March 26, 20187 yr Fuck this prediction, but they were dead on for 2017. OCALA, FLA. (PRWEB) MARCH 09, 2018 The United States - Puerto Rico - and the Northern Lesser Antilles were ravaged by major impact hurricanes in 2017. Global Weather Oscillations (GWO) prepares accurate preseason landfall predictions and tracking webinars for 11 United States hurricane zones. Since the disastrous 2017 hurricane season - GWO has received many requests to extend predictions into the Caribbean Lesser Antilles region. GWO is reacting to the requests by instituting 2018 hurricane prediction zones for the Lesser Antilles – the Eastern Gateway for storms entering the Caribbean. GWO’s Zone 15 includes the Leeward Islands group that encompasses the Virgin Islands southward to the Island of Dominica. Zone 16 includes the Windward Islands from Martinique south to Tobago and Trinidad. Predictions will be available March 12th and can be acquired at GWO 2018 Hurricane Landfall Predictions and Webinars. Global Weather Oscillations (GWO) is a working partner with the International Hurricane Protection Association (INHPA) - and GWO was cited by news media as being the “only organization that accurately predicted the hyperactive 2017 Atlantic hurricane season - from beginning to end. When the 2017 hurricane season began last year - nearly every major hurricane prediction organization predicted a normal 2017 hurricane season - but only GWO GlobalWeatherOscillations.com had an accurate forecast”. Professor David Dilley – Senior Research and Prediction Scientist for Global Weather Oscillations (GWO) – not only predicted that 2017 would be the most destructive and costly hurricane season since at least 2005 – but also predicted where the storms would make landfall (Texas above Corpus Christi – south tip of the Florida Peninsula – Eastern Louisiana to Alabama). GWO has consistently released the most accurate preseason and landfall predictions by any organization during the past 10-years Prediction: 2018 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season - (which includes the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico) Professor David Dilley says that “some United States zones and the Caribbean Islands are currently in their strongest hurricane landfall cycle in 40 to 70-years. This is a Natural ClimatePulse Cycle that produced extremely active and dangerous hurricane conditions in some zones back in the 1950s and 60s in the Lesser Antilles – and in the 1940s in the United States. Mr. Dilley predicts that 2018 will be somewhat of a repeat of 2017 - but some hurricane landfalls will occur in different locations this year. You can expect 16 named storms, 8 hurricanes, 4 major hurricanes, potential for 4 United States hurricane landfalls – 2 of which will likely be major impact storms. And once again – some Caribbean Islands will have another dangerous season. On the average, the entire Atlantic Basin has 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 2.7 major hurricanes. The reason for another destructive hurricane season is 3-fold. Although ocean water temperatures have cooled across the Eastern Atlantic - the water temperatures continue to run warmer than normal from just East of the Lesser Antilles and especially in the Caribbean region and the Atlantic near the United States. This is very similar to the ocean temperatures of last year, and this will again be conducive for tropical storms and/or hurricanes forming and/or strengthening near the Lesser Antilles and close to the United States. Mr. Dilley also expects ENSO Neutral Conditions (no El Nino) that are conducive for active seasons, and the Bermuda-Azores High Pressure Center will again be in a favorable location – thus allowing more named storms to strengthen as they move east into Caribbean region and toward the United States. By utilizing ClimatePulse-Technology developed by Professor David Dilley, GWO issues very accurate preseason hurricane landfall predictions well before the beginning of the hurricane season. The model is based on natural rhythm cycles that control climate cycles and hurricane landfall cycles. Global Weather Oscillations offers 3 levels of predictions – ranging from Basic to the Advanced Prediction that includes weekly outlook webinars and daily tracking webinars when a storm is likely to pose a threat to one of our prediction zones. By incorporating GWO’s preseason zone predictions for landfalls into our tracking webinars – GWO has the ability to provide much more lead time for storm preparation and safety.
March 26, 20187 yr I’ve lived in the Houston area for 10 years and have been through 2 hurricanes, and I can say is FUCK HURRICANES!
March 27, 20187 yr Fuck. I think it's time to pack up and go to Ireland......for a long stay. Edited March 27, 20187 yr by Dances with Dachshunds
March 27, 20187 yr My company tells me my new office to replace the one destroyed by harvey will be ready around April 30. Just in time to be destroyed by 2018's storm, right? Fuck hurricanes.
March 27, 20187 yr 26 minutes ago, Dances with Dachshunds said: Fuck. I think it's time to pack up and go to Ireland......for a long stay. You Sir have the very best screen name on the internet. I award you all the ameros.
March 27, 20187 yr Rita was annoying, slept through Humberto, Ike was a pain, Harvey fucking sucked. If I never have to deal with another hurricane/tropical storm, I think I'll be good.
March 27, 20187 yr 20 minutes ago, BearSchlong said: You Sir have the very best screen name on the internet. I award you all the ameros. Awwww shucks.....
April 12, 20187 yr Some names from the 2017 season have been retired. https://www.click2houston.com/news/harvey-others-officially-retired-as-names-of-hurricanes HOUSTON - The World Meteorological Organization announced Thursday that the name Harvey has been officially retired for use as a hurricane. The center also retired the names Irma, Maria and Nate. Harvey was the second costliest storm behind Katrina. Sixty-eight people were killed in Harvey.
