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Featured Replies

Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 62, 81.60
Zepol87, 49, 56.15
HornOnTheBayou, 43, 57.76
ztejas, 42, 56.11
Wulaw Horn, 32, 57.54
Prepuce of Doom, 32, 37.71
Derka, 29, 29.00
Bartles, 13, 13.00

 
Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)
Huckleberry - 58.86% (903)
Wulaw Horn - 11.91% (401)
ztejas - 11.34% (318)
HornOnTheBayou - 11.23% (230)
Zepol87 - 4.74% (155)
Tie - 1.93% (41)
Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0)
Bartles - 0.00% (0)
Derka - 0.00% (0)

 

Neither of my 4 seeds won last night but the other low seeds losing helped my odds.

I think I need a Mich final four to beat Huck but a win over Barn makes it interesting. 

@Huckleberry is that correct?

Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 65, 76.75
Zepol87, 49, 49.00
Wulaw Horn, 44, 54.02
HornOnTheBayou, 43, 57.07
ztejas, 42, 46.81
Prepuce of Doom, 35, 39.95
Derka, 29, 29.00
Bartles, 13, 13.00

 

Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)
Huckleberry - 76.19% (78)
HornOnTheBayou - 13.13% (23)
Wulaw Horn - 8.37% (23)
Tie - 2.32% (4)
ztejas - 0.00% (0)
Zepol87 - 0.00% (0)
Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0)
Bartles - 0.00% (0)
Derka - 0.00% (0)

In order of probability, the four possible ties are:

Wulaw Horn/HornOnTheBayou with 70 points
Huckleberry/Wulaw Horn with 74 points
Huckleberry/Wulaw Horn with 74 points
Wulaw Horn/HornOnTheBayou with 74 points

1 hour ago, ztejas said:

I think I need a Mich final four to beat Huck but a win over Barn makes it interesting. 

@Huckleberry is that correct?

Narrarator: that was correct

Thanks, Tech. Y'all wake me up when this over and tell me where to send the money.

What was your most disappointed moment as a Red Raider fan? | On Demand |  doublet973.com

Edited by HornOnTheBayou

Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 65, 76.49
Zepol87, 49, 49.00
ztejas, 46, 50.06
Wulaw Horn, 44, 53.80
HornOnTheBayou, 43, 48.58
Prepuce of Doom, 35, 39.91
Derka, 29, 29.00
Bartles, 13, 13.00

 

Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)
Huckleberry - 89.64% (50)
Wulaw Horn - 9.24% (13)
Tie - 1.12% (1)
HornOnTheBayou - 0.00% (0)
ztejas - 0.00% (0)
Zepol87 - 0.00% (0)
Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0)
Bartles - 0.00% (0)
Derka - 0.00% (0)

The one tie is me and Wulaw Horn. This happens if Tennessee beats Auburn in the national championship and Duke/Florida lose the semis.
Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 65, 70.56
Zepol87, 49, 49.00
HornOnTheBayou, 47, 52.07
ztejas, 46, 49.98
Wulaw Horn, 44, 53.47
Prepuce of Doom, 35, 39.66
Derka, 29, 29.00
Bartles, 13, 13.00

 

Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)
Huckleberry - 86.49% (22)
Wulaw Horn - 11.69% (9)
Tie - 1.82% (1)
HornOnTheBayou - 0.00% (0)
ztejas - 0.00% (0)
Zepol87 - 0.00% (0)
Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0)
Bartles - 0.00% (0)
Derka - 0.00% (0)

I post these after each round/game regardless of who's up. Not to mention we've had 10% probability guys during the second weekend win before. I won't feel comfortable until it says 100%.

  • Author
3 hours ago, Huckleberry said:

I post these after each round/game regardless of who's up. Not to mention we've had 10% probability guys during the second weekend win before. I won't feel comfortable until it says 100%.

Does it matter for me if it’s Michigan state or Tennessee that wins the national title?  Do I need both of them through to the final 4 or will one of them losing today and the other winning the national title do it for me?  

2 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Does it matter for me if it’s Michigan state or Tennessee that wins the national title?  Do I need both of them through to the final 4 or will one of them losing today and the other winning the national title do it for me?  

Your 9 outright win scenarios coming into today:

image.png.fbce4e4278c0d036cb3f830a5aa15f3f.png

So if Houston holds on you will need Michigan St. to win the national championship.

 

Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 65, 70.53
Zepol87, 49, 49.00
HornOnTheBayou, 47, 51.75
ztejas, 46, 49.94
Wulaw Horn, 44, 48.35
Prepuce of Doom, 39, 42.60
Derka, 29, 29.00
Bartles, 13, 13.00

 

Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)
Huckleberry - 96.09% (14)
Wulaw Horn - 3.91% (2)
Tie - 0.00% (0)
HornOnTheBayou - 0.00% (0)
ztejas - 0.00% (0)
Zepol87 - 0.00% (0)
Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0)
Bartles - 0.00% (0)
Derka - 0.00% (0)

As mentioned above, the 2 paths are both the possible Michigan St. national championship paths (one is beating Duke in the title game, the other is beating Houston).

Okay gentlemen, DMs with Venmo info coming shortly. And one more time just for @ztejas:

Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 69, 73.25
Zepol87, 49, 49.00
HornOnTheBayou, 47, 51.68
ztejas, 46, 49.53
Wulaw Horn, 44, 44.00
Prepuce of Doom, 39, 42.53
Derka, 29, 29.00
Bartles, 13, 13.00

 

Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)
Huckleberry - 100.00% (8)
Wulaw Horn - 0.00% (0)
Tie - 0.00% (0)
HornOnTheBayou - 0.00% (0)
ztejas - 0.00% (0)
Zepol87 - 0.00% (0)
Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0)
Bartles - 0.00% (0)
Derka - 0.00% (0)

20250406_095333.thumb.jpg.d7d578fd59bc3aa9859d0e2e67ff6759.jpg

20250406_095340.thumb.jpg.eed2f8a8c44e7acf28044fa53f056c37.jpg

As you can see, I never got around to recopying to get rid of that misplaced darker line. 

It still annoys me though. 

Edited by Prepuce of Doom

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