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#851
8 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Not supposedly—it was. Confirmed. 

Guess this is the payoff for Trump's free covid tests for putin. 

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#852
1 minute ago, hayden_horn said:

it's all pennsylvania

always was

#853
2 minutes ago, hayden_horn said:

i'm feeling great

surely we have to beat fascism

right

RIGHT?

Yes. Maybe not in this election.  But in other ways. 

#857
9 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Not supposedly—it was. Confirmed. 

Well obviously the libs knew how bad the internals were and hired Russians to call in bomb threats to start the steal. 

#859
Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger says the non-credible threats that briefly disrupted voting at two Georgia polling places originated from Russia. “We identified the source; it was from Russia," he says.
Virtually all Allegheny County PA mail ins now in. Indies who voted by mail broke for HarrisHarris: 72.1%Trump: 26.6%Casey: 71.7%McCormick: 26.4%Partisan breakdown of returned mails Dem - 65.9%GOP - 23%Indy - 11%Virtually unchanged from first drop. https://t.co/iLrbPkekHc

 

#860
1 minute ago, Bullneck said:

I guess all that talk about The Villages was just that.

I thought that was the weirdest thing about the polls besides AZ. 

#862
4 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

Reread what you just wrote.  Florida is red is the only concrete conclusion drawn, which we already knew.

This is 2020 again - except this time nobody expected Dems to do well in Florida, I feel I'm taking crazy pills.

I think people expected not to lose Florida by 13. That's a bit of a problem.

I think forecasts like the NYT needle or 538 are probably overweighting that result a little bit but it's absolutely a bad sign for the rest of the Sun Belt swing states even if you buy that Florida is the GOP NY now - which I do.

 

 

#863
8 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

I know this doesn't really matter yet and these were forgone conclusions, but god damn this makes me want to break stuff.

Illinois called

image.thumb.png.b610347930a23fb7b2acd8264a0d6d3f.png

#864
7 minutes ago, Helobious said:

If Harris pulls this off she’ll have to do it 270-268. 

I realize it’s taken for granted now, but everyone should go look at what this dumb fuck was saying at this time 4 years ago. Hilarious 

#865

It turns out all the betting markets and polls that had Harris losing were in fact not bullshit.

#866
Just now, cactusflinthead said:
Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger says the non-credible threats that briefly disrupted voting at two Georgia polling places originated from Russia. “We identified the source; it was from Russia," he says.
Virtually all Allegheny County PA mail ins now in. Indies who voted by mail broke for HarrisHarris: 72.1%Trump: 26.6%Casey: 71.7%McCormick: 26.4%Partisan breakdown of returned mails Dem - 65.9%GOP - 23%Indy - 11%Virtually unchanged from first drop. https://t.co/iLrbPkekHc

 

This is the best news of the right. The 70-30 independent breakdown seems to have been confirmed. 

#868
6 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

College towns in Michigan trending the wrong way.  Fucking kids.

The Big Ten is just the SEC of the North unfortunately. 

#870
Just now, Helobious said:

It turns out all the betting markets and polls that had Harris losing were in fact not bullshit.

You're a @HenryJames sock, aren't you?

#871
1 minute ago, gmr548 said:

I think people expected not to lose Florida by 13. That's a bit of a problem.

I think forecasts like the NYT needle or 538 are probably overweighting that result a little bit but it's absolutely a bad sign for the rest of the Sun Belt swing states even if you buy that Florida is the GOP NY now - which I do.

 

 

Who are the sun belt swing states? 

#872
1 minute ago, HRSchenker said:

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

They have, and Harris lost by 13?

#873
I'm watching Amarillo's election results, where voters will decide on an ordinance that could prohibit using the city's roads and highways for an abortion in other states.So far, 57% of early and absentee votes are against it.Context @TexasTribunehttps://t.co/ErxzRjDtsy

 

#874
8 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Want to know if I should pay attention to Iowa and ohio

They're worth paying attention to, not necessarily because Harris will win (she won't) but the margins can tell you if she's got a real shot in WI/MI/PA. 

