November 9Nov 9 He has all but 11 of the BYU passing attempts this season. Bachmeier is indeed a Freshman, but he's been playing damn well for the Cougars. He's not 'new.' Discussed upthread, but also thought BYU pulled the reins in the 3rd a little, and most definitely in the 4th. It was some boring-ass, plain vanilla play calling by both teams, with the prospect of a possible rematch looming. Edited November 9Nov 9 by Iceman
November 9Nov 9 2 hours ago, hornbri said: It is not that dumb, we are going to be the last at large in this week and the 9 teams in front of us are not going to move that much. If we lose to Georgia it is something like B1G OSU Indiana (or Ohio State whoever loses the B1G) 2 of A&M, Alabama, Ole Miss (depending on who wins the SEC) Big 12 Champ Georgia (they miss the SEC game) Oregon ND ….. So 3 loss Texas with wins over A&M, Vanderbilt, and Oklahoma would be battling to be the 5th SEC team in against the 4th Big 10 team, the 2nd big 12 team and the 2nd ACC team. I just don’t think it is as clear cut that for sure a 3 loss team is getting in, i do think it would be close. Read what I wrote I said definitely getting in above us for a reason because I was responding to a moron who said absolutely no chance if we lose to GA. Every computer has 9/3 texas north of 70% ringer in. It’s not a metaphysical certainty or anything but to say no chance is idiotically dumb. mall those teams you were talking about getting in probably have losses ahead of them. Michigan. Georgia Tech, USC, OU will all be prohibitive favorites to not win out. We just need that to happen. If it doesn’t we also have river card outs with the chance for Oregon to lose twice, MSST to lose to Florida or Ole Miss or Domers to lose. No chance with a loss to Georgia? Incredibly fucking dumb man. That’s what I was replying to.
November 9Nov 9 27 minutes ago, Steelers Roll Left said: Texas & OU tied for 10th in Coach’s poll w/ both Georgia Tech & BYU behind them….. glad this poll doesn't count
November 9Nov 9 No tie in the AP Back in the top 10 https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll AP has Ole Miss 3 points ahead of Oregon. Otherwise the same top 10 as Coaches Edited November 9Nov 9 by UTexasFight
November 9Nov 9 SC is a team to watch. A 10-2 SC and 10-2 Oregon would be a pretty compelling to the committee. People don’t want to talk about it but OSU is a team with a lot of bread on the schedule outside of Texas. They have, however, won convincingly most games. Fans and talking heads overvalue “big” wins (and overly punish big losses). And they undervalue consistent winning when teams are moderate favorites or moderate dawgs. You’ll look at 5 game stretch where a team is at 75% chance to win and think its a walk; but each of those dogs has a better chance to win than the favorite to emerge unscathed. Drop a game or two to 60 or 55 percent chance of winning and its really a longshot.
November 9Nov 9 17 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said: SC is a team to watch. A 10-2 SC and 10-2 Oregon would be a pretty compelling to the committee. People don’t want to talk about it but OSU is a team with a lot of bread on the schedule outside of Texas. They have, however, won convincingly most games. Fans and talking heads overvalue “big” wins (and overly punish big losses). And they undervalue consistent winning when teams are moderate favorites or moderate dawgs. You’ll look at 5 game stretch where a team is at 75% chance to win and think its a walk; but each of those dogs has a better chance to win than the favorite to emerge unscathed. Drop a game or two to 60 or 55 percent chance of winning and its really a longshot. Either or both SC and Oregon at 10-2 will absolutely be in the playoffs. It seems unlikely that they both will finish 10-2. Lot of loseable games on the schedule for each team and the only way they could both be 10-2 is if USC wins at Oregon which won’t be how the game is favored to go.
November 9Nov 9 16 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said: SC is a team to watch. A 10-2 SC and 10-2 Oregon would be a pretty compelling to the committee. People don’t want to talk about it but OSU is a team with a lot of bread on the schedule outside of Texas. They have, however, won convincingly most games. Fans and talking heads overvalue “big” wins (and overly punish big losses). And they undervalue consistent winning when teams are moderate favorites or moderate dawgs. You’ll look at 5 game stretch where a team is at 75% chance to win and think its a walk; but each of those dogs has a better chance to win than the favorite to emerge unscathed. Drop a game or two to 60 or 55 percent chance of winning and its really a longshot. How would 10-2 Oregon be compelling? They would have played 3 good teams and lost to 2 of them.
