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Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs

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10 minutes ago, The_Great_Hornsby said:

Who could forget LSU who lost two games in the vaunted SEC and got in and won the title (back in 2007). One to Kentucky and one to Arkansas. 

tim tebow lost more games in one season than VY did in his career, and that’s not even accounting for urban meyer vs mack brown and how they impact their teams. 2007 florida lost at home to jevan snead and ole miss and still won the MNC while Texas sat at home for the *league* title game because of the TTU loss. we finally join that league and suddenly we get crushed in year one for having a weak schedule and crushed in year two for not winning by enough. weird how that works.

Edited by Derka

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  • RecoveringAlcoholic
    RecoveringAlcoholic

    It's not a playoff, it's a brand name invitational when teams with more losses are being campaigned for and included based on the brand name while excluding and campaigning against other schools with

  • are some of y’all trying to be “good fans” or “objective” or something when you say that it’s the florida loss that’s keeping us out? cuz y’all know that’s not true right? it’s only been repeated 10,0

  • closetojumping
    closetojumping

    Sarkisian went on the SEC morning show today and doubled down on both Texas deserving to be in the playoffs and reconsidering the OOC schedule going forward. He basically said, with the SEC going to 9

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7 minutes ago, Derka said:

have you already forgotten that one or more of bama, lsu, florida, auburn, georgia etc would do that every year and they’d just say, “that’s sec football baby!!! no easy games!!!”?

 

5 minutes ago, The_Great_Hornsby said:

Who could forget LSU who lost two games in the vaunted SEC and got in and won the title (back in 2007). One to Kentucky and one to Arkansas. 

See... if we had gone for a touchdown instead of kicking the field goal at the end of the half v. Ark., the committee would put us in.  "Texas has killer instinct!!"

 

Surly gonna surly. haha

Edited by SaucyJack

1 hour ago, BurntEyes said:

I can't stand him, but Booger McFarland brought up Kentucky and MSU in his analysis as well when discussing Texas year long performance. Fans here argue about the "entire" body of work, but seem to want to gloss over our struggles against every. Single. Team. without a pig, schooner or bearcat mascot. Hell UTEP is 2-10, ahead of only SHSU in conference USA and we beat them by 17 fucking points at home.

Then he should also bring up that many of the playoff teams struggled with lower competition. Not to mention that our QB couldn't quite grasp the art of the forward pass until about halfway through the Miss State game. Do we think the same team that struggled against Kentucky/Florida/whomever would've beaten aggy? No way. Our OL has been much more solid since the lineup change and Arch is playing at a high level now (or at least not throwing dirt balls every pass).

10 minutes ago, Nivek said:

Booger is a moron.  For the Kentucky/MSU game, then counter that with double digit wins against OU and aggy.   Mateer has stated his injury was not related to his performance in that game (credit to him) but some of the talking heads think he doesn't know shit about himself.  So that is two double digit wins against locks for the playoffs.   Playing sloppy early, and using a different offensive scheme early in the season doesn't mean shit.  I seem to recall a tOSU team that had a ton of close games vs mediocre teams and still won the MNC.  

These dipshits either have no memory or no reasoning ability.

Unless that exact same offensive scheme was used in the 1st half against aggie. Which it was. 

You don't get to pick and choose which games of the season you do and don't want as part of the entire body of work. Yes, Booger is a moron, but you're the one who appears to have memory retention issues.  

1 minute ago, OU Sucks said:

Then he should also bring up that many of the playoff teams struggled with lower competition. Not to mention that our QB couldn't quite grasp the art of the forward pass until about halfway through the Miss State game. Do we think the same team that struggled against Kentucky/Florida/whomever would've beaten aggy? No way. Our OL has been much more solid since the lineup change and Arch is playing at a high level now (or at least not throwing dirt balls every pass).

See my last post and if we're talking improvements, are we discounting improvements from all the other teams? 

ND ahead of us is a joke.  They lost to aggy who we beat by double digits. They beat mediocre USC at home and an over rated Pitt team. 

2 minutes ago, OU Sucks said:

Do we think the same team that struggled against Kentucky/Florida/whomever would've beaten aggy? No way.

