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Latest storm looks like it's headed for the Carolinas.  FEMA might pay out $1,000 for every overturned potted plant in North Carolina.

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  • I was supposed to fly to Tampa today for the week but decided to say fuck that and went to our Vegas office. Got a bitch ass email from my director in Denver who is a trumper telling me I didn’t get a

Posted Images

GFS has a big boy in the gulf in 10 days. Something to keep an eye on.

image.thumb.png.1f91c96110f628fa3a7b587777dfb664.png

1 minute ago, tokamak said:

GFS has a big boy in the gulf in 10 days. Something to keep an eye on.

image.thumb.png.1f91c96110f628fa3a7b587777dfb664.png

more like GFYS model, ew no thank you

Edited by Captainant

GFS has a big boy in the gulf in 10 days. Something to keep an eye on.
image.thumb.png.1f91c96110f628fa3a7b587777dfb664.png

I picked the right week for a quick Caribbean get away.
4 hours ago, tokamak said:

GFS has a big boy in the gulf in 10 days. Something to keep an eye on.

image.thumb.png.1f91c96110f628fa3a7b587777dfb664.png

Come Austin Powers GIF

My generator's final approval with the city of houston is tomorrow. Fuck yourself, hurricanes. 

 

lol…City of Houston sucks. My 26kw generator was purchased yesterday and will be installed next Friday. 

My generator's final approval with the city of houston is tomorrow. Fuck yourself, hurricanes. 

 
Mine was approved yesterday. Derecho and Beryl finished off my trees. Bring it on.
lol…City of Houston sucks. My 26kw generator was purchased yesterday and will be installed next Friday. 

Montgomery county correct?

Mind sharing what that cost ya?

It was 15k. 

Lastest models shifted west (LA) but nobody knows shit cause there ain't no Low pressure yet. So we wait. 

3 hours ago, Hate said:

lol…City of Houston sucks. My 26kw generator was purchased yesterday and will be installed next Friday. 

Quotes now (south of Houston) are all saying I'm looking at February install if I sign contract now...

2 hours ago, MonkeyDoughnut said:

Quotes now (south of Houston) are all saying I'm looking at February install if I sign contract now...

Once I saw the news about a potential storm in the gulf, I called and moved up my installation. It will be installed next Friday. 

6 minutes ago, Hate said:

Once I saw the news about a potential storm in the gulf, I called and moved up my installation. It will be installed next Friday. 

Welcome to the club. The peace of mind is awesome.

Would have been nice to have today. Our neighborhood power "blipped" every 5-7 minutes for a couple hours until Centerpoint could find the faulty equipment.

4 minutes ago, MonkeyDoughnut said:

Would have been nice to have today. Our neighborhood power "blipped" every 5-7 minutes for a couple hours until Centerpoint could find the faulty equipment.

Generator won't help with that. It's on about a 7 second delay before it starts and about 10 seconds before it starts delivering power. The blips are too fast and would be damaging to the generator to start and stop so much

Just now, Catpfish said:

Generator won't help with that. It's on about a 7 second delay before it starts and about 10 seconds before it starts delivering power. The blips are too fast and would be damaging to the generator to start and stop so much

yeah, I'd just have flipped to generator until they fixed things.

3 minutes ago, Catpfish said:

Generator won't help with that. It's on about a 7 second delay before it starts and about 10 seconds before it starts delivering power. The blips are too fast and would be damaging to the generator to start and stop so much

You can manually keep it on generator power using the switch at the ATS.

24 minutes ago, royiv said:

Welcome to the club. The peace of mind is awesome.

And this is what finally got me on board. I travel quite a bit now and I know my wife and son would not be able to roll out the generator and connect it.  I also got a 7 year warranty which is nice. 

I understand that. Just curious how you decide when to do that and how long you run it...after a couple of flickers, after 30 minutes of it?  How do you know when the situation has resolved? 

I live in the country so I don't really have neighbors to judge the status of things

 

12 hours ago, tokamak said:

GFS has a big boy in the gulf in 10 days. Something to keep an eye on.

image.thumb.png.1f91c96110f628fa3a7b587777dfb664.png

Sounds about right, I leave Houston tomorrow and come back on 9/29, looks like it could be a grand old time. I am hoping that some weather system pushes it over to Louisiana or Mississippi, or why not Florida.