November 9Nov 9 23 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said: SC is a team to watch. A 10-2 SC and 10-2 Oregon would be a pretty compelling to the committee. People don’t want to talk about it but OSU is a team with a lot of bread on the schedule outside of Texas. They have, however, won convincingly most games. Fans and talking heads overvalue “big” wins (and overly punish big losses). And they undervalue consistent winning when teams are moderate favorites or moderate dawgs. You’ll look at 5 game stretch where a team is at 75% chance to win and think its a walk; but each of those dogs has a better chance to win than the favorite to emerge unscathed. Drop a game or two to 60 or 55 percent chance of winning and its really a longshot. OSU has a resume comparable to your school, just with more cache. One legit win and a whole bunch of bread. But unlike Texas, for example, OSU and A&M have generally showed up and flexed muscle against their bread.
November 9Nov 9 7 minutes ago, Reynolds Woodcock said: OSU has a resume comparable to your school, just with more cache. One legit win and a whole bunch of bread. But unlike Texas, for example, OSU and A&M have generally showed up and flexed muscle against their bread. On every metric A&M’s SoS is far closer to Texas’ than to tOSU. Massey, Sagarin, FPI. Take your pick. A&M and Texas usually within about 5 of each other and tOSU down in the 20s to even 40s. But— as I posted earlier— fans overstate SoS value for the committee. Edited November 9Nov 9 by 956 Worldwide
November 9Nov 9 Since several different opinions, just wondering which 3 loss scenario gives Texas best chance to make playoffs: Lose to Ga, beat arky & aggy Lose to arky, beat Ga & aggy Lose to aggy, beat Ga & arky
November 9Nov 9 Just now, LTtxfan said: Since several different opinions, just wondering which 3 loss scenario gives Texas best chance to make playoffs: Lose to Ga, beat arky & aggy Lose to arky, beat Ga & aggy Lose to aggy, beat Ga & arky Or just don't lose.
November 9Nov 9 14 minutes ago, ztejas said: How would 10-2 Oregon be compelling? They would have played 3 good teams and lost to 2 of them. The committee will look for reasons to have more rather than less conference balance.
November 9Nov 9 1 minute ago, LTtxfan said: Since several different opinions, just wondering which 3 loss scenario gives Texas best chance to make playoffs: Lose to Ga, beat arky & aggy Lose to arky, beat Ga & aggy Lose to aggy, beat Ga & arky 1 for sure. The later you lose, the less chance you have to move back up. the old adage it’s better to lose early than to lose late….
November 9Nov 9 1 minute ago, LTtxfan said: Since several different opinions, just wondering which 3 loss scenario gives Texas best chance to make playoffs: Lose to Ga, beat arky & aggy Lose to arky, beat Ga & aggy Lose to aggy, beat Ga & arky Very much dependent on how you look in the losses and what the teams do with rest of the schedule. Blowing out UGA at home, thumping Arky, and dropping a tight one to A&M is a good look, or you can swap the results for UGA and A&M assuming they both win out otherwise. Likewise, eking out a win over A&M but losing big to UGA is likely less helpful.
November 9Nov 9 51 minutes ago, UTexasFight said: No tie in the AP Back in the top 10 https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll AP has Ole Miss 3 points ahead of Oregon. Otherwise the same top 10 as Coaches
November 9Nov 9 2 minutes ago, immamac said: A Texas that wins out and misses the SECCG is fucking stupid as fuck. That being Bama v Ole Miss in that scenario?
November 9Nov 9 2 hours ago, Dbeasy said: Tech has at least six guys Texas would really like on their roster. Tech is legit. $$$$$&$$$
November 9Nov 9 Lose to Georgia then we don’t really need to worry about playoffs… If we don’t beat them we aren’t magically going to turn into a team that’s going to actually going to win the National Championship.
November 9Nov 9 11 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said: On every metric A&M’s SoS is far closer to Texas’ than to tOSU. Massey, Sagarin, FPI. Take your pick. A&M and Texas usually within about 5 of each other and tOSU down in the 20s to even 40s. But— as I posted earlier— fans overstate SoS value for the committee. That’s interesting. Based on watching the games, I find it hard to find a discernible difference between Auburn, LSU, Missouri, Arkansas, Miss St and Florida, on the one hand, and Penn State, Washington, Illinois, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Purdue, on the other hand. OU and Vandy would pretty clearly be the second and third best teams on either A&M’s or OSU’s schedule. Just to be clear, I’m not suggesting either team is either overranked or overrated. Just that both have only faced high level competition once this season.