Hmm.  Pretty sure I saw them out there for the 1st half.

9 minutes ago, Derka said:

have you already forgotten that one or more of bama, lsu, florida, auburn, georgia etc would do that every year and they’d just say, “that’s sec football baby!!! no easy games!!!”?

So turn very bowl game into a playoff game. 80 teams or how many teams there are.

 

no more OOC. develop formula of how well a team performs for 60 minutes, W's and losses matter, winning by 35 is better than winning by 7, if you lose by 7 vs a top team is better than winning by 7 in OT vs a bottom team. or whatever. 

1 minute ago, BurntEyes said:

See my last post and if we're talking improvements, are we discounting improvements from all the other teams? 

No

And Texas just beat a playoff team, literally as the playoffs are beginning.

2 minutes ago, TexasGolf said:

ND ahead of us is a joke.  They lost to aggy who we beat by double digits. They beat mediocre USC at home and an over rated Pitt team. 

Maybe the CFP decides to avoid the Miami/ND controversy they just put Texas ahead of all them at #10 instead, put Miami at #11, and ND at #12. A man can dream. 

Just now, SaucyJack said:

No

And Texas just beat a playoff team, literally as the playoffs are beginning.

But the rest of the season is irrelevant. 

I get it. 

we're not in the playoff.  book it.

hopefully the latest coaches poll demonstrates the amount of HATE and ENVY the country has for TEXAS.   that hate intensified once we joined the secsecsec.

so guess what?  fuck everyone.  they hate us.  we SHOULD hate them. everyone believes we're the EVIL EMPIRE. so you know what?  EMBRACE THAT SHIT.  Fuck yea!  Fuck all these envious bitches.  we bitchslapped our rivals this year.  so keep that up.  on top of that, fuck up everyone else going forward--starting with that fatass fart smeller kirby.  

ya'll wanted this sesesec shit.  now time to play ball.  fuck the old Texas "classy" way.  aint got time for that shit.  better come to grips with that NOW.  

mack did his politic'n to get us in the rose bowl over cal.

we got the benefit of the doubt over fsu to make the 4-team play off.

 

NOW quit acting like little bitches with all the what ifs.  fuck that noise.

WE ARE THE EVIL EMPIRE.  KNOW IT. BE ABOUT IT. FUCK SHIT UP, YO.

 

 

out

 

oh and fuck our little brother (not literally)

all-time, eternal bitches--we own you.

 

Edited by Shaggy3.0

 

The coaches poll indicates that they don't wish to play us in the playoffs. This illustrates the perverse incentives and bad faith arguments by fans and coaches alike. The playoff committee would love to put us in for TV/Ad dollars but fears controversy more.

 

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1 minute ago, LordNeckbeard said:

 

The coaches poll indicates that they don't wish to play us in the playoffs. This illustrates the perverse incentives and bad faith arguments by fans and coaches alike. The playoff committee would love to put us in for TV/Ad dollars but fears controversy more.

 

a&m, ou, and vandy all ahead of us, and not one of them would be in the picture at all had they played tOSU week 1 like we did. this is so stupid. anyone pretending like we aren’t being directly punished for scheduling tOSU (and playing them closer than anyone else) is a liar.

22 minutes ago, SaucyJack said:

ACC gets left out. That spot for Virginia gets taken by another G5

Duke has no chance of winning that game.  Virgina is much better than Duke first of all and second, the ACC will make sure of it.

Just now, Derka said:

a&m, ou, and vandy all ahead of us, and not one of them would be in the picture at all had they played tOSU week 1 like we did. this is so stupid. anyone pretending like we aren’t being directly punished for scheduling tOSU (and playing them closer than anyone else) is a liar.

I will respond for the masses

1) dont lose to Florida

2) PUSSY!

Just now, Derka said:

a&m, ou, and vandy all ahead of us, and not one of them would be in the picture at all had they played tOSU week 1 like we did. this is so stupid. anyone pretending like we aren’t being directly punished for scheduling tOSU (and playing them closer than anyone else) is a liar.

