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Featured Replies

https://www.covers.com/mlb/win-totals-odds

There will be no winners, only losers in this contest -- if you go 0-4, I will bump this thread in September and point and laugh at you.  (pretty sure no one managed to go 0-4 last season)

image.thumb.png.c28d32192e46c14e78e7cad21706b3f7.png

I'll take Cincy over and STL under.

 

Astros fans can skip the AL, because we all know you're going to pick Houston over and Texas under. 

image.thumb.png.cdc35cc737d8ee471dda1e5b293eead7.png

I'll take Boston over and Tampa under.

 

Bonus: Pick breakout player in each league who will be much better than people expect.

I'll take Matt McLain in the NL and Chase DeLauter in the AL.  

Cubs over, Dodgers under

Sacramento over, Royals under

Rockies, Over

Padres, Under

A’s, Over

Mariners, Under

 

Pirates over.  Padres under.   (any team that rosters Martin Maldonado is getting an under vote from me)

 

Red Sox over.  Blue Jays under.  
 

 

 

NL: Reds over, Dodgers under

Breakout player: Masyn Winn

AL: Rays over, Twins under

Breakout player: JC Escarra

Braves under, Nationals over.....James Wood

White Sox under lulz, Boston over... Cam Smith 

 

 

 

Looks like everyone finally learned the Yankees hit the over almost every year haha

Reds over, nationals under. 
astros over, yanks under. 
 

I think the rangers go over- even as an astros fan. 

  • Author
On 3/24/2025 at 9:23 PM, henrygandorf said:

mize.

Like, Casey Mize?  If so, that's the most interesting breakout pick in the thread.

Is that a WAG, or do you know something?

 

19 minutes ago, Beau Vine said:

Like, Casey Mize?  If so, that's the most interesting breakout pick in the thread.

Is that a WAG, or do you know something?

he checks a lot of boxes.

he's 27, which is the age where things tend to click for guys who haven't found it yet. he's a former top pick, so you have to assume that at some point he had a combination of natural talent, makeup, and ability (i assume he can be coached, who knows). he's also on the tigers, who had last year's cy young award winner, who rose from relative obscurity, at age 27.

also he's killing it this spring. which to me means close to nothing. but rather he be killing it than getting blowed up.

and for "breakout", your description seemed to match guys 25+ who haven't broken through, not some rookie who's highly touted and is just now getting his shot.

btw, i like the reds and the nlc is a tossup, but apparently everybody and their dog is betting on cincy o total wins this year, so my play was purely contra.

Someone picked the Rockies over?  You’re either brave, crazy, or both.

NL:  Pirates over, Phillies under

AL:  Cleveland over, Royals under 

Nick Lodolo, Osvaldo Bido

 

Dodgers under and Mets over.

Athletics under and Red Sox over.

 

As for the Astros and Rangers, I could see either one being 10 above or below their o/u total.  They each have a bunch of guys they'd like to see take the next steps this year.  If they do, either team can contend, and if they don't, or guys like Framber or deGrom go down, they're going to have a very hard time clearing .500.  Also, fuck the Rangers.

Edited by TexArcher

  • Author
6 hours ago, shadow_operative2.0 said:

I like how Beau's breakout already had a 3.6 bWAR season in 89 games. 

Two years ago!  I'll switch to Gavin Lux if it makes you happy, because he's my current Guy Who I Thought Would Be Great And Can't Admit That He Sucks.

Mets over, Dodgers under.

Cleveland over, Yankees under

Cam Smith for AL, Bubba Chandler for the NL

 

The Mets got a lot better this offseason and should be able to trade for more talent mid-season. If Lindor can play well to start the season, like he did to end last season, they should be in great shape to win a lot more games this year. Holmes moving to SP will be interesting, but I think he can do it. 

I think the injury bug catches the Dodgers this year and derails their plans of a 100 win season.  

Cleveland made some moves, but primarily they should have a better starting rotation this year. If Bieber can come back mid-season and be anything close to what he was, they will be in great shape for the playoffs. I think they will promote a few guys to play 2B and OF during the season. Jhonk should be a starter and mash a ton of homers right behind Jram. 

Yankees lost Soto in free agency, Cole to TJ surgery, Stanton's arms are falling off and they have a bunch more injuries to deal with before playing even 1 game so far. Not looking great for their season in a very tough division. 

This is much harder than last year, most numbers look damn good. Only one I struggled with picking last year was AL under and it's the one I missed. But have to play so...

AL Under - Boston

AL Over - Chicago

NL Under - Philadelphia

NL Over - Chicago

Not counting my money yet but that Braves under looking pretty good

  • 3 months later...
18 minutes ago, UTexasFight said:

Is anyone tracking on all of their picks?

