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Just now, F250 said:

Well, this sounds very underwhelming.

Agree. Beto has hung on for longer than I expected, but he is likely to lose too.  Unless something weird happens that Orange turd is gonna be doing a victory lap in about 4 hours. 

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  • Hank Scorpio
    Hank Scorpio

    I'm sorry, look at all these old fucking goblins at this thing:  Let's go one by one:  Beatrice She has not missed a single city council meeting or church bingo in 35 years. S

  • Born to Run
    Born to Run

    I’ve heard this bullshit my entire life, hell I used to believe the myth that Republicans were all about “faith in the common man succeeding when unimpeded by the govt.” Left alone business and humani

  • austingirl
    austingirl

    I do volunteer work for Beto's campaign (surprise!). I get called a "libtard" on a regular basis and get a lot of responses that are just "#MAGA!" and the like, but I also hear a lot of "who is Beto?"

Just now, NowThis said:

El Paso has not reported right? 

Right.  And they have about 200k votes in, probably at least 70% for Beto.

All that matters on a national level, with the Senate off the table, is House Judiciary subpoeana power. If I can get that and Beto, I will be happy. 

Htown and EP should be immense for Beto

I’ve reached the point that I’m just hoping to see the Ds flip the house. That’s gonna be close tho.  

1 minute ago, horncyclist said:

Turnout is huge there. 

 

And as far as Cruz catching up. I beleive what we've seen is the early vote come in for big counties first, followed by early vote plus from the rural counties. Plus Houston and El Paso outstanding.

 

Anyone following this really closely know how Beto's doing against benchmarks? How's turnout estimates looking?

I have not seen EV totals for Harris yet.  I tried on Harris Votes, and nothing.

el paso 75/25 for Beto early vote

1 minute ago, NowThis said:

El Paso has not reported right? 

 

Just now, NowThis said:

Htown and EP should be immense for Beto

Harris isn’t immense for anyone. 

1 minute ago, Ted Lange said:

Agree. Beto has hung on for longer than I expected, but he is likely to lose too.  Unless something weird happens that Orange turd is gonna be doing a victory lap in about 4 hours. 

giphy.gif

Just now, Johnny Sack said:

Harris isn’t immense for anyone. 

except the most populated county in Texas

1 minute ago, horncyclist said:

All that matters on a national level, with the Senate off the table, is House Judiciary subpoeana power. If I can get that and Beto, I will be happy. 

This.

 

1 minute ago, NowThis said:

fucking photo finish

Yeah this looks really close to me. 

Just now, Ted Lange said:

I’ve reached the point that I’m just hoping to see the Ds flip the house. That’s gonna be close tho.  

Frankly, I'm not sure that's gonna happen at this point.  

Polls are wrong because people are LIARS.  They say what they think sounds like a thoughtful answer and then they vote like an asshole.  It's the American way.  Besides, nobody wants to see anyone else do better, get more, get healthy.  We're a blood thirsty and selfish group of people.

Just now, 4Pete said:

Frankly, I'm not sure that's gonna happen at this point.  

Polls are wrong because people are LIARS.  They say what they think sounds like a thoughtful answer and then they vote like an asshole.  It's the American way.  Besides, nobody wants to see anyone else do better, get more, get healthy.  We're a blood thirsty and selfish group of people.

Agree. At this point it’s a little more than 50/50

4 minutes ago, Celery Man said:

el paso 75/25 for Beto early vote

 

how does "early" translate into total margin?

Edited by NowThis

Cruz jumped ahead for a hot minute, then El Paso started reporting. 

Edited by Pato del Muerto

U.S. Senator
Precincts: 255 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Beto O'Rourke (D)
2684816(51%)
Ted Cruz (R)
2507078(48%)
Neal M. Dikeman (L)
31406(1%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 5223300


Governor
Precincts: 210 / 7987 (3% reporting)
✔ Greg Abbott (R)
2274095(54%)
Lupe Valdez (D)
1849602(44%)
Mark Jay Tippetts (L)
67230(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4190927


LT. Governor
Precincts: 206 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Dan Patrick (R)
2034097(50%)
Mike Collier (D)
1973808(48%)
Kerry Douglas McKennon (L)
83062(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4090967


Attorney General
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Ken Paxton (R)
2011597(49%)
Justin Nelson (D)
1997781(49%)
Michael Ray Harris (L)
91045(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4100423


AG. Commissioner
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Sid Miller (R)
2035537(50%)
Kim Olson (D)
1950441(48%)
Richard Carpenter (L)
86791(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4072769

2 minutes ago, 4Pete said:

Frankly, I'm not sure that's gonna happen at this point.  

Polls are wrong because people are LIARS.  They say what they think sounds like a thoughtful answer and then they vote like an asshole.  It's the American way.  Besides, nobody wants to see anyone else do better, get more, get healthy.  We're a blood thirsty and selfish group of people.

