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  • I was supposed to fly to Tampa today for the week but decided to say fuck that and went to our Vegas office. Got a bitch ass email from my director in Denver who is a trumper telling me I didn’t get a

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#55
8 hours ago, General Specific said:

Checks list of names, sighs deeply with great relief as no South Austin Mom is found!

You don’t know that. She’s using code names. 

  • Author
#56
06z EPS increased our chances of an East Coast spinup in about ~4 days as moisture from a CAG in the WCAR interacts with a stalled frontal boundary over and east of Florida. SSTs would be marginally supportive (25-27°C) of TCG.Similar-ish setup to the genesis of TS Alex 2022.

 

#58

Was thinking about what to do for Father's Day. Kids are grown up so I can do whatever I want. Might head on down to the coast. Anyone know where there is a blue shed?

 

#59
10 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

Was thinking about what to do for Father's Day. Kids are grown up so I can do whatever I want. Might head on down to the coast. Anyone know where there is a blue shed?

 

I know where there was one. 

#61
13 minutes ago, texasdago said:

I'm seeing this...

image.thumb.png.e4b9da38c1a423d5dc3bcae738eee5e7.png

Yes, this is most current.  

  • Author
#66

Good agreement among the models that we will get a storm off the East Coast. Main concern will be the rain it drops in Florida before it scoots off:

image.jpeg.be16c4d85778592290e0b5098de1407e.jpeg

 

#67
On 6/8/2024 at 10:04 PM, troph said:

Debbie’s gonna be a downer hate to break it to you.

But if she does Dallas, we'll all be out of the drought.   

#69
There are two areas in or near the Gulf that we're keeping an eye on. One is a rain-maker for Florida. The other could bring rounds of tropical downpours to southeast Texas next week. @KimCastroWX @chitakhou  https://t.co/PZseYkADFU

 

#70

Hope that second one stays subtropical come right up the Mexican coast and heads into the Central Texas Region.

Based on Wundergrounds 10 forecast it might be so.

  • Author
#71

 

 

Very strong signal for a storm in the Gulf next week. If this avoids getting stuck inland or on the coast we could see an intense hurricane. 

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#72

That thing will wait until I leave town on the 19th and then slam right into Houston. 

You're welcome. 

#74
1 hour ago, Js1 said:

That thing will wait until I leave town on the 19th and then slam right into Houston. 

You're welcome. 

20th.

 

ec-aifs_mslp_pcpn_us_32.png

#76
6 hours ago, Goofyboy said:

Cool. We come home the 22nd…. Maybe.

Had more than one international trip extended thanks to hurricanes.  Sometimes you're stuck in Paris, other times Newark.

#78
TROPICAL OUTLOOK | @NHC_Atlantic is closely watching an area over southern Mexico and the Bay of Campeche. There is now a 40% chance of development within the next seven days. @ChrisRamirezWx More on the outlook: https://t.co/PZseYkADFU

 

#79
2 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:
TROPICAL OUTLOOK | @NHC_Atlantic is closely watching an area over southern Mexico and the Bay of Campeche. There is now a 40% chance of development within the next seven days. @ChrisRamirezWx More on the outlook: https://t.co/PZseYkADFU

 

The Space City Weather guys seem to think this one is going to get sucked more towards Mexico or South Texas. 

#80
14 minutes ago, royiv said:

The Space City Weather guys seem to think this one is going to get sucked more towards Mexico or South Texas. 

All south Texas needs the rain. Hopefully it makes it inland some 

#81
12 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

All south Texas needs the rain. Hopefully it makes it inland some 

They are going to get some.

 

IMG_1793.gif

#87

On a related note (crossposting from Port Aransas thread)

 

When we arrived at Port A on Monday, my niece and her husband were 30 miles south on Padre Island. She took this pic - it was one of three in the vicinity that day…

IMG_0937.jpeg

#89
3 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

Never do the i10 evacuation again 

I’ll got the long way through Victoria or something 

I got to 1-10 on BW8 West from Friendswood before Rita.

 

In 9 hours.