As an unbiased observer, Texas has a strong argument, but you also have the worst loss AND needed overtime two weeks in a row to skate by the absolute bottom of your league. 

2 minutes ago, BurntEyes said:

But the rest of the season is irrelevant. 

I get it. 

No

A&M played an FCS team and beat S CAR at home by 1, AUB  at home by 6 and ARK by 3 on the road.  

1 minute ago, LTbear said:

As an unbiased observer, Texas has a strong argument, but you also have the worst loss AND needed overtime two weeks in a row to skate by the absolute bottom of your league. 

And Texas just beat a playoff team, literally as the playoffs are beginning.

Just now, BurntOrange&White said:

Is 3 > 2?

The 3 playoff teams we beat. Agreed 

Just now, LTbear said:

As an unbiased observer, Texas has a strong argument, but you also have the worst loss AND needed overtime two weeks in a row to skate by the absolute bottom of your league. 

all sec wins are worth three big 12 wins, haven’t you heard?

in all seriousness we have one bad loss and that came months ago, before this team looked anything like it does today. since that loss we’ve only lost at UGA with wins vs three teams currently ranked ahead of us. the one and only reason we are behind those teams is losing to tOSU back in august. that’s why the Tecas team of today is out- a loss back in August to the best team in america while a&m, ou, and vandy were playing UTSA, illinois state, and charleston southern.

5 minutes ago, LordNeckbeard said:

 

The coaches poll indicates that they don't wish to play us in the playoffs. This illustrates the perverse incentives and bad faith arguments by fans and coaches alike. The playoff committee would love to put us in for TV/Ad dollars but fears controversy more.

 

this is how you know the loss column means everything.  we only move 2 spots up after beating up the #3 team handily but when we beat Vandy we moved up 10 spots.

1 minute ago, SaucyJack said:

No

A&M played an FCS team and beat S CAR at home by 1, AUB  at home by 6 and ARK by 3 on the road.  

So close victories against shit teams should be held against other teams, but close victories for Texas against shit teams shouldn't.

I'm with ya, I track that logic.

a&m, ou, and vandy, all of whom recently lost to Texas, are ranked ahead of Texas because they scheduled UTSA, illinois state, and charleston southern, and we scheduled tOSU. that’s it.

OU scheduled Michigan and aggy scheduled Notre Dame. 

6 minutes ago, LordNeckbeard said:

 

The coaches poll indicates that they don't wish to play us in the playoffs. This illustrates the perverse incentives and bad faith arguments by fans and coaches alike. The playoff committee would love to put us in for TV/Ad dollars but fears controversy more.

 

Ive always taken the coaches poll with a grain of salt. bunch of emotional pussies who vote with a grudge.

4 minutes ago, The_Great_Hornsby said:

AP poll just got released. Same bullshit. #14, moved up two spots. Behind Vandy who we beat head to head. Burn it all down. 

I said it before the season and maintain it today, the AP and coaches poll are issue #1 and #2 with the CFP system. There are many more but it starts with that shit. 

Edited by BurntEyes

Just now, BurntEyes said:

I said it before the season and maintain it today, the AP and coaches poll are issue #1 and #2 with the CFP system. There are many more buy it starts with that shit. 

Pre season polling builds inherent bias thus shouldn’t exist 

Just now, BurntOrange&White said:

Because we’re not going to jump he 2 loss and 1 loss teams ahead of us 

Correct because the only thing that matters to anyone is the loss fucking column. Cancel the game next year with Ohio State, replace it with Duke and let's move on from this BS. 

The reality is we do not have a schedule consistent with a team trying to build a resume for the playoffs. Unlike basketball, you are penalized far more for a loss than rewarded for a win. It’s our own fault from this point forward if we do not schedule accordingly. Texas should cancel the Ohio State game and we should have one FCS scrimmage on our schedule every year. 

If we hold our noses up and say “We’re Texas we are not doing that!” then we should not bitch about missing the playoffs. There is no sense and playing a different game than our competition is so we can chase money. 

1 minute ago, mdmost said:

OU scheduled Michigan and aggy scheduled Notre Dame. 