May 14, 20187 yr There's already a potential cyclone near America's Wang: Quote The Atlantic hurricane season officially starts on June 1, but we could see a tropical or subtropical depression form in the Gulf of Mexico this week, off the coast of the Florida Panhandle. A broad area of low pressure has developed over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, in association with an upper-level low pressure system, and this area of disturbed weather is expected to drift slowly northward and stall out off the coast of the Florida Panhandle on Tuesday. By Wednesday, the low is expected to be absorbed by a trough of low pressure passing to its north, resulting in the low moving ashore along the Florida Panhandle, on either Wednesday or Thursday. As this low meanders over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this week, the system has the potential to gradually acquire tropical characteristics and become warm-cored, potentially becoming a tropical or subtropical depression. https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/gulf-mexico-disturbance-bringing-heavy-rains-florida-and-may-develop?cm_ven=hp-slot-1 Edited May 14, 20187 yr by miguelito
May 14, 20187 yr Fuck hurricanes. Have been in Houston for 7 years and been lucky enough to only have had to go through Harvey. That storm was enough to last a life time.
May 14, 20187 yr Been through Allison (TS), Rita, Ike and Harvey. Rita was a near-miss. All of them suck.
May 14, 20187 yr 4 minutes ago, justhookit said: My house is being torn down today. Thanks Harvey. UGH...sorry you are going through that. There are many tear-downs in and around my neighborhood.
May 14, 20187 yr I've been through Ike and Harvey now, but there have also been many floods. The Tax Day and Memorial Day floods of 2016 were as bad as Harvey on a much smaller scale.
May 14, 20187 yr On 4/12/2018 at 10:04 AM, Hate said: Some names from the 2017 season have been retired. https://www.click2houston.com/news/harvey-others-officially-retired-as-names-of-hurricanes HOUSTON - The World Meteorological Organization announced Thursday that the name Harvey has been officially retired for use as a hurricane. The center also retired the names Irma, Maria and Nate. Harvey was the second costliest storm behind Katrina. Sixty-eight people were killed in Harvey. Harvey should be retired, because HARVEY IS FUCK YOU... In the immortal words of PHDFrankie
May 14, 20187 yr On 3/26/2018 at 8:14 PM, Dances with Dachshunds said: Fuck. I think it's time to pack up and go to Ireland......for a long stay. Edited May 14, 20187 yr by WBT
May 14, 20187 yr 5 hours ago, miguelito said: There's already a potential cyclone near America's Wang: https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/gulf-mexico-disturbance-bringing-heavy-rains-florida-and-may-develop?cm_ven=hp-slot-1 Where does Professor Dilley-Dilley think it will go?
May 15, 20187 yr Rita was annoying, slept through Humberto, Ike was a pain, Harvey fucking sucked. If I never have to deal with another hurricane/tropical storm, I think I'll be good.You know...there is actually a way to make that true.
May 16, 20187 yr 3 parts to hurricane season 'round here: 1) quick-forming-right-off-the-Gulf-coast TS's, usually make land 'afore they git too bad (late May-mid-June) 2) tropical systems generally forming in Western Hemisphere (western Atlantic, Caribbean, Gulf); can pack a punch but usually aren't too bad (mid-June-mid-July) 3) long track systems which develop off Africa (once the Atlantic gets a little warmer) and come across the Atlantic to ??? knows where (late July-late Sept) 3) usually does the most damage (Harvey, Ike, Rita, Katrina, Camille were all storms after mid-August). Mainly cornhole watching after mid-July. No way to know but my guess is that we won't see a Texas storm as bad as Harvey for years (one which has a bizarre track and stalls). That said, we've of course been lulled to sleep the last 60 years and all kinds of shit has been built up on the coast right in the path of the bowling ball. After a pretty active 50's and early 60's, the cycle (as predicted) lessened quite a bit through the 70's, picked up a bit again in the 80's, and hasn't been particularly active nor inactive since then. However, the cycle was supposed to pick up 15-20 years ago (2005 was seen as a harbinger) but it generally got really quiet - until last year. 'Cane scientists have long been predicting a constant more active era, which just hasn't panned out. We've had really active years - like last year - but then we'll see 2-3 years of almost nothing. There are so many variables which direct hurricane formation and tracking that it's still a relative crap shoot, but the people at GWO seem to be making the best use of new technology while not making overgeneralizations. The factors which guide formation and tracking will vary a lot, so it's really hard to say this year will be a repeat of last. My guess is not so much. Look for signs in about a month.. see what's forming over here, then it'll give at least some idea of what might be in store for long-track season in a few months.
May 21, 20187 yr We're back: As of 18:00 UTC May 21, 2018:Location: 17.8°N 84.7°WMaximum Winds: 20 kt Gusts: N/AMinimum Central Pressure: 1009 mbEnvironmental Pressure: 1011 mbRadius of Circulation: 180 NMRadius of Maximum Wind: 120 NM
May 21, 20187 yr following this for sure...have a beach house rented in Orange Beach Memorial Weekend. Was planning on bringing the boat.