 

a lot of baseball left

I’m trending 4-0 right now, I think. I had under on yanks at 91.5. That’s pretty damn close one way or another. 
 

ha. Just did the maths… yanks on pace for 91.37 wins. Thats a winner. Science. 

Edited by Wulaw Horn

  • Author

One of my breakout picks is about to be called up for his debut!

Season 4 Success GIF by The Office

  • Author
On 3/24/2025 at 7:46 PM, hornmpa96 said:

Rockies, Over

Ricky Gervais Lol GIF

1 minute ago, Beau Vine said:

One of my breakout picks is about to be called up for his debut!

Season 4 Success GIF by The Office

I had Hunter brown and Skenes winning the cy youngs. That’s not bad. Who could have seen Skenes coming?  I mean- Hunter Brown was the obvious pick but the other was way off the board. 

On 3/26/2025 at 6:10 PM, MrX said:

Someone picked the Rockies over?  You’re either brave, crazy, or both.

NL:  Pirates over, Phillies under

AL:  Cleveland over, Royals under 

Nick Lodolo, Osvaldo Bido

 

Well I’m 100 percent there on the Rockies aside. 
 

Looking at 1-3 - Phillies U no, Cleveland O no, Pirates O hell no, Royals U pretty solid yes. 
 

Nick Lodolo’s been solid but I wouldn’t say a breakout. Osvaldo Bido…well he just got recalled to The Show so you’re telling me there’s a chance!

5 hours ago, Beau Vine said:

Ricky Gervais Lol GIF

I deserve the pointing and laughing. 

On 3/27/2025 at 8:15 AM, Huckleberry said:

AL Under - Boston

AL Over - Chicago

NL Under - Philadelphia

NL Over - Chicago

Got a chance but L as of now

Barely a W as of now

L as of now

Easy W as of now

On 3/24/2025 at 10:23 PM, henrygandorf said:

miami over. cincy under.

detroit over. angels under.

schwellenbach. mize.

 

On 3/26/2025 at 2:56 PM, Beau Vine said:

Like, Casey Mize?  If so, that's the most interesting breakout pick in the thread.

Is that a WAG, or do you know something?

 

He's an all-star

On 3/24/2025 at 10:46 PM, Guadaloopy said:

Pirates over.  Padres under.   (any team that rosters Martin Maldonado is getting an under vote from me)

 

Red Sox over.  Blue Jays under.  
 

 

 

Way off on Pirates and Blue Jays.  Going to lose both of those.  Winning Boston... barely.  Happy that the Pads are proving me wrong, but they could still stumble and bring me to .500.

  • Author
3 hours ago, Guadaloopy said:

Happy that the Pads are proving me wrong, but they could still stumble and bring me to .500.

Your logic on that one was strong, though.

On 7/12/2025 at 1:27 PM, WBT said:

He's an all-star

my man

Beau’s curse continues.

Quote

The Guardians announced today that outfield prospect Chase DeLauter required surgery due to a right hamate fracture. Their announcement noted that the typical return timeline for such a procedure is six to eight weeks. 

  • 1 month later...
On 3/27/2025 at 8:15 AM, Huckleberry said:

This is much harder than last year, most numbers look damn good. Only one I struggled with picking last year was AL under and it's the one I missed. But have to play so...

AL Under - Boston

AL Over - Chicago

NL Under - Philadelphia

NL Over - Chicago

L about to be clinched
W clinched
L about to be clinched
W clinched

On 3/24/2025 at 6:18 PM, Beau Vine said:

Astros fans can skip the AL, because we all know you're going to pick Houston over and Texas under. 

image.thumb.png.cdc35cc737d8ee471dda1e5b293eead7.png

And likely will be correct 

On 3/26/2025 at 6:10 PM, MrX said:

Someone picked the Rockies over?  You’re either brave, crazy, or both.

NL:  Pirates over, Phillies under

AL:  Cleveland over, Royals under 

Nick Lodolo, Osvaldo Bido

 

Pirates is a L, Phillies is a L.  Cleveland is a W, KC about to clinch a W. 
 

The Rockies fucking suck and are an embarrassment to my fine city.

 

On 3/25/2025 at 8:53 AM, Helobious said:

NL: Reds over, Dodgers under

Breakout player: Masyn Winn

AL: Rays over, Twins under

Breakout player: JC Escarra

If the Rays can win 6 in a row I’ll go 4 for 4. 

On 3/24/2025 at 7:18 PM, WBT said:

Cubs over, Dodgers under

Sacramento over, Royals under

1 more KC loss and I'm 4 for 4.  Should have put some money down.

  • Author

Dammit, I missed going 4-0 by 1 game (STL).  Fuck you, Oli Marmol!

And we're not going to talk about my breakout picks...

Edited by Beau Vine

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