in your computer @Huckleberry?
April 1, 20241 yr 26th best pick according to the pre-tournament EVs. The top 3 all lost their first round games (Auburn, BYU, New Mexico). Edited April 1, 20241 yr by Huckleberry
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