May 22, 20187 yr 1 hour ago, jdhorn92 said: following this for sure...have a beach house rented in Orange Beach Memorial Weekend. Was planning on bringing the boat. You're gonna need a bigger boat.
May 22, 20187 yr Models are saying your memorial day weekend plans are probably fucked regardless of how strong anything gets.
May 22, 20187 yr We're back: As of 18:00 UTC May 21, 2018:Location: 17.8°N 84.7°WMaximum Winds: 20 kt Gusts: N/AMinimum Central Pressure: 1009 mbEnvironmental Pressure: 1011 mbRadius of Circulation: 180 NMRadius of Maximum Wind: 120 NM
May 22, 20187 yr Total clockwork... a depression forms in the Gulf in late May. Did last year, did the year before, etc. Although this one looks to be a mild spanker of MS east into FL, I would bet that another will form in the Western Gulf within 2 weeks. There's already a low that's going to form out there by tomorrow (S of LA), whether it goes tropical is unknown. We always seem to get a very early, mild storm in the Gulf before the real action starts later next month.
May 22, 20187 yr 9 hours ago, phdhorn said: Total clockwork... a depression forms in the Gulf in late May. Did last year, did the year before, etc. Although this one looks to be a mild spanker of MS east into FL, I would bet that another will form in the Western Gulf within 2 weeks. There's already a low that's going to form out there by tomorrow (S of LA), whether it goes tropical is unknown. We always seem to get a very early, mild storm in the Gulf before the real action starts later next month. Este, sucks for any memorial day plans though.
May 23, 20187 yr 00 ABNT20 KNHC 232308 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 710 PM EDT Wed May 23 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad surface low centered over the southeastern Yucatan Peninsula has become better defined since yesterday, and it continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba into the Florida Straits. Continued slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days as it drifts northward near the Yucatan Peninsula. Thereafter, environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a subtropical or tropical depression is likely to form this weekend over the eastern or central Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across western Cuba and the Cayman Islands during the next few days, and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast during the weekend. For more information on the heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 800 AM EDT on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
May 24, 20187 yr On 3/26/2018 at 8:39 PM, slorch said: fuck hurricanes. scourge of the earth when it comes to weather. I will say that at least we know they're coming a few days out. Tornadoes scare the shit out of me especially considering we don't have basements. On 5/14/2018 at 2:18 PM, WBT said: I assumed he was joking with the Ireland reference. On 5/21/2018 at 6:40 PM, The Tower said: Are you kidding me? My parents are moving their RV up to Crystal in a couple of weeks - they leave it there all summer. I'm still surprised it has never gotten much damage these last few years.
May 24, 20187 yr On 5/21/2018 at 5:16 PM, jdhorn92 said: following this for sure...have a beach house rented in Orange Beach Memorial Weekend. Was planning on bringing the boat. Id bring a blue shed, leave the boat at home
May 24, 20187 yr And here I was hoping for a dry weekend in New Orleans for my kids volleyball tournament. 100th post edit......it's 9:58 and ou still sucks Edited May 24, 20187 yr by Irwin F Fletcher
May 24, 20187 yr Its happening Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 130 PM EDT Thu May 24 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad surface low drifting slowly northward over the eastern Yucatan Peninsula continues to become better defined. Although showers and thunderstorms, along with strong gusty winds, remain primarily over the adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea, environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development through early next week, and a subtropical or tropical depression is likely to form by late Saturday over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance Friday afternoon, if necessary. Locally heavy rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week. In addition, the threat of rip currents will steadily increase along the Gulf coast from Florida westward to Louisiana over the Memorial Day weekend. For more information on these threats, please see products issued by your local weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 800 PM EDT this evening. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
May 24, 20187 yr On 5/21/2018 at 6:16 PM, jdhorn92 said: following this for sure...have a beach house rented in Orange Beach Memorial Weekend. Was planning on bringing the boat. We cancelled this morning. Owner was cool about it.
May 24, 20187 yr Well, hopefully the storm moving into the gulf coast early next week will clear out in time for our family trip to Rosemary Beach June 2-11. Would suck to get a motherfucking hurricane the one week out of the year I'm on vacation.
May 25, 20187 yr Any resident surly weather expert’s have a feeling for steering currents on this storm? I’m really hoping the US model is the track.
May 25, 20187 yr Well there's a strong high pressure moving toward Texas from Mexico, so it most likely will hit well east of here.
May 25, 20187 yr Not trying to be a dick but I could use a band of showers from that storm for my lawn. But that's it, just a small band. Maybe 2 or 3 inches. Fuck off hurricanes.
May 25, 20187 yr 59 minutes ago, pearlandhorn said: Not trying to be a dick but I could use a band of showers from that storm for my lawn. But that's it, just a small band. Maybe 2 or 3 inches. Fuck off hurricanes. If you live in Texas all you are going to get is hot ass motherfucking winds blowing hard from the northeast.
May 25, 20187 yr Live on the Texas coast, could tell last week that hurricane season was here. Hot and heavy air, knocks your dick in the dirt when you walk outside.
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.