We're apparently not counting those wins as they were earlier in the season and what happened then is irrelevant.

38 minutes ago, Codaxx said:

The Big 12 is getting 1 team in. Loser of the Tech/BYU game is out 

Only if/when BYU loses. Tech is in, win or lose. There will be coping and seething if it happens, but that's just reality.

Edited by Brian Fantana

18 minutes ago, BurntEyes said:

See my last post and if we're talking improvements, are we discounting improvements from all the other teams? 

Has OU improved since we beat them? Not really, Mateer may be 15% healthier, but they most recently escaped against a 3-5 SECSEC team, with Mateer throwing 3 picks. Has Bama improved? Not really, after struggling against a 1-SEC win team. Those are closer to regressions than improvements. No one in the CFP would want to play Texas as we're playing now (and once Ant Hill is healthy again), save for maybe UGA, since Kirby seems to own Sark.

Edited by OU Sucks

1 minute ago, Brian Fantana said:

Only if/when BYU loses.

If BYU wins, I am curious if Tech drops out, or Bama (or ND/OU if Bama beats UGA)

1 minute ago, Brian Fantana said:

Only if/when BYU loses.

You're not ready to see another white dude gain 250 rushing and 250 passing?

3 minutes ago, BurntEyes said:

So close victories against shit teams should be held against other teams, but close victories for Texas against shit teams shouldn't.

I'm with ya, I track that logic.

Wrong.  Throw that metric out.  The committee has put itself in a box by not following their stated metrics.  No reason to not schedule cupcakes. See Indiana and others.

 

9 minutes ago, LTbear said:

As an unbiased observer, Texas has a strong argument, but you also have the worst loss AND needed overtime two weeks in a row to skate by the absolute bottom of your league. 

Now do wins against top-10 ranked opponents, and tell me why "needed overtime to win" should be a more important stat.

3 minutes ago, Newy25 said:

The reality is we do not have a schedule consistent with a team trying to build a resume for the playoffs. Unlike basketball, you are penalized far more for a loss than rewarded for a win. It’s our own fault from this point forward if we do not schedule accordingly. Texas should cancel the Ohio State game and we should have one FCS scrimmage on our schedule every year. 

If we hold our noses up and say “We’re Texas we are not doing that!” then we should not bitch about missing the playoffs. There is no sense and playing a different game than our competition is so we can chase money. 

Correct. We need to tell OSU, sorry but we want to see you in the playoffs. One of us may miss that chance if we do this. Or we can just accept that game as the whole season.  

Edited by LordNeckbeard

1 minute ago, OU Sucks said:

Has OU improved since we beat them? Not really, Mateer may be 15% healthier, but they most recently escaped against a 3-5 SECSEC team, with Mateer throwing 3 picks. Has Bama improved? Not really, after struggling against a 1-SEC win team. Those are closer to regressions than improvements. No one in the CFP would want to play Texas as we're playing now (and once Ant Hill is healthy again), save for maybe UGA, since Kirby seems to own Sark.

The Texas team who had a single 100 yard rusher against one of the worst defenses in the SEC. Yeah, Im sure the entire top 10 is quaking in their boots. 

7 hours ago, TheYoungHorn said:

Final SEC Standings with conference tie-breakers applied:

1. Alabama (7 - 1) (32-32) minus own impact (31-25)

Above Georgia, Ole Miss, and Texas A&M based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5).

2. Georgia (7 - 1) (30-34) minus own impact (29-27)

With Ole Miss and Texas A&M, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4688).

Above Ole Miss and Texas A&M based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4688).

3. Ole Miss (7 - 1) (22-42) minus own impact (21-35)

With Georgia and Texas A&M, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3438).

With Texas A&M, below Georgia based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3438).

Above Texas A&M based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3438).

4. Texas A&M (7 - 1) (20-44) minus own impact (19-37)

With Georgia and Ole Miss, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.2813).

With Ole Miss, below Georgia based on conference opponent win percentage (0.2813).

Below Ole Miss based on conference opponent win percentage (0.2813).

