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  • MissingInAction
    MissingInAction

    Anyone in denial of climate change at this point is a certified window licker.

  • HornOnTheBayou
    HornOnTheBayou

    Completely disagree. As you said, the evidence points in only one direction. The planet is getting warmer and both qualitative and quantitative data prove it. Now if you want to talk about the role of

  • Im_smarter_then_you
    Im_smarter_then_you

    Are we still negging people who post oos weather?

Posted Images

had a hard time choosing which of my scarves to wear today. 

2 hours ago, gsoda3 said:

had a hard time choosing which of my scarves to wear today. 

Waiting GIF

12 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

Waiting GIF

couldn't decide so i got back in bed.

8 hours ago, gsoda3 said:

had a hard time choosing which of my scarves to wear today. 

 

So damn nice out there when I took the dogs for a long walk this morning. Spending today in an office feels like a sin. 

On 10/16/2024 at 10:37 AM, Brisketexan said:

lenny-3-av-er-230925_1695664260059_hpEmb

are you gonna go his way?  

3 hours ago, Storm the Field said:

So damn nice out there when I took the dogs for a long walk this morning. Spending today in an office feels like a sin. 

No shit. I work out under a tree on my picnic table all the time. Days like this are a blessing to do that.

Now imagine you are an 8 year old kid staring out the window at school.

1 minute ago, InkaUtexas said:

No shit. I work out under a tree on my picnic table all the time. Days like this are a blessing to do that.

Now imagine you are an 8 year old kid staring out the window at school.

Wait you work out on a picnic table?

Doing planks, I assume.

On 10/16/2024 at 10:37 AM, Brisketexan said:

lenny-3-av-er-230925_1695664260059_hpEmb

Was he trying to justify his blanket purchase to the J. Peterman accounting department?

32 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

No shit. I work out under a tree on my picnic table all the time.

Bear at a picnic table

3 hours ago, gofuckyourself said:

Wait you work out on a picnic table?

Doing planks, I assume.

Fuck working at a picnic table…..

I am retired so I just drank beer in the garage.

6 hours ago, jimmyjazz said:

Bear at a picnic table

Just add a laptop and me on a boring ass teams meeting with some ex-colonel who thinks he invented the Transportable Humanoid System (a tent) then yep, thats me.

it's Groundhog Day the next 7 days. Each day basically the exact same as the one before. Sunny, high around 90, low around 65. No chance of rain. 

Long-term models are starting to show a pattern change starting middle of next week with first real rain chances in a long while for 10/30 and 10/31. Too far out to have any confidence at this point.

Edited by Storm the Field

2 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

it's Groundhog Day the next 7 days. Each day basically the exact same as the one before. Sunny, high around 90, low around 65. No chance of rain. 

Long-term models are starting to show a pattern change starting middle of next week with first real rain chances in a long while starting next Wednesday. Too far out to have any confidence at this point.

giphy.gif?cid=6c09b9527p8mo6nzdrf9jq2ith

It was 52 at our house yesterday morning - felt glorious.  Not as much today but still... at least the mornings are a bit of a relief.

I'm sure it will be cold and rainy on Halloween.

Well, it’s not blastfurnace mode, so I’ll take it.

After however many dozens of days without measurable precipitation it would rain on Halloween 

9 hours ago, gsoda3 said:

After however many dozens of days without measurable precipitation it would rain on Halloween 

alanis morrisette GIF

9 hours ago, gsoda3 said:

After however many dozens of days without measurable precipitation it would rain on Halloween 

so moms in wet Halloween costumes. And rain.

A lot muggier out this morning than past 2 days. Humidity has returned in basically the only pocket of the country in which most Surly posters live. Check out this national dewpoint map. 

DP.jpg.215a97eca726a8b45fe80cf2824e1ed2.jpg

Will be high 80's and elevated humidity until some drier air moves in Saturday. 

Temps ~10 degrees above average and abnormally humid to start next week and then 50/50 rain chances Wednesday-Saturday, though it will be a total crapshoot of where rain falls and how much.  Euro model has Houston area getting just 0.5" total, while Austin gets 1.5" and College Station gets 3". 

 

Edited by Storm the Field

30% chance of rain next Wednesday and 50% next Thursday for Houston area. If those don't pan out, we'll have made it the entire month of October without a single drop of measurable precipitation. Daily highs and lows for the month are going to end up averaging 8+ degrees higher than normal.

