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Featured Replies

  • Author

big xii has 7 of the top 17 and 8 of the top 21…and yet the sec is actually projected (ever so slightly) to be the tougher league top to bottom. playing in the sec is going to be similar to the big xii, just with fewer trips to iowa, oklahoma, and kansas. upgrayedd.

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Edited by Derka

Oh shit! If Derka's firing up the Kenpom thread, we're fucking close, fellas 

  • Author

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and

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and

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Edited by Derka

Serious question...how does he make these calculations before anyone plays any games?

14 hours ago, MotownHorn said:

Serious question...how does he make these calculations before anyone plays any games?

Mostly using the results of the last 5 years. Even by his own admission it doesn't mean much until conference play starts.

1 minute ago, Brian Fantana said:

Mostly using the results of the last 5 years. Even by his own admission it doesn't mean much until conference play starts.

Not true. He waits until you've made enough post in Texas basketball game threads then he starts to crunch the numbers. 

22 minutes ago, ztejas said:

Not true. He waits until you've made enough post in Texas basketball game threads then he starts to crunch the numbers. 

Shark Tank Writing GIF

e: I mean, who let this SMoodle post here?

Edited by Brian Fantana

29 minutes ago, Brian Fantana said:

Shark Tank Writing GIF

e: I mean, who let this SMoodle post here?

We'll see how you behave this season. 

Just now, ztejas said:

We'll see how you behave this season. 

You know, I'm actually genuinely curious why you are the way you are. You consistently and very weirdly act like you have some sort of leverage or influence over how I post, despite that fact that the same exact interaction happens every time:

I'm going to post exactly how I always have, and you're inevitably going to act like a toddler about it, which will cause me to simply laugh at/mock you and continue posting. You'd think you would have learned by now, but I guess that's hoping for too much. I understand that your brain only has one speed and it forces you to be an ultra aggro meathead about everything, but man I really hope things get better for you soon.

8 hours ago, Brian Fantana said:

Mostly using the results of the last 5 years. Even by his own admission it doesn't mean much until conference play starts.

Seems odd to use the past 5 years results when coaches and players are so different

Makes sense that they are basically meaningless until some real games get played

2 hours ago, MotownHorn said:

Seems odd to use the past 5 years results when coaches and players are so different

Makes sense that they are basically meaningless until some real games get played

Yeah I am sure it's next to impossible to do accurately before the season starts, but his algorithm always seems to work out in the end.

Anyone else seeing this:

Edited: Whoops - Already posted in the College Hoops 2024-25 thread by BurntOrange&White. 

Edited by smokebomb

  • Author

community notes already debunked it.

  • 3 weeks later...
  • Author

kenpom does it again:

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  • Author

someone remind me to update this around january 3rd so we can see how it’s changed:

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12 hours ago, Derka said:

someone remind me to update this around january 3rd so we can see how it’s changed:

IMG_7385.thumb.jpeg.f8024dc56fb38105beba47cdac28aba4.jpeg

This is his forecast for Texas? Eeesh. Sure as hell hope he's got it backwards (6-3 versus 3-6).

  • Author

i remember when doing my research on RT’s coaching history that his teams historically really only had two things that identified them as being “rodney terry teams”:

1)they don’t defend the three (bad)

2)they don’t turn the ball over (good)

so far this team has really exemplified both of these traits:

5th in the country in TO%, 240th defending the three.

 

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Edited by Derka

I expect (hope?) the 3-point defense metric to improve as the season progresses. As much lenf as Texas has on the perimeter, there's no excuse for it not to. Same for the steal rate.

Our 'Horns have all the makings of a great defensive team. Against the one opponent with a pulse, however, they weren't very good. Guess we'll find out soon enough.

  • Author
On 11/15/2024 at 7:46 AM, Derka said:

someone remind me to update this around january 3rd so we can see how it’s changed:

IMG_7385.thumb.jpeg.f8024dc56fb38105beba47cdac28aba4.jpeg

update:

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  • 1 month later...
  • Author

opened: 18

peak: 18

valley: 43

currently: 39

  • Author

worth noting-

IMG_2577.thumb.jpeg.570ff94f782b49f3fee75278df5c9cc3.jpeg

 

opened: 46

peak: 17

valley: 61

currently: 17

 

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opened: 22

peak: 8

valley: 24

currently: 13

 

IMG_2579.thumb.jpeg.165836d55f1457c2237e2962651af78e.jpeg

 

opened: 13

peak: 2

valley: 14

currently: 6

  • Author
On 11/15/2024 at 7:46 AM, Derka said:

someone remind me to update this around january 3rd so we can see how it’s changed:

IMG_7385.thumb.jpeg.f8024dc56fb38105beba47cdac28aba4.jpeg

 

IMG_2645.jpeg

Trade a loss at Arky for a win over UK? Guess I might be cool with that 

  • Author

13 sec teams in kenpom’s top 44. 👀 i remember when the big xii had 8 teams in the top 60 and that was a huge deal. this is some whole other shit. this league is bar none the toughest league i ever remember seeing. previously, the last decade of the big xii and the best iterations of the big east were as good as i’d seen. this year’s sec is the best league top to bottom that i can recall. you can face a legit final four contender every game for a month straight. truly crazy. 

Well, clearly Texas and OU tanked the B12 and boosted the SEC at the switch.

The bottom of the Big 12 is garbage - Colorado, KSU, OKST, ASU, Cincinnati.  Cincy especially was early season fool's gold. 

The newcomers, besides Arizona, can't hang - Colorado, ASU, Utah suck. 

Kansas is 5th in the Big 12 right now.  It's definitely a down year. 

  • Author

weirdest #14 overall resume of all time:

 

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when’s the last time you saw a team that sucks at shooting twos, threes, and FTs and gets their shit blocked or stolen with alarming regularity and yes was 14th in kenpom because they own the glass? a&m will be a prime candidate for an early round upset.

 

Edited by Derka

  • Author

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11th in offense, 10th in defense in the sec.

SCAR, UGA, OU must wins. Find another W somewhere they make the dance. Find 2 more they get a decent seed.

  • Author

the type of teams expected to go ~.500 in the various conferences:

SEC (+21.88)

IMG_5505.jpeg.af5c695d8f571177aaf86f529f29f974.jpeg

 Big 10 (17.77) and Big XII (17.14)

IMG_5507.jpeg.1e3c693f606685e5ecc669129673a499.jpeg

 Big East (13.6)

IMG_5508.jpeg.9a5ed3c8b693afa43cddf9385518a67e.jpeg

ACC (9.38)

IMG_5509.jpeg.ab415e6951fc1db7ade551abdbea1fcf.jpeg

MWC (8.18)

IMG_5510.jpeg.98428cfbfeb50e58a9d2e39d182b5d5e.jpeg

WCC (4.41)

IMG_5511.jpeg.42459b5f09f269e636bd28ba3d7fd3f4.jpeg

A 10 (3.71)

IMG_5512.jpeg.8601ddfe236b12e02a574cc559c9dfa4.jpeg

C USA (2.40)

IMG_5513.jpeg.72e7de35bc1731fdefc0c0649518bf42.jpeg

 

Anyone have info on KenPom/NET rankings of the typical "first four out" teams?

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