June 28, 20241 yr 4 minutes ago, Neonmoon said: What about this little guy? Don’t shame. It’s about how he uses it, not the size
June 28, 20241 yr 29 minutes ago, Neonmoon said: What about this little guy? It only has a 20% chance of development over the next 7 days.
June 28, 20241 yr 3 hours ago, GreenspointTexas said: Too far out yet to make any real conclusions It’s Surly…
June 28, 20241 yr 3 hours ago, Zonahorn said: Main Development Region. It is the tropical part of the Atlantic where most tropical storms form. thank you
June 28, 20241 yr 13 minutes ago, Orange&White said: Now TD2 NEW: Tropical Depression #2 has formed in the central Atlantic, and it is predicted to be a category 2 hurricane as it impacts the Lesser Antilles on Monday. If this verifies, it will be unprecedented to see a hurricane this strong impacting the islands so early in the season. If you have a vacation planned to the Caribbean next week, please pay close attention to the forecast in the days ahead. There is no way to tell right now with any certainty if this will ever impact the Gulf of Mexico, much less Texas, but IF it were to impact Texas, it would likely be sometime in the July 7th - July 9th window. As best as I can tell, the stronger the storm is over the central Caribbean, the more likely it is to head northwest for the Gulf of Mexico. A weaker storm will head westward toward Central America. A huge wildcard is any direct interaction it may have with Caribbean islands. So I'm not losing any sleep over it right now, but I am keeping an eye on it for you. We'll keep you posted. abc13.com/tropicalupdate
June 28, 20241 yr I'm no expert, but I can count lines. Assuming each noodle has the same odds as any other, the likelihood it hits Texas seems to be pretty low.
June 28, 20241 yr 5 minutes ago, SquishMitten said: I'm no expert, but I can count lines. Assuming each noodle has the same odds as any other, the likelihood it hits Texas seems to be pretty low. Way too early to know. The amount of things each of those lines takes into account is insane - these runs take hours to do on some of the most powerful servers we have. And the slightest wiggle in any of those inputs that wasn't predicted correctly can wildly change the final output. Edited June 28, 20241 yr by dieucla98
June 28, 20241 yr 4 minutes ago, dieucla98 said: Way too early to know. The amount of things each of those lines takes into account is insane - these runs take hours to do on some of the most powerful servers we have. And the slightest wiggle in any of those inputs that wasn't predicted correctly can wildly change the final output. something something, your mom's cone of uncertainty.
June 28, 20241 yr 5 minutes ago, Brisketexan said: something something, your mom's cone of uncertainty. uncertainty?
June 28, 20241 yr 19 minutes ago, dieucla98 said: From NHC, pretty damn aggressive for them: Yes it is.
June 28, 20241 yr I fucking love these gifs as the sun is setting. TD2 on right, just entering darkness.
June 28, 20241 yr Popular Post Have some friends vacationing in SXM/Anguilla/St. Barts. Should they be worried?Not if they like hurricanes.
June 28, 20241 yr 1 hour ago, MissingInAction said: I feel like Puerto Rico was created to absorb hurricanes. Puerto Rico: the quicker picker-upper.
June 28, 20241 yr 3 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said: Puerto Rico: the quicker picker-upper. Obligatory
June 29, 20241 yr 19 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said: Debbie Does Destin? Debbie Does Tropical Depression.
June 29, 20241 yr 2 hours ago, Handcruser said: Not if they like hurricanes. So funny, never heard that one before
June 29, 20241 yr This is going to be a monster Breaking: Tropical Storm Beryl has formed in the Atlantic and is expected to strengthen into a hurricane in the coming days.
June 29, 20241 yr I land in STT at 1:04 on Tuesday so, I’m rooting for a fast mover. Just go on and do your thing #2. Don’t dither about.
June 29, 20241 yr 6 hours ago, MissingInAction said: I feel like Puerto Rico was created to absorb hurricanes. When I went to Punta Cana we asked them about hurricanes. They were like "they never hit here - they just hit PR and veer north or south. We are blessed. PR is cursed."
June 29, 20241 yr 13 hours ago, MissingInAction said: I feel like Puerto Rico was created to absorb hurricanes. As a resident of the north side of the island, I’ll thank you not to put that evil on me.
June 29, 20241 yr Debbie Does Destin?Hell no, she can do another city I don't live near that's start with a D...Del Rio.
June 29, 20241 yr 1 hour ago, Rudiger said: As a resident of the north side of the island, I’ll thank you not to put that evil on me.
June 29, 20241 yr Popular Post 17 hours ago, MissingInAction said: I feel like Puerto Rico was created to absorb hurricanes. I lived there 1950-54, and we experienced one or two hurricanes. Fort Brooke - our quarters were in the tree area center right of the road up to El Morro. Edited June 29, 20241 yr by Armybrat
June 29, 20241 yr 15 hours ago, tx 3 putt said: This is going to be a monster Breaking: Tropical Storm Beryl has formed in the Atlantic and is expected to strengthen into a hurricane in the coming days. Yep, they seem to be getting more and more nervous about it Should be the first hurricane shortly.
June 29, 20241 yr Author 2 hours ago, atomheartbevo said: Yep, they seem to be getting more and more nervous about it Should be the first hurricane shortly. official:
June 30, 20241 yr This thing is going to be a monster for awhile, and then it'll hit the Yucatan and then the same coast of Mexico as every other wave so far this year.
June 30, 20241 yr Glad we just got back from the Cayman Islands and didn't choose this week as our week to go.
June 30, 20241 yr 4 hours ago, boknowstecmo said: This thing is going to be a monster for awhile, and then it'll hit the Yucatan and then the same coast of Mexico as every other wave so far this year. 00z GFS op run says not so fast my friend.
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