#876
1 minute ago, HRSchenker said:

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

Props need 60%. Last I saw it was at 57%.

#877
1 minute ago, HRSchenker said:

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

Awesome.  That is fucking black eye for DeSantis.  I am sure he is going to undermine it in every way. 

#878
Just now, cactusflinthead said:
I'm watching Amarillo's election results, where voters will decide on an ordinance that could prohibit using the city's roads and highways for an abortion in other states.So far, 57% of early and absentee votes are against it.Context @TexasTribunehttps://t.co/ErxzRjDtsy

 

How exactly would that be enforced?

#879

Dekalb County just dropped, 68% reporting, on the margin at 82% more or less the same as 2020 percentage wise.  

#880

Guys the Harris campaign has microtargeting, they know who voted and to what degree by right now in 2016 there were scare reports about desperately getting people to the polls from the Clinton Campaign, this is not the same this year if anything desperation came from Stephen Miller, calm your ass down.

If those bomb threats hurt people in lines the polls can remain open for as long as possible.

 

My huge metrics are still

1) Top level campaign panic

2) Deltas from 2020 (aka better than Biden from counties)

3) Media calling useless states on the big board

#881
2 minutes ago, Covri said:

The Big Ten is just the SEC of the North unfortunately. 

All the weed dealers don’t want their businesses interrupted 

#882
1 minute ago, Huckleberry said:

Who are the sun belt swing states? 

Georgia, NC, Nevada, Arizona.

#883
#BREAKING: Kamala Harris wins Virginia, maintaining Democrats’ control of the state at the presidential level https://t.co/zmUv6fQROS

 

#884
Just now, SydneyCarton said:

AZ and NV?

I mean I can buy Arizona on a technical basis but not sure I've ever seen Nevada listed as a Sun Belt state. Seems like Sun Belt has always been "you got any states south of you?"

#885
1 minute ago, A-Tex Devil said:

Awesome.  That is fucking black eye for DeSantis.  I am sure he is going to undermine it in every way. 

Uh, it lost. Had to hit 60%

#887
1 minute ago, Huckleberry said:

Who are the sun belt swing states? 

App State, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, potential expansion with Northern Arizona and Nevada - Reno

#889
1 minute ago, cactusflinthead said:
#BREAKING: Kamala Harris wins Virginia, maintaining Democrats’ control of the state at the presidential level https://t.co/zmUv6fQROS

 

didn't VA get called late last year? is this real?

#890
4 minutes ago, HRSchenker said:

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

NOPE.  It's got 57% with 90% of the vote counted.  it won't pass.  60% is required.   FL has minority rule. 

#893
3 minutes ago, softlynow said:

Props need 60%. Last I saw it was at 57%.

Oh shit I didn't know that. I figured it was just majority wins.

#894
7 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Yeah. And that fucking sucks huge fucking dick. 

i hate it too

but that's the swing state, i think, and i think it will break blue.

no data, no evidence. just feels

#895
4 minutes ago, Helobious said:

It turns out all the betting markets and polls that had Harris losing were in fact not bullshit.

Why, because the racist Republican has carried the Deep South?  No shit, Think Tank.  Go sit down.

#896

Welp, still feel like I want to puke.
All the fucking optimism was - as expected - unwarranted.
We still don’t know shit about fuck, but what we know is not great.

#897
Just now, Gil Bang said:

NOPE.  It's got 57% with 90% of the vote counted.  it won't pass.  60% is required.   FL has minority rule. 

So does America.

#899
Just now, Brisketexan said:

Welp, still feel like I want to puke.
All the fucking optimism was - as expected - unwarranted.
We still don’t know shit about fuck, but what we know is not great.

What are you talking about? 

Get a grip.

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