Hays county Stage 3 drought next week. Then it will rain, they remove it, everyone waters their pavement, don't rinse and repeat.

47 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

Who's ready for a Late October weekend of 90 degrees?

Me, going to the river if it is still flowing.

On 10/22/2024 at 11:29 AM, Storm the Field said:

it's Groundhog Day the next 7 days. Each day basically the exact same as the one before. Sunny, high around 90, low around 65. No chance of rain. 

Long-term models are starting to show a pattern change starting middle of next week with first real rain chances in a long while for 10/30 and 10/31. Too far out to have any confidence at this point.

It seems like there's a Halloween deluge every other year or so.

30 minutes ago, Samson's Wig said:

It seems like there's a Halloween deluge every other year or so.

Happy You Good GIF

Felt like early September when I went out for lunch earlier. Going to either tie or come up just a degree short of setting a new record high today. 90/70 when the average for October 25th is 80/58. 

Looks pretty assured that this will end up as the 2nd or 3rd warmest and all-time driest October of the past 125 years. 

Next cool front doesn't look like it'll arrive until ~11/6, and all that will do is bring us closer to average temps for first week of November (75/55).

Edited by Storm the Field

Feels like a swamp this morning. Are we allowed to bitch about that? Because it's some bullshit.

Total crapshoot right now as to whether we get any rain on Halloween and how much through next weekend. Some sites/local news stations have it 30% or less while others are anywhere from 50-80% Thursday through Sunday.

Current 7 day precipitation forecast:

p168i.gif?1729958344

1 hour ago, Okie State said:

Feels like a swamp this morning. Are we allowed to bitch about that? Because it's some bullshit.

Yes, it's perfectly acceptable to bitch about. It sucks out there, and it's just not supposed to feel like this in late October. It's like we traveled back in time by 6 weeks.

57 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

Total crapshoot right now as to whether we get any rain on Halloween and how much through next weekend. Some sites/local news stations have it 30% or less while others are anywhere from 50-80% Thursday through Sunday.

Current 7 day precipitation forecast:

p168i.gif?1729958344

I can save you time wondering about it:

We'll get nothing.

 

20 hours ago, miguelito said:

I can save you time wondering about it:

We'll get nothing.

 

 

IMG_4370.jpeg

One more record-tying hot day without a cloud in the sky today then looks like we're in for a bit of a shift next week with clouds returning and atmosphere getting a little more disturbed. Still gonna be abnormally warm through the first week of November, but finally have our first real chances in ages starting Wednesday.

Next cool front still at least 10 days out.

I sweat my ass off today moving dirt around. I haven't sweat that much since last weekend. 

11 hours ago, Storm the Field said:

One more record-tying hot day without a cloud in the sky today then looks like we're in for a bit of a shift next week with clouds returning and atmosphere getting a little more disturbed. Still gonna be abnormally warm through the first week of November, but finally have our first real chances in ages starting Wednesday.

Next cool front still at least 10 days out.

Feel like we've said some version of that 4 times the past 6 weeks 

8 hours ago, gsoda3 said:

Feel like we've said some version of that 4 times the past 6 weeks 

Every forecast of the arrival time of an actual cold front since Sept 1....probably through May of 2025 or so.....

249630

From SCW today:

Quote

 

Let’s start with daily high temperatures: the average so far this month is 90.2 degrees, which is on pace to smash the previous record of 86.5 degrees set in 2016. So our days, at least during the 135 years of records we can refer to, have never been hotter. However, our average low temperature this month has been 62.5 degrees. This ranks 42nd all time. That is very far from abnormal. 

What we can derive from this data is that Houston, generally, has had a drier flow this month with a lot of easterly breezes. This has kept dewpoints down bit. Therefore we have had hot and sunny days, with cooler clear nights. Based on average temperature, this month will still end up among the five warmest Octobers of all time—the daytime highs have been that extreme—but comparatively speaking our nights have been relatively mild.

 

 

Official rainfall projection for next 5 days. Higher odds for Eastern portions of the state, but we'll see.

p120i.gif?1730127941

Good news for those of you taking kids out trick-or-treating is that it looks much more likely to rain Thursday morning than Thursday evening. 

Fingers crossed.

9 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

Good news for those of you taking kids out trick-or-treating is that it looks much more likely to rain Thursday morning than Thursday evening. 

How is that good news?

It's going to be 90 until I die.

Which I'm hoping is soon. 

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