They say what others want to hear (pollsters) because they don't want to be judged.  Not only that, they don't want to admit they are as shitty as their grandparents and great-grandparents. They are them. 

Just now, Nice Guy Eddie said:

Montgomery county is going to pull this race a lot closer in a few minutes

Bigly 

3M votes left and the majority of those are in the big urban areas. Beto should pull this out. 

So looks like ABC 13 has some Harris County Votes.  Not liking this result so far...

 

Harris County Judge
0% of precincts reporting
  • Emmett
  • 412,520
  • (49.5%)
  • Hidalgo
  • 406,313
  • (48.7%)
  • Gatlin
  • 15,082
  • (1.8%)

 

2 minutes ago, RPM said:

U.S. Senator
Precincts: 255 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Beto O'Rourke (D)
2684816(51%)
Ted Cruz (R)
2507078(48%)
Neal M. Dikeman (L)
31406(1%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 5223300


Governor
Precincts: 210 / 7987 (3% reporting)
✔ Greg Abbott (R)
2274095(54%)
Lupe Valdez (D)
1849602(44%)
Mark Jay Tippetts (L)
67230(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4190927


LT. Governor
Precincts: 206 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Dan Patrick (R)
2034097(50%)
Mike Collier (D)
1973808(48%)
Kerry Douglas McKennon (L)
83062(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4090967


Attorney General
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Ken Paxton (R)
2011597(49%)
Justin Nelson (D)
1997781(49%)
Michael Ray Harris (L)
91045(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4100423


AG. Commissioner
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Sid Miller (R)
2035537(50%)
Kim Olson (D)
1950441(48%)
Richard Carpenter (L)
86791(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4072769

Where are these numbers from?

Can someone make a Beto Bobblehead like his commercials?  cause I wanna reprasent cha.

Edited by Grippe

Harris one precinct on NYT - 479k to 356k O'rouke over Cruz.

Geezus. 3% precincts reporting in Texas. over 5 million votes.

Cruz closes this out o

4 minutes ago, RPM said:

U.S. Senator
Precincts: 255 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Beto O'Rourke (D)
2684816(51%)
Ted Cruz (R)
2507078(48%)
Neal M. Dikeman (L)
31406(1%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 5223300


Governor
Precincts: 210 / 7987 (3% reporting)
✔ Greg Abbott (R)
2274095(54%)
Lupe Valdez (D)
1849602(44%)
Mark Jay Tippetts (L)
67230(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4190927


LT. Governor
Precincts: 206 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Dan Patrick (R)
2034097(50%)
Mike Collier (D)
1973808(48%)
Kerry Douglas McKennon (L)
83062(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4090967


Attorney General
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Ken Paxton (R)
2011597(49%)
Justin Nelson (D)
1997781(49%)
Michael Ray Harris (L)
91045(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4100423


AG. Commissioner
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Sid Miller (R)
2035537(50%)
Kim Olson (D)
1950441(48%)
Richard Carpenter (L)
86791(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4072769

Abbott only being 54 tells me all I need to know about which votes have been counted.  Cruz has this easy.  

1 minute ago, The Dog said:

Harris one precinct on NYT - 479k to 356k O'rouke over Cruz.

I believe that "precinct" is early voting. Same deal on your next post.

Harris only adding 120k to the margin probably isn't enough but we'll see what Montgomery does. I do like the margins so far in Williamson, Tarrant, Denton, and Collin. 

Just now, Johnny Sack said:

Cruz closes this out o

Abbott only being 54 tells me all I need to know about which votes have been counted.  Cruz has this easy.  

Este. 

Just now, Huckleberry said:

I believe that "precinct" is early voting. Same deal on your next post.

far out. NYT doesn't specify. election day is a data dude's dream ain't it? 

/pours another whiskey

Beto ahead by 79 votes 

Just now, pacman said:

Beto ahead by 79 votes 

At 58% reporting. Most of what’s left is red counties and Harris. 

1 minute ago, pacman said:

Beto ahead by 79 votes 

Now down 1500 votes.

Yep, Cruz pulled ahead

Just now, Pato del Muerto said:

At 58% reporting. Most of what’s left is red counties and Harris. 

And El Paso.

Harris must have reported EV or all of El Paso. Jumped to 70%

Edited by Pato del Muerto

Yeah, that's the Harris County early voting being added.

With the current numbers at 70% reporting, turnout looks to be 7.5 million.

9 minutes ago, horncyclist said:

Where are these numbers from?

WFAA.com

U.S. Senator
Precincts: 301 / 7987 (4% reporting)
Beto O'Rourke (D)
2705225(51%)
Ted Cruz (R)
2565761(48%)
Neal M. Dikeman (L)
57531(1%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:24:53 PM
Vote Total: 5328517

Just now, Eastwood said:

With the current numbers at 70% reporting, turnout looks to be 7.5 million.

I think the 70% is based on a turnout estimate. If the estimate is wrong, then the percentage doesn't mean much. 

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