1 hour ago, Wally Fairway said:

Sounds about right, I leave Houston tomorrow and come back on 9/29, looks like it could be a grand old time. I am hoping that some weather system pushes it over to Louisiana or Mississippi, or why not Florida.

Latest runs have it in the Florida panhandle. 10 days is an eternity. 

13 hours ago, Hate said:

lol…City of Houston sucks. My 26kw generator was purchased yesterday and will be installed next Friday. 

My install guy has been saying the same thing out loud and under his breath for months. 

12 hours ago, HoustonHorn said:
13 hours ago, SydneyCarton said:
My generator's final approval with the city of houston is tomorrow. Fuck yourself, hurricanes. 

 

Mine was approved yesterday. Derecho and Beryl finished off my trees. Bring it on.

We have one tree left sitting like a time bomb in our backyard. But fuck it. Let’s roll. 

Most models showing NE gulf, Cat 2(ish) landing friday/saturday. Supposed to fly out Saturday to Belgium for work, but I see a reschedule in my future. 

Edited by Mother mopar

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take your time with those generators. It looks like the big bend area needs another fucking. 

This is the first time all models have aligned on the landing spot, Apalachicola area. Last night landing was PCB area, so the shift east is welcome news on my end.

Models still disagree on strength, GFS shows cat 4 all others Cat 2, but Gulf gonna do what it does.

Thoughts on Briggs and Sratton generators from the folks who chose those over generac. Prices are very similar.

A local weather guy here just posted a comment that the ingredients are there for this thing to explode into a cat 5 really quickly.  Panhandle and western FLA better buckle up.  

  • Author
1 hour ago, Sbbruin said:

A local weather guy here just posted a comment that the ingredients are there for this thing to explode into a cat 5 really quickly.  Panhandle and western FLA better buckle up.  

image.thumb.png.6e5e4af1c25c9e1acd8472a4aef8d1a6.png

The potential is certainly there. I can’t remember the last time model intensity guidance was this aggressive.

1 minute ago, Zonahorn said:

image.thumb.png.6e5e4af1c25c9e1acd8472a4aef8d1a6.png

The potential is certainly there. I can’t remember the last time model intensity guidance was this aggressive.

Michael, 2018 comes to mind. 

9 hours ago, Mother mopar said:

This is the first time all models have aligned on the landing spot, Apalachicola area. Last night landing was PCB area, so the shift east is welcome news on my end.

Models still disagree on strength, GFS shows cat 4 all others Cat 2, but Gulf gonna do what it does.

Thoughts on Briggs and Sratton generators from the folks who chose those over generac. Prices are very similar.

Parts are pretty much everywhere and fairly easy to work on.  B&S have been around for a long time.  

 

If I lived anywhere between Destin and Tampa, I'd packing photos, meds, and pets.  

Edited by Bevo&Pevo

Generator dudes:  I should know this, given my last job, but it's been almost a decade.  What's the fuel cost per kW-hr to run your generator versus the grid supply cost (probably in the range of $.11-$0.14 per kW-hr)?

16 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

Generator dudes:  I should know this, given my last job, but it's been almost a decade.  What's the fuel cost per kW-hr to run your generator versus the grid supply cost (probably in the range of $.11-$0.14 per kW-hr)?

I ran my 5500w portable Firman 24 hours a day for a week during Beryl, and my bill went from $30-ish to $80-ish.

5 minutes ago, tokamak said:

I ran my 5500w portable Firman 24 hours a day for a week during Beryl, and my bill went from $30-ish to $80-ish.

You were "conserving" your demand, though, right?

1 hour ago, Zonahorn said:

image.thumb.png.6e5e4af1c25c9e1acd8472a4aef8d1a6.png

The potential is certainly there. I can’t remember the last time model intensity guidance was this aggressive.

