November 23Nov 23 3 hours ago, John Coctostan said: Ancient history. And irrelevant according to the current brain trust.
November 23Nov 23 2 hours ago, Hank Kingsley said: List of great Aggies that deserve our respect: 1. Meat Pimp 2. Meat Pimp's mom That's it. lyle lovett fucked julia roberts in her prime in surlyville, that's currency they should put it on the wall
November 23Nov 23 Hopefully Hill can go. Pretty obvious he was missed yesterday. And no Smith for the first half.
November 23Nov 23 59 minutes ago, TrashMaster G said: I am going to be curious to see how many of the cultists are in the stadium on Friday. In the past, there were always too damn many. With our new season ticket numbers and the less generous SEC rules on visitor seats, I'm hoping those numbers are way down. If not, fuck all the season ticket holders who sell to the maroon morons. Unfortunately we have way too many shitty fair weather fans that dumped a bunch of inventory on secondary market after the UGA loss. I expect there will be a bunch.
November 23Nov 23 3 hours ago, EuroHorn said: Beat aggy and then let’s shock the nation next year We shocked the nation because nobody expected us to do anything that year. Next year we'll start the season in the top 5. We won't be shocking anyone unless we open like we did this year against Ohio State. 2 hours ago, Sgt Hulk said: Fuck aggy. But their offense will absolutely give our back 7 fits. Our secondary is just butthole. Absolute butthole. If our offense can sustain us (can’t believe we flipped course) then we have a shot. But arky moved with ease. I mean ease and that little midget Reed is shifty (no offense to midgets) Arky moved with ease? They didn't score the second half until the game was out of reach. Also, if they were moving with ease, why did their opening two drives end in field goals? They cracked some big plays. They lead the conference (nation?) in those things. A killer for their first few long gainers was Taffe bouncing off the ball carrier. I'm not talking about the touchdown run. The first two possessions Taffe could have contained them with better tackling. I wonder if he was hesitating to wrap up because of his hand. He popped back to being his old self and contained many plays that would have gone for 15 or 20 further. Man, we miss Taffe when he's not out there.
November 23Nov 23 5 minutes ago, Skipper said: Hopefully Hill can go. Pretty obvious he was missed yesterday. And no Smith for the first half. can the league office overturn that?
November 23Nov 23 2 minutes ago, MontereyMX said: can the league office overturn that? I mean it was reviewed and upheld. By definition it probably met the targeting standard despite the clear lack of intent and the fact it the receiver wasn't 5'8 it would have been a perfect form tackle.
November 23Nov 23 Oh, I think a key to the game will be if A&M can field a healthy LeVeon Moss. If they do, I think we might have to score 48 points to beat them. He's a fucking monster to bring down. As you know, that will take pressure off their two main receivers as well. I've noticed that some teams have succeeded running on their ends who are hell bent to pass rush. I feel a Texas victory coming on that will be the first of a humiliating three game losing streak to finish A&M's magical season. They haven't faced teams of the kind they are about to since the second game of the season. I'm not saying they'll be overwhelmed, but a lot of shit they do won't work against better and more evenly spread talent.
November 23Nov 23 Can anyone explain to me how they have a top 25 SOS with their shitty schedule? It's just bizarro world. Oh, and Fuck aggy.
