October 27Oct 27 Projections are Kingston will be right to the east of it. Full winds. Also- If it wobbles W or E will have a major impact. But the whole island is fucked. Edited October 27Oct 27 by InkaUtexas
October 27Oct 27 1 hour ago, InkaUtexas said: Projections are Kingston will be right to the east of it. Full winds. Also- If it wobbles W or E will have a major impact. But the whole island is fucked. if I recall, the massive deforestation of the island means they will have a shit ton of mudslides - and communities will be cut off from each other and from aid workers
October 27Oct 27 41 minutes ago, Gatorubet said: if I recall, the massive deforestation of the island means they will have a shit ton of mudslides - and communities will be cut off from each other and from aid workers Jamaica or Haiti? Yeah, Haiti is fucked with no matter what. A grasshopper could spit and it causes a mudslide. Aid worker? Where? We (the US) were the lead for this region. Um.... Well you know.
October 27Oct 27 Pre-storm images of prep. https://apnews.com/photo-gallery/caribbean-hurricane-melissa-photo-gallery-b8d65a331767fbed81d6bba2af288b5f
October 27Oct 27 2 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said: Looking a little bit better for Kingston (metro pop: 1.2 million) and the rest of the eastern third of the island. I imagine they'll still see tons of coastal flooding, mudslides, and the attendant damage, but let's hope they're spared the worst of the winds. Of course, that's no consolation for the poor folks 50 miles to the west.
October 27Oct 27 25 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said: Forecast is 40 inches of rain, Cat 4-5 winds, and a 8 foot storm surge. Good lord!
October 27Oct 27 I went to Negril probably 7 or 8 times in my 20's and early 30's. Doesn't seem like area ever fully recovered post-covid from what I've read (more crime, etc.) and this certainly won't help, but at least it doesn't look like the Western side will take the worst of it. Never been down to the south coast area where this will hit and it's not nearly as developed, but what is there about to get wiped out. Lots of good people there. Hate it for them.
October 27Oct 27 46 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said: Forecast is 40 inches of rain, Cat 4-5 winds, and a 8 foot storm surge. Welp. Goodbye Jamaica I guess.
October 27Oct 27 2 minutes ago, Parliament said: Welp. Goodbye Jamaica I guess. I would go with this.
October 27Oct 27 Just heard that one of the hurricane-hunting aircraft had to turn around due to extreme turbulence.
October 27Oct 27 A Cat 3 five miles to the west of Santiago de Cuba doesn't sound good either. Edited October 27Oct 27 by SimonBolivar
October 27Oct 27 1 hour ago, bolverk said: Just heard that one of the hurricane-hunting aircraft had to turn around due to extreme turbulence. Not even getting paid, either
October 27Oct 27 15 hours ago, InkaUtexas said: Aid worker? Where? We (the US) were the lead for this region. Um.... Well you know. TSHCC? (Trumps shit-hole country caveat?)
October 27Oct 27 20 minutes ago, chainsaw said: Not even getting paid, either Probably sitting under a cabana sipping a mai tai with a walkie talkie "Yeah this one's bad. Gonna turn back now. shhhhhh keeeeesh you're breaking up!"
October 27Oct 27 48 minutes ago, NorthLoop said: Probably sitting under a cabana sipping a mai tai with a walkie talkie "Yeah this one's bad. Gonna turn back now. shhhhhh keeeeesh you're breaking up!"
October 27Oct 27 4 minutes ago, TonyTexas said: The benefit concert will be lit Headlined by Ras Trent bada ding ding ding ding woah!! Edited October 27Oct 27 by hookemATL Disclaimer: I wish nothing but the best to Jamaica. BUMBACLOT ass hurricane!
October 27Oct 27 7 hours ago, InkaUtexas said: Pre-storm images of prep. https://apnews.com/photo-gallery/caribbean-hurricane-melissa-photo-gallery-b8d65a331767fbed81d6bba2af288b5f That oughta just about do it!
October 27Oct 27 shifting west slowly still. looks to be sparing kingston but the west and central parts of the island are gonna get slammed with surge and a shitload of rain.
October 28Oct 28 1 hour ago, texastough said: The 175 mph winds might do a little damage too Hide behind a blue shed. Other than that it will buff out.
October 28Oct 28 893 on the first pass, and the plane didn't get a good eye penetration. Hello history. This bitch may be at 880s before she is done.
October 28Oct 28 latested dropsonde at 892. Unofficially tying the strongest hurricane ever at landfall.
October 28Oct 28 9 minutes ago, UnivTex34 said: latested dropsonde at 892. Unofficially tying the strongest hurricane ever at landfall. Holy shit
October 28Oct 28 59 minutes ago, MNLonghornFUKM said: Is there a lot of people on that side of the island? It seems like it's hitting in as good of place as it can from a development and population standpoint from what I know about the island. Obviously what is there is going to get wiped out and the east coast and Kingston going to get hit with storm surge on the dirty side of it.
October 28Oct 28 40 minutes ago, UnivTex34 said: latested dropsonde at 892. Unofficially tying the strongest hurricane ever at landfall. No longer unofficial. Kermit confirms and NHC has officially said 892 and 185. Ties the strongest ever in both categories.
October 28Oct 28 27 minutes ago, UnivTex34 said: No longer unofficial. Kermit confirms and NHC has officially said 892 and 185. Ties the strongest ever in both categories. This was (soon to be) #2 to make landfall: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1935_Labor_Day_hurricane Apparently was moving 30 mph then slowed to 10 mph. This one? Walking speed.
October 28Oct 28 4 minutes ago, Rip76 said: WOW! 700'. F That. id imagine some pants shitting as well. holy fuck.
October 28Oct 28 Reading that made me go see if there'd been any planes lost to structural failure due to hurricane missions. There definitely have beeen some but it's been a while. Some recent near misses.
October 28Oct 28 I never made it to Floyd's Pelican bar during my Jamaica trips. It's a bar constructed out on a sand bar you had to take a boat out to south of Negril and close to where the eye is passing now. Had actually planned to finally visit on my 40th b-day when Covid hit and never made it back to Jamaica. Safe to say that place, along with damn near everything south of White house to Treaseure Bay area around the coast line now ceases to exist. I'm glad for Negril that it didn't move about 30 miles further west before the North turn as they are missing the worst of it, but horrible.
October 28Oct 28 What's crazy to me is how small airplanes will just break apart in a severe thunderstorm. Larger planes are much more stable in flight with but there's definitely a part of these guys Leeroy Jenkinsing it.
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