November 9Nov 9 Popular Post 3 minutes ago, Hook1997 said: Lose to Georgia then we don’t really need to worry about playoffs… If we don’t beat them we aren’t magically going to turn into a team that’s going to actually going to win the National Championship. Idk I’d like to see us in the playoffs regardless of our odds to win it all. I’m crazy like that though
November 9Nov 9 Damn... sure are a lot of teams that could win "the whole thing" this year. Hopefully the playoffs are a bunch of great games.
November 9Nov 9 15 minutes ago, immamac said: A Texas that wins out and misses the SECCG is fucking stupid as fuck. Beating two Top 5 teams will elevate us over Ole Miss. I’m assuming that a tie between us and Ole Miss would be decided by rank, or is there some convoluted common opponent metric?
November 9Nov 9 3 minutes ago, MirrOlure said: Beating two Top 5 teams will elevate us over Ole Miss. I’m assuming that a tie between us and Ole Miss would be decided by rank, or is there some convoluted common opponent metric? Its some bullshit 3 way tie with a round robin clause now. Its the dumbest thing I've ever seen when there's a h2h in a 3 way tie there's no need for it to be round robin.
November 9Nov 9 12 minutes ago, Reynolds Woodcock said: That’s interesting. Based on watching the games, I find it hard to find a discernible difference between Auburn, LSU, Missouri, Arkansas, Miss St and Florida, on the one hand, and Penn State, Washington, Illinois, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Purdue, on the other hand. OU and Vandy would pretty clearly be the second and third best teams on either A&M’s or OSU’s schedule. Just to be clear, I’m not suggesting either team is either overranked or overrated. Just that both have only faced high level competition once this season. It’s the cumulative thing. In any given contest, the difference isn’t that big: maybe Auburn had a 15 percent or so greater chance to win against A&M than Minnesota did against tOSU (pulled that from my ass, BTW). But over five games those probabilities cumulatively mean a huge difference. This has always been the secret about the SEC, btw. And why it’s so maddening to try and figure out why it is. The bottom and mid teams are just a BIT better than the bottom and mid of others. In indibidual games- doesn’t seem noticable. In a full season it shows up. I think tOSU is in the right spot, btw. Edited November 9Nov 9 by 956 Worldwide
November 9Nov 9 15 minutes ago, Cairn Horn88 said: $$$$$&$$$ Yeah I'm sure Texas is not paying its players and definitely isn't in the top 5 in spend for this season. Fucking idiot take.
November 9Nov 9 31 minutes ago, immamac said: A Texas that wins out and misses the SECCG is fucking stupid as fuck. It will be hilarious because if we win out A&M at Texas will be a top 5 match up. Texas would be ranked 2nd in the country and still miss the SEC Edit : r/wouldnt/would Edited November 9Nov 9 by BigHornedLurker
November 9Nov 9 Just now, BigHornedLurker said: It will be hilarious because if we win out A&M at Texas will be a top 5 match up. Texas wouldn't be ranked 2nd in the country and still miss the SEC Except they would because the rules are written so fucking dumb.
November 9Nov 9 1 minute ago, immamac said: Except they would because the rules are written so fucking dumb. I autocorrected but left it since you responded super fast. Maybe we move down to 3 after the SEC championship , but we'd be at 2 watching everything from a hot tub Edited November 9Nov 9 by BigHornedLurker
November 9Nov 9 37 minutes ago, immamac said: A Texas that wins out and misses the SECCG is fucking stupid as fuck. Whatever. Rest up and get ready for the real games.
November 9Nov 9 ND ahead of us is a crime against humanity. How is that even possible? They play literally academy schools.
November 9Nov 9 Popular Post Just now, William Bludworth said: ND ahead of us is a crime against humanity. How is that even possible? They play literally academy schools. They didn’t lose to Florida. To be fair without that loss Texas is a top 5 team
November 9Nov 9 4 minutes ago, immamac said: They didn’t lose to Florida. To be fair without that loss Texas is a top 5 team cockroaches
November 9Nov 9 11 minutes ago, wood said: Anyone know if that's a first? Texas would beat the living shit out of Gomer and Tech
November 9Nov 9 27 minutes ago, Brian Fantana said: Yeah I'm sure Texas is not paying its players and definitely isn't in the top 5 in spend for this season. Fucking idiot take. All he’s saying is that they outbid Texas for a few players, which they did.
November 9Nov 9 It feels like Ole Miss is going to get left out in the cold. They don’t have enough meat on the schedule to pass Bama or aggy. I bet Lane could give a shit, but pretty interesting that a 11-1 team might not make the conference championship.
November 9Nov 9 11 minutes ago, William Bludworth said: ND ahead of us is a crime against humanity. How is that even possible? They play literally academy schools. ND has looked better than us for the entire season. If we beat Georgia next week I think we jump them and tech.