November 23Nov 23 7 minutes ago, Skipper said: I mean it was reviewed and upheld. By definition it probably met the targeting standard despite the clear lack of intent and the fact it the receiver wasn't 5'8 it would have been a perfect form tackle. We can and will appeal butlike you said, upheld so unlikely the league office would take it back
November 23Nov 23 14 minutes ago, RomaVicta said: We shocked the nation because nobody expected us to do anything that year. Next year we'll start the season in the top 5. We won't be shocking anyone unless we open like we did this year against Ohio State. Arky moved with ease? They didn't score the second half until the game was out of reach. Also, if they were moving with ease, why did their opening two drives end in field goals? They cracked some big plays. They lead the conference (nation?) in those things. A killer for their first few long gainers was Taffe bouncing off the ball carrier. I'm not talking about the touchdown run. The first two possessions Taffe could have contained them with better tackling. I wonder if he was hesitating to wrap up because of his hand. He popped back to being his old self and contained many plays that would have gone for 15 or 20 further. Man, we miss Taffe when he's not out there. 37 points and 500 yards of offense is moving with ease yes. I was in the stands. The WRs and TEs ran free all over the field Edited November 23Nov 23 by Sgt Hulk
November 23Nov 23 First off, AI sucks... Second, I ran some simulations using AI which favored A&M. I'm a dumbass so don't ask me to explain anything but, as you read this, all I'll say is "May we win 59-62 wins out of 100" because we're winning with Arch. Not to mention, 130th red zone defense for Texas A&M? Damn that's bad. "Thanks — I re-ran the simulations assuming Texas is the home team and tested three reasonable home-field advantage (HFA) values from the literature/bookmaker guidance (2.6, 3.0, and 3.5 points). I searched current analyses for plausible HFA magnitudes (studies and sports-betting practice put college-football HFA roughly 2.6–3.0 points on average; some team-specific rankings give Texas about 3.5). VSiN+2ESPN.com+2 What I changed For each HFA value I subtracted that many points from the A&M-favoring mean margins used earlier: Monte Carlo neutral mean (A&M) = 6.80 pts → new mean = 6.80 − HFA Common-opponent neutral mean (A&M) = 9.333 pts → new mean = 9.333 − HFA Kept game-to-game SD = 13.5 pts, simulated 100 games for a single-run result and ran 1,000 repeated 100-game experiments to show the distribution. Results (A&M wins out of 100 games) (Displayed are single 100-game run counts and the 1,000-run mean ± stdev) HFA = 2.6 pts (lower-end estimate) Monte model (mean margin A&M = 4.20): A&M 61 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 62.21 (sd 4.87). Common model (mean margin A&M = 6.73): A&M 68 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 69.20 (sd 4.62). HFA = 3.0 pts (typical bookmaker avg) Monte model (mean margin A&M = 3.80): A&M 60 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 60.81 (sd 4.87). Common model (mean margin A&M = 6.33): A&M 78 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 67.91 (sd 4.81). HFA = 3.5 pts (team-specific stronger HFA estimate used by some outlets for Texas) Monte model (mean margin A&M = 3.30): A&M 59 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 59.41 (sd 5.20). Common model (mean margin A&M = 5.83): A&M 64 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 66.62 (sd 4.87). Interpretation Home-field advantage moves the needle: under the Monte-Carlo (team-margin) model, A&M’s expected wins drop from ~69 (neutral) to roughly 59–62 wins out of 100 depending on HFA — i.e., Texas’s home field reduces A&M’s edge by ~6–10 wins per 100 simulated games. Under the common-opponent model A&M still maintains a solid edge (because its common-opponent margin was larger to begin with): expected A&M wins remain in the ~66–69 range (1,000-run means) even after HFA subtraction. Which model you trust matters more than small changes in HFA: if you base predictions on season net margins and common-opponent results, A&M remains favored at Texas’s home field — but by a smaller margin in the Monte model and by a meaningful margin in the common-opponent model. Sources I used for HFA guidance Recent analyses and sportsbooks estimate college football HFA ≈ 2.6–3.0 points (bookmaker practice and recent studies). VSiN+1 Team-specific listings/rankings sometimes assign Texas a ~3.5-pt home advantage based on its home/away performance this season. VSiN+1"
November 23Nov 23 12 minutes ago, Skipper said: I mean it was reviewed and upheld. By definition it probably met the targeting standard despite the clear lack of intent and the fact it the receiver wasn't 5'8 it would have been a perfect form tackle. is it launching if he hits the player while being on the ground? I haven't seen a good replay of the hit but the one I saw he was on the ground when he contacted the player. can't tell if the helmets actually hit.
November 23Nov 23 2 hours ago, Pancho said: To be fair, this is a shitty joke And he texted a winky face to his presumably male cousin. Lame. It should be much easier to make us look dumb, man. Edited November 23Nov 23 by aggie08
November 23Nov 23 2 hours ago, wood said: Only once or twice since they went SEC iirc. We've already played Georgia more in SEC play than they have. And re: their schedule this year, how in the actual fuck is their SOS so high with that schedule? Once....aggy has played UGA once since they joined the secsecsec Pitiful bastards..... Edited November 23Nov 23 by oldhorn2
November 23Nov 23 21 hours ago, TexArcher said: Yeah, you'll be lurking all week. Listen up. I think your season is about to end with a two-game losing streak. Your defense is ass. We're unbeaten at home. Etc. But no matter what happens next week, you are not a football power and you never were. The last time you put two good seasons in a row together was when you were cheating worse than SMU. You are not a big deal. You are Texas Tech with a god complex. And you're a bunch of weirdos who consistently embarrass yourselves and the rest of this state. Everyone laughs at you behind your back. Everyone. The best aggy joke I ever heard was in NYC. So shut the fuck up, stop pretending your high school pep rallies are cool, get some female cheerleaders, and stop dressing up like the military so you can smack each other's bare asses and it's not really gay. Yes, it is. And you know it. It's cool to be gay now, guys. Just let it out. It doesn't have to be Halloween every day over there anymore. Good luck in the game. Even if you win, it doesn't change anything. You are a bigger embarrassment to yourselves than you will ever realize. And no one outside of your little cult actually respects you. Good day. Shit ton of words for someone who is irrelevant to you bro. Therapy might be needed if you can afford it. And I’m not in their “cult” nor do I wear chaps and a cowboy hat at DKR. Edited November 23Nov 23 by Nino Brown
November 23Nov 23 8 minutes ago, wood said: Can anyone explain to me how they have a top 25 SOS with their shitty schedule? It's just bizarro world. Oh, and Fuck aggy. @ Notre Dame helps. And the bottom tier of the SEC all look like a middle tier team in any other conference, so comparatively, their schedule looks tough even though an easy SEC schedule.