5. Texas (6 - 2) .4844 (31-33) minus own impact (29-27)

Above Oklahoma and Vandy based on round-robin record (not a full round-robin) due to a round-robin sweep (2-0).

6. Oklahoma (6 - 2)  .5156 (33-31) minus own impact (31-25)

With Vandy, below Texas based on round-robin record (not a full round-robin) due to a round-robin sweep (0-1).

Above Vandy based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (6-1).

7. Vandy (6 - 2) .4375 (28-36) minus own impact (26-30)

With Oklahoma, below Texas based on round-robin record (not a full round-robin) due to a round-robin sweep (0-1).

Below Oklahoma based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (5-2).

8. Tennessee (4 - 4)  (31-33) minus own impact (27-29)

Above Missouri based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4844).

9. Missouri (4 - 4) (29-35) minus own impact (25-31)

Below Tennessee based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4531).

10. LSU (3 - 5) (36-28) minus own impact (31-25) 

11. Kentucky (2 - 6) (34-30) minus own impact (28-28) 

Above Florida based on head-to-head record (1-0).

12. Florida (2 - 6) opponents .578 (37-27) minus own impact (31-25) 

Below Kentucky based on head-to-head record (0-1).

13. S Carolina (1 - 7) opponents (42-22) minus own impact (35-21)

Above Auburn and Miss St based on conference opponent win percentage (0.6563).

14. Auburn (1 - 7) opponents (39-25) minus own impact (32-24) 

With Miss St, below S Carolina based on conference opponent win percentage (0.6094).

Above Miss St based on conference opponent win percentage (0.6094).

15. Miss St (1 - 7) opponents (37-27) minus own impact (30-26) 

With Auburn, below S Carolina based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5781).

Below Auburn based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5781).

16. Arkansas (0 - 😎 opponents total .5156 (33-31) minus own impact (25-31)

 Schedule was Ole Miss (7-1), Tenn (4-4), A&M (7-1), Auburn (1-7), Miss State (1-7), LSU (3-5), Texas (6-2), Missouri (4-4)

 

So cumulative SEC schedule strength, excluding the impact of your direct results against the other teams is below.

 

Negating your own impact toughest SEC conference schedules

1. South Carolina (35 other conference wins)

2. Auburn (32 other conference wins) 

3-Tie. Alabama, Oklahoma, LSU, Florida (31 other wins) 

7. Mississippi State (30 other wins)

8.TIE Georgia and Texas (29 other wins) 

10. Kentucky (28 other wins) 

11. Tennessee (27 other wins)

12. Vanderbilt (26 other wins) 

13-TIE. Missouri and Arkansas (25 other wins) 

15. Ole Miss (21 other wins) 

16. Texas A&M (19 other wins) 

That anm opponent win total, what’s the lowest number possible mathematically?

Any school that schedules down a division should be saddled with an automatic loss.  

1 minute ago, SaucyJack said:

Wrong.  Throw that metric out.  The committee has put itself in a box by not following their stated metrics.  No reason to not schedule cupcakes. See Indiana and others.

 

So why did you bring up close games against shitty opponents if they don't matter. Why shift the goal posts now to lets just schedule cupcakes? 

Just now, BurntEyes said:

The Texas team who had a single 100 yard rusher against one of the worst defenses in the SEC. Yeah, Im sure the entire top 10 is quaking in their boots. 

We have played 5 top 10 teams this year and beat 3 of them and the two we lost were one score games in the 4th quarter. Nobody wants to play us. Even if they think they will beat us, they know it will be a dogfight. They would much rather face gimp Mateer or ND. 

6 minutes ago, mdmost said:

OU scheduled Michigan and aggy scheduled Notre Dame. 

OU scheduled Texas.  Loss

Aggie scheduled Texas.  Loss

1 minute ago, Nivek said:

Any school that schedules down a division should be saddled with an automatic loss.  

I'm never thrilled to see the UTEPs and SHSUs but I always figured it was some kind of charity deal to them

1 minute ago, BurntEyes said:

So why did you bring up close games against shitty opponents if they don't matter. Why shift the goal posts now to lets just schedule cupcakes? 

You brought it up  

No shifting, all part of the global picture

 

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