November 9Nov 9 58 minutes ago, The Original CaliHorn said: Texas would beat the living shit out of Gomer and Tech I was talking about this part. Quote What a wild ride after starting as the No. 1 team, to falling unranked, to back into the top 10 Is that a first? Us being #1, then out of the poll, and back to #10 says more about the idiotic polls than it does about us imho. It was stupid that we were dropped out of the top 25 when it happened. Just as stupid as ranking us #1 with a new stasrting qb among others. We never should have been out of the top 25 and shouldn't have been #1. But I wonder if that's ever happened before. Edited November 9Nov 9 by wood
November 9Nov 9 It's pretty wild and fun when you can't really point to a dominant group among the top ten teams. It felt like it would be that way from the beginning. I'd say Bama, Georgia, and Ohio State are the barely elite. A&M has done with their easy schedule all that can be done. I suspect that they belong lower in the rating, but it's so hard to tell for sure. If we get our safeties back and Arch keeps growing, we might end up being the national monster. Big if. If Arch can execute from the start, I think we can jump ahead of Georgia early. Sark's specially designed plays will work. Then we have to see if we can hold off their furious fourth quarter comeback.
November 9Nov 9 1 hour ago, Hook1997 said: Lose to Georgia then we don’t really need to worry about playoffs… If we don’t beat them we aren’t magically going to turn into a team that’s going to actually going to win the National Championship. Like if Ohio State lost to Michigan last year? Just get in.
November 9Nov 9 27 minutes ago, immamac said: They didn’t lose to Florida. To be fair without that loss Texas is a top 5 team God damn, that loss to Florida just completely face raped us. You know it's bad when you go from #9 to completely out of the polls. It's amazing we're back to where we were. That loss it a hard pill to swallow.
November 9Nov 9 6 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said: I don’t typically tend to notice names unless they a sociopaths, absolute and utter morons, or awesome, consistently, all the time. Or, Sydney Carton who’s none of the above but I notice. Maybe he should be on my always ignore but that’s Helo level dumb for me to really notice. Glad to know I'm on your radar.
November 9Nov 9 13 minutes ago, Mr. Drummond said: ND has looked better than us for the entire season. If we beat Georgia next week I think we jump them and tech. ND hasn’t played a really bad schedule. Theirs is better than most teams in the Big Ten or ACC. Four opponents currently in the CFP rankings. Only two G5 opponents (fewer than nearly all actual P4 schools). One of those was a CFP team last year and the other was one loss team. Beyond that, ND-Navy has been played since 1927 with only COVID interrupting. A lot of the things people shit on ND for are actually cool things ND does. They could easily replace that game for another bigger payday but it’s one of the older and cooler games in the sport and its awesome that every Middie player gets a shot at Domer.
November 9Nov 9 12 minutes ago, RomaVicta said: It's pretty wild and fun when you can't really point to a dominant group among the top ten teams. It felt like it would be that way from the beginning. I'd say Bama, Georgia, and Ohio State are the barely elite. A&M has done with their easy schedule all that can be done. I suspect that they belong lower in the rating, but it's so hard to tell for sure. If we get our safeties back and Arch keeps growing, we might end up being the national monster. Big if. If Arch can execute from the start, I think we can jump ahead of Georgia early. Sark's specially designed plays will work. Then we have to see if we can hold off their furious fourth quarter comeback. I can say with almost complete confidence that if aggy were to play Indiana, they would get embarrassed. That's a game I want to see. Not Georgia/TCU embarrassed, but they would lose by 2-3 TD's. They're definitely a tier three team.
November 9Nov 9 19 minutes ago, William Bludworth said: I can say with almost complete confidence that if aggy were to play Indiana, they would get embarrassed. That's a game I want to see. Not Georgia/TCU embarrassed, but they would lose by 2-3 TD's. They're definitely a tier three team. I've kind of fallen in love with Indiana. I had a similar feeling for Iowa State when we were Big 12. Indiana football is pretty old school tough discipline. I enjoy watching their games. I pretty much think they deserve their ranking. I'd love to see that matchup. I'm glad of the expanded playoff because of the wild possibilities. We'd be the story of the decade if we took it all (must win out). What a ride! A footnote of pleasure would be doing in the year the Aggies have their best chance since the 90s (fuck the Covid season).
November 9Nov 9 1 hour ago, Brian Fantana said: Yeah I'm sure Texas is not paying its players and definitely isn't in the top 5 in spend for this season. Fucking idiot take. The worst thing about Tech being “good” is having to listen to this cunt. Why don’t you fuck off to Raider Power.
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