November 23Nov 23 You're so uneducated you can't even use a forum right. Bless your heart, IQ of a salad bar and all.
November 23Nov 23 2 hours ago, TrashMaster G said: How in the world do they convince so many people to join that cult? It’s the same on the political side. Stupid people with low self esteem.
November 23Nov 23 19 minutes ago, wood said: Can anyone explain to me how they have a top 25 SOS with their shitty schedule? It's just bizarro world. Oh, and Fuck aggy. Notre Dame plus SEC. It's one of the easiest SEC schedules, but it still isn't Boston College and Cal.
November 23Nov 23 6 hours ago, BigHorn'13 said: Ease up, guys. Them little fellas feeling mighty after taking down the juggernaut that is Samford. Sure you wouldn’t be calling anyone little fella in person. Living and coaching in Austin after playing college ball has for sure has taught me that about some ut grads.
November 23Nov 23 9 minutes ago, Nino Brown said: Sure you wouldn’t be calling anyone little fella in person. Living and coaching in Austin after playing college ball has for sure has taught me that about some ut grads. Fuck you, loser bitch.
November 23Nov 23 Author 21 minutes ago, Nino Brown said: This is one hell of a rebuttal. I yield. Wait, no, fuck you instead.
November 23Nov 23 26 minutes ago, texasdago said: First off, AI sucks... Second, I ran some simulations using AI which favored A&M. I'm a dumbass so don't ask me to explain anything but, as you read this, all I'll say is "May we win 59-62 wins out of 100" because we're winning with Arch. Not to mention, 130th red zone defense for Texas A&M? Damn that's bad. "Thanks — I re-ran the simulations assuming Texas is the home team and tested three reasonable home-field advantage (HFA) values from the literature/bookmaker guidance (2.6, 3.0, and 3.5 points). I searched current analyses for plausible HFA magnitudes (studies and sports-betting practice put college-football HFA roughly 2.6–3.0 points on average; some team-specific rankings give Texas about 3.5). VSiN+2ESPN.com+2 What I changed For each HFA value I subtracted that many points from the A&M-favoring mean margins used earlier: Monte Carlo neutral mean (A&M) = 6.80 pts → new mean = 6.80 − HFA Common-opponent neutral mean (A&M) = 9.333 pts → new mean = 9.333 − HFA Kept game-to-game SD = 13.5 pts, simulated 100 games for a single-run result and ran 1,000 repeated 100-game experiments to show the distribution. Results (A&M wins out of 100 games) (Displayed are single 100-game run counts and the 1,000-run mean ± stdev) HFA = 2.6 pts (lower-end estimate) Monte model (mean margin A&M = 4.20): A&M 61 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 62.21 (sd 4.87). Common model (mean margin A&M = 6.73): A&M 68 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 69.20 (sd 4.62). HFA = 3.0 pts (typical bookmaker avg) Monte model (mean margin A&M = 3.80): A&M 60 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 60.81 (sd 4.87). Common model (mean margin A&M = 6.33): A&M 78 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 67.91 (sd 4.81). HFA = 3.5 pts (team-specific stronger HFA estimate used by some outlets for Texas) Monte model (mean margin A&M = 3.30): A&M 59 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 59.41 (sd 5.20). Common model (mean margin A&M = 5.83): A&M 64 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 66.62 (sd 4.87). Interpretation Home-field advantage moves the needle: under the Monte-Carlo (team-margin) model, A&M’s expected wins drop from ~69 (neutral) to roughly 59–62 wins out of 100 depending on HFA — i.e., Texas’s home field reduces A&M’s edge by ~6–10 wins per 100 simulated games. Under the common-opponent model A&M still maintains a solid edge (because its common-opponent margin was larger to begin with): expected A&M wins remain in the ~66–69 range (1,000-run means) even after HFA subtraction. Which model you trust matters more than small changes in HFA: if you base predictions on season net margins and common-opponent results, A&M remains favored at Texas’s home field — but by a smaller margin in the Monte model and by a meaningful margin in the common-opponent model. Sources I used for HFA guidance Recent analyses and sportsbooks estimate college football HFA ≈ 2.6–3.0 points (bookmaker practice and recent studies). VSiN+1 Team-specific listings/rankings sometimes assign Texas a ~3.5-pt home advantage based on its home/away performance this season. VSiN+1"
November 23Nov 23 Popular Post Uses first ever post to incorrectly use the quote feature. Edits, but doesn't fix it. Uses second post to brag about playing in college and how much "ball" he knows. Fuck, it's going to be a long week for those of us capable of feeling secondhand embarrassment.