HWRF
PEAK: 930 mb @ 72 hrs | 98 kt @ 57 hrs
hr / pressure (mb) / wind (kt)
00 / 1005 / 35 - TS
06 / 1001 / 51
12 / 999 / 43
18 / 998 / 51
24 / 993 / 51
30 / 987 / 51
36 / 980 / 58
42 / 970 / 59
48 / 957 / 78 - C1
54 / 945 / 91
60 / 935 / 91 - C2
66 / 934 / 87
72 / 930 / 96 - landfall
78 / 940 / 64

HMON
PEAK: 918 mb @ 84 hrs | 124 kt @ 75 hrs
hr / pressure (mb) / wind (kt)
00 / 1003 / 27
06 / 1001 / 37 - TS
12 / 1001 / 35
18 / 997 / 44
24 / 994 / 46
30 / 984 / 60
36 / 981 / 58
42 / 973 / 63
48 / 964 / 80 - C1
54 / 959 / 87 - C2
60 / 953 / 76
66 / 941 / 104 - C3
72 / 933 / 121 - C4
78 / 925 / 122
84 / 918 / 120 - landfall
90 / 956 / 62

HAFS-A
PEAK: 899 mb @ 75 hrs | 162 kt @ 75 hrs
hr / pressure (mb) / wind (kt)
00 / 1003 / 31 - TD
06 / 1000 / 43 - TS
12 / 998 / 45
18 / 991 / 57
24 / 987 / 51
30 / 983 / 57
36 / 979 / 59
42 / 972 / 65 - C1
48 / 954 / 105 - C3
54 / 943 / 110
60 / 925 / 134 - C4
66 / 907 / 146 - C5
72 / 899 / 155
78 / 900 / 159 - landfall
84 / 922 / 81

HAFS-B
PEAK: 888 mb @ 72 hrs | 159 kt @ 69 hrs
hr / pressure (mb) / wind (kt)
00 / 1004 / 30 - TD
06 / 998 / 46 - TS
12 / 1000 / 45
18 / 990 / 56
24 / 988 / 49
30 / 985 / 55
36 / 978 / 55
42 / 963 / 77 - C1
48 / 948 / 95 - C2
54 / 941 / 92
60 / 924 / 124 - C4
66 / 903 / 157 - C5
72 / 888 / 155
78 / 901 / 134 - landfall
84 / 920 / 102

Blend
PEAK: 913 mb @ 72 hrs | 132 kt @ 72 hrs
hr / pressure (mb) / wind (kt)
00 / 1004 / 31 - TD
06 / 1000 / 44 - TS
12 / 1000 / 42
18 / 994 / 52
24 / 991 / 49
30 / 985 / 56
36 / 980 / 58
42 / 970 / 66 - C1
48 / 956 / 90 - C2
54 / 947 / 95
60 / 934 / 106 - C3
66 / 921 / 124 - C4
72 / 913 / 132
78 / 917 / 120 - landfall
84 / 932 / 87

 

2 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

You were "conserving" your demand, though, right?

Yeah, no central A/C. Fridge, freezer, lights/fans, WiFi, and 2x portable A/C units.

Generator dudes:  I should know this, given my last job, but it's been almost a decade.  What's the fuel cost per kW-hr to run your generator versus the grid supply cost (probably in the range of $.11-$0.14 per kW-hr)?

I ran mine for 10 hours and didn’t notice it on my bill.
4 hours ago, Mother mopar said:

Michael, 2018 comes to mind. 

Beryl when it fucked shit up in the southern Caribbean just three months ago. 

15 hours ago, jimmyjazz said:

Generator dudes:  I should know this, given my last job, but it's been almost a decade.  What's the fuel cost per kW-hr to run your generator versus the grid supply cost (probably in the range of $.11-$0.14 per kW-hr)?

The rule of thumb I’ve heard repeated is that it’s basically 35 - 40 bucks a day for a 1 story house with everything running. 

16 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

The rule of thumb I’ve heard repeated is that it’s basically 35 - 40 bucks a day for a 1 story house with everything running. 

So probably 4X the cost of grid power, give or take?  (Plus the cost of the generator itself.)

5 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

So probably 4X the cost of grid power, give or take?  (Plus the cost of the generator itself.)

I don’t know what rates, distribution costs run in Austin, or average bills so hard for me to say. 4x might be low. If my bill is around 250 a month in the summer that’s about 8-9 bucks a day…so yeah 4x. 

I think Austin Energy runs a little less expensive than most deregulated utilities in Texas.  It seems to be one of the few things Austin got right.

Tropical Cyclone #9 in the Gulf

Just for the lutz...

What are #9's preferred pronouns??? 😂😂😂

as always 1.5xplaying speed is your friend

 

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