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  • I was supposed to fly to Tampa today for the week but decided to say fuck that and went to our Vegas office. Got a bitch ass email from my director in Denver who is a trumper telling me I didn’t get a

Posted Images

#352
4 minutes ago, Neonmoon said:

What about this little guy?

image.png.8405b17b8b4bbe20514e38756243c511.png

Don’t shame. It’s about how he uses it, not the size 

#353
29 minutes ago, Neonmoon said:

What about this little guy?

image.png.8405b17b8b4bbe20514e38756243c511.png

It only has a 20% chance of development over the next 7 days.

#355
3 hours ago, Zonahorn said:

Main Development Region. It is the tropical part of the Atlantic where most tropical storms form. 

thank you

#357
13 minutes ago, Orange&White said:

Now TD2

NEW: Tropical Depression #2 has formed in the central Atlantic, and it is predicted to be a category 2 hurricane as it impacts the Lesser Antilles on Monday. If this verifies, it will be unprecedented to see a hurricane this strong impacting the islands so early in the season. If you have a vacation planned to the Caribbean next week, please pay close attention to the forecast in the days ahead.

There is no way to tell right now with any certainty if this will ever impact the Gulf of Mexico, much less Texas, but IF it were to impact Texas, it would likely be sometime in the July 7th - July 9th window.

As best as I can tell, the stronger the storm is over the central Caribbean, the more likely it is to head northwest for the Gulf of Mexico. A weaker storm will head westward toward Central America. A huge wildcard is any direct interaction it may have with Caribbean islands. So I'm not losing any sleep over it right now, but I am keeping an eye on it for you.

We'll keep you posted. abc13.com/tropicalupdate
 

 

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#358

I'm no expert, but I can count lines. Assuming each noodle has the same odds as any other, the likelihood it hits Texas seems to be pretty low. 

#360
5 minutes ago, SquishMitten said:

I'm no expert, but I can count lines. Assuming each noodle has the same odds as any other, the likelihood it hits Texas seems to be pretty low. 

Way too early to know. The amount of things each of those lines takes into account is insane - these runs take hours to do on some of the most powerful servers we have. And the slightest wiggle in any of those inputs that wasn't predicted correctly can wildly change the final output. 

Edited by dieucla98

#362
4 minutes ago, dieucla98 said:

Way too early to know. The amount of things each of those lines takes into account is insane - these runs take hours to do on some of the most powerful servers we have. And the slightest wiggle in any of those inputs that wasn't predicted correctly can wildly change the final output. 

something something, your mom's cone of uncertainty.

#363
5 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

something something, your mom's cone of uncertainty.

uncertainty?

#364
19 minutes ago, dieucla98 said:

From NHC, pretty damn aggressive for them:

image.png.876d758e06fca36cc2b65a1ec8561d28.png

Yes it is.

#366

Have some friends vacationing in SXM/Anguilla/St. Barts. Should they be worried?

  • Popular Post
#367
Have some friends vacationing in SXM/Anguilla/St. Barts. Should they be worried?

Not if they like hurricanes.
#369
3 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

Puerto Rico: the quicker picker-upper.

Obligatory

xXwMhd.gif.428b237550e4354a0f748b5fe516f94b.gif

  • Author
#370
This map is unusually busy for June. The next three names are #BERYL, #CHRIS, and #DEBBY.#TropicalUpdate 🌀🍊🍊

 

#373
19 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

Debbie Does Destin?

Debbie Does Tropical Depression.

#375
2 hours ago, Handcruser said:


Not if they like hurricanes.

So funny, never heard that one before

#376

This is going to be a monster 

Breaking: Tropical Storm Beryl has formed in the Atlantic and is expected to strengthen into a hurricane in the coming days.

#377

I land in STT at 1:04 on Tuesday so, I’m rooting for a fast mover.

Just go on and do your thing #2.  Don’t dither about.

#378
6 hours ago, MissingInAction said:

I feel like Puerto Rico was created to absorb hurricanes.

When I went to Punta Cana we asked them about hurricanes. They were like "they never hit here - they just hit PR and veer north or south. We are blessed. PR is cursed." 

#379
13 hours ago, MissingInAction said:

I feel like Puerto Rico was created to absorb hurricanes.

As a resident of the north side of the island, I’ll thank you not to put that evil on me. 

  • Popular Post
#384
17 hours ago, MissingInAction said:

I feel like Puerto Rico was created to absorb hurricanes.

I lived there 1950-54, and we experienced one or two hurricanes. 
Fort Brooke - our quarters were in the tree area center right of the road up to El Morro.

IMG_8648.jpeg

Edited by Armybrat

#385
15 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

This is going to be a monster 

Breaking: Tropical Storm Beryl has formed in the Atlantic and is expected to strengthen into a hurricane in the coming days.

Yep, they seem to be getting more and more nervous about it   Should be the first hurricane shortly.

  • Author
#386
Update: #Beryl has now officially met the 30kt/24hr threshold per NHC BT data. It is the first storm in recorded history to RI in the MDR in June.

 

  • Author
#387
2 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

Yep, they seem to be getting more and more nervous about it   Should be the first hurricane shortly.

official:

#Beryl is now a #hurricane - the farthest east that a hurricane has formed in the tropical Atlantic (<=23.5°N) in June on record, breaking the old record set in 1933.

 

#393

This thing is going to be a monster for awhile, and then it'll hit the Yucatan and then the same coast of Mexico as every other wave so far this year. 

  • Author
#395
#Hurricane #Beryl is forecast to be at major (Category 3) hurricane strength when it tracks into the Caribbean in early July. Only two major hurricanes have occurred in the Caribbean prior to 1 August on record (since 1851): Dennis and Emily in July of 2005.

 

#397

Glad we just got back from the Cayman Islands and didn't choose this week as our week to go. 

#399
4 hours ago, boknowstecmo said:

This thing is going to be a monster for awhile, and then it'll hit the Yucatan and then the same coast of Mexico as every other wave so far this year. 

00z GFS op run says not so fast my friend.

IMG_1927.thumb.jpeg.85d817816af3dbc0a03c18853a44ae3a.jpeg

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