November 23Nov 23 1 hour ago, TexArcher said: EYYY, WHY DON'T YOU PUT ON ONE OF THEM ILL BEATS FOR ME...? AHHH, I THINK I KNOW WHATCHU LOOKIN' FOR.............. AIGHT.................. Daaaamn... their stereo looks like it has one of the fancy detachable faces. Now, you know what was rocketing up the charts the last time aggy won a NC?
November 23Nov 23 2 minutes ago, aggie08 said: Uses first ever post to incorrectly use the quote feature. Edits, but doesn't fix it. Uses second post to brag about playing in college and how much "ball" he knows. Fuck, it's going to be a long week for those of us capable of feeling secondhand embarrassment. You're certainly the exception to the rule, yet set a great example for visiting fans of whomever.
November 23Nov 23 40 minutes ago, Sgt Hulk said: 37 points and 500 yards of offense is moving with ease yes. I was in the stands. The WRs and TEs ran free all over the field I guess I place too much emphasis on scoring defense.
November 23Nov 23 Author 7 minutes ago, Pam Cummings said: It's always hilarious watching these fucktards fail at basic shit. Imagine being a graduate of an engineering school and not being able to figure out how to use that internet thingy.
November 23Nov 23 I'm old, but this kind of reminds me of when we had a hot young QB coming into Aggy game and made it real close, as in maybe a TD loss to Aggy. Mark Murdock had no business playing that well against them. Golden arm, no doubt. If Arch continues his hot play and somehow the defense comes to life, we can actually lead going into the fourth quarter. Unfortunately, it is nearly impossible to see us winning the 4th quarter. When was the last time we actually outscored a team in the 4th quarter? OU?
November 23Nov 23 8 minutes ago, TexArcher said: Imagine being a graduate of an engineering school and not being able to figure out how to use that internet thingy. Well, to be fair, they ain’t real good at that other thing either.
November 23Nov 23 1 hour ago, Helobious said: You sound like a giant non-competitive beta male pussy. Beating A&M is and always will feel awesome. That’s enough out of you until after the game please. ❤️
November 23Nov 23 1 hour ago, wood said: Can anyone explain to me how they have a top 25 SOS with their shitty schedule? It's just bizarro world. Oh, and Fuck aggy. Stupid SOS calculations, at the level relevant to the playoffs top end SOS is the only thing that matters, they are 1-0 vs other playoff teams, but the rest has been just beating bad teams. Texas lost to one of those bad teams though.
November 23Nov 23 7 hours ago, SuckitKevin said: Nah, I’ll be heading to your girlfriend’s house to lay some pipe. Bold of you to assume that he has a girlfriend. Or is straight.
November 23Nov 23 3 hours ago, TrashMaster G said: How in the world do they convince so many people to join that cult? Acceptance and money. I know plenty that were rejected by Texas and accepted by A&M. Couple that with being from the RGV...A&M actually offers a ton of financial aid. Hell, they offered to match my full academic scholarship offer that I had from Nebraska.
November 23Nov 23 6 minutes ago, TheBryMan81 said: Bold of you to assume that he has a girlfriend. Or is straight. Or isn’t beastiality.
November 23Nov 23 1 hour ago, txduck87 said: Is there a 2 8-ball minimum for this event? We call that a quarter where I'm from. 1 hour ago, Nino Brown said: Sure you wouldn’t be calling anyone little fella in person. Living and coaching in Austin after playing college ball has for sure has taught me that about some ut grads. Bitch, please. 58 minutes ago, TexArcher said: Imagine being a graduate of an engineering school and not being able to figure out how to use that internet thingy. More likely the chicken fucking...er, farming school for that agroid.