 

#90

Should do 35 through Bay City then 111 through Yoakum and 183 up to Luling

#91
7 hours ago, WBT said:

Should do 35 through Bay City then 111 through Yoakum and 183 up to Luling

I went down to El Campo before Rita to help my in-laws secure and board up their house, then tried coming back to Austin that back way.  It sucked almost as bad as the main roads. Took me 8 hours to get home.  

#92
11 hours ago, WBT said:

Should do 35 through Bay City then 111 through Yoakum and 183 up to Luling


victoria, goliad, Neville, 37, goto SA or family ranch in Jim wells 

goliad has a brand new Texan 

Unfortunately, we are celebrating Father's Day by issuing a Stage 2 flood alert for the Houston area.https://t.co/64thz0DWRa

Curious if it forms up into a TS 

#93
4 hours ago, Judge Roybeanbag said:

I went down to El Campo before Rita to help my in-laws secure and board up their house, then tried coming back to Austin that back way.  It sucked almost as bad as the main roads. Took me 8 hours to get home.  

Huh, I left coastal Brazoria County for Rita following that route and it only took about an hour more than usual to get to the parent's place outside of Wimberley.

But the key message is never head toward Houston when evacuating.

Edited by WBT

#94
20 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:


victoria, goliad, Neville, 37, goto SA or family ranch in Jim wells 

goliad has a brand new Texan 

Unfortunately, we are celebrating Father's Day by issuing a Stage 2 flood alert for the Houston area.https://t.co/64thz0DWRa

Curious if it forms up into a TS 

The Texan is a great idea, starting a mini bucee’s but their stuff is even more overpriced and the food sucks.  

#95

I know we shit all over the rate of road construction (mostly rightfully so), but y’all do realize Rita was 20 fucking years ago, right?  There has been a shit ton of road expansion since then.  Ike was only a few years later and it was a relatively easy evacuation primarily just due to better logistics/planning/messaging. 

#96
45 minutes ago, Hook1997 said:

The Texan is a great idea, starting a mini bucee’s but their stuff is even more overpriced and the food sucks.  


they make a good club sandwich, only thing I’ve bought there 

🚨 Heads up, Houston! Tropical moisture from the Caribbean could bring days of rainfall starting Sunday. The National Hurricane Center says there's a 50% chance of development into Tropical Storm Alberto. https://t.co/QwDBfuoLSE

 

22 minutes ago, UT_OB1 said:

I know we shit all over the rate of road construction (mostly rightfully so), but y’all do realize Rita was 20 fucking years ago, right?  There has been a shit ton of road expansion since then.  Ike was only a few years later and it was a relatively easy evacuation primarily just due to better logistics/planning/messaging. 


More people saying ‘fuck it, I’m riding it out’

#98
39 minutes ago, UT_OB1 said:

I know we shit all over the rate of road construction (mostly rightfully so), but y’all do realize Rita was 20 fucking years ago, right?  There has been a shit ton of road expansion since then.  Ike was only a few years later and it was a relatively easy evacuation primarily just due to better logistics/planning/messaging. 

far fewer people evacuated

Rita was such a clusterfuck because people were scared from Katrina.  Despite not living below sea level.

After Rita turned and the Houston area got nothing, they swung back to thinking they'll never evacuate again. 

People are dumb.

Edited by WBT

#99
19 minutes ago, WBT said:

far fewer people evacuated

Rita was such a clusterfuck because people were scared from Katrina.  Despite not living below sea level.

After Rita turned and the Houston area got nothing, they swung back to thinking they'll never evacuate again. 

People are dumb.

Yep most Houston people do not need to evacuate. It’s cool if you want to get out but do it a few days earlier. Much easier in todays world with more WFH options.

#100
46 minutes ago, troph said:

my brother in law is a former meteorologist and says this could be the one. he's got one model he's looking at that has 10 inches plus in Cen Tex - bullseye of 14 inches - he's not betting on that model or any at this point but says this is as close as we've gotten to a lake filling opportunity as we've had in the last 3-4 years. Screen shot of what he sent my wife:

 

 

IMG_0029.jpeg

So the San Marcos river floods by Sunday?

OK, will get all my fishing in before then.

When do I water my lawn to make sure this happens?

 

 

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