March 28Mar 28 Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 62, 81.60 Zepol87, 49, 56.15 HornOnTheBayou, 43, 57.76 ztejas, 42, 56.11 Wulaw Horn, 32, 57.54 Prepuce of Doom, 32, 37.71 Derka, 29, 29.00 Bartles, 13, 13.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 58.86% (903) Wulaw Horn - 11.91% (401) ztejas - 11.34% (318) HornOnTheBayou - 11.23% (230) Zepol87 - 4.74% (155) Tie - 1.93% (41) Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0) Bartles - 0.00% (0) Derka - 0.00% (0) Neither of my 4 seeds won last night but the other low seeds losing helped my odds.
March 29Mar 29 I think I need a Mich final four to beat Huck but a win over Barn makes it interesting. @Huckleberry is that correct?
March 29Mar 29 Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 65, 76.75 Zepol87, 49, 49.00 Wulaw Horn, 44, 54.02 HornOnTheBayou, 43, 57.07 ztejas, 42, 46.81 Prepuce of Doom, 35, 39.95 Derka, 29, 29.00 Bartles, 13, 13.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 76.19% (78) HornOnTheBayou - 13.13% (23) Wulaw Horn - 8.37% (23) Tie - 2.32% (4) ztejas - 0.00% (0) Zepol87 - 0.00% (0) Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0) Bartles - 0.00% (0) Derka - 0.00% (0) In order of probability, the four possible ties are: Wulaw Horn/HornOnTheBayou with 70 points Huckleberry/Wulaw Horn with 74 points Huckleberry/Wulaw Horn with 74 points Wulaw Horn/HornOnTheBayou with 74 points
March 29Mar 29 1 hour ago, ztejas said: I think I need a Mich final four to beat Huck but a win over Barn makes it interesting. @Huckleberry is that correct? Narrarator: that was correct
March 30Mar 30 Thanks, Tech. Y'all wake me up when this over and tell me where to send the money. Edited March 30Mar 30 by HornOnTheBayou
March 30Mar 30 Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 65, 76.49 Zepol87, 49, 49.00 ztejas, 46, 50.06 Wulaw Horn, 44, 53.80 HornOnTheBayou, 43, 48.58 Prepuce of Doom, 35, 39.91 Derka, 29, 29.00 Bartles, 13, 13.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 89.64% (50) Wulaw Horn - 9.24% (13) Tie - 1.12% (1) HornOnTheBayou - 0.00% (0) ztejas - 0.00% (0) Zepol87 - 0.00% (0) Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0) Bartles - 0.00% (0) Derka - 0.00% (0) The one tie is me and Wulaw Horn. This happens if Tennessee beats Auburn in the national championship and Duke/Florida lose the semis.
March 30Mar 30 Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 65, 70.56 Zepol87, 49, 49.00 HornOnTheBayou, 47, 52.07 ztejas, 46, 49.98 Wulaw Horn, 44, 53.47 Prepuce of Doom, 35, 39.66 Derka, 29, 29.00 Bartles, 13, 13.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 86.49% (22) Wulaw Horn - 11.69% (9) Tie - 1.82% (1) HornOnTheBayou - 0.00% (0) ztejas - 0.00% (0) Zepol87 - 0.00% (0) Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0) Bartles - 0.00% (0) Derka - 0.00% (0)
March 30Mar 30 I post these after each round/game regardless of who's up. Not to mention we've had 10% probability guys during the second weekend win before. I won't feel comfortable until it says 100%.
March 30Mar 30 I don't see continuing to provide score updates as gloating or dunking on the rest of us or anything.
March 30Mar 30 Author 3 hours ago, Huckleberry said: I post these after each round/game regardless of who's up. Not to mention we've had 10% probability guys during the second weekend win before. I won't feel comfortable until it says 100%. Does it matter for me if it’s Michigan state or Tennessee that wins the national title? Do I need both of them through to the final 4 or will one of them losing today and the other winning the national title do it for me?
March 30Mar 30 2 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said: Does it matter for me if it’s Michigan state or Tennessee that wins the national title? Do I need both of them through to the final 4 or will one of them losing today and the other winning the national title do it for me? Your 9 outright win scenarios coming into today: So if Houston holds on you will need Michigan St. to win the national championship.
March 30Mar 30 Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 65, 70.53 Zepol87, 49, 49.00 HornOnTheBayou, 47, 51.75 ztejas, 46, 49.94 Wulaw Horn, 44, 48.35 Prepuce of Doom, 39, 42.60 Derka, 29, 29.00 Bartles, 13, 13.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 96.09% (14) Wulaw Horn - 3.91% (2) Tie - 0.00% (0) HornOnTheBayou - 0.00% (0) ztejas - 0.00% (0) Zepol87 - 0.00% (0) Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0) Bartles - 0.00% (0) Derka - 0.00% (0) As mentioned above, the 2 paths are both the possible Michigan St. national championship paths (one is beating Duke in the title game, the other is beating Houston).
March 30Mar 30 Okay gentlemen, DMs with Venmo info coming shortly. And one more time just for @ztejas: Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 69, 73.25 Zepol87, 49, 49.00 HornOnTheBayou, 47, 51.68 ztejas, 46, 49.53 Wulaw Horn, 44, 44.00 Prepuce of Doom, 39, 42.53 Derka, 29, 29.00 Bartles, 13, 13.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 100.00% (8) Wulaw Horn - 0.00% (0) Tie - 0.00% (0) HornOnTheBayou - 0.00% (0) ztejas - 0.00% (0) Zepol87 - 0.00% (0) Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0) Bartles - 0.00% (0) Derka - 0.00% (0)
April 6Apr 6 As you can see, I never got around to recopying to get rid of that misplaced darker line. It still annoys me though. Edited April 6Apr 6 by Prepuce of Doom
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