November 23Nov 23 Fuck aggy. But their offense will absolutely give our back 7 fits. Our secondary is just butthole. Absolute butthole. If our offense can sustain us (can’t believe we flipped course) then we have a shot. But arky moved with ease. I mean ease and that little midget Reed is shifty (no offense to midgets) Reed is a beanpole for sure, but nobody above 6 feet tall meets midget requirements.He's just shifty enough to avoid the direct hits that would shatter his thin bones. That's how he manages to be a durable running QB in spite of being on the thinner side
November 23Nov 23 1 hour ago, texasdago said: First off, AI sucks... Second, I ran some simulations using AI which favored A&M. I'm a dumbass so don't ask me to explain anything but, as you read this, all I'll say is "May we win 59-62 wins out of 100" because we're winning with Arch. Not to mention, 130th red zone defense for Texas A&M? Damn that's bad. "Thanks — I re-ran the simulations assuming Texas is the home team and tested three reasonable home-field advantage (HFA) values from the literature/bookmaker guidance (2.6, 3.0, and 3.5 points). I searched current analyses for plausible HFA magnitudes (studies and sports-betting practice put college-football HFA roughly 2.6–3.0 points on average; some team-specific rankings give Texas about 3.5). VSiN+2ESPN.com+2 What I changed For each HFA value I subtracted that many points from the A&M-favoring mean margins used earlier: Monte Carlo neutral mean (A&M) = 6.80 pts → new mean = 6.80 − HFA Common-opponent neutral mean (A&M) = 9.333 pts → new mean = 9.333 − HFA Kept game-to-game SD = 13.5 pts, simulated 100 games for a single-run result and ran 1,000 repeated 100-game experiments to show the distribution. Results (A&M wins out of 100 games) (Displayed are single 100-game run counts and the 1,000-run mean ± stdev) HFA = 2.6 pts (lower-end estimate) Monte model (mean margin A&M = 4.20): A&M 61 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 62.21 (sd 4.87). Common model (mean margin A&M = 6.73): A&M 68 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 69.20 (sd 4.62). HFA = 3.0 pts (typical bookmaker avg) Monte model (mean margin A&M = 3.80): A&M 60 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 60.81 (sd 4.87). Common model (mean margin A&M = 6.33): A&M 78 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 67.91 (sd 4.81). HFA = 3.5 pts (team-specific stronger HFA estimate used by some outlets for Texas) Monte model (mean margin A&M = 3.30): A&M 59 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 59.41 (sd 5.20). Common model (mean margin A&M = 5.83): A&M 64 / 100 in one run; 1,000-run mean ≈ 66.62 (sd 4.87). Interpretation Home-field advantage moves the needle: under the Monte-Carlo (team-margin) model, A&M’s expected wins drop from ~69 (neutral) to roughly 59–62 wins out of 100 depending on HFA — i.e., Texas’s home field reduces A&M’s edge by ~6–10 wins per 100 simulated games. Under the common-opponent model A&M still maintains a solid edge (because its common-opponent margin was larger to begin with): expected A&M wins remain in the ~66–69 range (1,000-run means) even after HFA subtraction. Which model you trust matters more than small changes in HFA: if you base predictions on season net margins and common-opponent results, A&M remains favored at Texas’s home field — but by a smaller margin in the Monte model and by a meaningful margin in the common-opponent model. Sources I used for HFA guidance Recent analyses and sportsbooks estimate college football HFA ≈ 2.6–3.0 points (bookmaker practice and recent studies). VSiN+1 Team-specific listings/rankings sometimes assign Texas a ~3.5-pt home advantage based on its home/away performance this season. VSiN+1"
November 23Nov 23 Arky moved with ease? They didn't score the second half until the game was out of reach. Also, if they were moving with ease, why did their opening two drives end in field goals? They cracked some big plays. They lead the conference (nation?) in those things. A killer for their first few long gainers was Taffe bouncing off the ball carrier. I'm not talking about the touchdown run. The first two possessions Taffe could have contained them with better tackling. I wonder if he was hesitating to wrap up because of his hand. He popped back to being his old self and contained many plays that would have gone for 15 or 20 further. Man, we miss Taffe when he's not out there.Yeah, this game didn't help Michaels draft chances at all. When you're a slightly undersized (and white, let's be honest) DB you simply can't get trucked in the open field.
November 23Nov 23 3 hours ago, TexArcher said: EYYY, WHY DON'T YOU PUT ON ONE OF THEM ILL BEATS FOR ME...? AHHH, I THINK I KNOW WHATCHU LOOKIN' FOR.............. AIGHT.................. Damn, that aggy vid transcends suckage. What a couple of dorks.
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